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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 676

red sox 777 | Posted 4/14/2009 9:39:41 PM | message detail
Sonic's on a mission to prove the 2003 x-stats right by losing to Magus. His problem these past 6 years is that Magus has been determined to prove them wrong, but Sonic will show Magus yet who can fall harder!
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
WarThaHedgehog | Posted 4/14/2009 9:40:33 PM | message detail
Sonic dropping another third of a percent of his quest for 22%.
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http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif
transience | Posted 4/14/2009 9:41:00 PM | message detail
SMK should get demolished by LTTP. this is one case where Metroid will hold up better to Zelda.
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xyzzy
http://img6.imageshack.us/img6/7033/trannyanalysis.png
Mac Arrowny | Posted 4/14/2009 9:41:09 PM | message detail
Doom losing to DKC tomorrow son.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/14/2009 9:41:10 PM | message detail
Mario Kart cuts Metroid but Metroid still gains % due to Sonics failing
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/14/2009 9:41:43 PM | message detail

From: Mac Arrowny | #304
Doom losing to DKC tomorrow son.


http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
RockMFR 5 | Posted 4/14/2009 9:42:10 PM | message detail
Ownership stats from GameFAQs and predicted percentages:
Gunstar Heroes - 83 - 5.26%
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - 368 - 23.32%
Super Mario Kart - 538 - 34.09%
Super Metroid - 589 - 37.33%


Damn those numbers are looking good now.
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
greatone10 | Posted 4/14/2009 9:42:27 PM | message detail

From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 4/14/2009 9:41:09 PM | #304
Doom losing to DKC tomorrow son.


There are very few results that would please me more than that, but it's not happening.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
vs. Super Mario RPG, Goldeneye, Resident Evil 2. Ugh, my top 3 games in the same match.
Xuxon | Posted 4/14/2009 9:44:28 PM | message detail
Honestly, I gave more consideration to DKC beating Doom than to Sonic 3 placing in this match.
deadeyedllv | Posted 4/14/2009 9:45:11 PM | message detail
Time for a third cut in a row!
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/14/2009 9:45:58 PM | message detail
argh sonic you aren't supposed to gain %
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
MegatokyoEd | Posted 4/14/2009 9:46:05 PM | message detail
And now Sonic randomly stalls.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
Silverflash-x | Posted 4/14/2009 9:46:48 PM | message detail
Yeeeessszzz

Sonic comeback anyone? =P
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Q. If your canoe is in a tree with its headlights on, how many pancakes does it take to get to the moon?
A. None. Snakes don't have armpits.
greatone10 | Posted 4/14/2009 9:46:56 PM | message detail
Suck 3 is just rubbing it in to those that thought it had a chance.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
vs. Super Mario RPG, Goldeneye, Resident Evil 2. Ugh, my top 3 games in the same match.
KingBartz | Posted 4/14/2009 9:51:52 PM | message detail
Thanks for screwing over my bracket, sonic!
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Check out my Guru bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=60
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/14/2009 9:52:08 PM | message detail
Which of these characters would you take over Sonic, April 2009 Edition!

Vincent
Squall
Auron
Tifa

Sora
Ganondorf
Kirby
Bowser
Yoshi
Luigi
Zack


Sora strikes me as too much of a gamble, and I kinda want to take a chance on Kirby (apart from actually giving Sonic a pretty fair loss, he seems like he's made to knock someone like Sonic out), but I'm not sure. I take those first four without a moment's doubt, and I'm actually kind of sad that Tifa > Sonic has become so popular now.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
greatone10 | Posted 4/14/2009 9:53:24 PM | message detail
Suck would probably beat all of them just defy all logic again when it comes to the Suck series.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
vs. Super Mario RPG, Goldeneye, Resident Evil 2. Ugh, my top 3 games in the same match.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 4/14/2009 9:53:55 PM | message detail
Sonic would beat anyone who isn't Nintendo.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
ZFS | Posted 4/14/2009 9:55:16 PM | message detail
Squall, Vincent, Auron, and Tifa are the ones I'd take over Sonic. Probably Mega Man, too.

