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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 654

MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/6/2009 10:21:55 PM | message detail
Ninja Gaiden.. has a terrible poll history.

but Duck Hunt is so going to get owned still. It was sold with SMB for crying out loud.
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
ZFS | Posted 3/6/2009 10:22:15 PM | message detail
The problem with this bracket isn't even really four-ways. 1v1's would be more fun to predict, but there's a point to be made about going through some boring stuff. What the problem is is all this generation stuff - if he would ditch that, we'd be in business.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2009 10:22:35 PM | message detail
Yeah, Bacon doesn't seem to care that he's alienating the ones who've been around the longest because it gets more votes.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/6/2009 10:23:34 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #203
Yeah, Bacon doesn't seem to care that he's alienating the ones who've been around the longest because it gets more votes.


Wii redux.


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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
Yesmar | Posted 3/6/2009 10:24:00 PM | message detail
I really need to do some reading for school, but here's a random format I came up with that solves a couple of issues people have, and with which I will use Div. 1 from 2007 as an example.

1) Give all the characters seeds, which I'm fairly confident was done anyway, and then drop the bottom 4:

1) Samus
2) Mega Man
3) Midna
4) Yoshi
5) Knuckles
6) Kratos A.
7) Frog
8) Diablo
9) KOS-MOS
10) Axel
11) Scorpion
12) Rikku

2) The first round consists of two four way matches between the lower 8 seeds. The top 4 all receive byes for this round. The four way matches will consist of 7 v. 8 v. 9 v. 10, and 5 v. 6 v. 11 v. 12. This gives us:

Axel
Diablo
Frog
KOS-MOS

and

Knuckles
Kratos A.
Rikku
Scorpion

3) The winner of the first match becomes the 7 seed to Mega's 2 and the loser becomes the 8 to Samus's 1. The winner of the second match becomes the 5 seed to Yoshi's 4 and the loser becomes the 6 to Midna's 3. The contest then continues on as a normal 1 v. 1.

I think that this:

A) Allows 96 entrants in, while only increasing the contest's length by 2 weeks.
B) Helps prevent blow outs, by distributing character's seedings in the 1 v. 1 on a strength based format. This kind of rebracketing (which would simply be done automatically on anyone's initial contest form. Bacon wouldn't need to do anything after the contest's begun) also would lead towards as many close matches as possible, by shooting for the best possible competition for each entrant. It also cuts out less interesting matches. We don't have to sit through Yoshi vs. Vaan or Midna Vs. Agent 47 while waiting for them to face off against Knuckles and/or Scorpion.
C) While I also like Ulti's idea, his sets up repeated matches for two straight weeks, which we just saw in 4 ways the round before.
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2009 10:24:21 PM | message detail
And yeah, if he'd just drop the eras by generation, that'd make things a LOT better...
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/6/2009 10:25:07 PM | message detail
I want to join in on the Stats Topic Doom and Gloom Session, but everything's pretty much been covered.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
HaRRicH | Posted 3/6/2009 10:26:06 PM | message detail
I'll take DK > PO and never look back. I don't think PO would have made such a match with DH five years ago, and aging will probably hurt it more than DK. Little Mac is a bad point of comparison...but it's still not favorable. Another thing from a certain list I talk about a lot: here's the NES games it's between...

#63: Contra - NES
#65: Metroid - NES
[...]
#71: Mike Tyson's Punch-Out!! - NES
[...]
#76: Final Fantasy - NES
#77: Dragon Warrior - NES

...it's in-between two games that aren't strong and two games that get by on their brand-name. This was from over three years ago. I imagine GameFAQs's users from this list were more willing to support PO than casuals today. I know DK's not on the list, but it's still named after the big ape, plus it's more iconic and beat a pack-in game for the system.


DK all the way. I do like that it's our favorite choker against one of our favorite underdogs though. =)
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/6/2009 10:26:17 PM | message detail
I can honestly see Bacon's way of seeing things though. If we look outside of our 1 vs 1 stat love, somebody would really find the same blowouts boring and whatnot.
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
ZFS | Posted 3/6/2009 10:26:27 PM | message detail
I mean, really, one of you guys who are good at this bracket making thing, take this bracket and scramble it up without divisions. Don't try to make the most 'ideal' bracket, just keep it basic and make some good matches. I'm sure it'd be a lot better once you're mixing new and old together.

