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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 659

Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/24/2009 9:24:15 AM | message detail
I really can't see Secret of Mana being worth much...or for that matter, enough to get out of round 1.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 10:06:42 AM | message detail
how on earth can you expect sonic to get SFF'd but not Mega Man?

oh yah blinders.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/24/2009 12:16:46 PM | message detail
Secret of Mana was worth 20% on CT 5 years ago when Square was big. A cult game 5 years older is only going to get weaker.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 3/24/2009 12:18:01 PM | message detail
VC release SoM's going all the way suckaz.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 3/24/2009 12:24:10 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3197

Almost as strong as FF6 read 'em and weep.
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Kleenex...at work!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/24/2009 12:37:23 PM | message detail
Secret of Mana's potential can be huge. There's no way it wasn't affected by having CT as an opponent. I think it's largely underrated. I would have taken it over MK2 if it had been the only RPG in the group as an upset. But with MK2 being the only fighting game there and SoM being paired with another RPG, eh...
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 12:50:52 PM | message detail
I wouldn't take SoM over MK2 1 on 1 anyway. I see MK2 a bit behind SF2.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 12:56:19 PM | message detail
Secret of Mana is gonna surprise but it'll be competing with MK2 for second... not knocking Sonic out or anything
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/24/2009 12:56:50 PM | message detail
According to 2004 contest, CT would have beaten MK1 almost as badly as it did SoM despite the fact that SoM would have been majorly hurt by having CT as an opponent and MK wouldn't, which is why I think it would do well. Of course, MK2 is (presumably) much better and SoM getting enough support to win 1-on-1 is a different story. Though I think under the right lenient conditions SoM would win in a 4 way. Just that those conditions aren't met
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greatone10 | Posted 3/24/2009 12:59:07 PM | message detail
Let's also consider that SoM has also had another five years to fall into obscurity, and that it's not the only RPG in its match.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 1:00:37 PM | message detail

From: greatone10 | #210
Let's also consider that SoM has also had another five years to fall into obscurity, and that it's not the only RPG in its match.


We really don't know SoMs strength. Putting it up against the biggest square RPG of the SNES wasn't fair to see its strength.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/24/2009 1:10:14 PM | message detail
SoM has never been given credit on this board, the average oracle prediction for CT was 5% higher than the actual result.

Should be an interesting match either way.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 1:19:17 PM | message detail
I'd never take SoM over Doom anyway.
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H__RR____H | Posted 3/24/2009 1:24:09 PM | message detail
For what it's worth:

Top 100 List:
#47: Street Fighter II: The World Warrior - ARC
#52: Secret of Mana - SNES
#58: Mortal Kombat - ARC

That said, I don't trust SoM to age well and suspect MK2 is more than marginally stronger than MK. It doesn't help that Shining Force 2 is also in the match, either (though it's not like that alone should be taken very seriously). Also, Mortal Kombat is (amazingly) the most relevant series represented in that match; it's not like the Sonic series has been worth paying much attention to for years and SoM/SF2 don't compare at all.

SoM could upset if CT hurt it bad in 2004 and MK2 isn't much stronger now than MK was in 2004, but I don't like its chances. Still, it should be relatively close.
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creativename | Posted 3/24/2009 1:29:08 PM | message detail
Anyone that doesn't have Sonic 3 getting out of the first round is loopy :)

And I loved Secret of Mana back on the SNES. Remember being amazed by its co-op, had never seen anything like that before.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 1:35:11 PM | message detail
The funny thing that even with the SFF beat down SoM got, it would still get 40% on Mortal Kombat. I'm just interested to see if you take out the massive SFF beat down and it might beat MK
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 1:54:28 PM | message detail
how much of an SFF beatdown are we talking about though? look at the games around MK and tell me if it makes sense for SoM to be way stronger than them.


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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 2:15:38 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #217
how much of an SFF beatdown are we talking about though? look at the games around MK and tell me if it makes sense for SoM to be way stronger than them.


I'd expect SoM to get like 30-32% on CT without SFF. It got 20% with the SFF beatdown. Thats enough to make it a toss up with MK and SoM
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 2:21:18 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #215
Anyone that doesn't have Sonic 3 getting out of the first round is loopy :)

And I loved Secret of Mana back on the SNES. Remember being amazed by its co-op, had never seen anything like that before.


