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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 659

MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/23/2009 3:52:34 PM | message detail
Then.. what do you think of RE4? Another overrated game that will go deep because of lack of competition?
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
red sox 777 | Posted 3/23/2009 4:00:08 PM | message detail
On Melee/Brawl, my guess is:

Melee 2005-7 >> Melee 2009 > Melee 2004 > Brawl 2009

I wouldn't be very confident in most matches this year thanks to the 5 year hiatus between games contests, and especially not about games that weren't out last contest.
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Hobbes: What's the point of attaching a number to everything you do?
Calvin: If your numbers go up, it means you're having more fun.
HaRRicH | Posted 3/23/2009 4:14:48 PM | message detail
Two polls about SMS and SMG:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1128
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2995

Any further comparisons between SMS and SMG are just gravy.
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Prototype
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/23/2009 4:17:51 PM | message detail
It got Super duper reverse SFF'd by Metroid Prime duh.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/23/2009 4:21:13 PM | message detail
RE4 sure has an unimpressive performance in that century poll huh. 4 way Nintendo SFF and barely beating TP and Galaxy. Granted, it's probably suffering from that SFF too being a GCN game originally, but probably not going to be hurt as much as the other 2 games.
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/23/2009 4:21:44 PM | message detail
Haha, that's a hell of a rSFF-beating to lose to AC despite Mario thrashing Samus.

It's really amazing that SMS is largely responsible for Mario > Cloud.
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Prototype
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/23/2009 4:29:46 PM | message detail
Well, RE4 was on both Gamecube and Wii...but yeah, you have two LoZ games and successful returns to gaming from Nintendo's other major classic series. RE4 was probably hurt some in that poll...and it's hard to estimate how much it was hurt. On one hand, it's an RE-game, so probably not a lot. On the other, it was #14 on the Top 100 List (right behind FFX and SM64) before its PS2 or Wii ports were released.

It's hard to say. Let me check out how Leon's done in his four-ways against Dante with Pikachu and Kirby...this might shed a little light.
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Prototype
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/23/2009 4:35:02 PM | message detail
Wait, right before I do, two more fun SMS-polls:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=931
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1025

There, SMS is the 3D-SMB2 of its series.



Now, back to Leon, dammit...!
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Prototype
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/23/2009 4:44:37 PM | message detail
LEON VERSUS DANTE...

...in 2008, with Riku and Hogger: 47.6%
...in 2008, with Kirby and Master Chief: 43.04%
...in 2007, with Pikachu and Amaterasu: 43.94%

It's worth mentioning DMC4 came out in 2008, too. It looks like Pikachu and Kirby made a big difference in each match, with Kirby making the bigger impact. It's not conclusive thanks to the format, but it's certainly within reason to think RE4 would have gotten closer to FFX if it wasn't weighed down by Nintendo, too; LoZ:TP may not have been the only game screwed out of a chance for first place in the GotC-poll.
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/23/2009 5:30:43 PM | message detail
RE4 is getting out of its division. Whether it beats TP or not is debateable, but I'm tempted to take it. I just can't get beyond the Zelda name though. When we see how MM and LA do, we'll have a better idea on franchise voting.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/23/2009 5:35:23 PM | message detail
Nevermind, I have WoW out of that division.

TP/RE4 will be the other one out of that division
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/23/2009 5:36:34 PM | message detail
That's kinda silly considering TP isn't too far off from SMG in that century poll.

If you believe SMG took a serious fall like never before, I don't know why you're even debating TP/RE4!
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/23/2009 5:49:29 PM | message detail
I would imagine a Zelda game has more staying power than a 3-D Mario
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
red sox 777 | Posted 3/23/2009 5:50:26 PM | message detail
WW was also in that poll. That said, SMG stood up quite well to TP, yes.
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Hobbes: What's the point of attaching a number to everything you do?
Calvin: If your numbers go up, it means you're having more fun.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/23/2009 5:54:38 PM | message detail
Once again, SMG came out right before that series of polls. Run it again and it won't even break 10%
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/23/2009 5:55:05 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #163
I would imagine a Zelda game has more staying power than a 3-D Mario


This is just your personal opinion on 3-D Mario games. Mario hasn't had a well-received release in technically 11 years. Why would it have better staying power that much?
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
Breakdown777 | Posted 3/23/2009 6:56:57 PM | message detail
I've been lurking these topics for years, and while general consensus here isn't 100% accurate the insight and analysis are generally pretty good. That said, there are two games I'm curious of everyone's general opinion on strength wise:

SF2

Portal

Discuss (or don't, whatever).
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/23/2009 7:15:05 PM | message detail
Portal seems to be the huge favourite at getting second in the first round though personally I think Bioshock has a chance at the upset.