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http://i41.tinypic.com/zk6ct3.gif
transience | Posted 4/14/2009 9:56:46 PM | message detail
this match is going to be really close - I'm predicting Super Metroid to win the night, Mario to win the morning, and for it to be pretty close in the daytime. I'll give an ever-so-slight edge to Super Metroid right now.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com//chewing.jpg
Lopen | Posted 4/14/2009 9:56:49 PM | message detail
You kidz better start putting Dante in those lists this disrespect is unacceptable.
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So I lost a bet to creativename (yeah...hardly shocking). Like usual, I should've known better!
FACT: Halo 3 was 1000% responsible for Master Chief's boost.
RPGuy96 | Posted 4/14/2009 9:57:19 PM | message detail
Super Metroid's trying to pull away (finally!), this is looking good.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
KingBartz | Posted 4/14/2009 9:58:11 PM | message detail
great, 1000 vote barrier activated. No way Sonic could possibly come back.
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Check out my Guru bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=60
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 4/14/2009 9:59:18 PM | message detail
Sonic would beat anyone who isn't Nintendo.
MnMZero | Posted 4/14/2009 9:59:42 PM | message detail
Not pulling away fast enough for me to think it will safely win throughout the day vote!
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Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
transience | Posted 4/14/2009 10:00:13 PM | message detail
reposting RPGuy's graph:

Time | Mega Man | Mario Kart
01:00 | 56.95% | 43.05%
02:00 | 59.71% | 40.29%
03:00 | 61.43% | 38.57%
04:00 | 61.71% | 38.29%
05:00 | 59.39% | 40.61%
06:00 | 57.56% | 42.44%
07:00 | 53.75% | 46.25%
08:00 | 54.36% | 45.64%
09:00 | 53.84% | 46.16%
10:00 | 54.86% | 45.14%
11:00 | 55.83% | 44.17%
12:00 | 56.56% | 43.44%
13:00 | 56.39% | 43.61%
14:00 | 58.19% | 41.81%
15:00 | 56.77% | 43.23%
16:00 | 57.23% | 42.77%
17:00 | 58.03% | 41.97%
18:00 | 58.89% | 41.11%
19:00 | 59.03% | 40.97%
20:00 | 59.52% | 40.48%
21:00 | 58.65% | 41.35%
22:00 | 59.17% | 40.83%
23:00 | 59.16% | 40.84%
00:00 | 61.31% | 38.69%

if SMK's losing during the opening hour, it's probably going to lose the day. SMK will definitely win the morning, though.
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xyzzy
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/14/2009 10:01:29 PM | message detail
Wow, Sonic is getting really humiliated here. If Mega Man is just as much an adopted Nintendo child (no reason to believe he isn't), then MMX has to go in as a big underdog. FF3 will be eating up the largest portion of the votes, and it'll be fighting against another proper Nintendo game for second. I'm sure the match itself will still get argued, but I don't see how anyone can argue that MMX looks worse now than it did an hour ago.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Xuxon | Posted 4/14/2009 10:01:29 PM | message detail
Man SF2 must really suck now. I wonder if it could even get 30% on SMRPG.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/14/2009 10:01:34 PM | message detail

From: transience | #326
reposting RPGuy's graph:

Time | Mega Man | Mario Kart
01:00 | 56.95% | 43.05%
02:00 | 59.71% | 40.29%
03:00 | 61.43% | 38.57%
04:00 | 61.71% | 38.29%
05:00 | 59.39% | 40.61%
06:00 | 57.56% | 42.44%
07:00 | 53.75% | 46.25%
08:00 | 54.36% | 45.64%
09:00 | 53.84% | 46.16%
10:00 | 54.86% | 45.14%
11:00 | 55.83% | 44.17%
12:00 | 56.56% | 43.44%
13:00 | 56.39% | 43.61%
14:00 | 58.19% | 41.81%
15:00 | 56.77% | 43.23%
16:00 | 57.23% | 42.77%
17:00 | 58.03% | 41.97%
18:00 | 58.89% | 41.11%
19:00 | 59.03% | 40.97%
20:00 | 59.52% | 40.48%
21:00 | 58.65% | 41.35%
22:00 | 59.17% | 40.83%
23:00 | 59.16% | 40.84%
00:00 | 61.31% | 38.69%

if SMK's losing during the opening hour, it's probably going to lose the day. SMK will definitely win the morning, though.


Mega Man also has a notoriously good power hour.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
red sox 777 | Posted 4/14/2009 10:01:47 PM | message detail
I'll go with:

Ganondorf
Vincent
Squall
Auron
Tifa

Sora, Zelda and Kirby are questionable, but I probably wouldn't take the upset there.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
RPGuy96 | Posted 4/14/2009 10:03:04 PM | message detail
I don't think there's going to be much movement in the day here. I agree with tranny that SMK can probably win the morning just based on being associated with Mario, but I don't think the ASV really favours one over the other. Even against somebody fairly day oriented - the rat - Samus didn't budge, and against the man in red himself the two were pretty even with the ASV.

