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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 648

HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/14/2008 9:22:05 PM | message detail
I don't buy CT and SMRPG overlapping much with SFF.
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2008 9:23:16 PM | message detail
Indeed, but I think RBY has a ton of legit strength.....and isn't going to get anti-voted nearly as much as the series or the characters. Just a feeling, possibly fueled by surprise at Pikachu doing so well the past 2 contests. And I don't feel the SMB name helps Mario games nearly as much as the Zelda name helps Zelda games because:

1. The Mario Series is not close to the Zelda Series in strength.
2. SMB seems to win more respect when put together as a series......just my intuition here.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/14/2008 9:23:28 PM | message detail
I know it got SFFed by ALttP, but as bad as one Square game sffing another Square game on the same console? We have seen this before with FF, it is not a pretty sight. SMRPG was getting buried by SFF.

A Squaresoft game that many see as a Mario game may or may not have been buried by SFF from Chrono Trigger. In any case comparing things through SFF matches is completely unreliable.
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Not even a spread of 105 points would allowed me to defeat FastFalcon05! Congrats on winning the Character Battle 7 Guru Contest!
MichaelWClark | Posted 12/14/2008 9:23:38 PM | message detail

From: HeroicTronBonne | #251
I don't buy CT and SMRPG overlapping much with SFF.




Right, two rpgs made by the same company on the same console.

Do you believe SM and ALttP overlap much with sff? You know, 2 games in different genres.
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/14/2008 9:24:32 PM | message detail

From: MichaelWClark | #254

From: HeroicTronBonne | #251
I don't buy CT and SMRPG overlapping much with SFF.




Right, two rpgs made by the same company on the same console.

Do you believe SM and ALttP overlap much with sff? You know, 2 games in different genres.



I don't think a Mario game, regardless of company that makes it, really effects the voters much. Or do you think Sonic: Dark Brotherhood and Mass Effect would SFF alot if they faced eachother?
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2008 9:26:00 PM | message detail
If Super Metroid is given a non-Nintendo opponent, I fully expect it to look quite good. But putting it up against Mario essentially wastes it again in all likelihood.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
MichaelWClark | Posted 12/14/2008 9:26:03 PM | message detail

From: HeroicTronBonne | #255

From: MichaelWClark | #254
Right, two rpgs made by the same company on the same console.

Do you believe SM and ALttP overlap much with sff? You know, 2 games in different genres.



I don't think a Mario game, regardless of company that makes it, really effects the voters much. Or do you think Sonic: Dark Brotherhood and Mass Effect would SFF alot if they faced eachother?




I wasn't aware Mass Effect was on the DS and released about the same time.

But yes, I think there would be a nice amount of overlap if they were on the same console.
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/14/2008 9:26:46 PM | message detail
I wasn't aware Mass Effect was on the DS and released about the same time.

As close as Super Mario RPG and Chrono Trigger were released to eachother.
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
transience | Posted 12/14/2008 9:33:28 PM | message detail
Besides, most people agree that the SFF chain goes Zelda > Mario > Metroid, so that's got something to do with it.

I'm talking about general strength, not the ability to get SFFed.

...actually, let's try this again.

Super Metroid
Final Fantasy VIII
Metal Gear Solid 3
Kingdom Hearts
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2008 9:38:31 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy VIII
Metal Gear Solid 3
Super Metroid
Kingdom Hearts
GTA: San Andreas
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2008 9:40:56 PM | message detail
I agree with red.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Congratulations to FastFalcon for winning the guru contest, you are the best among the best.
MichaelWClark | Posted 12/14/2008 9:58:20 PM | message detail
I have a hard time seeing the black sheep of MGS taking out the top tier Metroid game.

FF VIII
(big gap)
Super Metroid
Kingdom Hearts
MGS 3
(huge gap)
GTA SA
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
Lopen | Posted 12/15/2008 1:37:48 AM | message detail
Metal Gear Solid 3
Kingdom Hearts
Super Metroid
Final Fantasy VIII
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas

Probably how I see it right now. San Andreas is the only one I have any confidence in, though.
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FastFalcon's quest to defeat Lopen: Round - blagh I am dead.
Target: 467+. Target obtained and shattered damn you FastFalcon.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 12/15/2008 8:23:05 AM | message detail
WOW this is the biggest percentage swing we'll probably ever see.
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/15/2008 8:33:53 AM | message detail
Time for the during school vote.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Congratulations to FastFalcon for winning the guru contest, you are the best among the best.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 12/15/2008 8:47:11 AM | message detail
Granted, Super Metroid got screwed running into Link to the Past in round 2, the same could be said for Samus's other titles in that contest (Metroid running into SMB3, Metroid Prime having a run-in with Wind Waker).
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." -Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
Ngamer64 | Posted 12/15/2008 10:26:35 AM | message detail
Yeah, this is about the funniest poll ever in terms of vote swings. The results 45 minutes in were

When do you usually answer the Poll of the Day?
As soon as it is updated 38.34% 2169
When I wake up in the morning 11.38% 644
During a break at work or school 10.64% 602
After I get off of work or school 20.71% 1172
Just before I go to bed 18.93% 1071
TOTAL VOTES 5658

Currently Wake Up (aka the BSV) has a slight lead, but Get Home From School (ASV) is making a hard charge and will soon overtake it!