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M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 3/6/2009 10:26:36 PM | message detail
Oh no, he's pissing off, what, a hundred people here?

Obviously I don't know whether the public would really prefer 4-ways, but one thing is true: you all are the minority. Can't really do anything about it. Your glory days are over. This is the future of GameFAQs Contests. Say goodbye to indepth analysis and the ilk. From now on it's about luck and joke entries.

Enjoy what you can.
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http://l33trappacat.blogspot.com/
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2009 10:26:56 PM | message detail
Where's Donkey Kong on that list, HaRR!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2009 10:28:19 PM | message detail
And while I do understand why Bacon's doing it the way he's doing it, I don't know if he's entirely correct in some of his assumptions, but this has already been covered repeatedly, so...
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M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 3/6/2009 10:28:50 PM | message detail
And I'm still convinced that Bacon has always disliked the board and designed this contest purely to spite everyone here. The topic flooding idea was a nice touch.
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PunchingPower | Posted 3/6/2009 10:29:09 PM | message detail
^5 Mega let's go post about Coach and Taj and how they are wastes of human lives oh man we're so vile feels gooooooooood
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
transcience | Posted 3/6/2009 10:29:13 PM | message detail
I disagree with HM. good luck making a bracket where the final 16 aren't 6 Nintendo and 6 Square games. here's a preview of a 'seeded' final 16 -

FF7
FF10
CT
FF6
OOT
LTTP
TP
SM64
SMW
SMB3
SSBM
SSBB
MGS
007
RE4
Starcraft

now, try to make a bracket that sets up a good final week with that. good luck.
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xyzzy
STREET FIGHTER 4, SON http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvPKGSk13zo
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 3/6/2009 10:30:40 PM | message detail

From: PunchingPower | #215
^5 Mega let's go post about Coach and Taj and how they are wastes of human lives oh man we're so vile feels gooooooooood


But I like Taj.
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http://l33trappacat.blogspot.com/
PunchingPower | Posted 3/6/2009 10:31:25 PM | message detail
I'm such an ass XD
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2009 10:31:54 PM | message detail
Uhhh...

FFVII
TP
SSBM
Mario 3

OoT
FFVI
CT
LttP

SM64
SMW
FFX
StarCraft

RE4
MGS
GE007
SSBB

Go
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ZFS | Posted 3/6/2009 10:32:04 PM | message detail
Try making a good 1v1 bracket that's done by generations. You're gonna get a bunch of SFF no matter what you do - that's just how these contests are since they're dominated by Square and Nintendo. We've dealt with this since these things started. We were a few hundred votes away from losing a bunch of matches last games contest, and it was riddled with SFF then, too.

The final stretch is still gonna be rough, but would you rather have it as it is now, or have a contest all mixed up?

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M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 3/6/2009 10:33:33 PM | message detail

From: transcience | #216
I disagree with HM. good luck making a bracket where the final 16 aren't 6 Nintendo and 6 Square games. here's a preview of a 'seeded' final 16 -

FF7
FF10
CT
FF6
OOT
LTTP
TP
SM64
SMW
SMB3
SSBM
SSBB
MGS
007
RE4
Starcraft

now, try to make a bracket that sets up a good final week with that. good luck.


FF7
FF10
CT
FF6

SM64
SMW
SMB3
SSBM

MGS
007
RE4
Starcraft

OOT
LTTP
TP
SSBB

We'd have FF7, SMB3, RE4, and OoT. Eh.
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http://l33trappacat.blogspot.com/
transcience | Posted 3/6/2009 10:33:44 PM | message detail
oh, I like mixed up. in recent years we've moved away from Nintendo and Square dominance -- this is a good thing.

but if you ask me what the bigger problem is, I say the fourway format, by far.
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xyzzy
STREET FIGHTER 4, SON http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvPKGSk13zo
transcience | Posted 3/6/2009 10:34:57 PM | message detail
for example, FF10 vs. FF6 is a good match. SM64 vs. SMW is a good match. TP vs. SSBM is a good match.

