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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 650

red sox 777 | Posted 1/14/2009 9:32:35 PM | message detail
MGS4 is catching up- Brawl's lead is down to 45. MGS4 should have the lead by the end of the power hour, putting it a little behind yesterday's pace.....we likely have a good match today.
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Link he come to town
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/14/2009 9:35:20 PM | message detail
Hmm...But Magus completely embarassing himself against Sandbag has to have cost him a lot of respect. Especially after Sandbag proceeded to look absolutely pathetic the next round.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
Expressway271 | Posted 1/14/2009 9:36:31 PM | message detail
As bad as Sandbag looked, he still looked a LOT better than DK.
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~War~ The Cream of Fake FastFalcon Fanboyism ~Hedgehog~
http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/OrtonIsABagon.png
HaRRicH | Posted 1/14/2009 9:36:43 PM | message detail
Brawl, SMASH!
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FastFalcon05 absolutely decimated me in the Guru challenge. How bad was it?
...I don't want to talk about it.
red sox 777 | Posted 1/14/2009 9:37:52 PM | message detail
Magus still broke 40% on Sonic. Would DK break 40% on Sonic? Well, okay, considering how pathetic Sonic looked this year that 40% looks a lot less impressive....in fact it looks down right bad, but still, Luigi failed to break 40% on Sonic back in 2006.
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Link he come to town
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/14/2009 9:39:37 PM | message detail
And that 40% means even less considering that at one point he was hyped to beat Sonic outright.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
red sox 777 | Posted 1/14/2009 9:41:46 PM | message detail
If we ever get another 4-way contest, (hopefully not for a long time), with CTDS out, that may become a reality!

What? No, I refuse to accept that the 2003 x-stats could be wrong. They just aren't right yet.
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Link he come to town
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/14/2009 9:42:59 PM | message detail
No, I refuse to accept that the 2003 x-stats could be wrong. They just aren't right yet.

And they'll be right when hell freezes over.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/14/2009 9:47:20 PM | message detail
Oh, and CTDS may not even do that much. After all, while it's intended to appeal to a new generation as well as those who were already fans of the game, it's more likely to appeal to the latter.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
Gaddswell | Posted 1/14/2009 10:21:18 PM | message detail
Fallout 3 28.27% 3321
Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots 35.9% 4217
Super Smash Bros. Brawl 35.84% 4210
TOTAL VOTES 11748

lead change!
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http://www.4colorrebellion.com/media/pics/08/11/vote.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 1/14/2009 10:23:01 PM | message detail
Metal Gear Solid 4! Now the night is yours.....you have 5 hours of prime time to build the lead, and then another 9 hours of less prime time before the storm arrives.
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Link he come to town
Karma Hunter | Posted 1/14/2009 10:27:07 PM | message detail
But first retake the lead again for good measure! :O
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
HaRRicH | Posted 1/14/2009 10:29:39 PM | message detail
I think it took MGS4 close to 5:00 AM to build a 1,000-vote lead, and SSBB ended up losing by 970. If MGS4 doesn't start taking advantage of its best time, it's going to be blown out by SSBB come day-time.

Either way, Snake's getting GotY and even runner-up...can't complain there, KH!
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FastFalcon05 absolutely decimated me in the Guru challenge. How bad was it?
...I don't want to talk about it.
RPGGamer0 | Posted 1/14/2009 10:49:18 PM | message detail
Fallout 3 28.57%

4054
Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots 35.95%

5100
Super Smash Bros. Brawl 35.48%

5034
TOTAL VOTES 14188

Fallout's got this.

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|PM|
Congrats to FastFalcon05 for winning the Guru contest.
Karma Hunter | Posted 1/14/2009 10:53:00 PM | message detail
Either way, Snake's getting GotY and even runner-up...can't complain there, KH!

You'd THINK I couldn't, wouldn't you? Hahahahahahaha :(
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 1/15/2009 1:51:44 AM | message detail
I don't think MGS4 is gaining quite enough here to hold on. It should still be close though.
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FastFalcon and Solid Snake snapped my neck in the guru contest.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 1/15/2009 2:12:33 AM | message detail
Just what we need another Nintendo GotY. That puts the Game of the Century Poll to what, 5/8 being Nintendo
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Ngamer64 | Posted 1/15/2009 2:19:06 AM | message detail
Eh, I think RE4 gets a large majority of its popularity from the GC and Wii voter base, so it would be fair to call it 6/8 games repping Nintendo this decade.

