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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 673

red sox 777 | Posted 4/12/2009 9:22:39 AM | message detail
Mario looks like he'll probably finish around 75%, not sure if he quite makes it back to that mark. One thing in SimCity's favor is that it has a lot of time left, and that it should dominate the second night vote going by how American-driven and European-driven games have performed so far this year. If SimCity can get the lead down to 400 by 6 I'll feel pretty good about it.

Votes per update needed: 5.06
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paulg235 | Posted 4/12/2009 9:22:59 AM | message detail
15 vote gain for MI there.
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transience | Posted 4/12/2009 9:23:03 AM | message detail
UltimaterializerX (tc) | Posted 4/12/2009 12:29:45 AM | message detail | filter | quote | #278
130 votes now. It'll literally take a miracle for Guybrush at this point.

We should celebrate the gurus actually getting one right. Ladies and gentleman, Conway Twitty! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RpT7-t4b5IE&feature=related

I'm totally keeping this for the next time you complain about people calling matches.
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yzzyx
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 9:23:48 AM | message detail
After those couple cuts by Sim City, we're right back to where we were before them. Simcity isn't going to win if it can't gain any ground.
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transience | Posted 4/12/2009 9:24:02 AM | message detail
Mario probably rises above 75% pretty easily. he might get to 76. there's a lot of day vote here.
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xyzzy
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/12/2009 9:24:03 AM | message detail
It took a miracle, and Guybrush got one. He came back from the equivalent of going down 56-44.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 9:24:46 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #156
It took a miracle, and Guybrush got one. He came back from the equivalent of going down 56-44.


But we expected this. Every Guybrush match has him going absolutely nuts in the late hours.

Thats not a miracle.
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Yesmar | Posted 4/12/2009 9:25:20 AM | message detail
Oh come on, that last update was totally sketchy for Monkey Island.
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/12/2009 9:25:20 AM | message detail
Yeah but doesn't he usually fall off by now? The fact that he's winning a day vote against anything is pretty impressive.
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Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Devil May Cry
red sox 777 | Posted 4/12/2009 9:25:22 AM | message detail
Eh, Mario only went up about 0.7% with the morning, and I rather doubt he'll get as much with the afternoon. No ASV today.
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ffmasterjose | Posted 4/12/2009 9:25:53 AM | message detail
Ugh, those cuts that SimCity made are now gone.
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16/20 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Super Mario Bros. 3 > SimCity | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 9:26:06 AM | message detail

From: Yesmar | #158
Oh come on, that last update was totally sketchy for Monkey Island.


How? Monkey Island got 10.42%, below its average.

That was all Sim City sucking.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/12/2009 9:26:23 AM | message detail

From: Yesmar | Posted: 4/12/2009 12:25:20 PM | #158
Oh come on, that last update was totally sketchy for Monkey Island.


You mean 54 votes twice in a row?
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Yesmar | Posted 4/12/2009 9:26:56 AM | message detail
Every other entrant dropped, and Monkey Island went up.
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Yesmar | Posted 4/12/2009 9:27:24 AM | message detail
or stayed the same apparently.
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
ffmasterjose | Posted 4/12/2009 9:27:42 AM | message detail
And another cut by SimCity to keep me interested in this match >_>

Come on SC, either start kicking some Threepwood ass or roll over and die in obscurity

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16/20 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Super Mario Bros. 3 > SimCity | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 9:28:38 AM | message detail
The fact that Sim City STILL hasn't started a serious comeback attempt makes me think this match is over.

Wtih the low votals both of these games are dealing with, 700 votes is big. Sim city can't just sit around and stall.
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/12/2009 9:31:13 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3447&type=2&seconds=60&max=0

Yes, Oregon Trail's match was on a weekday, but nonetheless, notice how it rises through the day and goes way up in the last few hours. It even beat its power hour levels over the last 2 hours or so.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 9:31:16 AM | message detail
Not to mention if last contests trends mean anything, the worst parts of the day Guybrush had were 11AM-1 PM EST, and 7 PM-9 PM

If this is supposedly one of Guybrushs worst times during the day and Sim city can't even cut into the lead now...
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RPGuy96 | Posted 4/12/2009 9:35:37 AM | message detail
Brackets? I'm going against my bracket here! I'd gladly give up two points to see Monkey Island advance!
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/12/2009 9:36:10 AM | message detail
Actually....SimCity has a really bad day vote. It's lost more percentage (literal percentage, not relative to MI) since the morning vote started than during that entire augh Europe time.
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tim333 | Posted 4/12/2009 9:39:34 AM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #170
Brackets? I'm going against my bracket here! I'd gladly give up two points to see Monkey Island advance!


Yes, exactly.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 9:40:12 AM | message detail
My bracket is done anyway, which has Sim City.

