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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 648

Pyrostormer | Posted 12/13/2008 11:08:38 PM | message detail

From: Xcarvenger | Posted: 12/14/2008 2:08:00 AM | #150
this is going to be B8-only contest confirmed?


that'd be so awesome XD
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Xenosaga is way better then any crappy game you enjoy. FastFalcon is too.
http://img146.imageshack.us/img146/3592/1182804410526mu7.jpg
Yesmar | Posted 12/13/2008 11:43:13 PM | message detail
SMB3/LoZ was on Memorial Day. That's why LoZ won the "after school vote." Because there was none.
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
Karma Hunter | Posted 12/14/2008 12:01:47 AM | message detail
aw yeah B8 only stats

Super Smash Bros. (any) - 50.00
Phoenix Wright - 49.00
Tales of Symphonia - 48.00
Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow - 47.00
Ocarina of Time - 45.00
Final Fantasy VII - 00.00
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
MichaelWClark | Posted 12/14/2008 12:06:16 AM | message detail

From: Karma Hunter | #153
aw yeah B8 only stats

Super Smash Bros. (any) - 50.00
Phoenix Wright - 49.00
Tales of Symphonia - 48.00
Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow - 47.00
Ocarina of Time - 45.00
Final Fantasy VII - 00.00




The fact that this entire board would do things to Snake's snake and you don't have MGS on there is silly. Also, not having CT on there if you've ever been to this board during a match with the characters or game is rather short sighted.
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
Lopen | Posted 12/14/2008 1:20:38 AM | message detail
We're getting way more votes nowadays than we were 4-5 years ago, and just how many of these new voters have started with the 8-bit Nintendo? Not very many of them, I'd imagine.

We just had a poll that actually gave us the play numbers directly, so it's not so much needing speculation.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3325

Votals are pretty high, higher than some of our contest matches this year, even. NES or earlier has 34%, and you've gotta figure almost everyone who voted SNES era has a decent amount of NES exposure too. Throw in some emulation and remakes, and I don't think the strong games of yore have anything to worry about.
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FastFalcon's quest to defeat Lopen: Round - blagh I am dead.
Target: 467+. Target obtained and shattered damn you FastFalcon.
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/14/2008 7:55:48 AM | message detail
Animal Crossing - 44.00

(who remembers this)

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 12/14/2008 7:58:33 AM | message detail
lol gamefaqs redesign.

lol poll position in threat in a game contest once again?
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2008 8:10:45 AM | message detail
Memorial Day you say? Ok then- but actually, that only makes Zelda 1 look even better with the day vote, as Mario 3 was over 60% overnight, and Zelda gained almost 4% on it with the day vote. If 3 couldn't do it, Mario World and even 64 are very likely not going to be able to rely on recognizability or being more mainstream to beat a Zelda game- they need to run up the margins among people who actually played the games, especially among those who played them long enough ago for nostalgia to matter. I say especially among those who played them long enough ago for nostalgia to matter because SMB3 supposedly has a 95% playrate, but still performed like a NES game as far as trends go- a lot of that 95% played it well after the NES, I'm sure, and do not see it as a game that is as special as its NES fanbase sees it.

As for Board 8 x-stats:

1. Super Smash Bros Melee 50.00%
2. Chrono Trigger 48.00%
3. Ocarina of Time 47.00%
4. Super Smash Bros. Brawl 46.00% (but beats Melee easily directly)
5. Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney 45.00%
X. Final Fantasy VII NOT LINEAR

FFVII breaks 45% against anything other than CT, and loses to stuff like Big Rigs. Remember FFVII was just a couple of votes short of toppling Melee in the NCAA Games Finals! The top 3 have all won Board 8 contests, so I think it's fair to put them up there.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
MetricTrout | Posted 12/14/2008 8:15:01 AM | message detail
As for Board 8 x-stats:

More like:

1 1 Super Mario World 50.00%
2 5 Pokémon Red/Blue/Yellow 48.70%
3 1 Super Smash Brothers Melee 48.38%
4 2 Chrono Trigger 47.59%
5 6 The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask 46.28%
6 2 The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past 46.03%
7 11 Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddy's Kong Quest 43.87%
8 2 Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney 43.71%
9 1 Super Mario 64 43.62%
10 1 The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 43.57%
11 11 The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening 42.80%
12 3 Pokémon Gold/Silver/Crystal 42.36%
13 1 Super Mario Brothers 3 42.34%
14 16 Bad Dudes 40.48%
15 12 Star Fox 64 40.47%
16 7 Tetris 40.30%
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2008 8:19:34 AM | message detail
Forgot that SMW also won a contest. Put it up there then, right below OOT.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
hailEC | Posted 12/14/2008 9:20:14 AM | message detail
Nominations still not up on the front page, and Bacon is on vacation until the new year. awfully long nomination period confirmed