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thengamer.com/guru/ says we just got owned hard by FastFalcon!
(thengamer.com/xstats & board8.wikia.com are neat)
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/15/2009 4:25:18 AM | message detail
we haven't really seen Magus go up against much lately; his last 1/1 match was with Knuckles while DK's was with... Master Chief.

I suppose if Magus hasnt fallen off the map, sure, but it wouldnt be a blow out by any means.. I just wouldn't feel 100% confident in him.
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/15/2009 6:44:50 AM | message detail
As for Zero, what happened? His last 1-on-1 match was a loss to Luigi. He never showed any signs of being overrated, yet he lost to a prefectly static Luigi. Then again, RPGuy96's theory might be the explanation.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2009 6:59:51 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2009 7:00:47 AM | message detail
Well, it looks like Brawl has this. Come on MGS4 do what Snake did against Cloud and stall for hours with the ASV when you're supposed to be getting pummeled.

As for Magus/DK, no, it wouldn't be an easy win for Magus. But Magus has been always put up better performances than DK: equaling Ganon and Knuckles is a good deal up from anything DK has done. In 2007 Magus/DK probably would have been close. Now, with the Nintendo Deboost and CTDS out, I don't think Magus would face any real danger against DK.
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Link he come to town
red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2009 7:20:23 AM | message detail
To answer my own question from last night, I would take Melee over Brawl with much more confidence now- even though it looks like Brawl will win this poll, Melee wouldn't struggle with MGS4 or Fallout 3. I think it'd 60-40 MGS4 at a minimum, so Brawl would have to pull off the largest case of rSFF ever- and from the looks of it, a lot of people on this site just don't like Brawl.

I'll take FFX and TP over Brawl also, because they should be stronger. SMW and SM64 I'm not sure about, but I'd definitely take either one over MGS4, so I'll take them over Brawl also. FFT did go even with MGS back in 2004, but that was in Snake's worst year, and FFT was much stronger back then, so I'll go with Brawl. I think very highly of the Legend of Zelda, but Brawl is a bad opponent- can't really see it winning many Zelda franchise votes against a modern game nearly everyone has at least played, if not owned. I would still take Zelda 1 over Mario World or 64.

MGS4......I would still take to beat Brawl 1v1, even if it loses. I figure Fallout 3 has to overlap more with MGS, although I thought that about the 6 games from yesterday's field we lost today too. But they split fairly evenly between Brawl and MGS4, and FO3 is the only other PS3 game, so.....give me MGS4, without any confidence.
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Link he come to town
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/15/2009 8:24:41 AM | message detail
Whoo-hoo! Go MGS4! This is awesome!

I don't even have time to think about the potential repercussions of this, but whoo-hoo!
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
Big Bob | Posted 1/15/2009 9:06:40 AM | message detail
Is this the first time the Final GotY poll actually has a different winner than the normal GotY poll?
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Welcome to Rapture.
Big Bob | Posted 1/15/2009 9:07:12 AM | message detail
Er, assuming Brawl wins, of course.
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Welcome to Rapture.
transience | Posted 1/15/2009 9:07:28 AM | message detail
yup.
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/15/2009 10:03:19 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3004

This has gotta be the most disappointing GotY "victory" ever.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2009 10:06:19 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #428
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3004


Its kinda funny Fallout 3 isnt even on there.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
http://i114.photobucket.com/albums/n266/Mike_S_02/Baltimore_Ravens_Sig.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2009 11:27:06 AM | message detail
Well....it looks like MGS4 is only going to have a lead of 100 or so when the ASV hits. If it can even hold on for another half hour, that is. SSBB will likely end over 3000 up.
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Link he come to town
transience | Posted 1/15/2009 11:29:19 AM | message detail
3000's pushing it, I imagine. 2000 sounds okay.
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
Yesmar | Posted 1/15/2009 11:36:38 AM | message detail
So what's the best non Contest POTD:

GOTY Final 2008 (Self Explanatory)
GOTY Prelim 2002 (Metroid Prime pulls off a comeback with the day vote to conquer Vice City.)
Who would you rather see in Brawl? (Sonic and Cloud duke it out, with Cloud scraping his way to a victory at the very end.)
Which NES game would you most like to see on the Virtual Console? (4chan stuffs for Battletoads for *24 straight hours* while Final Fantasy pulls off not one but *two* thousand vote comebacks)
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
HaRRicH | Posted 1/15/2009 12:49:47 PM | message detail
I gotta go with the Brawl-poll -- when you've got Sonic hanging tight with Cloud between Cloud/Sonic in 2k3 and Kirby/Sonic in 2k8, that's good stuff.
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FastFalcon05 absolutely decimated me in the Guru challenge. How bad was it?
...I don't want to talk about it.
Ngamer64 | Posted 1/15/2009 1:28:11 PM | message detail
Wow, still within 300 votes, every option with over 30%, and nice votals across the board... I think it's safe to say we're going to be in for a fantastic next three months! Whooooo games.

