GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 675
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/13/2009 6:53:58 PM | message detail |
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Happy belated Easter, stats topic! ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- .,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,. Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Devil May Cry |
| LinkLegend27 | Posted 4/13/2009 6:59:36 PM | message detail |
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Happy Easter! --- Fortes in Unitate. I ain't conceited only positive and way better |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 4/13/2009 7:00:43 PM | message detail |
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Chocolate abounds! --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/13/2009 9:01:17 PM | message detail |
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Round 1 - Division 2: Match 4 Crystalis lol wut? Final Fantasy II (IV) I work with a guy named Bard. He's not that spoony though. Mega Man 3 Outstanding! River City Ransom lol turbofodder Analysis: Boring match, the only thing to watch is how close Mega Man 3 gets to FF4, to see if it will be a threat at all next round with Final Fantasy 1 there. TuRtLe's Prediction: Final Fantasy 4 45%, Mega Man 3 38%, River City Ransom 11%, Crystalis 6% TuRtLe's Bracket: FF4 > MM3 TuRtLe's Vote: Mega Man 3 --- Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1 |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/13/2009 9:02:16 PM | message detail |
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you know how FF4 was gonna get 50%? --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif |
| transience | Posted 4/13/2009 9:02:28 PM | message detail |
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holy mega man --- xyzzy http://img6.imageshack.us/img6/7033/trannyanalysis.png |
| Childproof | Posted 4/13/2009 9:02:31 PM | message detail |
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wooo MM3 --- Is GrapefruitKing Today's prediction: FFIV 51.75% - Top Man 32.86% - Barf! 9.37% - Crystalis 6.02% - Status: |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:02:31 PM | message detail |
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...Mega Man 3...? --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
| SHINE GET 64 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:02:51 PM | message detail |
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fighting for everlasting peace --- http://www.picpulse.com/images/pics/Filipino/Filipino1.jpg http://img172.imageshack.us/img172/5920/img00002w.jpg |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 4/13/2009 9:02:52 PM | message detail |
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Mega Man 3 has the board vote here. --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
| Master Moltar | Posted 4/13/2009 9:02:55 PM | message detail |
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wow, second unintentional 500 in the past few days cool stuff --- Moltar Status: you can't hide forever Match 8 - Bracket: FF4 > MM3 - Vote: MM3 (22/28) |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/13/2009 9:02:56 PM | message detail |
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MM2 hurt by pic confirmed --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 4/13/2009 9:02:59 PM | message detail |
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Woah, nice start for MM3. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
| RockMFR 5 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:02 PM | message detail |
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...and it quickly drops off. --- Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0 The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n. |
| greatone10 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:03 PM | message detail |
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MM3 captures the early lead, and loses it immediately! --- Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09. vs. Super Mario RPG, Goldeneye, Resident Evil 2. Ugh, my top 3 games in the same match. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:09 PM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3452®ion=ASI lol FF > SMW, PoP > BT --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: FFII (IV) > MM3 Points: 20/28 |
| Masato_Tanaka | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:19 PM | message detail |
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LETS GO FF2! --- The Straight Up G The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| transience | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:28 PM | message detail |
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this could be a rare three-part pic factor - MM2, MM3 and FF4 but I'm willing to let it play out for a few minutes before saying anything oh hey there we go --- xyzzy http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg |
| therealmnm | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:33 PM | message detail |
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Crystalis :( I was one of the few. And that was a legit vote by the way. I love the hell out of that game. --- Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X |
| Masato_Tanaka | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:37 PM | message detail |
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...so MM3 > MM2? Wow. --- The Straight Up G The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:39 PM | message detail |
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And man FF2 did get a really bad early vote But I'm feeling good about MM2 > Tetris! --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif |
| greatone10 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:43 PM | message detail |
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This is a good sign for MM3, considering FF4 is the heavy favorite. --- Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09. vs. Super Mario RPG, Goldeneye, Resident Evil 2. Ugh, my top 3 games in the same match. |
| MegatokyoEd | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:56 PM | message detail |
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lol at Mega Man 3 dropping like a rock. --- Demyx is better than Axel. |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:57 PM | message detail |
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From: Masato_Tanaka | #020 No. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif |
| Lopen | Posted 4/13/2009 9:03:58 PM | message detail |
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I knew this pic change was gonna help MM3 big. Shame it doesn't look like it'll be holding up though. --- So I lost a bet to creativename (yeah...hardly shocking). Like usual, I should've known better! FACT: Halo 3 was 1000% responsible for Master Chief's boost. |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/13/2009 9:04:17 PM | message detail |
