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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 661

red sox 777 | Posted 4/2/2009 11:18:12 AM | message detail
Also, I don't trust the 2004 x-stats on Division 128, especially not on Starcraft's half of the division. I think I would take SF2 over Halo now....probably not over Kingdom Hearts, which has probably boosted a lot since 2004.
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charmander6000 | Posted 4/2/2009 12:14:45 PM | message detail
2004 Kingdom Hearts would've lost to 2004 Half-Life IMO.
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RPGGamer0 | Posted 4/2/2009 12:34:14 PM | message detail
FF7 > OoT > MGS > SMB3 in the finals. If that doesn't happen, I'll eat my hat.

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/2/2009 12:37:33 PM | message detail
I don't see how MGS makes the finals.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/2/2009 12:39:46 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter explained that pretty well.

I think I would take SF2 over Halo now....probably not over Kingdom Hearts, which has probably boosted a lot since 2004.

I would agree with this though I'm not sure how much KH boosted, but it wouldn't be a blowout for either game.

Though this puts Super Mario RPG in some good light... hmm.. SMRPG > KH?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/2/2009 12:42:13 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #355
Karma Hunter explained that pretty well.

I think I would take SF2 over Halo now....probably not over Kingdom Hearts, which has probably boosted a lot since 2004.

I would agree with this though I'm not sure how much KH boosted, but it wouldn't be a blowout for either game.

Though this puts Super Mario RPG in some good light... hmm.. SMRPG > KH?


I would put SMRPG over KH of 2004, easily. I'm not sure how much its boosted since then though
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/2/2009 12:44:53 PM | message detail
Yeah, KH now is probably a lot stronger than back then. In 2003, Sora got doubled by Aeris, and last year he apparently beat Squall outright outside of Europe.
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Hobbes: What's the point of attaching a number to everything you do?
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RPGuy96 | Posted 4/2/2009 12:46:37 PM | message detail
And both KH games suffer from unlucky placement (FFX and TP/RE4 in round 2), just like Sora being glued to Squall the last few years.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/2/2009 12:53:59 PM | message detail
I'm pretty sure KH will do quite well in this format compared to 1vs1 if Sora's any sign.


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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/2/2009 1:11:16 PM | message detail
Also, is that WoW match on Tuesday or not?
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The Mana Sword | Posted 4/2/2009 1:11:43 PM | message detail
I hope you're not serious.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/2/2009 1:11:56 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #360
Also, is that WoW match on Tuesday or not?


Saturday. Woulda been Tuesday if not for the delay =\
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/2/2009 1:23:28 PM | message detail
I'm quite happy for the delay then. :)
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Dilated Chemist | Posted 4/2/2009 1:27:18 PM | message detail
Would someone please explain the special connecntion between WoW and Tuesdays?

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/2/2009 1:32:25 PM | message detail

From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 4/2/2009 4:27:18 PM | #361
Would someone please explain the special connecntion between WoW and Tuesdays?


Server maintenance and patches and all that on Tuesdays, so it makes forum rallying VERY easy.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/2/2009 1:43:33 PM | message detail
Oh and I'm surprised it took this long for FF8 > Starcraft discussion. I think it's very possible, and I was debating that match for days. FF8 could potentially be anywhere, and 2004 overrated Starcraft. I'm nearly positive it will disappoint in this contest. Sadly for FF8, it gets screwed over by FFT if it gets that far.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/2/2009 1:45:03 PM | message detail
FF8 > Starcraft, and I'd be surprised if FFT gets out of the first round
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/2/2009 1:50:10 PM | message detail
That Starcraft 8-pack has been bugging me from the get-go.

2 first round matches that completely change up to the quarterfinals depending on who wins.

Of course, I think Starcraft is far enough ahead of FF8 that Half-Life shouldn't do too much damage, but it worries me, because if FF8 gets out of that match, it's going deep.

For once, I'm cheering for Final Fantasy 9. It makes me feel so dirty.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/2/2009 1:51:55 PM | message detail
Then again, if FFT gets to round 3, FF8's screwed.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/2/2009 1:52:02 PM | message detail
I don't see why people are so high on Starcraft. Starcraft just BARELY beat Wind Waker even with all of its rallying and cheating, and I'd easily put FF8 over Wind Waker.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/2/2009 1:52:15 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #367
FF8 > Starcraft, and I'd be surprised if FFT gets out of the first round


FFT > MGS in round 1 and round 2.