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all hail ec your lord and savior
except FastFalcon, he's so legit you must bow down to his ass too.
HaRRicH | Posted 12/14/2008 10:38:16 AM | message detail
So, is it just me, or does anybody else kinda dislike that we will likely get to predict the contest and several of the biggest newcomers after the GotY-polls go? SSBB/MGS4/GTA4 will still have us debating heavily, but I wish/hope brackets somehow close before their final GotY-poll to keep it a bit more chaotic.

Then again, that's a free advantage for people paying attention to the polls, but still.....
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FastFalcon05 absolutely decimated me in the Guru challenge. How bad was it?
...I don't want to talk about it.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/14/2008 10:40:09 AM | message detail
we're likely not starting till feb -sigh-
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2008 10:40:52 AM | message detail
Nah, more information is better when we haven't had a contest in 5 years. Besides, GOTY polls can lie- just look at FFX vs. SSBM.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
Mac Arrowny | Posted 12/14/2008 10:54:50 AM | message detail
So, is it just me, or does anybody else kinda dislike that we will likely get to predict the contest and several of the biggest newcomers after the GotY-polls go? SSBB/MGS4/GTA4 will still have us debating heavily, but I wish/hope brackets somehow close before their final GotY-poll to keep it a bit more chaotic.

That's no different from Spring 2k4, really.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
As is FastFalcon
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2008 10:59:42 AM | message detail
Besides, GOTY polls can lie- just look at FFX vs. SSBM.

That's not necessarily lying. That's just things changing over time. FFX would have destroyed SSBM back in 2001. Heck, it beat FFVI in the Favorite FF poll shortly after it was released.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/14/2008 11:01:52 AM | message detail
That's not necessarily lying. That's just things changing over time. FFX would have destroyed SSBM back in 2001. Heck, it beat FFVI in the Favorite FF poll shortly after it was released.

Its quite easy to destroy a game thats not out yet!
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
swirIdude | Posted 12/14/2008 11:03:06 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | Posted: 12/14/2008 10:55:48 AM | #156
Animal Crossing - 44.00

(who remembers this)



<3

(1) Final Fantasy VII
(16) Animal Crossing

NEVER FORGET.
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SSBB FC: 4425-1156-3590
FastFalcon: His predictions cure teen pregnancy.
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2008 11:03:50 AM | message detail
Its quite easy to destroy a game thats not out yet!

Uhhh...They were both out then.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/14/2008 11:04:22 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #169
Its quite easy to destroy a game thats not out yet!

Uhhh...They were both out then.



2001 contest woulda been in summer or fall. They both released in December of 2001, so most likely wouldn't of faced eachother till 2002 contest, no?
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2008 11:08:33 AM | message detail
I'm not talking about when a contest theoretically would've taken place.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
MarioSuperstar | Posted 12/14/2008 3:41:52 PM | message detail
SSBM was only out for like a month during that poll. it doesnt mean GotY is horrible.
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2008 3:47:52 PM | message detail
Speaking of a game that wasn't out yet, who else thinks SMB massively overperformed on Final Fantasy? FF got Ashe as its picture, and FFXII wasn't even out yet.....it got proper Cloud pics the next day against Zelda.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/14/2008 4:16:22 PM | message detail
I don't. Why is it so hard to believe that SMB is a close third in terms of strongest series here? Those games are classic.

That said, I believe Zelda/FF/Mario this year will be something like this:

FF7
OoT

LttP

SMB3
FF6
FFX
SMW

SM64
FF8
SMB
Twilight Princess
Majora's Mask
Zelda 1
Wind Waker
Final Fantasy 1

Off the top of my head that looks pretty right
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
FastFalcon is apparantly better at contesty stuff than me.
HaRRicH | Posted 12/14/2008 5:18:44 PM | message detail
Keeping true to your list, where do you put Super Mario Galaxy?

