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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 646

MetricTrout | Posted 12/7/2008 7:54:57 AM | message detail
NSMB is the second best selling Mario game of all time though, isn't it? That should give it some noms

Fourth. 1, 3, and World all sold better. It is the second best selling DS game, though.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2008 8:33:40 AM | message detail
I go with four because that was our precedent (2004). I give FFT an exception too, and SMRPG as well.

Well the 16 I usually go with (sometimes I rotate with the snub list that I'll post) are...

Final Fantasy VI
Final Fantasy VII
Final Fantasy VIII
Final Fantasy X
Final Fantasy Tactics
LoZ: A Link to the Past
LoZ: Ocarina of Time
LoZ: Majora's Mask
LoZ: The Wind Waker
LoZ: Twilight Princess
Super Mario Bros. 3
Super Mario World
Super Mario RPG
Super Mario 64
Mario Kart 64
Super Mario Galaxy

Snubs:
Final Fantasy
Final Fantasy IV
Final Fantasy IX
Final Fantasy XII
Legend of Zelda
LoZ: Link's Awakening
Super Mario Bros.
Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island
Paper Mario
Super Mario Sunshine
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Congratulations to FastFalcon for winning the guru contest, you are the best among the best.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 12/7/2008 8:48:01 AM | message detail
Didn't Super Mario Land also sell better?
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. FastFalcon05 > Me
Yesmar | Posted 12/7/2008 8:51:48 AM | message detail
I think there should be company caps up until a point. First off, four should be the cap if there is one. Three is way too small. We would NEVER see FFVIII in the contest if this is the case. However, I think it's fair to set a nomination limit and if any game gets that high they get in regardless of cap, whereas at anything lower, even if the game would normally get in, the caps kicks in for them.

And for everyone talking about wanting more variety where were you in 2004 or this past year? We had 6 Mario characters in 2003 and every single one was placed effectively; it's possible.
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
Yesmar | Posted 12/7/2008 8:53:05 AM | message detail
OK, we did come close to having Mario/Wario, but that was Ceej's fault. Wario/Shadow could have easily been placed somewhere else.
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
WoWfaqs | Posted 12/7/2008 8:53:23 AM | message detail
caps wouldn't really bother me... I'd actually probably prefer them to seeing the 6th Zelda and FF titles anyway. It could pose a problem with the mario series if bacon is lame and clumps stuff like Kart 64 and Smash with the Mario series though. I really want to see Brawl and Melee in the contest (preferably against each other early, so we can see them go head to head, and then only have the strongest rep, rep the series), Kart 64, SM64, SMB3, Galaxy, and one of the world's. That's 6 right there that I'd feel pretty crappy about if they didn't get in.

but all that really matters is that WoW gets in. WoW > FF7 + OoT + Sex combined.

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WoW > FF7
Karma Hunter | Posted 12/7/2008 9:06:48 AM | message detail
We had 6 Mario characters in 2003

Firstly, I only count five - Mario, Bowser, Yoshi, Luigi, and Wario. And really, even Wario was pushing it there, in retrospect, though I guess he had just had a new release. Secondly, it's much harder for the big companies to clutter a proper 64 character bracket, in large part because one company's series don't have many characters of worth (Zelda has 3 characters worthy of a 64 bracket, for cryin' out loud), and the other - Square - has been clearly capped every year. Sure, the entire cast of FFVII is probably above half the field, but do we really need to see them all make even one - let alone the SAME contest?
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
hailEC | Posted 12/7/2008 9:09:50 AM | message detail
yes

cait sith > barrett lets do this

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all hail ec your lord and savior
except FastFalcon, he's so legit you must bow down to his ass too.
HaRRicH | Posted 12/7/2008 10:36:26 AM | message detail
reno vs yuffie oh yeah
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FastFalcon05 absolutely decimated me in the Guru challenge. How bad was it?
...I don't want to talk about it.
ZFS | Posted 12/7/2008 11:00:58 AM | message detail
A cap of four is probably for the best. You still get plenty of representation Mario/Zelda/FF without overloading the bracket. Five is probably too much and three is too small.

Ideally, we'd get SMB3/SM64/SMG/SMW, OoT/ALttP/TP/MM, FFVII/FFX/FFVI/FFVIII.

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charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2008 11:23:10 AM | message detail
Well as long as Tactics, Mario RPG and Kart 64 are counted as spin-off series I'm happy with the a series cap of 4.

btw how many Metal Gear games are we expecting? I think MGS is a lock and MGS4 is really close to one as well, but does anyone see 2 and/or 3 making it into the contest?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Congratulations to FastFalcon for winning the guru contest, you are the best among the best.
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2008 11:25:25 AM | message detail
4 does nothing but keep out new FF/Zelda/Mario competitors, though. Give them all a chance before preventing them from entering a contest.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/7/2008 11:43:34 AM | message detail
Hmm....round 3 of the next character battle could look like this....