2004 MGS is overrated because of TTS just coming out. Since then, FFT has had a well-recieved remake on the PSP that get's rid of the few complaints with the original game. My only worry is that FFT/MGS hurt eachother enough so that Zelda squeaks by, but FFT beating MGS is one thing I'm pretty sure about.

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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/2/2009 1:52:47 PM | message detail
I think it's very possible, and I was debating that match for days. FF8 could potentially be anywhere, and 2004 overrated Starcraft. I'm nearly positive it will disappoint in this contest.

I have to agree here.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/2/2009 1:53:52 PM | message detail
I wouldn't put FF8 over 2004 Wind Waker. As much as Zelda fans disliked that game, it still was the only Gamecube game worth playing for the longest time (Metroid Prime and Melee aside). Wind Waker is going to tank here, but it was a force in 2004.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Zylo the wolf | Posted 4/2/2009 1:54:22 PM | message detail
Sorry but FFVIII got no chance in hell to advance from round 2.

Because FFIX will get all the votes from RPG players with good taste. Then again, if that mattered Xenogears would RPG SFF it enough for Soul Calibur to beat it.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/2/2009 1:54:47 PM | message detail
2004 MGS is overrated because of TTS just coming out. Since then, FFT has had a well-recieved remake on the PSP that get's rid of the few complaints with the original game.

Never mind the fact that Ramza looked TERRIBLE in his match, almost losing to LAHARL, of all people, and MGS has been on the rise recently.
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/2/2009 1:57:46 PM | message detail
FFT > MGS in round 1 and round 2.

2004 MGS is overrated because of TTS just coming out. Since then, FFT has had a well-recieved remake on the PSP that get's rid of the few complaints with the original game. My only worry is that FFT/MGS hurt eachother enough so that Zelda squeaks by, but FFT beating MGS is one thing I'm pretty sure about.


.......I don't know what to say to this.
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Hobbes: What's the point of attaching a number to everything you do?
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/2/2009 1:58:12 PM | message detail
If 8 and 9 meet, 8 is going to kick the utter crap out of 9.

Sure 9 has it's small little fanboy club, but 8 is much more liked on the whole. The only reason I didn't have 9 in round 2 is because that little fanboy club I mentioned is the same little fanboy club that actually enjoyed that smoldering piece of crap Chrono Cross, meaning a harsh split there.

Damn you bad-taste fanboy clubs...
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/2/2009 1:59:22 PM | message detail
Here we go again.

What exactly is the confidence that MGS beats FFT?

If we didn't see them go even in 2004, I would probably agree, but FFT has had a lot more going for it than MGS since then, and 2004 was probably the strongest we'll ever see the original game.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/2/2009 2:00:16 PM | message detail
Then again, if that mattered Xenogears would RPG SFF it enough for Soul Calibur to beat it.

Considering Xenogears got pasted by FF7, I'd hesitate to consider it doing much to FF8, and 2004 overrated Soul Calibur.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/2/2009 2:01:19 PM | message detail
What exactly is the confidence that MGS beats FFT?

If we didn't see them go even in 2004, I would probably agree, but FFT has had a lot more going for it than MGS since then, and 2004 was probably the strongest we'll ever see the original game.


I can aask the same of you as to why you're so confident that FFT has first place in the bag.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 4/2/2009 2:03:06 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1769
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3306

Take a wild guess about why people think MGS would be stronger now than 2004.
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/2/2009 2:03:24 PM | message detail
Have you seen what has happened to Snake since 2004? That was the year he outright lost multiple hours to Frog. And then got Ulti-style blownout by Megaman.

I'll agree the idea that RPGs such as FFT must have gotten weaker is grounded mostly in speculation based on characters (we haven't had a games contest since then to give us any hard data, after all), but even that speculation is pretty convincing. Also, for what it's worth, MGS did very well on the List in 2005, and I doubt it would have placed that high in 2004 (notice Snake's jump started in 2005, before he was announced to be in Brawl).
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/2/2009 2:03:33 PM | message detail
I've given reasons. TTS being new in the 2004 contest and the FFT remake last year.