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From: MyWorldIsCrono | #012 I wouldn't say that just yet. It's the board vote; I doubt the picture affects the board vote THAT much. --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: FFIV > MM3 - Points: 20/28 Vote: MM3 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/13/2009 9:04:30 PM | message detail |
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If Mega Man 3 can stay within 10% of FF4, it still has a great shot at advancing next round. --- Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1 |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/13/2009 9:04:47 PM | message detail |
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From: MarioSuperstar | #026 MM2 flopped board vote though. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif |
| greatone10 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:04:57 PM | message detail |
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I don't know, I think MM3 gets really hurt by SMW. --- Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09. vs. Super Mario RPG, Goldeneye, Resident Evil 2. Ugh, my top 3 games in the same match. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:04:59 PM | message detail |
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you know how FF4 was gonna get 50%? It's almost there. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: FFII (IV) > MM3 Points: 20/28 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/13/2009 9:05:02 PM | message detail |
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Oh wow, that didn't take long --- Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1 |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/13/2009 9:05:26 PM | message detail |
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From: MyWorldIsCrono | #028 If you wait minutes to vote in the poll, how will a picture change your mind about it? >_> --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: FFIV > MM3 - Points: 20/28 Vote: MM3 |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 4/13/2009 9:05:29 PM | message detail |
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MM3 is going to get smashed by Mario World. Otherwise it would have a shot. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
| RockMFR 5 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:06:08 PM | message detail |
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43.55% / 42.59% 36.29% / 46.22% More people had FF in first than SMW. Wow. --- Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0 The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n. |
| Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 4/13/2009 9:06:16 PM | message detail |
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Haven't you guys learned yet to at least wait for the freeze before jumping to conclusions? :P --- FastFalcon and Solid Snake snapped my neck in the guru contest. |
| Lopen | Posted 4/13/2009 9:06:18 PM | message detail |
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Holy friggin crap one minute I looked they were neck and neck next
minute Mega Man is down 4% next minute down over 10%. Never mind, this
is about what I was expecting without massive pic advantage. --- So I lost a bet to creativename (yeah...hardly shocking). Like usual, I should've known better! FACT: Halo 3 was 1000% responsible for Master Chief's boost. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:06:48 PM | message detail |
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43.55% / 42.59% 36.29% / 46.22% Final Fantasy was the favourite for first? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: FFII (IV) > MM3 Points: 20/28 |
| greatone10 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:06:54 PM | message detail |
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From: RockMFR 5 | Posted: 4/13/2009 9:06:08 PM | #034 Probably the same damn people that forget about the format every year. --- Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09. vs. Super Mario RPG, Goldeneye, Resident Evil 2. Ugh, my top 3 games in the same match. |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/13/2009 9:09:05 PM | message detail |
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Gonna be interesting next update to see where we are. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif |
| HaRRicH | Posted 4/13/2009 9:10:08 PM | message detail |
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It sure would help MM2 out if MM3 jump-started itself here and stops dropping...! --- Prototype Shorthand, do you speak it?! |
| transience | Posted 4/13/2009 9:10:14 PM | message detail |
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BARF'd --- xyzzy http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg |
| WarThaHedgehog | Posted 4/13/2009 9:10:25 PM | message detail |
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oh god damn you match pic --- http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif |
| charmander6000 | Posted 4/13/2009 9:10:35 PM | message detail |
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RCR broke 10% --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: FFII (IV) > MM3 Points: 20/28 |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/13/2009 9:10:46 PM | message detail |
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haha FF4 yeah its not getting 50% --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif |
| Gr8CyberMonkey | Posted 4/13/2009 9:10:59 PM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3452&type=2&seconds=60&max=0 That Battletoads trend line is absolutely nuts. --- The question to everyone's answer. |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 4/13/2009 9:11:07 PM | message detail |
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MM3 lost the board vote what is this I don't even --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
| MetricTrout | Posted 4/13/2009 9:11:48 PM | message detail |
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Go Mega Man 3! --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147 |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/13/2009 9:11:49 PM | message detail |
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From: MyWorldIsCrono | #044 You're still jumping to conclusions too fast, dude. --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: FFIV > MM3 - Points: 20/28 Vote: MM3 |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/13/2009 9:11:51 PM | message detail |
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I didn't even notice the Barf until you guys brought it up. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/13/2009 9:12:03 PM | message detail |
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Obviously Megaman was just teasing us, now he's gonna go in for the kill --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif |
