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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 673

UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/11/2009 10:09:03 PM | message detail
Best blowout in ages.



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Devil May Cry
ffmasterjose | Posted 4/11/2009 11:44:53 PM | message detail
You've got an iron fist on these topics. Overthrow Ulti! Overthrow Ulti!

That's it SimCity, climb even higher than 300!

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16/20 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Super Mario Bros. 3 > SimCity | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
Lucid Faia | Posted 4/11/2009 11:45:22 PM | message detail
You mean worst blowout. Poor TSB.

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The Ohio State Buckeyes
2005-2008 Big Ten Champions!
swirIdude | Posted 4/11/2009 11:57:55 PM | message detail
Nah, it's the best blowout ever, since there's a chance SimCity will score under 10% of the vote and still advance.
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SSBB FC: 4425-1156-3590
FastFalcon: His predictions cure teen pregnancy.
Mr3790 | Posted 4/12/2009 12:21:11 AM | message detail
This is like Snake>Tanner 2004 all over again.
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AC:WW Code: Name:Mr.378 Town:Darkcity FC: 4210-5769-8462
GENO WHIRL!
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 4/12/2009 12:23:02 AM | message detail
Well, at least SMB3 destroying and FFD telling me about that bear that mauled that lady is pretty much cheering me up from what happened to Grandpa.
voltch | Posted 4/12/2009 12:24:20 AM | message detail
everyone wins points though,geez at 12 points i'm in a miserable place.
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Pearl FC:3953 0978 7217
*Shakes Fist*
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 4/12/2009 12:51:48 AM | message detail
I have 8!Take that!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
General_Zimbad | Posted 4/12/2009 1:10:37 AM | message detail
Wow, Monkey Island comback?
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These are my friends, I have there backs, they are the closest thing to blood that I have!!!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 3:35:37 AM | message detail
There we go, back to big gains. Over 250 now.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
nintendogirl1 | Posted 4/12/2009 3:36:50 AM | message detail
I just checked 60 gurus have SMB3 to the final 4, which means that's a lot less sexy then I thought it would be.
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;_;
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 3:37:25 AM | message detail
I think I do... can't remember for sure though.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 3:38:13 AM | message detail
Yeah I do, SMB3/FF7/OoT/FFX
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
BesaidGuy | Posted 4/12/2009 3:39:05 AM | message detail
UltimaterializerX
Posted 4/11/2009 3:13:36 AM
message detail I talk about what I know, and I know Europe.

I'll talk what I know, and I know winning contests.

You need blind luck, and nothing else. Go away


hands down the best thing you have ever said in these topics.

I literally spit Jack Daniels on my screen


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Trans is clearly a Mario fanboy-MichaelWClark
paulg235 | Posted 4/12/2009 3:39:13 AM | message detail
If SMB3 > MI holds, only 3 gurus will still have perfect brackets (Menji, me, and Utility Man I think).
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The Gamer In Me
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=158
LordTMax | Posted 4/12/2009 3:39:27 AM | message detail
Hmm, Guybrush knows sim city fights like a cow.
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CT For Best game ever.
"Believe in what you want, I don't make your choices"
nintendogirl1 | Posted 4/12/2009 3:39:56 AM | message detail
That's my final 4 as well, my path to get there is better then yours.
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Hopefully.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 3:43:23 AM | message detail
Who do you have winning the final with that 4pack? I have OoT > FF7 due to FFX hurting FF7 enough for OoT to pass it.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
LordTMax | Posted 4/12/2009 3:43:32 AM | message detail
Well, I'm owned, I just realized I have MGS 4 in my final four.
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CT For Best game ever.
"Believe in what you want, I don't make your choices"
nintendogirl1 | Posted 4/12/2009 3:47:35 AM | message detail
You know what is sad? The amount of people who want to spew out MI quotes? That's amazing. But they only ever seem to use "You fight like a cow". I mean there were so many decent quotes in that game.

For example. How many people even got the reference in post 500? Not enough. It makes me sad.
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Holy monkey bladders, it's Monkey Island!
nintendogirl1 | Posted 4/12/2009 3:48:34 AM | message detail
And FF7 due to 24% of people saying that it's their favourite game on the list. That's just too big a force to be reckoned with.
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It's a juggernaut.
LordTMax | Posted 4/12/2009 3:49:10 AM | message detail
"Look behind you, a three-headed monkey!",
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CT For Best game ever.
"Believe in what you want, I don't make your choices"
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 3:50:32 AM | message detail
Thats one of the only quotes I remember from it, but thats because I haven't played the game since early 90s. =\
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
LordTMax | Posted 4/12/2009 3:51:03 AM | message detail
Well, I'm going to sleep now. 4am here.
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CT For Best game ever.
"Believe in what you want, I don't make your choices"
BesaidGuy | Posted 4/12/2009 3:51:21 AM | message detail
Mario's leech other allowing Zelda 1 to get to final 8

zelda 1 leeches LttP allowing SMB3 to get by(thought it probably would have anyways)

SMB3 leeches enough of the Zelda vote while FF7 sucks away everything FFX has got

FF7>OoT

this was my thought process

Trans is clearly a Mario fanboy-MichaelWClark
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 3:51:56 AM | message detail
lol TEcmo broke its own record again for lowest update

1.24% this time.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/12/2009 3:53:35 AM | message detail
Wow.. 3 votes in five minutes..