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thengamer.com/guru/ says we just got owned hard by FastFalcon!
(thengamer.com/xstats & board8.wikia.com are neat)
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/15/2008 10:28:30 AM | message detail
"As soon as it updated" choked more then Magus.
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/15/2008 11:09:52 AM | message detail
"As soon as it is updated"'s peak lead on "During a break at work or school" was 3311 votes. Right now they are 54 votes apart with at least an hour more of during school vote to go.
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Not even a spread of 105 points would allowed me to defeat FastFalcon05! Congrats on winning the Character Battle 7 Guru Contest!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/15/2008 11:11:36 AM | message detail
Down to 4 votes now! Next update "As Soon as it updated" will lose its lead!
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
charmander6000 | Posted 12/15/2008 11:27:18 AM | message detail
Anyone think "Just before I go to bed" will make a comeback against "As soon as it is updated"

It's behind 2760 though it is stalling now and it will only get stronger until the end of the poll.

The ASV is already tearing into BSV's lead.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Congratulations to FastFalcon for winning the guru contest, you are the best among the best.
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/15/2008 11:32:17 AM | message detail
2760 is a huge lead and "As soon as it is updated" has been steadly increasing it all day long. Also the second night vote isn't that long and not as many votes come in. But if anyone can blow a lead of this size it's "As soon as it is updated".
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Not even a spread of 105 points would allowed me to defeat FastFalcon05! Congrats on winning the Character Battle 7 Guru Contest!
charmander6000 | Posted 12/15/2008 11:40:45 AM | message detail
Anyone think the ASV will break 30%?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Congratulations to FastFalcon for winning the guru contest, you are the best among the best.
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/15/2008 12:00:24 PM | message detail
It's already drawing in 45% of the incoming votes. It should break 30% pretty easily.
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Not even a spread of 105 points would allowed me to defeat FastFalcon05! Congrats on winning the Character Battle 7 Guru Contest!
MnMZero | Posted 12/15/2008 12:09:51 PM | message detail
Discussing voting trends of a poll about voting trends... Is this the stats topic version of the Twilight Zone?
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Proud Supporter of Zero
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/15/2008 12:34:29 PM | message detail
Now it's drawing in 58% of the incoming votes. It might break 40%. "After I get off of work or school" has an absolutely amazing after school vote. >_>
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Not even a spread of 105 points would allowed me to defeat FastFalcon05! Congrats on winning the Character Battle 7 Guru Contest!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/15/2008 12:46:34 PM | message detail
this has more of an asv then halo and kh combined
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/15/2008 12:56:11 PM | message detail
At one point ASV was down by 1689 to BSV. It took one hour for ASV to build a lead of 2100 votes on BSV.
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Not even a spread of 105 points would allowed me to defeat FastFalcon05! Congrats on winning the Character Battle 7 Guru Contest!
Yesmar | Posted 12/15/2008 1:00:17 PM | message detail
Man, ASV is a ****ing beast with the ASV! Who'd a thunk it?
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/15/2008 1:00:53 PM | message detail
its gaining like .2-.3% an update lol
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/15/2008 1:02:26 PM | message detail
ASV with the ASV lol

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/15/2008 3:21:44 PM | message detail
Man this is some ASV...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Congratulations to FastFalcon for winning the guru contest, you are the best among the best.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 12/15/2008 3:30:34 PM | message detail
At one point ASV was down by 1689 to BSV. It took one hour for ASV to build a lead of 2100 votes on BSV.

biggest vote swing ever confirmed?
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/15/2008 4:27:51 PM | message detail
That's still Cloud in Cloud/CATS 2k3.

This is however the biggest comeback I've ever seen between Nintendo Power Hour and After School Vote.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Congratulations to FastFalcon for winning the guru contest, you are the best among the best.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/15/2008 6:39:44 PM | message detail
Sora has met his match lol

Seriously, Bacon. We love you for giving us what seems to be a traditional games contest, but this carrot-dangling is torture!
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... FastFalcon own me... in the Guru Contest!
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/15/2008 6:55:05 PM | message detail
12:05
As soon as it is updated - 321
After I get off of work or school - 121
72.62%-27.38%

1:00
As soon as it is updated - 2593
After I get off of work or school - 1480
63.66%-36.34%

21:50
As soon as it is updated - 10424
After I get off of work or school - 27980
27.14%-72.86%

That's quite the day vote.
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Not even a spread of 105 points would allowed me to defeat FastFalcon05! Congrats on winning the Character Battle 7 Guru Contest!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/15/2008 7:01:16 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #283
At one point ASV was down by 1689 to BSV. It took one hour for ASV to build a lead of 2100 votes on BSV.

biggest vote swing ever confirmed?