More off-topic from your list, where would you put World of Warcraft or Guitar Hero 3 in those rankings?
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FastFalcon05 absolutely decimated me in the Guru challenge. How bad was it?
...I don't want to talk about it.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2008 5:22:23 PM | message detail
Guitar Hero will be in its own tier at the bottom of the list while WoW I'd have it above FF and maybe WW if it's a later round and a bandwagon has started.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Congratulations to FastFalcon for winning the guru contest, you are the best among the best.
HaRRicH | Posted 12/14/2008 5:53:19 PM | message detail
Oh, I know where most of us would put GH3 and WoW in that kind of list...but those are BT-questions that require BT-answers.
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FastFalcon05 absolutely decimated me in the Guru challenge. How bad was it?
...I don't want to talk about it.
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2008 6:02:16 PM | message detail
SSBM was only out for like a month during that poll. it doesnt mean GotY is horrible.

FFX came out AFTER SSBM. Matter of fact, FFX had only been out for like 2 weeks when it won GotY.

Speaking of playrates, I found a few older polls:

Poll 1250 (05/07/2003)
Have you played and completed Final Fantasy X?

10549 19.91% Played it, beat it multiple times
15167 28.62% Played it, beat it
10266 19.37% Played it, haven't beat it
6987 13.19% Haven't played it, but want to
10018 18.91% Haven't played it, don't want to

TOTAL VOTES: 52987

68% for FFX.

Poll 1249 (05/06/2003)
Have you played and completed Zelda: The Wind Waker?

3100 5.90% Played it, beat it multiple times
8960 17.05% Played it, beat it
15107 28.75% Played it, haven't beat it
13151 25.03% Haven't played it, but want to
12222 23.26% Haven't played it, don't want to

TOTAL VOTES: 52540

52% for Wind Waker

Poll 1248 (05/05/2003)
Have you played and completed Grand Theft Auto: Vice City?

5301 9.53% Played it, beat it with 100%
12290 22.11% Played it, beat it
17510 31.49% Played it, haven't beat it
8185 14.72% Haven't played it, but want to
12312 22.14% Haven't played it, don't want to

TOTAL VOTES: 55598

64% for Vice City

Of course, these polls are nearly 6 years old now, so...
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2008 6:17:53 PM | message detail
Man, I love this poll:

Poll 724 (11/24/2001)
Which of the three main next-gen systems do you now own?

6969 25.71% None of them
3480 12.84% GameCube
10518 38.81% PlayStation2
894 3.30% Xbox
2817 10.39% GameCube and PS2
209 0.77% GameCube and Xbox
1005 3.71% PS2 and Xbox
1211 4.47% All three

TOTAL VOTES: 27103

12.25% ownership for the Xobox!
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/14/2008 7:05:41 PM | message detail
Keeping true to your list, where do you put Super Mario Galaxy?

More off-topic from your list, where would you put World of Warcraft or Guitar Hero 3 in those rankings?


I'm not sure what to think of Galaxy. It could be anywhere from completely off that list to just below SM64. 64 is probably its absolute upper limit.

As for WoW, just after FFX indirectly, but it would lose to SMB, SMW and SM64 by virtue of them being freaking Mario.

GH3 I'd put after FF8
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
FastFalcon is apparantly better at contesty stuff than me.
MichaelWClark | Posted 12/14/2008 7:51:26 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #174
I don't. Why is it so hard to believe that SMB is a close third in terms of strongest series here?


It's so hard to believe because it is not remotely true. If FF got a good pic, it would have routed Mario much worse than it beat it by. Unless you are crazy enough to believe Mario can hang with Zelda, when everything we have seen from these contests says opposite.

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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
ZFS | Posted 12/14/2008 7:57:30 PM | message detail
Ha. Talk about some bad spin.

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http://i36.tinypic.com/14j2srq.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2008 8:36:23 PM | message detail
A good pic isn't going to turn a close match into a rout.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/14/2008 8:38:18 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #183
A good pic isn't going to turn a close match into a rout.



tifa vs. zero suit samus
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2008 8:38:19 PM | message detail
It's hard to believe because of how well SSB held up to SMB. The entire Mario series got on SSB about what FFVII alone got on SSBM (and I seriously doubt SSB64 adds that much strength to SSBM).
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2008 8:40:07 PM | message detail
That depends what we mean by rout! I'm thinking an Ulti-style blowout, or maybe a tad worse.....why would the difference between Cloud and Ashe be less than that between normal Samus and ZSS, or normal Snake and sprite Snake?
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 12/14/2008 8:40:53 PM | message detail
From: LeonhartFour | #183
A good pic isn't going to turn a close match into a rout.


