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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 648

LeonhartFour | Posted 12/12/2008 9:19:07 PM | message detail
Don't forget to nominate Final Fantasy VIII!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

~*aprosenf's poll script*~
http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
MichaelWClark | Posted 12/12/2008 9:20:28 PM | message detail
Darn you to heck. I was waiting two more posts to make this.
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
MichaelWClark | Posted 12/12/2008 9:20:51 PM | message detail
Also, Chrono Trigger FTW
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
ZenOfThunder | Posted 12/12/2008 9:29:00 PM | message detail
http://img.imgcake.com/Zen/request_55.png

yay obscure games
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 12/12/2008 9:29:18 PM | message detail
lol with very little board support I wouldn't be surprised to see FFVIII miss the contest.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Congratulations to FastFalcon for winning the guru contest, you are the best among the best.
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/12/2008 9:29:50 PM | message detail
Speaking of obscure games, Shadow of the Colossus vs. Ratchet & Clank!
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
MichaelWClark | Posted 12/12/2008 9:30:39 PM | message detail
RaC is obscure now?
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/12/2008 9:30:58 PM | message detail
FFVIII will NOT miss the contest unless there's a cap or the nominations never make it to the front page. Even with the Games Contest nomination greatly favoring FFVII (because you could only nominate one game per system), FFVIII still got lots of nominations.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/12/2008 9:31:26 PM | message detail
On this board, it is!

But R&C is one of my personal favorite modern series!
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
ZenOfThunder | Posted 12/12/2008 9:33:09 PM | message detail
I'll make a Ratchet and Clank vs Jak and Daxter match pic, but which is the best game of each series?
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
ZenOfThunder | Posted 12/12/2008 9:34:21 PM | message detail
oh manz I should use SUPER HAPPY FUN TIME Ratchet

http://image.com.com/gamespot/images/bigboxshots/2/919902_55223_front.jpg
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/12/2008 9:37:56 PM | message detail
The 3rd game of each series is best.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
ZenOfThunder | Posted 12/12/2008 9:49:27 PM | message detail
I'm gonna split them up because I think the SFF would make the match boring

http://img.imgcake.com/Zen/request_56.png

Trogdor wants some love too!
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/12/2008 9:50:04 PM | message detail
...Who gets the SFF?
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
ZenOfThunder | Posted 12/12/2008 9:53:39 PM | message detail
I dunno, but they're basically the same thing in my eyes, with the same people playing them, and Ratchet is more loved, so he gets all the votes.

Boring match!
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
ZenOfThunder | Posted 12/12/2008 9:55:57 PM | message detail
http://img.imgcake.com/Zen/request_57x0.png

Interesting match!
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/12/2008 9:56:25 PM | message detail
Pikmin will die.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
ZenOfThunder | Posted 12/12/2008 10:40:51 PM | message detail
http://img.imgcake.com/Zen/request_58.png
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
ZenOfThunder | Posted 12/12/2008 10:52:03 PM | message detail
http://img.imgcake.com/Zen/request_59.png
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/12/2008 11:03:17 PM | message detail
In the category of matches no one wants to see!
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/13/2008 8:32:22 AM | message detail
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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
Mr3790 | Posted 12/13/2008 9:19:21 AM | message detail
Screw FFVIII, Majora's Mask needs the noms!
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AC:WW Code: Name:Mr.378 Town:Darkcity FC: 4210-5769-8462
GENO WHIRL!
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2008 9:20:38 AM | message detail
Majora's Mask needs nothin' but a first round whoopin' from FFVIII!
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/13/2008 9:56:46 AM | message detail
I'm thinking FF8 is going to disappoint (relatively, it'll still be strong) but I also think MM disappoints as well. FF8>MM seems like an easy pick to me.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 12/13/2008 9:59:46 AM | message detail
FFVIII needs nothing but a retcon from existence.

In reality. We all just need to pretend it never happened.
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, FastFalcon05
ZenOfThunder | Posted 12/13/2008 10:10:22 AM | message detail
http://img.imgcake.com/Zen/request_19.png
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2008 5:29:38 PM | message detail
Super Mario Bros. vs. Legend of Zelda: Who you got?
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
transience | Posted 12/13/2008 5:31:30 PM | message detail
I was going to post this yesterday..

Super Mario Bros.
Super Mario World
Super Mario 64
Zelda: Majora's Mask
Zelda: Wind Waker
Zelda 1

rank 'em.
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2008 5:33:42 PM | message detail
Uhhh...