I'd rather see my favorites do well.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 4/12/2009 9:47:42 AM | message detail
Ahahaha, my favourites bracket is going to be a point ahead of my real bracket should Monkey Island win. "whoops"
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/12/2009 9:50:33 AM | message detail
Some targets for SimCity to get the lead down to:

3 PM: 650
6 PM: 500
9 PM: 300
Midnight: Victory
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/12/2009 9:53:31 AM | message detail
700 vote barrier breached, and that's the first time SimCity has won 4 updates in a row in a while.
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ffmasterjose | Posted 4/12/2009 9:54:52 AM | message detail
Wow, 4 update victories in a row for SC and the gap is at 697. I'm not getting my hopes up but that's not too shabby...
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16/20 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Super Mario Bros. 3 > SimCity | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
paulg235 | Posted 4/12/2009 9:57:02 AM | message detail
If SimCity gets within striking distance, Monkey Island rallly time, FOR GUYBRUSH!
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MnMZero | Posted 4/12/2009 10:06:07 AM | message detail
Of course it's going to be rally time. What else would Men of Low Moral Fiber do should it come to that situation?
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 4/12/2009 10:07:05 AM | message detail
SMB3 got a 79.62% update about 35 minutes ago. So it still has a pretty good chance of getting 80% updates soon.
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tim333 | Posted 4/12/2009 10:08:18 AM | message detail
Probably not much of anything, actually. All they ever seem to do is sit there looking shady.
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paulg235 | Posted 4/12/2009 10:08:41 AM | message detail
MI's back to that 700 lead. Looks like we're in for a stall.
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/12/2009 10:11:03 AM | message detail
1:00 | 55.57%
2:00 | 51.71%
3:00 | 51.74%
4:00 | 45.42%
5:00 | 39.95%
6:00 | 37.04%
7:00 | 37.29%
8:00 | 38.20%
9:00 | 43.84%
10:00 | 48.81%
11:00 | 49.90%
12:00 | 45.57%
13:00 | 50.66%

SimCity recovers from a really bad hour by winning its first hour since 3 AM.
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Denzokuken | Posted 4/12/2009 10:11:25 AM | message detail
Disappointed with SimCity's day efforts, not that it was going to win anyway - I have a feeling that even if it did get close, Monkey Island would benefit from some Crono/MGS-esque shenanigans.
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/12/2009 10:17:36 AM | message detail
Monkey Island winning the day vote is the most amazing thing I have seen in this entire contest

Seriously, what

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edwardsdv | Posted 4/12/2009 10:32:30 AM | message detail
I have to hand it to Money Island... Seriously.

You have to. It's the luckiest game in the whole damn contest. Had this been held tomorrow it would have been blown out.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/12/2009 10:32:59 AM | message detail

From: Master Moltar | #110
*my reaction of opening up gamefaqs and looking at the poll results*

http://i38.tinypic.com/2cgzwy0.jpg


XMFD

Oh Tiger.

Ok, 0/6, but I feel confident about tomorrow's match (whatever it is!)!
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RPGuy96 | Posted 4/12/2009 10:35:36 AM | message detail
I have Mario World > FF1. Inevitably, we are either going to get Mario World > Battletoads or FF1 > Mario World, for full points would be blasphemous.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/12/2009 10:36:59 AM | message detail
watch us rack up points near the end of the bracket!
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BGE2 - Today: SMB3 > Simcity - Points: 14/20 Vote: SMB3
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/12/2009 10:39:08 AM | message detail
I have Mario World > FF1. Inevitably, we are either going to get Mario World > Battletoads or FF1 > Mario World, for full points would be blasphemous.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3196

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RPGuy96 | Posted 4/12/2009 10:41:11 AM | message detail
You can make excuses for that performance (FF1 has like seven thousand remakes), but, yeah, I wouldn't be too terribly surprised if Battletoads won.
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 4/12/2009 10:41:36 AM | message detail
I had a similar reaction:

http://img.imgcake.com/Zen/ohgodyesx0.gif
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KamikazePotato | Posted 4/12/2009 10:44:10 AM | message detail
So next round is going to be Sonic 1, SFII, SMB3...and Monkey Island.

Let's see just how dedicated a fanbse Monkey Island has!

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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 4/12/2009 10:44:30 AM | message detail
79.84% update for SMB3. Getting even closer to that 80% update.
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Silverflash-x | Posted 4/12/2009 10:46:14 AM | message detail
I did not expect MI to be this strong.

Seriously. ;_;
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tim333 | Posted 4/12/2009 10:48:01 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #193
So next round is going to be Sonic 1, SFII, SMB3...and Monkey Island.

Let's see just how dedicated a fanbse Monkey Island has!


Seriously, that is not going to be pretty.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 10:49:23 AM | message detail

From: Silverflash-x | #195
I did not expect MI to be this strong.

Seriously. ;_;


This is hardly Monkey Island being strong... its just that its the one that sucks the least.
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tim333 | Posted 4/12/2009 10:50:06 AM | message detail
Yeah, this is more SimCity being a huge dud than Monkey Island being strong.
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charmander6000 | Posted 4/12/2009 10:50:30 AM | message detail
You guys should be more worried about FF > SMW, both games got about the same against SMB3 and CT.
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BGE2 - Today's Match: SMB3 > SimCity Points: 14/20
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/12/2009 10:51:21 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #199
You guys should be more worried about FF > SMW, both games got about the same against SMB3 and CT.


One was being franchised voted out the ass and also in the year of Square.
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BGE2 - Today: SMB3 > Simcity - Points: 14/20 Vote: SMB3