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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 669

-LusterSoldier- | Posted 4/9/2009 3:11:17 AM | message detail
I'm hoping for SMB to break 80% on one of its updates in the morning, since that should be the best time if Europe is going to vote heavily against the other 3 games.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
nintendogirl1 | Posted 4/9/2009 3:13:59 AM | message detail
You guys do know that Duck Hunt was bundled here as well right? In the same Mario + Duck Hunt + NES package?

Duck Hunt should in theory do well in Europe.
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In theory.
Dilated Chemist | Posted 4/9/2009 3:16:35 AM | message detail
Ninjas > Dogs & Ducks

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[ FINAL FOUR ]
FFVII / Super Mario Bros. 3 / LoZ: Ocarina of Time / Metal Gear Solid
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 4/9/2009 3:18:15 AM | message detail
SMB got a 77.78% update at the expense of everyone else getting sub-10% updates.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
transience | Posted 4/9/2009 3:28:12 AM | message detail
good god. Gaiden's probably got this.
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xyzzy
http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg
nintendogirl1 | Posted 4/9/2009 3:29:09 AM | message detail
Just as a reference point, Link got 70.50% against Agent J, Bidoof and Miles Edgeworth which is the highest we've seen so far in a 4-way poll.
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How high can we go?
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 4/9/2009 3:38:33 AM | message detail
SMB might break that record, but it still has about 2% to go for that. SMB3 should easily break the record since its fourpack is even weaker than this one.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
HotSkitty | Posted 4/9/2009 3:46:24 AM | message detail
Man, Super Mario Bros. is DOMINATING here. It should break Link's record by the end of the match.

Super Mario Bros. 3 for 75%!
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Never gonna give you up.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/9/2009 4:03:35 AM | message detail
actually Mario Bros 3 may not do much. SFF'd Duck Hunt.. NG... Galaga.. looks almost the same over there.

I think it'd do like 3% better off of that.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: SMB > NG - Points: 6/8 Vote: SMB
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/9/2009 4:08:49 AM | message detail
Also.. DH isnt getting much of a morning vote here. I'm not saying it won't have an ASV, but I really think at this point, the chances of this ASV being legendary in *this* match is slim.

So much for all that in the last topic.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: SMB > NG - Points: 6/8 Vote: SMB
pieisthebest | Posted 4/9/2009 4:13:21 AM | message detail
Comeon, we need a 600+ ASV for Duckhunt or else my bracket is shot
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http://i684.photobucket.com/albums/vv208/pieisthebest/meleesig.gif
http://helloyellowjello.smfforfree4.com/index.php
cyko | Posted 4/9/2009 4:15:13 AM | message detail
good grief. I expected SMB to dominate, but this is a serious mafia-style beatdown right here.

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Yay - FastFalcon is the guru champion of awesomeness.
red sox 777 | Posted 4/9/2009 4:24:37 AM | message detail
DH isnt getting much of a morning vote here. I'm not saying it won't have an ASV, but I really think at this point, the chances of this ASV being legendary in *this* match is slim.

Well, it was so far behind DK going into the ASV because its morning vote was so bad, so that's not saying very much.
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Best Game Ever Contest II: Score: 4/8
Bracket: Super Mario Bros. > Duck Hunt --- Vote: Duck Hunt
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/9/2009 4:25:34 AM | message detail
Fair enough if it's morning vote was bad, but I think its ASV will be less intensified with Mario there.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: SMB > NG - Points: 6/8 Vote: SMB
paulg235 | Posted 4/9/2009 4:29:54 AM | message detail
Gaiden's current vote lead doesn't look good IMO. DH seems to be slowly catching up.
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The Gamer In Me
nintendogirl1 | Posted 4/9/2009 4:34:35 AM | message detail
I'm just overwhelmed at the slaughter here though. Ninja Gaiden is getting 69.7% on Galaga right now.

And Ninja Gaiden is only getting 16.2% on SMB. These numbers are scary. But they'll be hilarious when SMB gets beaten down by SMB3.

