GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 668
| Silverflash-x | Posted 4/8/2009 10:15:53 PM | message detail |
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Back under 50 again. --- Q. If your canoe is in a tree with its headlights on, how many pancakes does it take to get to the moon? A. None. Snakes don't have armpits. |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 4/8/2009 10:16:00 PM | message detail |
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...Hey, now, don't make all this discussion pointless. We still need that 27 vote end gap. --- FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/8/2009 10:16:06 PM | message detail |
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Wasn't Vincent coming back on Crono pretty big? --- .,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,. Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Devil May Cry |
| ff6man | Posted 4/8/2009 10:16:08 PM | message detail |
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Two Duck Hunt cuts in a row, Hells yes! --- Rs Name: Igglybuff138 - Skill Total - 1810+ - Combat level 116 - 281/281 Quest Points - BGE Contest Score: 8/8 Today: Mario 1 > Duck Hunt |
| deadeyedllv | Posted 4/8/2009 10:16:15 PM | message detail |
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I remember that match well. --- You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far. |
| Childproof | Posted 4/8/2009 10:16:50 PM | message detail |
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go go epic Duck Hunt comeback --- Is GrapefruitKing Today's prediction: Mario BORS. 58.33% - Duck Hunt 16.70% - Ninja Gaiden 15.64% - Galaga 9.33% - Status: wtf SMB |
| transience | Posted 4/8/2009 10:17:23 PM | message detail |
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yeah, Duck Hunt vs. Ninja Gaiden doesn't really matter at all. two
points aren't going to matter in this chain reaction of a contest. the only way it could possibly matter is if Duck Hunt holds SMB back vs. Zelda 1 or something, but that's so minimal. this is all about "whatever you can do, I can do better", just like the old days. Tetris, Mega Man 2, Mario 1, Zelda 1 - these are our undisputed top four and watching them measure up against each other is pretty cool. --- yzzyx |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/8/2009 10:17:30 PM | message detail |
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From: Lucid Faia | #381 People have already gone over why such a margin is extremely unlikely. If this match ends at 120,000 votes and DH + NG combine for 26%, that's 31,200 votes between them. Let's round up to 32,000. "Thousands" means at least a 17,000-15,000 win for NG, which amounts to a 53/47 percentage win. That's a lot more comfortable than what they're doing now. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| Lopen | Posted 4/8/2009 10:18:06 PM | message detail |
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Predix: Ninja Gaiden up about 400 after the dead hours Loses lead with morning/DSV Blows Duck Hunt away (say it four times) with the ASV to win by over 1000. And with that I'm done. Ta ta... --- So I lost a bet to creativename (yeah...hardly shocking). Like usual, I should've known better! FACT: Halo 3 was 1000% responsible for Master Chief's boost. |
| WarThaHedgehog | Posted 4/8/2009 10:19:36 PM | message detail |
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In other news, Duck Hunt is now doubling Galaga. Didn't Tetris only get like 74% or something on Galaga? --- http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/8/2009 10:19:39 PM | message detail |
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So the way I see it, there are two outcomes. Duck Hunt repeats the 2004
surge during tomorrow and wins big, or Ninja Gaiden follows Ryu's trend
and wins gradually. The latter option seems more likely, given Mario 1
will neuter any potential Duck Hunt push. I always favor the poll entrant that relies on its own strength (Ninja Gaiden, in this case) over the entrant relying on extra factors. Duck Hunt not only needs a good day vote, but it needs Mario 1 to not totally kill all of its votes. Ninja Gaiden only needs to remain consistent. --- .,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,. Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Devil May Cry |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 4/8/2009 10:19:40 PM | message detail |
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Lopen, you're starting to sound like me saying Punch-Out would come back from a 1200 deficit in its match. --- FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't. |
| whatev | Posted 4/8/2009 10:20:20 PM | message detail |
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Well, Oregon Trail managed to shave some votes off of a 7000 vote lead.