Anyway, I hope SimCity can come back.. I have no clue how bad Guybrush's day vote is in comparison to it.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: SMB3 > Simcity - Points: 14/20 Vote: SMB3
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 3:54:27 AM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #027
Wow.. 3 votes in five minutes..

Anyway, I hope SimCity can come back.. I have no clue how bad Guybrush's day vote is in comparison to it.


I think Guybrushs day woes are overstated. PEople don't consider the competition he's had before... Ike has proved to be an asv beast, plus Lucario/Altair both dominated the day.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
Denzokuken | Posted 4/12/2009 3:55:34 AM | message detail
I expect Tecmo to actually start losing votes at this rate.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 4:02:01 AM | message detail
Monkey Island now has a larger lead on Simcity then Simcity ever had on it.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
nintendogirl1 | Posted 4/12/2009 4:04:30 AM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono
Monkey Island now has a larger lead on Simcity then Simcity ever had on it.


And built it an hour faster. Assuming the day doesn't go massively in anyone's favour the match is over. But really, who knows.
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Come on MI.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 4:05:27 AM | message detail
Not to mention it also built it with the lower votals of the deep night.
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http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
paulg235 | Posted 4/12/2009 4:06:13 AM | message detail
300 vote lead so far.
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The Gamer In Me
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=158
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 4:06:56 AM | message detail
343 now.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
LordTMax | Posted 4/12/2009 4:07:02 AM | message detail
343 to be exact
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CT For Best game ever.
"Believe in what you want, I don't make your choices"
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 4:10:47 AM | message detail
Man, I can't believe I stayed up all night keeping up with this match... Its past 7 AM now >.<
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
LordTMax | Posted 4/12/2009 4:11:31 AM | message detail
Bright side 369, almost 400 lead.
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CT For Best game ever.
"Believe in what you want, I don't make your choices"
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/12/2009 4:12:39 AM | message detail
Heh.. Europe rush.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: SMB3 > Simcity - Points: 14/20 Vote: SMB3
LordTMax | Posted 4/12/2009 4:17:34 AM | message detail
386 go go go
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CT For Best game ever.
"Believe in what you want, I don't make your choices"
LordTMax | Posted 4/12/2009 4:22:03 AM | message detail
yeah close enough to 400 (397)
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CT For Best game ever.
"Believe in what you want, I don't make your choices"
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 4:32:16 AM | message detail
500 seems a definite possibility.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
nintendogirl1 | Posted 4/12/2009 4:37:10 AM | message detail
Slowing down, only 24 votes in the last 15 minutes.
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Keep pushing!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 4:41:52 AM | message detail
17 votes that update.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
transience | Posted 4/12/2009 4:45:09 AM | message detail
well, the morning vote has started - look at Mario 3's percentage - and Monkey Island's still burying Simcity. I dunno if it's gonna come back, though it's just one update.
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xyzzy
http://img6.imageshack.us/img6/7033/trannyanalysis.png
creativerealms | Posted 4/12/2009 4:53:35 AM | message detail
Come on Sim City I already know my perfect bracket will be ruined tomorrow so please come in second so it continues today. Come on Sim City.
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The least you can do is bash my new game, that's better then ignoring it. At least then I can try to improve.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 4:56:56 AM | message detail
so much for the mario morning vote starting
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http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/12/2009 4:57:42 AM | message detail
I'm starting to lose faith now.. even though Simcity has all day, I'm wondering if it can stay constant enough to beat Guybrush once he gets back to the % he had in the first hours.. that's if he does get back. >_>;;
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: SMB3 > Simcity - Points: 14/20 Vote: SMB3
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/12/2009 4:59:27 AM | message detail
Right now its about a 2000 vote lead for Monkey Island if you consider the vote totals of the 2 games in a 1v1 match compared to a full match vote totals.

Monkey Island is gonna have to really fail during the day to give it up.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/378/86b7a0dada9b6d09cd92aaaa2fed5c0f425774f6.gif
The n00b Avenger | Posted 4/12/2009 4:59:31 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
The n00b Avenger | Posted 4/12/2009 4:59:46 AM | message detail
So, is MI's win official yet
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.