At one point "Right when the poll goes up" was doubling "After school"
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/15/2008 9:31:19 PM | message detail
% of votes each option got during every 5 minute inteval:
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Trends.PNG

DSV is the only one to never outright win a 5 minute update.

Time | ---EV--- | --BSV-- | --DSV-- | ---ASV--- | ---NV---
PHV | 37.03% | 11.54% | 10.85% | 21.14% | 19.44% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 24.05% | 20.42% | 13.11% | 22.00% | 20.42% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 07.98% | 47.75% | 16.30% | 23.26% | 04.71% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 09.22% | 28.51% | 24.63% | 32.83% | 04.81% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 08.97% | 09.49% | 13.01% | 60.56% | 07.96% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 12.76% | 07.84% | 13.53% | 42.17% | 23.70% | (22:00-24:00)

The power hour is dominated by the Early Vote. The Early Vote stays strong through the first night vote. The Night Vote actually didn't get second place during the first night vote. The After School Vote managed to out night vote the night vote. The Before School Vote was dominated by Before School voting. The Early Voters and Night Voters had all but died at this point. The During School vote did it's best during school but it was outdone by the fading Before School vote and the growing After School Vote. ASV was pulling in 60% updates in a 5 way match after school ended. It managed to break 70% at times. Complete domination. The Early Vote actually started to come back a bit during the Second Night Vote most likely due to early voters preparing for the next poll. The Before School vote was pretty much dead at this point. The Night Vote did better during the second night vote but still couldn't compared to the fading After School Vote. The Night Vote did manage to win the last 5 minute update of the match.
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Not even a spread of 105 points would allowed me to defeat FastFalcon05! Congrats on winning the Character Battle 7 Guru Contest!
HaRRicH | Posted 12/15/2008 9:38:18 PM | message detail
Love those stats.
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FastFalcon05 absolutely decimated me in the Guru challenge. How bad was it?
...I don't want to talk about it.
AmazingKirby | Posted 12/15/2008 9:41:49 PM | message detail
That is awesome. You are awesome.
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caps
red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2008 9:42:05 PM | message detail
Hah, the ASV has a truly amazing ASV.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
Lopen | Posted 12/15/2008 9:48:17 PM | message detail
I came in here just hoping that someone had commented on yesterday's poll. And what do I get but some hardcore analyzing of a poll about vote trends. Fantastic. Great work, TRE.
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FastFalcon's quest to defeat Lopen: Round - blagh I am dead.
Target: 467+. Target obtained and shattered damn you FastFalcon.
MnMZero | Posted 12/16/2008 6:01:06 AM | message detail
Time | ---EV--- | --BSV-- | --DSV-- | ---ASV--- | ---NV---
PHV | 37.03% | 11.54% | 10.85% | 21.14% | 19.44% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 24.05% | 20.42% | 13.11% | 22.00% | 20.42% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 07.98% | 47.75% | 16.30% | 23.26% | 04.71% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 09.22% | 28.51% | 24.63% | 32.83% | 04.81% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 08.97% | 09.49% | 13.01% | 60.56% | 07.96% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 12.76% | 07.84% | 13.53% | 42.17% | 23.70% | (22:00-24:00)

Heh, true to form.
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Proud Supporter of Zero
transience | Posted 12/16/2008 12:27:32 PM | message detail
the early vote on that was even stronger in the opening minutes. it was up around 42-43%.

woo
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 12/16/2008 12:33:21 PM | message detail
Nearly 46% at the 5 minute mark:

Time | ---EV--- | --BSV-- | --DSV-- | ---ASV--- | ---NV---
EBV | 45.88% | 10.59% | 09.41% | 20.00% | 14.12% | (0:00-0:05)

The earliest update I have was the 3 minute mark where Early Vote had 48.93% of the votes.
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Not even a spread of 105 points would allowed me to defeat FastFalcon05! Congrats on winning the Character Battle 7 Guru Contest!
transience | Posted 12/16/2008 12:36:47 PM | message detail
you're..unique, TRE. don't change!
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
Ngamer64 | Posted 12/16/2008 3:13:28 PM | message detail
Very excellent work, TRE! I've added that writeup to our very excellent article on the subject!

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

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thengamer.com/guru/ says we just got owned hard by FastFalcon!
(thengamer.com/xstats & board8.wikia.com are neat)
H__RR____H | Posted 12/16/2008 3:36:04 PM | message detail
I'll second tran. You're my favorite super-machine on B8.
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BT about Round Two: If Snake gets 43-45%, I'll close my account right now.
www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3285
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/16/2008 4:47:25 PM | message detail
I've always thought that TRE was some sort of incredibly advanced bot sent from GameFAQs Heaven to compile data for us. This only adds more evidence to that claim.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
MartrebnoR | Posted 12/17/2008 3:07:00 AM | message detail
Amazing discussion.
Btw, what ever happened with the character battle xstats, I haven't seen anything on them. Were they just dropped?
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