What are yours?
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trannyscience | Posted 4/2/2009 2:05:05 PM | message detail
you know, Xenogears didn't get "pasted" by FF7, not any more than any other game. it actually held up pretty well, all things considered - FF7 is Xenogears's absolute worst match. when you consider that MGS got like 28%, Xenogears's 20% really isn't that bad considering it has WAY more overlap.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/2/2009 2:05:18 PM | message detail
Because he was announced for Brawl and exposed/introduced to a whole new demographic?

By your logic, we should take MGS > Chrono Trigger because Snake is stronger than Crono now
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/2/2009 2:05:29 PM | message detail
Metal Gear Solid 4 and Ramza's ass-bad performance REALLY dropping FFT stock.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/2/2009 2:06:17 PM | message detail
Ramza always was "ass-bad" though. Games != characters.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 4/2/2009 2:06:29 PM | message detail
People.

Just ignore him.

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/2/2009 2:06:55 PM | message detail
As the biggest FFT fan in the world, I will guarantee Metal Gear Solid beats it twice. Easily, in fact.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/2/2009 2:07:16 PM | message detail
And who are the only people who bought and enjoyed MGS4?

Fans of the series, aka people who voted for it in 2004 anyways.
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/2/2009 2:07:23 PM | message detail
No, MGS didn't boost as much as Snake, but it's not like it needs that kind of astronomical boost to win a match it already won last time.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/2/2009 2:08:48 PM | message detail
I have ZERO faith in FFT after seeing Ramza lose to Hogger and ALMOST lose to Laharl
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/2/2009 2:10:00 PM | message detail
I have ZERO faith in FFT after seeing Ramza lose to Hogger and ALMOST lose to Laharl

Same here.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 4/2/2009 2:15:00 PM | message detail
FFT's match with MGS happened within less than a year of Ramza keeping Kirby to nearly 55%. Compare to his performance last year and you have one that's bad, and one that's HOLY CRAP WHAT THE HELL
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/2/2009 2:17:22 PM | message detail

From: The n00b Avenger | #394
FFT's match with MGS happened within less than a year of Ramza keeping Kirby to nearly 55%. Compare to his performance last year and you have one that's bad, and one that's HOLY CRAP WHAT THE HELL


This too. Ramza went from a respectable mid carder (this is the same % Tidus once put up against Kirby), to having trouble fending over LAHARL. Why not believe the game itself has fallen off big time as well?
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/2/2009 2:19:23 PM | message detail
From: The n00b Avenger | #394
FFT's match with MGS happened within less than a year of Ramza keeping Kirby to nearly 55%. Compare to his performance last year and you have one that's bad, and one that's HOLY CRAP WHAT THE HELL


This too. Ramza went from a respectable mid carder (this is the same % Tidus once put up against Kirby), to having trouble fending over LAHARL. Why not believe the game itself has fallen off big time as well?


I have to agree here. Laharl is right down there with Ratchet and Guybrush Threepwood as one of the weakest characters to make multiple contests, and yet Ramza had trouble beating him. Why do you think that is...?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/2/2009 2:20:53 PM | message detail
While obviously FFT won't be this weak, its still troubling the main character of the game has gotten so much weaker over the last 5 years, that I can't see it NOT affecting the game itself too.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/2/2009 2:27:51 PM | message detail
Games =/= characters. And as a side note, I guarantee you Delita would have gotten second place in that match. Ramza kinda sucks.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/2/2009 2:29:54 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #398
Games =/= characters. And as a side note, I guarantee you Delita would have gotten second place in that match. Ramza kinda sucks.


While games doesn't always equal characters, the fact is, Ramza is alot weaker then 5 years ago regardless. And if he's weaker, then why wouldn't the game be weaker? Theres a reason Ramza has gotten weaker, and I'm sure it relates to the game as well.
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/2/2009 2:30:57 PM | message detail
Ramza would have taken second without Albion rallying. Not that that's much comfort considering how close he was to Laharl.
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Hobbes: What's the point of attaching a number to everything you do?
Calvin: If your numbers go up, it means you're having more fun.