Also I'm curious to hear your reasoning.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 2:21:52 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #218
I'd expect SoM to get like 30-32% on CT without SFF.


That's a bit too much and puts it too close to stuff like Street Fighter.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 2:23:37 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #220
That's a bit too much and puts it too close to stuff like Street Fighter.


And whats wrong with that? Secret of Mana is a very well loved square RPG.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 2:25:59 PM | message detail
And also, if you wanna use the excuse that Shining Force 2 would hurt Secret of Mana... what? If anything, SHF2 would hurt Mortal Kombat more since Mortal Kombat for Genesis was THE version to get (the SNES version had no fatalities or blood), so Mortal Kombat and Shining Force would SFF more among Genesis fans then a strategy game and an action RPG on different systems would.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 2:29:12 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #221
And whats wrong with that?


It just isn't that big.

I can see SoM advancing due to its hardcore fanbase though (it DID make the SNES bracket with thousands of other RPGs), and how close it was to stuff like MMX despite so many other RPG's in the same poll, but I wouldn't amount it to brute strength.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 2:30:54 PM | message detail
Though if it could REALLY get 30% on 2004 Chrono Trigger, I don't see what's stopping you from debating Sonic 2 with it.
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*is Dranze*
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 2:34:41 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3197

If you take out Secret of Evermores 1.8% (which likely would go to Secret of mana since they're the same series anyway), it ties with Mega Man X. And Mega Man X would beat Mortal Kombat 2, no?

Though if it could REALLY get 30% on 2004 Chrono Trigger, I don't see what's stopping you from debating Sonic 2 with it.

Because Sonic 2 is stronger then it was shown last time, unless you really think its so weak to get less then 30% on SMW without SFF involved.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 2:45:21 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3197

If you take out Secret of Evermores 1.8% (which likely would go to Secret of mana since they're the same series anyway), it ties with Mega Man X. And Mega Man X would beat Mortal Kombat 2, no?


Also a bit more on this.

The poll also has Chrono Trigger, Final Fantasy 4 AND Final Fantasy 6, and Secret of Mana STILL nearly tied Mega Man X

lots of SoM underestimation going on here.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/24/2009 2:47:39 PM | message detail
lots of SoM underestimation going on here.

...Still, I can't trust a cult classic that's had 5 more years to fall into obscurity.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 2:48:45 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 2:49:47 PM | message detail
http://www.vgchartz.com/games/game.php?id=6413&region=All

since when is selling almost 2 million (back when games in general didnt sell as much) a cult classic
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Karma Hunter | Posted 3/24/2009 2:52:42 PM | message detail
People seriously arguing for... Secret of Mana to have any strength? Excuse me, I think I need to get back to my own time, 15+ years from now.
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/24/2009 2:57:40 PM | message detail
That's a bit too much and puts it too close to stuff like Street Fighter.

Forget SF2, 30%-32% puts it too close to SMRPG.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/24/2009 3:02:37 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #202
how on earth can you expect sonic to get SFF'd but not Mega Man?

oh yah blinders.


What?

I have Sonic 3 going to the third round because it DOESN'T get SFF'd by Metroid and LttP
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 3:03:17 PM | message detail
that poll still shouldn't be trusted as nobody would ever take Earthbound to get that close to Chrono Trigger.

Because Sonic 2 is stronger then it was shown last time, unless you really think its so weak to get less then 30% on SMW without SFF involved.

No, I really don't think it's that weak, but SMW only managed 41% on Chrono Trigger. Sonic 2 was destroyed in that match, but I don't think it was anywhere near SMW to begin with. I see it scoring in the lower 30's.
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*is Dranze*
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 3:04:23 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #232
I have Sonic 3 going to the third round because it DOESN'T get SFF'd by Metroid and LttP


Oh I read that wrong. My bad.
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*is Dranze*
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/24/2009 3:36:43 PM | message detail
But still, I can't see Sonic 2 NOT advancing out of round 1. Shining Force 2 is a non-factor, and Secret of Mana has probably fallen into obscurity.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/24/2009 3:47:09 PM | message detail
And I'd like to see either Ken or Soma Cruz back in a character contest. Soma deserved better than to get blown out by Solid Snake, and why has Ken not made the field ever since 2003?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 4:19:57 PM | message detail

From: Karma Hunter | #230
People seriously arguing for... Secret of Mana to have any strength? Excuse me, I think I need to get back to my own time, 15+ years from now.


why do people ignore polls that show it to be stronger then games like mega man x
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creativename | Posted 3/24/2009 4:24:51 PM | message detail
Also I'm curious to hear your reasoning.