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thengamer.com/guru/ says we just got owned hard by FastFalcon!
(thengamer.com/xstats & board8.wikia.com are neat)
red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2009 1:37:29 PM | message detail
Yes, you really have to hand it to Fallout 3 here- it's getting 30% against the 2 most hyped games of the year, both of which come from much much stronger series on this site, one of which was hyped to challenge FFVII/OOT, and the other of which has one of the highest user ratings of anything.
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Link he come to town
HaRRicH | Posted 1/15/2009 2:31:29 PM | message detail
Not to mention while smoking GTA4 and turning its world upside down.
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FastFalcon05 absolutely decimated me in the Guru challenge. How bad was it?
...I don't want to talk about it.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2009 2:35:36 PM | message detail
I hope Fallout 3 gets a nice seeding in the contest so we can see how well it can do
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
http://i114.photobucket.com/albums/n266/Mike_S_02/Baltimore_Ravens_Sig.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/15/2009 2:36:36 PM | message detail
Also even though CoD4 got 32% last years in the final goty, I'd say Fallout 3 here is more impressive. Galaxy just owned that poll and Halo 3 bombed so it wasn't as competitive
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
http://i114.photobucket.com/albums/n266/Mike_S_02/Baltimore_Ravens_Sig.jpg
hailEC | Posted 1/15/2009 2:37:48 PM | message detail
Yeah, I probably take FO3 > CoD4.

...the only thing bad about these GotY polls is now way too many people are going to be on the sexy, and most importantly correct, Melee >>> Brawl train.

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all hail ec your lord and savior
Karma Hunter | Posted 1/15/2009 2:40:55 PM | message detail
Of course Brawl is going to get wiped by Melee as far as indirect strength goes (could you see it doing what Melee pretty much singlehandedly did to the entire SMB series?), but 1v1 still worries me a fair amount. Dunno why, just a gut Ninty fanbase read.
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
hailEC | Posted 1/15/2009 2:41:42 PM | message detail
I have no doubt that Melee will win both.

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all hail ec your lord and savior
red sox 777 | Posted 1/15/2009 2:42:59 PM | message detail
In the Nintendo fanbase manages to give Brawl enough rSFF to beat Melee......

There are no words.
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Link he come to town
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/15/2009 2:44:49 PM | message detail
1 on 1 Melee pastes Brawl worse than it does indirectly. Every Brawl fan is a Melee fan (pretty much). Not every Melee fan is a Brawl fan, and this doesn't just apply to the competitive crowd.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
Karma Hunter | Posted 1/15/2009 2:44:56 PM | message detail
...then again, it's probably pretty safe to say that the SSB performance against SMB *had* to have been at least partially fueled by that massive Brawl hype. No way in hell SSB puts up the kind of numbers on MG that the Series Contest indicated (if it even wins at all), and Sonic being the #5 was never in the cards.
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
hailEC | Posted 1/15/2009 2:49:00 PM | message detail
No doubt about that... Melee still eats Brawl alive.

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all hail ec your lord and savior
KamikazePotato | Posted 1/15/2009 2:50:15 PM | message detail
On a side note, that's one debated upset I would've taken and gotten right for once. Now everyone's going to take it. Curse you, GotY polls!

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/15/2009 3:54:48 PM | message detail
i would have taken it regardless of today's results.
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
WarThaHedgehog | Posted 1/15/2009 4:18:06 PM | message detail
I'm still standing by it, MGS4 is the strongest game to come out since 2000. I said it could happen when Brawl was murdering Wii Fit. MGS4 was made out to be one of the defining games of this generation, and it's the only one that not only lived up to, but surpassed expectations. FFX aging + Nintendo stock falling + Snake stock being its best since ever GO!

KH, are you with me?
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~War~ The Cream of Fake FastFalcon Fanboyism ~Hedgehog~
http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/OrtonIsABagon.png
Karma Hunter | Posted 1/15/2009 4:18:40 PM | message detail
Another doomed hype train eh YOU KNOW I'M IN
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
WarThaHedgehog | Posted 1/15/2009 4:19:44 PM | message detail
OH MAN ALL WE NEED TO MADE THIS WRECK A REALITY IS LOPEN!
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~War~ The Cream of Fake FastFalcon Fanboyism ~Hedgehog~
http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/OrtonIsABagon.png