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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 679

KamikazePotato | Posted 4/16/2009 9:40:54 AM | message detail
So...you're mad that DKC might lose?

Just making sure.

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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/16/2009 9:41:41 AM | message detail
Damn did Doom fall off there.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: LTTP > Doom - Points: 26/36 Vote: DKC!
red sox 777 | Posted 4/16/2009 9:44:24 AM | message detail
Zero, who kicks ass in the ASV. If you are unpopular with the Eurolosers, your morning vote will suck. DKC will decisively win the ASV and make you look like a tool.

BT, Crono has seared that pattern way too well into my mind. Far too many times.

As for this match, the thing is that DK the character normally does very well with Europe and the morning and then fades through the second half of the match. DKC could still win the ASV, definitely, and I wouldn't be too surprised as we've never seen it in action before, after all.
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/16/2009 9:46:54 AM | message detail
Nothing except unreliable, 5 year old stats points to Doom doing anything here.

The 5-year old stats are what say Doom will lose the ASV because they say it has FFVI trends.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/16/2009 9:47:07 AM | message detail
So how strong does everybody peg DKC2? Anybody think it'd be around the same area of strength?
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BGE2 - Today: LTTP > Doom - Points: 26/36 Vote: DKC!
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/16/2009 9:47:43 AM | message detail
Diddy is the same way.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3258&region=EUR

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3258&region=NAM

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 9:56:40 AM | message detail
And this graph, albeit from a summer match, gives you an idea of what DK vs. FPS can look like:

since when was splinter cell a fps?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 9:58:17 AM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #055
So how strong does everybody peg DKC2? Anybody think it'd be around the same area of strength?


I feel DKC1 > DKC2 in strength. Since DKC1 had the noms to make the field originally; DKC2 didn't and had to be added by b8.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 4/16/2009 9:59:29 AM | message detail
That's very poor reasoning. DKC2 had much tougher competition in its year space; same reason Suikoden got in and Suikoden II didn't when Suikoden II is far more popular.

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 10:01:46 AM | message detail
Fallout had more noms then DKC2.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 4/16/2009 10:02:32 AM | message detail
Considering the Fallout fanbase, this isn't surprising.

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HaRRicH | Posted 4/16/2009 10:04:15 AM | message detail
Here's a poll and a graph about DK VS FPS, neither of which is fair:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1605
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=2106&type=2&seconds=60&max=0

We're just going to have to see this play out first.
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 10:07:02 AM | message detail
doom isn't going to have master chief type asv lol
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HaRRicH | Posted 4/16/2009 10:10:52 AM | message detail
I already said it wasn't a fair comparison. That's all we got though if we're looking for DK against FPSs though (and you can already tell I'm stretching by including Duck Hunt).
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 10:11:39 AM | message detail
most FPS should have a good day vote because FPS are casual bait. But Doom is a bit different. I'd expect more Duke Nukem kinda trends for Doom, which is good night and bad day
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HaRRicH | Posted 4/16/2009 10:15:27 AM | message detail
The Duke's more cult and a bit of a running gag compared to Doom, to be fair. Doom's also kept relevant in recent years with Doom 3 and a movie compared to a trailer for Duke Nukem Forever. I doubt their trends differ a lot, but Doom should still do better because of that.
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 4/16/2009 10:16:58 AM | message detail
LttP's got 75.28% on Doom.

Still pretty much as expected.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 10:18:05 AM | message detail
Lets say DKC wins this. Who do you guys think will be the favorite next round in that Nintendo 4way?
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The Mana Sword | Posted 4/16/2009 10:18:37 AM | message detail
ZELDA
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Kleenex...at work!
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 4/16/2009 10:18:45 AM | message detail
I'm also curious as to whether DKC really is getting SFFed here. It just doesn't feel like it is for some reason.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/16/2009 10:20:51 AM | message detail
I'm sure DKC is a lot more popular than Earthbound.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: LTTP > Doom - Points: 26/36 Vote: DKC!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 10:23:35 AM | message detail
Man I really hope PSIV doesn't get its live action actors from the box art pic... Not that it stands a chance either way but that box art makes it look like some low budget movie -.-
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HaRRicH | Posted 4/16/2009 10:28:32 AM | message detail
DKC's more popular than EB, no doubt, but I wondered by how much before today and still kinda wonder now...EB would be expected to get 15.62% on Doom before considering LoZ:LttP if it was in DKC's place. DKC's got 17.82% right now, and tranny/Wylvane have brought up a decent point that we've not seen a lot of SFF/LFF so far. If DKC is legitimately resisting LFF/SFF today, then it's not far from EB.

I'd have to believe DKC > Doom one-on-one, but Doom would probably keep close...and since EB got 42.94% on Doom, DKC and EB shouldn't be all that far apart.


DKC versus SMW2:YI, who ya got?
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 10:28:33 AM | message detail
http://media.gamestats.com/gg/image/object/006/006293/PhantasyStarEndOfTheMillennium_GenesisBox_JPNboxart_160w.jpg

Though I guess the Japanese box art isn't much better...
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 10:28:53 AM | message detail
DKC versus SMW2:YI, who ya got?