Because...
"People seriously arguing for... Secret of Mana to have any strength? Excuse me, I think I need to get back to my own time, 15+ years from now."

Come on, it's Secret of Mana here! O_o Does this topic really have no more important matches to discuss? Maybe some upsets that are...you know...possible? :)

I find it hard to believe that all the important matches have been so talked to death that people are reduced to debating the chances of SoM. Someone nominate a new subject to discuss to death please :)
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 4:25:53 PM | message detail
Someone nominate a new subject to discuss to death please :)

we need some Fallout 3 in this topic
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/24/2009 4:26:04 PM | message detail
There's nothing wrong with discussing Secret of Mana.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/24/2009 4:27:17 PM | message detail
why do people ignore polls that show it to be stronger then games like mega man x

Because, as I've already pointed out with the whole Earthbound argument, games like Mega Man X, Final Fantasy 4 and Final Fantasy 6 have been ported or remade numerous times in the last 5 years while Secret of Mana (and Earthbound) have not been touched since they came out. It makes sense for them to perform well in a poll asking for port interest.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/24/2009 4:27:47 PM | message detail
why do people ignore polls that show it to be stronger then games like mega man x

Because that same poll shows that Earthbound has a good chance at beating Chrono Trigger, which I don't believe for a second.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/24/2009 4:28:30 PM | message detail
Secret of Mana's potential can be huge.

It has a slight chance of getting out of round 1, but that's it. I won't completely discount it, but people are playing the "CT SFF'd it big time!" card too much.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 4:28:33 PM | message detail

From: Fayt_Esteed | #242
why do people ignore polls that show it to be stronger then games like mega man x

Because that same poll shows that Earthbound has a good chance at beating Chrono Trigger, which I don't believe for a second.


Its also a poll with 5 squaresoft games and Earthbound is pretty unsff'd there.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/24/2009 4:29:31 PM | message detail
And even though the 2004 x-stats are "lol" and all that jazz, a Chrono Trigger SFF'd Secret of Mana still gets 43% on Sonic 2.

upset train choo choo
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/24/2009 4:30:01 PM | message detail
Am I alone in thinking that an action RPG like SoM was almost completely unphased by CT? If CT SFF'd SoM into the ground, then CT also SFF'd LttP into the ground.

Watch out OoT
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creativename | Posted 3/24/2009 4:30:38 PM | message detail
I'm very curious to see if Fallout 3 is as strong as most of us expect it to be. I have Fallout 3>Halo 3 and then MGS4>Fallout 3, which I think is what most have.

Kind of amazing to think that Fallout 3 could beat Halo 3, but I just have no faith in the Halo franchise. It's almost too bad there's no other serious contender in that 4-pack - it'd be fun to see Halo somehow choke it's way into 3rd place despite all logic.
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ZFS | Posted 3/24/2009 4:30:39 PM | message detail
let's hope secret of mana advances no one wants mortal kombat

(the good ones always go early)

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 4:31:54 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #246
Am I alone in thinking that an action RPG like SoM was almost completely unphased by CT? If CT SFF'd SoM into the ground, then CT also SFF'd LttP into the ground.

Watch out OoT


except that Secret of Mana is probably the third most popular rpg by Square on SNES, whereas Link to the Past is an action game made by Nintendo
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/24/2009 4:32:09 PM | message detail
From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #233
Am I alone in thinking that an action RPG like SoM was almost completely unphased by CT? If CT SFF'd SoM into the ground, then CT also SFF'd LttP into the ground.

Watch out OoT


RIght because Secret of Mana isn't a Square RPG that came out within two years of Chrono Trigger and often considered one of Square's classic SNES RPGs along with CT and FF6 or anything like that.
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