I've just realised how hilarious the x-stats will look if we do get FF7/OoT/FFX/LttP if the two lesser games get beaten down. FF7 and OoT will look like untouchable gods.
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lolxstats.
Mr3790 | Posted 4/9/2009 4:41:39 AM | message detail
If duck Hunt is slowly making a comeback we all know where that will go...
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AC:WW Code: Name:Mr.378 Town:Darkcity FC: 4210-5769-8462
GENO WHIRL!
paulg235 | Posted 4/9/2009 5:06:21 AM | message detail
NG's current vote lead is 666...
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The Gamer In Me
red sox 777 | Posted 4/9/2009 5:08:16 AM | message detail
Ninja Gaiden by the hour:

1:00 | 50.73%
2:00 | 50.52%
3:00 | 53.61%
4:00 | 58.29%
5:00 | 55.06%
6:00 | 58.84%
7:00 | 57.18%
8:00 | 56.14%
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Best Game Ever Contest II: Score: 4/8
Bracket: Super Mario Bros. > Duck Hunt --- Vote: Duck Hunt
paulg235 | Posted 4/9/2009 5:35:45 AM | message detail
750 vote lead for NG, now. It's just a matter of how the ASV goes. If NG still holds strong, then this match is pretty much a foregone conclusion.
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The Gamer In Me
Janus5000 | Posted 4/9/2009 5:57:39 AM | message detail
For the record, Link had 65.08% at this time against J/Bidoof/Worthy.

Granted, he was also going up much faster, but his record might not stand after today.
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.
paulg235 | Posted 4/9/2009 6:00:04 AM | message detail
DH is currently stalling NG. I don't like the look of this.
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The Gamer In Me
charmander6000 | Posted 4/9/2009 6:01:21 AM | message detail
Vote totals are terrible today, we may not even hit 110k.

750 vote lead is a nice buffer, it should be enough.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SMB > NG Points: 6/8
LeonhartFour | Posted 4/9/2009 6:12:35 AM | message detail
darn you europe

Strangely enough, we might have the first three matches altered by the votes that come from outside North America.

Yesterday's chart:

Time | Mega Man 2 | Pac-Man | Pong | OR Trail
EBV | 33.70% | 25.36% | 13.90% | 27.03%
PHV | 33.51% | 25.69% | 14.76% | 26.04%
FNV | 35.24% | 27.04% | 16.83% | 20.89%
BSV | 34.71% | 31.50% | 18.79% | 15.01%
DSV | 36.16% | 27.58% | 15.80% | 20.46%
ASV | 33.97% | 26.82% | 16.90% | 22.31%
SNV | 34.44% | 23.86% | 15.57% | 26.12%

Oregon Trail is a beast at the beginning and end of the poll, but man, that morning vote was brutal. Mega Man did best in the night and the during school vote. Pac-Man and Pong were both morning vote friendly. Who knew old arcade games were morning vote getters?

Yesterday's stats:

Mega Man – 50.00%
Pac-Man – 43.93%
The Oregon Trail – 38.11%
Pong – 32.22%

And for those of you who are saying that Duck Hunt's comeback on DK wasn't much because DK's day vote is bad, I just remind you that DK won the ASV a couple days ago!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
linkhatesganon | Posted 4/9/2009 6:19:22 AM | message detail
Morning = Europe
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Please, don't insult me Vlado about British blood
FAST FALCON IS THE WINNER
Master Moltar | Posted 4/9/2009 6:32:25 AM | message detail
Looks like Ninja Gaiden wrapped this one up overnight. DH had a chance here, but SMB is just too dominant.
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Moltar Status: let's go
DH/Galaga/NH/SMB - Bracket: SMB > DH - Vote: SMB (6/8)
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/9/2009 6:35:21 AM | message detail
Eh, Ninja Gaiden probably has this, but counting out Duck Hunt entirely would be kind of dumb at this point.

According to the wiki, Duck Hunt didn't win a single update against DK until 10:30 AM EST.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
LeonhartFour | Posted 4/9/2009 6:37:35 AM | message detail
It's too early to count out Duck Hunt!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 4/9/2009 6:37:55 AM | message detail
Never mind that Duck Hunt just had a 4.60% update!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/9/2009 6:40:25 AM | message detail
I see quite a few 7 vote updates for Galaga in there, hee.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
White_Turtle | Posted 4/9/2009 6:43:55 AM | message detail
I'm just overwhelmed at the slaughter here though. Ninja Gaiden is getting 69.7% on Galaga right now.