I think that this is the biggest lead that we've ever seen consistently
cut (I'll give a rough definition of consistent as two consecutive
15-minute updates). The only other match I could find that had anything
like this is the Link/L-Block match, where Link managed to cut into a
6600 vote lead. --- The world is toroidal. Exposed armpits are sexy. |
| -LusterSoldier- | Posted 4/8/2009 10:20:22 PM | message detail |
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Blows Duck Hunt away (say it four times) with the ASV to win by over 1000. I figured that Ninja Gaiden should have a good ASV, if you consider Ryu's good ASV. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ! |
| red sox 777 | Posted 4/8/2009 10:20:54 PM | message detail |
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Let's go Duck Hunt. The time until 4 or so should be good for Duck Hunt
(although the fact that it's losing right now during its good time does
not bode well- how much better will the ASV be?) 4 is edge of the
cliff, and the dearth of votes in the dead zone would be the reason why
Europe usually does not decide matches. But with extremely
geographically unbalanced games like Oregon Trail and Duck Hunt (and to
a lesser extent, Chrono Trigger), it can make a big difference.....it's
not like there'll be that many votes for these games to work with
during the ASV either with SMB taking up most of the votes in every
time period. --- Best Game Ever Contest II: Score: 4/8 Bracket: Super Mario Bros. > Duck Hunt --- Vote: Duck Hunt |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 4/8/2009 10:20:56 PM | message detail |
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That was some Ninja Gaiden Power Hour. --- FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't. |
| Childproof | Posted 4/8/2009 10:20:59 PM | message detail |
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I like what I see --- Is GrapefruitKing Today's prediction: Mario BORS. 58.33% - Duck Hunt 16.70% - Ninja Gaiden 15.64% - Galaga 9.33% - Status: wtf SMB |
| WarThaHedgehog | Posted 4/8/2009 10:21:18 PM | message detail |
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Uhh...that makes it a trend, doesn't it? NPH clearly means Ninja Power Hour. --- http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/8/2009 10:21:49 PM | message detail |
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Predicting either game to win by 1000+ with Mario 1 in the poll is ludicrous. --- .,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,. Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Devil May Cry |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/8/2009 10:21:51 PM | message detail |
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These trends are weird. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://seitoacademy.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/lucky-star1.jpg |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/8/2009 10:22:25 PM | message detail |
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Maybe we are all wrong about the trends... it is Duck Hunt will get the lead and NG will come back with the ASV! --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://seitoacademy.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/lucky-star1.jpg |
| Lopen | Posted 4/8/2009 10:22:30 PM | message detail |
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Lopen, you're starting to sound like me saying Punch-Out would come back from a 1200 deficit in its match. What does that mean. Swings are too huge? 1000 votes from the ASV could totally happen here...! --- So I lost a bet to creativename (yeah...hardly shocking). Like usual, I should've known better! FACT: Halo 3 was 1000% responsible for Master Chief's boost. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/8/2009 10:22:32 PM | message detail |
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Another probably-dumb question, but did Ryu H generally have a good first hour? --- .,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,. Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Devil May Cry |
| transience | Posted 4/8/2009 10:22:41 PM | message detail |
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I love how we're calling trends on a 50 vote lead an hour into the
poll. at least let the night vote play out before saying anything
concrete because the early vote is always weird and unlike anything
else. --- xyzzy http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/8/2009 10:22:52 PM | message detail |
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From: UltimaterializerX | #423 He was blown out by Zero in the first hour last contest. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://seitoacademy.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/lucky-star1.jpg |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/8/2009 10:23:31 PM | message detail |
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From: MyWorldIsCrono | Posted: 4/9/2009 1:22:25 AM | #421 That would be on par with Castlevania winning the day vote against Halo -- trends so obvious that they wrap around and turn ass-backwards. --- .,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,. Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Devil May Cry |
| creativename | Posted 4/8/2009 10:23:39 PM | message detail |
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this is all about "whatever you can do, I can do better", just like
the old days. Tetris, Mega Man 2, Mario 1, Zelda 1 - these are our
undisputed top four and watching them measure up against each other is
pretty cool. Indeed. Tetris>MM2 already looks pretty assured, and people I think will finally start to give some credit to SMB's chances against LoZ. LoZ will also look impressive tomorrow (no doubt leading to much "LoZ>SMB is a lock!" nonsense, heh), but not quite as otherworldly impressive because it's competition is significantly stiffer. --- Save_Us.RAT BREAK THE BLOCK DOWN |
| WarThaHedgehog | Posted 4/8/2009 10:23:50 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, but that's Zero. Mega Man is (almost) always strongest during the
first hour before dying during every other time period. That's like
saying Ryu is a night beast because he beat Zero in Europe. --- http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 4/8/2009 10:24:22 PM | message detail |
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Ryu has a PH vote slightly worse than his night vote. --- FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't. |
| Lopen | Posted 4/8/2009 10:24:50 PM | message detail |
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People need to stop saying we need to stop calling matches too early.
If you wait until it's obvious there's no point in calling the damn
match. Like Ashe said a few days ago, that's the whole point of this
topic: To try and predict trends and such based on what we know. It's
not fun if you're like "okay Ninja Gaiden is up by 1000 'now it's done'
I feel safe saying that" --- So I lost a bet to creativename (yeah...hardly shocking). Like usual, I should've known better! FACT: Halo 3 was 1000% responsible for Master Chief's boost. |
| red sox 777 | Posted 4/8/2009 10:24:54 PM | message detail |
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I for one am skeptical that Ninja Gaiden will dominate in Europe. It
doesn't seem like a game that was very popular in Europe back then, and
Ryu Hayabusa doing well there proves nothing about the NES game.