You REALLY believe that Tifa could get as close to Samus as she did if Samus didn't have that Zero Suit pic?
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." -Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
ZFS | Posted 12/14/2008 8:41:01 PM | message detail
Saying SMB/FF is hard to believe because of a match between SMB/SSB is silly. But it's even worse to try to imply that the picture had any sort of notable cause in the Final Fantasy series "underperforming" on Mario. That's something not even worth discussing.

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http://i36.tinypic.com/14j2srq.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2008 8:42:30 PM | message detail
You REALLY believe that Tifa could get as close to Samus as she did if Samus didn't have that Zero Suit pic?

Nah, I didn't say Tifa'd do the same. She'd probably have done just as well as Zelda, give or take a little, which certainly doesn't qualify as a rout. Besides, that's more of an extreme circumstance anyway.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2008 8:43:15 PM | message detail
Picture factor has been confirmed so many times that it's absurd to just dismiss it. We're talking about the difference between Cloud and Ashe, a character from a game that had not even come out at the time.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/14/2008 8:43:26 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #189
You REALLY believe that Tifa could get as close to Samus as she did if Samus didn't have that Zero Suit pic?

Nah, I didn't say Tifa'd do the same. She'd probably have done just as well as Zelda, give or take a little, which certainly doesn't qualify as a rout. Besides, that's more of an extreme circumstance anyway.



frog vs. snake
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2008 8:43:36 PM | message detail
The entire Mario series got on SSB about what FFVII alone got on SSBM (and I seriously doubt SSB64 adds that much strength to SSBM).

Well, do you think SSBM still only gets 36-37% on FFVII today?

'Cause I don't.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2008 8:45:09 PM | message detail
And you're still talking about extreme circumstance pictures. Besides, Snake MAYBE would've beaten Frog 60/40 or something that year anyway. Still not a rout.

FF/SMB was not an extreme circumstance picture. Doesn't matter if FFXII wasn't out yet or not.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/14/2008 8:45:56 PM | message detail
big boss vs. kirby
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
ZFS | Posted 12/14/2008 8:46:02 PM | message detail
Picture factor has been confirmed so many times that it's absurd to just dismiss it. We're talking about the difference between Cloud and Ashe, a character from a game that had not even come out at the time.

How many people do you actually think looked at that picture and decided "Hey, I love the Final Fantasy series more than anything, but look at this picture of the chick from the upcoming Final Fantasy nope no sir not voting for this"?

why am i doing this

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http://i36.tinypic.com/14j2srq.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2008 8:46:16 PM | message detail
You're just naming extreme circumstances on purpose, aren't you
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2008 8:46:48 PM | message detail
No, it would break 40% pretty easily, probably, but you still face the problem of the other FF games adding very little to FFVII. Is it because fans of each FF game dislike the other games? I don't know, but it seems really strange for the whole FF series to only be a little stronger than FFVII, and even stranger for SMB to really be worth 46% on Zelda. If that were the case SMB3 would have blasted Zelda 1 into the water.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 12/14/2008 8:47:54 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #196
You're just naming extreme circumstances on purpose, aren't you



I'm just showing picture factor CAN play a role. And having a character from an unreleased FF as the face of the series is pretty extreme circumstance I'd say.
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http://www.thatvideogameblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vault-boy.jpg
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket bett
ZFS | Posted 12/14/2008 8:48:16 PM | message detail
If that were the case SMB3 would have blasted Zelda 1 into the water.

Haha. I knew this had to all come back to something! Sure enough!

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http://i36.tinypic.com/14j2srq.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2008 8:49:22 PM | message detail
I don't know, but it seems really strange for the whole FF series to only be a little stronger than FFVII, and even stranger for SMB to really be worth 46% on Zelda. If that were the case SMB3 would have blasted Zelda 1 into the water.

Not true. After the Series Contest, I realized that contest strength isn't FFVII + FFVIII + FFIX + FFX = BOOM

It doesn't work that way. We all seemed to think it did, and if it DID work that way, then FF should've won because it should have the highest average strength.

Super Mario Bros. as a series can do so well because it is so highly respected by nearly EVERYONE. Look at the attempted rallying for SMB/Warcraft, for example.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
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