Super Mario World
Super Mario 64



Majora's Mask

The other three fit in there somewhere. I'd feel strange having all three Mario games on top of that inequality, but at the same time, I could easily see it.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 12/13/2008 5:35:29 PM | message detail
SM64
SMW
WW
MM
SMB
LoZ
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, FastFalcon05
transience | Posted 12/13/2008 5:35:36 PM | message detail
but would you take it head to head?

time to recap:

Super Mario 64 23.74% 18697
The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 76.26% 60064
TOTAL VOTES 78761

Super Mario Bros. 3 56.78% 44312
The Legend of Zelda 43.22% 33734
TOTAL VOTES 78046
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/13/2008 5:36:50 PM | message detail
Halo 2 vs. Guitar Hero 2

who you got
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2008 5:37:55 PM | message detail
OoT and LttP will destroy any Mario game (aside from maybe LttP against Mario 3, I think it'd be close). The rest...They're beatable by at least one Mario game. I just have a hard time seeing Mario World or Mario 64 lose to Metroid Prime, so at the very least, they can beat the Wind Waker. Zelda 1 wouldn't be that far ahead of either one, I reckon. Which way the SFF rolls is very difficult to know.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
transience | Posted 12/13/2008 5:40:33 PM | message detail
what would you pick for percentages in LTTP/Mario 3?
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2008 5:41:20 PM | message detail
I'd take LttP to win, but I think it'd stay within 55/45. Maybe...53-54% for LttP.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
Mac Arrowny | Posted 12/13/2008 5:41:28 PM | message detail
Yeah, it's not entirely fair to throw all the Zeldas into the same basket. OoT/LttP/TP are a cut above the rest, and I think that the top Mario games (Galaxy/3/World/64/1) would be somewhat closer together than those Zeldas and the next ones on the list.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
As is FastFalcon
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2008 5:42:02 PM | message detail
Oh, here's one:

Mario 3 vs. Twilight Princess: Who you got?
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
transience | Posted 12/13/2008 5:42:10 PM | message detail
I feel the same - I think Mario 3 could potentially win that. no way I'd ever pick it though.
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2008 5:43:08 PM | message detail
I wouldn't be at all surprised if Mario 3 won just because of its reputation, but yeah, I couldn't pick it.

Even if I did pick Mario 3 to win the last Games Contest!
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
RPGuy96 | Posted 12/13/2008 5:48:56 PM | message detail
Don't forget that 2004 was by far Mario's worst year (and a pretty solid year for Link, even if his games couldn't quite make it into the final four).
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Mustache...and Green...
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2008 5:50:26 PM | message detail
Yeah, but games are an entirely different story, especially in Mario's case, I think. I have never been a big fan of Mario himself, but I love his games to death.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
transience | Posted 12/13/2008 5:50:32 PM | message detail
and don't forget that Zelda held up to Mario this year -- Zelda.
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
Lopen | Posted 12/13/2008 5:54:54 PM | message detail
Super Mario World
Super Mario 64
Zelda: Wind Waker

Zelda 1
Super Mario Bros.


Zelda: Majora's Mask

That's how I see it.
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FastFalcon's quest to defeat Lopen: Round - blagh I am dead.
Target: 467+. Target obtained and shattered damn you FastFalcon.
Lopen | Posted 12/13/2008 5:57:19 PM | message detail
And me I think Twilight Princess probably doesn't even beat Mario World (LttP didn't beat it by more than 5% or so right?), so of course I'm taking Mario 3 over it.
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FastFalcon's quest to defeat Lopen: Round - blagh I am dead.
Target: 467+. Target obtained and shattered damn you FastFalcon.
ZFS | Posted 12/13/2008 6:01:43 PM | message detail
Whoa. People would take Twilight Princess over Mario 3? I wouldn't even think about that one. TP may be Zelda, but Mario 3 is one of the best we've got in this contest.

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http://i36.tinypic.com/14j2srq.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2008 6:02:25 PM | message detail
I just figured I'd throw it out there to see what people thought.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-withtoupee.gif
ZFS | Posted 12/13/2008 6:04:34 PM | message detail
Oh, I see now. You guys were talking about ALttP. That makes more sense!

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http://i36.tinypic.com/14j2srq.gif
Lopen | Posted 12/13/2008 6:39:02 PM | message detail
Ohhh... okay, yeah. That does make some sense.

I'd probably take Mario 3 for the win there, even though you've gotta go with LttP based on CT performances. Just think this is the one time Mario could win the SFF situation.
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FastFalcon's quest to defeat Lopen: Round - blagh I am dead.
Target: 467+. Target obtained and shattered damn you FastFalcon.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/13/2008 7:33:02 PM | message detail
I'll take LTTP over Mario 3 definitely, although SMB3's chances are not quite zero. Not going to take any Nintendo game other than OOT over LTTP, or any game that can beat LTTP.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
Xuxon | Posted 12/13/2008 7:36:08 PM | message detail
I like SM64 > SMW as top two, SMB > Zelda 1, and MM in last. WW is probably either above or below both NES games. Let's go with:

Super Mario 64
Super Mario World
Zelda: Wind Waker
Super Mario Bros.
Zelda 1
Zelda: Majora's Mask
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Always bet on Snake. I learned this from our guru, FastFalcon05.
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