Prediction: Ninja Gaiden's percentage stays fairly steady overnight,
while Duck Hunt's tanks and SMB's rises. --- Best Game Ever Contest II: Score: 4/8 Bracket: Super Mario Bros. > Duck Hunt --- Vote: Duck Hunt |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/8/2009 10:24:57 PM | message detail |
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The thing though with these trends; they'll be totally wonky with mario
there. We aren't gonna se the normal trends because the majority of
each update is just eaten up by mario, so its a toss up at this point
what will happen imo. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://seitoacademy.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/lucky-star1.jpg |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/8/2009 10:25:44 PM | message detail |
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NINJA BACKSTAB --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://seitoacademy.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/lucky-star1.jpg |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/8/2009 10:26:00 PM | message detail |
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From: transience | Posted: 4/9/2009 1:22:41 AM | #424 The stats topic has been doing this for years and years. I beg and plead not to call matches, but no one listens :'( Superstitious selfish reasons above all else, really. Slowflake would always call matches early in favor of what I had in my bracket, then the opposite would happen almost every single time. I loved the guy, but he could be super annoying sometimes, especially with that massive Wind Waker > SSBM argument he started. If he were still here, I'd never let him hear the end of that one. --- .,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,. Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Devil May Cry |
| ff6man | Posted 4/8/2009 10:26:22 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, these trends are crazy, I'm going to bed methinks. Hopefully I wake up to Duck Hunt not too far behind. --- Rs Name: Igglybuff138 - Skill Total - 1810+ - Combat level 116 - 281/281 Quest Points - BGE Contest Score: 8/8 Today: Mario 1 > Duck Hunt |
| WarThaHedgehog | Posted 4/8/2009 10:26:38 PM | message detail |
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*mashes butt-* Crap. *shoots buffal-* Crap. ... ... *shoots clay pigeons* --- http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif |
| WarThaHedgehog | Posted 4/8/2009 10:27:34 PM | message detail |
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Calling it. Wind Waker will beat Melee, and Slowflake will return just to rub it in Ulti's face. --- http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif |
| transience | Posted 4/8/2009 10:27:42 PM | message detail |
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Zelda won't be able to dominate like Mario 1 is. Contra > Ninja
Gaiden, Metroid > Duck Hunt (and probably Mega Man 2? though it'll
be SFFed but still), Dragon Warrior 3 > Galaga. but if Zelda brings
60%, I'd say it's looking good. --- yzzyx |
| ffmasterjose | Posted 4/8/2009 10:28:42 PM | message detail |
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Ninja Gaiden just threw a knife in Duck Hunt with that last update. --- 6/8 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest NP: Super Mario Bros. > Ninja Gaiden | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4 |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 4/8/2009 10:29:00 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, putting an end to his 'Ryu Hayabusa is a Europe god' nonsense. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3262®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3296®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3285®ion=EUR Ryu H only dominated Europe against Zero because Zero's Europe vote is horrendous. --- FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/8/2009 10:29:50 PM | message detail |
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From: WarThaHedgehog | Posted: 4/9/2009 1:27:34 AM | #437 If Wind Waker ever beat Melee in a poll, I might kill myself. Not a world I want to live in. --- .,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,. Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Devil May Cry |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/8/2009 10:30:56 PM | message detail |
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internet popularity polls are srs business --- http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/albion+hero.png http://seitoacademy.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/lucky-star1.jpg |
| WarThaHedgehog | Posted 4/8/2009 10:31:35 PM | message detail |
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ibSmartMuffincheeringforWindWaker --- http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif |
| creativename | Posted 4/8/2009 10:33:00 PM | message detail |
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All this trend discussion...and yet I think neither game will have big trends in this match. Just somewhat minor ones. That would be on par with Castlevania winning the day vote against Halo -- trends so obvious that they wrap around and turn ass-backwards. Didn't Halo actually improve during the day in that match though? So trend-wise it did go like expected if that was so, it just wasn't close enough in strength to Castlevania. Zelda won't be able to dominate like Mario 1 is. Contra > Ninja Gaiden, Metroid > Duck Hunt (and probably Mega Man 2? though it'll be SFFed but still), Dragon Warrior 3 > Galaga. but if Zelda brings 60%, I'd say it's looking good. 60% would be extremely impressive against that pack. Not only are they stronger than these games, but Contra and DW3 should resist SFF better than most NES era games. Course if it fails to get 60% just watch people say it's a disappointment :) (actually it might be somewhat far from 60% I think) --- Save_Us.RAT BREAK THE BLOCK DOWN |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 4/8/2009 10:34:02 PM | message detail |
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Up 22 Up 17 Down 34 Up 21 Up 14 Up 7 Up 9 Epic trends of a close match! --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
| creativename | Posted 4/8/2009 10:34:20 PM | message detail |
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Slowflake ruled. If there was a Stats Topic Hall of Fame, he could well be a first ballot HoFer! --- Save_Us.RAT BREAK THE BLOCK DOWN |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 4/8/2009 10:34:24 PM | message detail |
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...Surprise DWIII second-place tomorrow! (in my dreams) --- FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/8/2009 10:35:08 PM | message detail |
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From: WarThaHedgehog | Posted: 4/9/2009 1:31:35 AM | #443 XD, DMuffin could never figure out something so complex. Well complex for him, anyway. --- .,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,. Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Devil May Cry |
| WarThaHedgehog | Posted 4/8/2009 10:35:30 PM | message detail |
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Surprise mass amounts of DW whining tomorrow! (not a surprise) --- http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 4/8/2009 10:39:28 PM | message detail |
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Contra got 61% on Phantasy Star and 30%
on Final Fantasy. There's room for Dragon Quest III in there with Zelda
1 eating up all the apathy votes and killing Metroid! --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