Street Fighter II on the other hand could start the contest losing to Sonic 1 or could sneak its way to the semi-finals. Really the only thing standing in its way is FFIV (which may miss the division finals) and not enough SFF.
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/23/2009 7:38:26 PM | message detail
Okay, the discussion of staying power is getting silly BT. Considering SMG is in the 2007-2009 division, a former GotY-winner here with multiple awards elsewhere, the newest game of its series, and responsible for putting its series back on its feet and into the limelight...it's a poor argument.
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Prototype
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/23/2009 7:39:21 PM | message detail
Portal/Bioshock is a tossup.

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HaRRicH | Posted 3/23/2009 7:49:11 PM | message detail
Yeah, Portal/BS is a toughy. I'm taking Portal, but it's one of those first-round matches that can easily go the other way, too.

As for SF2...I almost took it super-far thanks to SFF/LFF and SF4 making the series relevant again, but I figure FF2/4 should probably take it out first.
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
charmander6000 | Posted 3/23/2009 7:55:37 PM | message detail
However if you believe if Mega Man 3 can somehow take out both FF/FFIV then it has a free ride to the semi-finals
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greatone10 | Posted 3/23/2009 8:29:04 PM | message detail
FFIV is kind of a dark horse in itself. The characters have yet to do anything of note in the character contest, and the only thing we really know about it is that it is most likely weaker than FFVI. I'm not totally convinced it beats Mega Man X, especially since we have yet to see the Mega Man games in action as well.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
vs. Super Mario RPG, Goldeneye, Resident Evil 2. Ugh, my top 3 games in the same match.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/23/2009 8:46:20 PM | message detail
eh, i can't see FF6 falling off the map that quickly. MMX will do fine, but i'd never take it over FF6.
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
greatone10 | Posted 3/23/2009 9:07:12 PM | message detail
Err, I meant MM3, because I was talking about FFIV.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
vs. Super Mario RPG, Goldeneye, Resident Evil 2. Ugh, my top 3 games in the same match.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/23/2009 9:08:35 PM | message detail
Ugh these roman numerals!
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/23/2009 9:15:07 PM | message detail
If you don't have Turtle on ignore, you 100% deserve the loss of IQ points you're bound to experience.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/23/2009 9:18:32 PM | message detail
And here you have Ulti, a man so influenced by the internet that he needs ignore scripts to shelter his feeble mind.

And people are honestly considering Portal to advance? I can't see any way that Bioshock doesn't win there.

Portal is a cult favourite, but Bioshock is a mainstream title with critical acclaim as well as a niche fanbase. If it were any game other than Bioshock I'd be considering it.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/23/2009 9:19:29 PM | message detail
Look who's talking, Mr. I'm Immune to Logic.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/23/2009 9:20:48 PM | message detail
I see no reason why a Zelda title would have more staying power than a Mario title. If anything, TP was the more hyped game (like Brawl), so it should fade faster, right?
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Hobbes: What's the point of attaching a number to everything you do?
Calvin: If your numbers go up, it means you're having more fun.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/23/2009 10:50:20 PM | message detail
The fact that I'm "immune to logic" simply means that I don't care enough to get worked up by interweb people, and thus don't need an ignore feature to deal with mental issues.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/23/2009 11:04:08 PM | message detail
And people are honestly considering Portal to advance? I can't see any way that Bioshock doesn't win there

oh turtle
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/23/2009 11:07:18 PM | message detail
Where are the polls supporting that pick?