But no more cuts!
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/14/2009 10:03:29 PM | message detail
Man SF2 must really suck now. I wonder if it could even get 30% on SMRPG.

SF2's performance makes me sad, but there's no way it lost that much strength (didn't it get 44% in 2004? That'd be an insane drop). I think it could have fought Sonic a lot harder if the other two games would have been more respectable.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Xuxon | Posted 4/14/2009 10:04:24 PM | message detail
lol Ganondorf

I'll take the 4 Square people + Zelda over Sonic.
HaRRicH | Posted 4/14/2009 10:04:36 PM | message detail
I still can't believe Sonic 3 is getting beaten this badly, especially after what Sonic 1 did. I guess Sonic being affected by Nintendo goes well outside of SMW...it helps explain Link/Shadow, at least, although Mario/Shadow remains forever weird. Still, Sonic 3 should have benefited from this situation and SM/SMK aren't exactly the pillars of Nintendo (though undoubtedly big). Can't wait to see Sonic 2 before-n-afters with LoZ:LA.....
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 4/14/2009 10:06:38 PM | message detail
I guess Sonic being affected by Nintendo goes well outside of SMW...it helps explain Link/Shadow, at least, although Mario/Shadow remains forever weird

Now that you mention it, the Shadow/Mario match really is an enigma.
tim333 | Posted 4/14/2009 10:09:15 PM | message detail
I'm reeling from Sonic 3 doing this badly. I mean this is the first result of the contest that really just has me dumbstruck.
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Like an imploding star, like a burning car, my style shines so bright!
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/14/2009 10:11:08 PM | message detail
Sonic doing this poorly *should* surprise me...but honestly, it doesn't. I'm used to him setting new standards of suck.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/14/2009 10:14:44 PM | message detail
Well anyway, now that it's clear Sonic 1 has zip chance, it'll be

SMB3
SMW
SFII
FF1/FF2

Who moves on and in what order?
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
transience | Posted 4/14/2009 10:15:40 PM | message detail
yeah, I really like Super Metroid here.
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xyzzy
http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg
ZFS | Posted 4/14/2009 10:16:14 PM | message detail
SMB3 > FFIV > SMW > SFII is how I'd expect that to go.

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http://i41.tinypic.com/zk6ct3.gif
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/14/2009 10:16:43 PM | message detail
SMB3 > FFIV > SMW > SFII is how I'd expect that to go.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
tim333 | Posted 4/14/2009 10:18:02 PM | message detail
I have SMB3 > Sonic 1 next round, **** **** ****
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Like an imploding star, like a burning car, my style shines so bright!
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 4/14/2009 10:18:32 PM | message detail
I have FFIV > SMB3
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/14/2009 10:18:47 PM | message detail
Am I the only one who thinks the FF game has a decent shot at first? Mario 3/Mario World is about as overlapped as you can get.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
RPGuy96 | Posted 4/14/2009 10:19:46 PM | message detail
I'm currently thinking SMB3 > SMW > FF > SFII, but there's a lot of ways that could shake out.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
ZFS | Posted 4/14/2009 10:21:27 PM | message detail
I wouldn't be too surprised if FFIV, or FF1, managed to pull first in that one, but I think the most likely result is SMB3 in first and FF in second. I think it'll be one of the two results either way. Can't say see two Mario games advancing there -- SMW isn't that much stronger than either FF game.

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http://i41.tinypic.com/zk6ct3.gif
transience | Posted 4/14/2009 10:22:43 PM | message detail
have we really seen any overlap in this contest? I guess Sonic is the best example, but I don't think that's overlap as much as apathy towards the other options.

I really can't think of any back-breaking overlap. Metroid won easily.
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yzzyx
RPGuy96 | Posted 4/14/2009 10:24:02 PM | message detail
I think Duck Hunt would've beaten Ninja Gaiden without Super Mario Bros. in the poll, but that would probably be mostly for apathy related reasons.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
Tohoya | Posted 4/14/2009 10:24:27 PM | message detail
Are people really that surprised at SMK's strength? Everyone loves Mario Kart!

The real story is Sonic bombing TBQH
edwardsdv | Posted 4/14/2009 10:24:40 PM | message detail
I still like Metroid to carry the day here. By far the weaker of the SMK's vs. the number 1 metroid. No brainer.
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http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=212