FF10 vs. FF6 vs. Metal Gear Solid vs. Twilight Princess is a bad match because the two Square games are dead in the water.
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xyzzy
STREET FIGHTER 4, SON http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvPKGSk13zo
HaRRicH | Posted 3/6/2009 10:35:04 PM | message detail
Already acknowledged DK's not on the list! I'm saying no big brand-name is backing it up (and no, Mike Tyson isn't a brand-name; it's less of one than Madden) and it fell in the Contra-DW range with the hardcore crowd. I would think it would be the LEAST casual-friendly game in its match, too, so I don't see how it's going to pull the upset. It'll beat Space Invaders, at least -- it deserves that much.
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2009 10:37:03 PM | message detail
so I don't see how it's going to pull the upset.

People have said this about Little Mac before!!
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ZFS | Posted 3/6/2009 10:37:41 PM | message detail
Can't say I agree. You can have a crack at that 1v1 by generations bracket. I still don't think it ends up being that much better. You're gonna lose some of the good matches we have now, replaced with boring ones, and you're still gonna run into lots of SFF. It's bad either way.

But if you ditch the generations - and I don't think he'd be as turned off to this idea - you're gonna end up with a better bracket. Is it gonna be the best thing ever? Probably not, but hey, there's no guarantee you get that in 1v1 either. Four-ways aren't always the turn off, I don't think, it's how you make a four-way bracket.


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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2009 10:38:29 PM | message detail
You know, if we dropped them both, things would get a lot better!!!!
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transcience | Posted 3/6/2009 10:39:13 PM | message detail
and I'm saying that our two-company dominance turns fourways into LFF messes, generations or not. it'd be better, but not THAT much better. you're very unlikely to get a final where FF7 and OOT are on neutral ground.
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xyzzy
STREET FIGHTER 4, SON http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvPKGSk13zo
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/6/2009 10:39:14 PM | message detail
FFVII
SMW

high seed fodder #1
high seed fodder #2

TP
MGS/007

SSBB
SM64
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OoT
StarCraft

LttP
CT

SMB3
FFVI/RE4

FFX
SSBM

Wastes StarCraft and SMW, requires two non-elite games (let's say Galaxy and MGS4) and to have good seeds and some deserving games to have slightly lower seeds, which is probably workable. Two good fourpacks (I think), a good match in LttP/CT, two boring semis (unavoidable with FFVII/OoT), and a real final, not one wrecked by LttP.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
transcience | Posted 3/6/2009 10:39:26 PM | message detail
Leon's onto something.
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xyzzy
STREET FIGHTER 4, SON http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvPKGSk13zo
HaRRicH | Posted 3/6/2009 10:39:48 PM | message detail
darn you soda popinski
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/6/2009 10:40:11 PM | message detail
Oh, whoops, I thought you were talking about going to a 1v1 and still being compelling even with all the SFF.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
ZFS | Posted 3/6/2009 10:43:40 PM | message detail
I think it would be that much better, but we'll never know. I'm not opposed to four-ways like most of you guys are, it doesn't ruin it for me. I'd like to see it be a 1v1, too, but it's not like four-ways don't have their own advantages. 1v1's do, too, but you gotta make best of what ya got. If everyone tried to get him to change the generation thing instead of complaining about no 1v1s even after he said it ain't happening, we'd better off, but oh well !

Gotta aim for that middle ground - four-ways, no generations. It's the worst as it is now, would be best 1v1, no generations.

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MarioSuperstar | Posted 3/6/2009 10:44:01 PM | message detail

From: transcience | #216
now, try to make a bracket that sets up a good final week with that. good luck.


Heh, this just might be our best argument against Bacon: there are just too many of the same games.
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
transcience | Posted 3/6/2009 10:46:08 PM | message detail
nah, you make good 1v1 stuff. I've done it before, you've done it before. we know it's possible, just tricky.

but fourways are just ouch. it's very possible that we'll know every result by the round of 16 just by looking at the companies.
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xyzzy
STREET FIGHTER 4, SON http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvPKGSk13zo
ZFS | Posted 3/6/2009 10:47:53 PM | message detail
I've see a bunch of 1v1 stuff that's made with mixing stuff. I don't think I've seen a bracket done by generations since the games contest, everyone here pretty much agreed that was no good. I don't think 1v1 with generations is honestly that much better than what we've got.

Who remembers Tetris vs. Pong who wants this again !