Or are you going by Weighted Companion Cube vs Big Daddy?
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/23/2009 11:09:43 PM | message detail
To be fair, GlaDOS did better then Big Daddy as well when she had a totally unrecognizable picture and name.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/23/2009 11:11:32 PM | message detail
and if you want pure data

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2990

And I'd argue Portals appeal has lasted longer then Bioshocks
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/23/2009 11:42:32 PM | message detail
I think the only polls with Bioshock or Portal/Orange Box are these:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2990
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3018
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3020

It looks like OB > BS by just a little, though it's close and Portal by itself may not perform the same. Then again, to my experience (completely anecdotal), it feels like Portal's simply caught on more and seems to still be growing. Portal also got an online expansion in Portal: Still Alive on the 360, for whatever it's worth.
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Prototype
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transience | Posted 3/23/2009 11:49:33 PM | message detail
that's not an online expansion, it's a port.
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xyzzy
what's up ryan AHHHHHHHHHHHHH
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/23/2009 11:51:02 PM | message detail
And a rip off port too cuz its 15 bucks when you can buy Orange Box for 20 new now.
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/24/2009 12:06:54 AM | message detail
Oooooh...my bad. I understood it had new levels in it.
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Prototype
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transience | Posted 3/24/2009 12:17:07 AM | message detail
it's got bonus challenges but no one really got it. I like it myself.
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xyzzy
what's up ryan AHHHHHHHHHHHHH
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 3/24/2009 12:29:36 AM | message detail
While Bioshock has a shot for sure, its quite silly for Turtle to say its a clear cut winner
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WiggumFan267 | Posted 3/24/2009 2:04:45 AM | message detail
So what do you guys think of Paper Mario's Round 1 chances?

I currently have Vice CIty > KH, but admittedly tis is based almost purely of the 2004 ****fest when the majority of the games in that whole DIVISION fought either Starcraft or Melee.


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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 5:17:16 AM | message detail
i don't trust any GTA game.
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/24/2009 5:58:05 AM | message detail
So...does today's poll tell us anything we didn't already know about Pokemon? Basically, half of the Pokemon gamers don't play anymore, which doesn't really tell us anything about R/B/Y, but it probably tells us that the newer Pokemon games may not do very well at all.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/24/2009 6:06:23 AM | message detail
well, it IS a 'remake' in the end. I'd prefer to look at a Diamond/Pearl poll.
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
superCP | Posted 3/24/2009 8:19:46 AM | message detail
i'm still doubting the sonic games.. i mean, he disappointed us massively in the CB '08, but maybe people still like his first games, when he actually WAS good. Can sonic 2 defeat MMX?
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Yesmar | Posted 3/24/2009 8:43:12 AM | message detail
I wouldn't trust today's poll that much. There's no option for "No, I'm find with Diamond/Pearl."

In other news, 100% of GameFAQS visitors own a version of FFIV.
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
HaRRicH | Posted 3/24/2009 8:48:57 AM | message detail
Pokemon games usually get 25%-35% in these poll, so this is nothing new. It's hard to get any kind of number for R/B/Y from this, but here's what we could work with:

3/24/09 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3432
5/2/07 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2739
5/1/07 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2738

I suspect lots of the people who have played Pokemon before but not anymore, people who haven't played Pokemon in years, and people who owned somewhere between one-four Pokemon games are largely people who played R/B/Y. We've talked about R/B/Y being the game that most people have played and how it came before the hate, so it would explain the fewer amount of games owned by them...which would then explain why they haven't played Pokemon in years.

It's not precise enough by any means to get a solid guess and it doesn't account for current Pokemon fans, but it wouldn't be too hard to believe many of those answers are referring to R/B/Y.
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Prototype
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/24/2009 8:55:49 AM | message detail
So what do you guys think of Paper Mario's Round 1 chances?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=769

I would think Paper Mario could hold up better than that now, but...

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=430
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1870
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2988

...it's never really proven itself to be much of a threat. It should keep Metroid Prime out of first place in its match, but I doubt it gets MP eliminated.
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Prototype
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/24/2009 9:17:20 AM | message detail

From: superCP | #196
i'm still doubting the sonic games.. i mean, he disappointed us massively in the CB '08, but maybe people still like his first games, when he actually WAS good. Can sonic 2 defeat MMX?


The only Sonic game I have out of round 1 is Sonic 3, and I have it getting to round 3 on Nintendo SFF
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1