YI would obliterate it.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 4/16/2009 10:29:23 AM | message detail
SMW2 because it's Mario.
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charmander6000 | Posted 4/16/2009 10:30:59 AM | message detail
The lead hasn't broken 500 yet, closest wire to wire match in four-ways (went past Frog vs. Liquid Snake by 3).
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: LttP > Doom Points: 25/36
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/16/2009 10:32:12 AM | message detail
DKC just by instinct. I still dont buy YI until I see it. Being Mario isn't enough. I see it as a Yoshi game.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: LTTP > Doom - Points: 26/36 Vote: DKC!
LeonhartFour | Posted 4/16/2009 10:32:39 AM | message detail
I'm still getting caught up, but people need to stop saying people don't care about Mario Kart! That's not true! Every game after the first two has been nowhere near as popular, so don't bring up polls about Double Dash, DS, or Wii! They're not relevant! I wouldn't be surprised if Mario Kart held up to LttP better because people DO care about Mario Kart.

Seriously, Mario Kart doesn't get that close to Super Metroid on a fluke. Just stop saying "Who cares about Mario Kart?" because the answer is: A lot of people.

Whoo, this has been a rant by a Mario Kart fanboy! Thanks!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 10:33:52 AM | message detail
Every game after the first two has been nowhere near as popular, so don't bring up polls about DS

Isn't the DS version like one of the best selling games ever
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XxSoulxX | Posted 4/16/2009 10:33:59 AM | message detail

Seriously, Mario Kart doesn't get that close to Super Metroid on a fluke. Just stop saying "Who cares about Mario Kart?" because the answer is: A lot of people.

Whoo, this has been a rant by a Mario Kart fanboy! Thanks!


Very true. MK is one of Nintendo's most popular franchises. It was actually pretty tough for me to choose between SM/SMK.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 4/16/2009 10:34:34 AM | message detail

Isn't the DS version like one of the best selling games ever


So is NSMB, but it isn't as popular as Mario's big hitters.
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LinkLegend27 | Posted 4/16/2009 10:34:37 AM | message detail
Lead is down to ~202
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The Mana Sword | Posted 4/16/2009 10:39:53 AM | message detail
Who cares about Mario Kart aside from Leon?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 10:40:34 AM | message detail

From: The Mana Sword | #084
Who cares about Mario Kart aside from Leon?


I like it!
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transience | Posted 4/16/2009 10:44:06 AM | message detail
Mario Kart is dead to me after the first one, but that game ate up my time in the 90s. solid game. I don't use the 'nobody cares about Mario Kart' argument, that's stupid.

nice stall.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 4/16/2009 10:44:49 AM | message detail
MK64 is stronger then the first one.
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transience | Posted 4/16/2009 10:46:27 AM | message detail
I am pretty sure most people know that.
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xyzzy
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XxSoulxX | Posted 4/16/2009 10:47:48 AM | message detail
Oh sorry, misread your post.
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Believe it or not, the Internet is serious business - Biolizard28
transience | Posted 4/16/2009 10:50:39 AM | message detail
if this is a "summer vote", I'd say DKC looks pretty good to win it. gonna have to wait until about 3:30 to know though.
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xyzzy
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XxSoulxX | Posted 4/16/2009 10:51:15 AM | message detail
Why would it be a summer vote? Are some schools done for the year already?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 10:52:09 AM | message detail
summer vote? Its only april
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 4/16/2009 10:52:24 AM | message detail
Some have Spring Break. Though I'd imagine by now most Spring Breaks have already ended. The ones in my area have anyway, and schools that are still in spring break after mid April have got to be rare.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 4/16/2009 10:53:12 AM | message detail
Some schools are still on Spring Break? Holy crap. Mine was in the second week of February.
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M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 4/16/2009 10:53:16 AM | message detail
Pretty sure Mario Kart Wii's the best selling Wii game so far. Even moreso than Wii Fit and Wii Play.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/16/2009 10:53:52 AM | message detail

From: XxSoulxX | #094
Some schools are still on Spring Break? Holy crap. Mine was in the second week of February.


Most schools had it during Easter week.
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LinkLegend27 | Posted 4/16/2009 10:54:34 AM | message detail
My school's on Easter Break. Started last Wednesday. I think public schools around here have the same week off as us..
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Fortes in Unitate.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 4/16/2009 10:54:53 AM | message detail
Isn't the DS version like one of the best selling games ever

Sales =/= Popularity

Don't make me bring up Xenogears vs. Pokemon G/S/C for the millionth time this topic!

Also, I'm surprised DKC is doing so well, but why in the world hasn't anyone said anything about DKC's picture? That thing is awesome. Anyone who played and liked DKC would want to vote for it after seeing that!

And LTTP is doing bad? This is about where I pegged it. But if it's doing badly, I don't care! I've got Mario 3 beating it later on anyway!
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XxSoulxX | Posted 4/16/2009 10:55:16 AM | message detail
Most schools had it during Easter week.

That really sucks. I've never had/heard of anyone having Spring/March Break during Easter.
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M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 4/16/2009 10:55:19 AM | message detail
What's the latest age groupings poll? Maybe less of the user base is going to school now than in 2004 due to growing up in the past five years.

Probably unlikely due to the increase in voters since 2004, but worth a look.
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