And Ninja Gaiden is only getting 16.2% on SMB. These numbers are scary. But they'll be hilarious when SMB gets beaten down by SMB3.


Really puts that Tetris match into perspective. You apparantly don't need to be strong at all to blow out turbofodder.

And looks like NG will be over 1500 by the time the ASV starts.

Once again BT is right.
LeonhartFour | Posted 4/9/2009 6:44:58 AM | message detail
Once again, *facepalms*
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
paulg235 | Posted 4/9/2009 6:44:59 AM | message detail
Now it's a 800 Vote lead. 200 more votes on that lead and I'm calling it for NG.

BTW, SMB is laying the smackdown here. NG and DH are losing percentage and SMB is gaining it.
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The Gamer In Me
The Mana Sword | Posted 4/9/2009 6:51:57 AM | message detail
I'd say Gaiden's probably got this.

As scary as it may sound, Mario's probably going to be doing even better once the ASV hits, and I doubt the other three games are going to have enough votes to throw around in order to allow any kind of comeback attempt.
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Kleenex...at work!
LeonhartFour | Posted 4/9/2009 6:53:16 AM | message detail
Yeah, Ninja Gaiden's probably safe, especially with the low vote totals, but...it's Duck Hunt!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
The Mana Sword | Posted 4/9/2009 6:57:36 AM | message detail
quack quack
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Kleenex...at work!
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/9/2009 7:09:43 AM | message detail
SMB: OM NOM NOM %

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
The Mana Sword | Posted 4/9/2009 7:12:21 AM | message detail
Looks like Mario Bros. is going to be holding the record for highest % in a 4-way match after today's over.

Wonder if Mario 3 beats it.
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Kleenex...at work!
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/9/2009 7:13:49 AM | message detail
3 in a row time to put the fear of the DUCK into NG

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 4/9/2009 7:14:57 AM | message detail
Wonder if Mario 3 beats it.

Most likely. It's got an even weaker fourpack and Mario 3 is an even stronger game.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
The Mana Sword | Posted 4/9/2009 7:17:41 AM | message detail
Mario 3 maybe have a technically weaker 4-pack, but it's up against games that some people actually do care about. No one feels strongly about Duck Hunt and Galaga, but you can bet there are people who will vote for Monkey Island or Tecmo Bowl over plenty of games.
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Kleenex...at work!
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/9/2009 7:18:25 AM | message detail
When you factor in how much stronger SMB3 is than SMB...

I'm expecting 80+%.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
paulg235 | Posted 4/9/2009 7:18:37 AM | message detail
How many votes per update does DH need to advance?
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The Gamer In Me
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/9/2009 7:19:35 AM | message detail
5 exactly

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 4/9/2009 7:26:09 AM | message detail
SMB to break 70% on the next update! Hell, it might even skip past 70.00% and go up to 70.01% or 70.02%.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
redrocket | Posted 4/9/2009 7:28:22 AM | message detail
aww yeah cartridge SFF confirmed what now

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From his looks Magus is Macho Man Randy Savage as an anime zombie. The black wind howls, and one of you will snap into a Slim Jim ooh yeeeah! -sonicblastpunch
paulg235 | Posted 4/9/2009 7:29:48 AM | message detail
LOL SMB lost % in that update.

Anyway, NG's gaining votes again, so woo.
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The Gamer In Me
MnMZero | Posted 4/9/2009 7:30:27 AM | message detail
SMB to break 70% on the next update! Hell, it might even skip past 70.00% and go up to 70.01% or 70.02%.

I simply cannot believe this! If SMB skips 70.00% and goes straight to 70.01%, I will mark out and do a backflip. That'd be unbelievable.
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Proud Supporter of Zero
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 4/9/2009 7:32:08 AM | message detail
LOL SMB lost % in that update.

"whoops"

I'll give it like 3 updates or so to break 70%.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
The Mana Sword | Posted 4/9/2009 7:32:55 AM | message detail
MnM you need to calm down, you are out of control.
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Kleenex...at work!