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transcience | Posted 3/6/2009 10:48:44 PM | message detail
---- vs. | let's do this
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xyzzy
STREET FIGHTER 4, SON http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvPKGSk13zo
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/6/2009 10:49:05 PM | message detail
I'm not dead set against fourways. But look at three of the probable quarterfinals for this bracket:

The Legend of Zelda
Super Mario Bros.
Super Mario Bros. 3
Super Mario World

Link to the Past
Final Fantasy VI
Final Fantasy VII
Chrono Trigger

Ocarina of Time
Metal Gear Solid
Super Smash Bros. Melee
Final Fantasy X

There's one good match between all six potential places (FFX/MGS). That's pathetic. Division by era is, I'd wager, a large part of the problem, but no matter what you do with fourways you're going to end up ruining matches like the second and third one or just getting flat out awful SFF fests like the first. At least you can only do the first in 1v1 brackets.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 3/6/2009 10:49:35 PM | message detail

From: ZFS | #236
I've see a bunch of 1v1 stuff that's made with mixing stuff. I don't think I've seen a bracket done by generations since the games contest, everyone here pretty much agreed that was no good. I don't think 1v1 with generations is honestly that much better than what we've got.

Who remembers Tetris vs. Pong who wants this again !


This time we could have L-Block VS Pong Paddle with the ball touching it so that it looks like an upside-down L-Block!
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ZFS | Posted 3/6/2009 10:52:18 PM | message detail
Hey, I agree with you. Axing generations isn't gonna make everything better; you're still gonna have to deal with SFF and LFF no matter what when it comes to four-ways, but it's definitely one of the bigger problems. It won't be perfect, but mixing everything up stops one big division of SFF like we have now.

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transcience | Posted 3/6/2009 10:52:50 PM | message detail
you know what I think would help?

company caps.
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xyzzy
STREET FIGHTER 4, SON http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvPKGSk13zo
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/6/2009 10:53:48 PM | message detail
Anyway, if you at least mix up the quarters as per Harrich's suggestion you get something slightly better. See:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=48468595

Although that particular pairing forces FFVII/Ocarina too soon, but, on the bright side, we get to see if Ocarina can overturn it in favourable circumstances instead of just getting killed because LttP is there.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 3/6/2009 10:54:30 PM | message detail

From: transcience | #241
you know what I think would help?

company caps.


Large amounts of fodder. Instead of SFF matches, we get Tanner vs Jay Solano!
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/6/2009 10:56:35 PM | message detail
Company caps wouldn't keep out those final ~14 of 16 that are Square/Nintendo games, though. You'd probably avoid some early round silliness like Paper Mario preventing Metroid Prime from advancing, but it wouldn't significantly change the later stages.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
transcience | Posted 3/6/2009 10:58:05 PM | message detail
it would cut down on the 'problem' though. say you limit it to two games per series -- less stuff can get in the way.

finals would still be pretty wonky, but maybe we could salvage the rest.
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xyzzy
STREET FIGHTER 4, SON http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvPKGSk13zo
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 3/6/2009 11:00:27 PM | message detail
Two games per series? In a 128-bracket? So all the high-profile games would be in one 32-bracket, and then the other three could be villains, female, and female villains!
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transcience | Posted 3/6/2009 11:01:22 PM | message detail
aww yeah
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xyzzy
STREET FIGHTER 4, SON http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvPKGSk13zo
Yesmar | Posted 3/6/2009 11:02:45 PM | message detail
I'm not sure I agree that Bacon shouldn't listen to us because we're just a "minority." Who were the people that were clamoring for major changes to begin with? They certainly weren't a majority. People were disappointed in 2006 because of the Male Vs. Female thing, not because they were tired of 1 vs. 1. The format of the contest certainly wasn't changed because of public opinion last time, why should that affect it this time?
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
transcience | Posted 3/6/2009 11:07:57 PM | message detail
by the way, I'm working on some tweaks to take this bracket from awful to mediocre -

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=48465602

come join me!
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xyzzy
STREET FIGHTER 4, SON http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvPKGSk13zo
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2009 11:38:53 PM | message detail
A two-game series cap would be pretty bad, I think. Who gets snubbed: World or Mario 64? Neither deserves to be snubbed. Maybe a five game limit would be best, but then again, that only really applies to like three series (FF, Zelda, Mario), and they're the most popular anyway so why not let them have more games in?
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