Link
Cait Sith

Megaman
Vincent Valentine

Cloud Strife
Barret Wallace

Mario
Cid Highwind

Sephiroth
Red XIII

Crono
Tifa Lockhart

Solid Snake
Yuffie Kisaragi

Samus Aran
Aeris Gainsborough

There's no room for Sonic unfortunately, so let's assume he got eliminated by Vincent in round 2 or something.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 12/7/2008 11:48:42 AM | message detail
MGS3 is one of those love it/hate it games. I don't think it'll have any problem getting in, but probably won't do too well.
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FastFalcon and Solid Snake snapped my neck in the guru contest.
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2008 11:49:57 AM | message detail
MGS3 is love/hate? MGS2 is love/hate, MGS3 not so much.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
ZFS | Posted 12/7/2008 12:31:54 PM | message detail
4 does nothing but keep out new FF/Zelda/Mario competitors, though. Give them all a chance before preventing them from entering a contest.

What are we keeping out? A cap of four can still get you a big new entry from every series - we don't need to see FFIX or FFXII, TWW and MM, or Yoshi's Island or NSMB.

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ZFS | Posted 12/7/2008 12:33:44 PM | message detail
Though Yoshi's Island could get counted as something separate and make it in. Yoshi's Island wouldn't be a bad entry so long as it isn't at the expense of something like Mario World.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2008 12:41:37 PM | message detail
And why not? Each of them provide much more interesting matches than whatever would replace them and deserve to be there more than whatever game would replace them, especially since some of them would be getting capped two contests in a row. I'm for caps, but 4 is definitely too small.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
ZFS | Posted 12/7/2008 12:44:43 PM | message detail
There's plenty of interesting games we could see in place of another Final Fantasy or Zelda game. When you're dealing with games, finding good, strong entries isn't going to be a problem. There's a lot out there that isn't from the big three that would do well. With third tier games like Final Fantasy IX or Yoshi's Island, you know they're going to do well solely because of their namesake.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2008 12:44:54 PM | message detail
Not to mention I disagree with you on not needing to see any of those games.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2008 12:47:35 PM | message detail
Bad argument. Every game in the Zelda/FF/Mario series is benefited greatly by and is disproportionately strong because of their namesake.

And really, what would we be missing? Almost all of the new high-profile games are bound to get in. We'd mostly likely be letting in high fodder to low midcarders.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 12/7/2008 12:48:04 PM | message detail
Meh, doesn't make too much of a difference whether we see FFIX or Chrono Cross. I don't see caps improving the bracket, really.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
As is FastFalcon
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2008 12:50:20 PM | message detail
We are currently at 34603 nominations.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
ZFS | Posted 12/7/2008 1:00:03 PM | message detail
The top tier games in those series are the ones that carry the name, they don't do well because of it. Namesake - and franchise voting - starts to matter the most when you get down to the third and fourth tier entries. I don't know about you, but seeing Final Fantasy XII trash games around its level and then collapse to everything the next tier above isn't all that interesting to me.

I'm curious - have you seen transience's bracket? That uses the four cap rule we're talking about. How many more Mario/Zelda/FF games do you want to throw into that?

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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2008 1:01:35 PM | message detail
I've advocated a cap of 5 since Day 1.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
ZFS | Posted 12/7/2008 1:03:17 PM | message detail
Add one from each series to the bracket and check out what happens.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2008 1:04:30 PM | message detail
...It's a bracket with slightly more Mario/Zelda/FF?

Really, if it's such a concern just set a couple of them up against each other.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
ZFS | Posted 12/7/2008 1:09:33 PM | message detail
whoosh

We'll see which he decides to go with soon.

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red sox 777 | Posted 12/7/2008 1:10:42 PM | message detail
Looking at character battles with 64 entrants, the following are mainstays from the Big 3:

Final Fantasy:

Cloud
Sephiroth
Vincent
Tifa
Aeris
Squall
Auron
Tidus
Yuna

Zelda:

Link
Ganondorf
Zelda

Mario:

Mario
Bowser
Yoshi
Luigi

That's 16 characters- it's never been a problem, and it is incidentally the same number of games the Big 3 had in the top 64 in the top 100 list.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
transience | Posted 12/7/2008 1:18:56 PM | message detail
it's way different in a Game Contest and you know it. for argument's sake, let's pull a consensus top 20 out of my butt. Mario/Zelda/FF in bold:

Final Fantasy 7
Ocarina of Time

Chrono Trigger
Link to the Past
Mario 3

Super Smash Bros. Melee
Super Smash Bros. Brawl
Twilight Princess
Final Fantasy X
Final Fantasy VI

Metal Gear Solid
Super Mario 64
Resident Evil 4
Final Fantasy VIII
Super Mario World

Starcraft
Zelda: Majora's Mask
Super Mario Galaxy
Zelda: Wind Waker

Kingdom Hearts

you could also argue Zelda 1 being up here and any number of FF titles being close - after all, FF1 got 40% on Mario 3 and FF4/9/12 are probably stronger. there's serious domination here.

and if you want to extend that to games those characters have been in, you can add Melee/Brawl/KH to the list. pretty soon it's not a question of what's in the Big Three series', but rather, what isn't.

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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/7/2008 2:59:12 PM | message detail
MGS3 is love/hate? MGS2 is love/hate, MGS3 not so much

MGS3 is the bastard child of the Metal Gear franchise (Ac!d not counted). It is the Final Fantasy 9/Wind Waker/Sunshine of Metal Gear.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
FastFalcon is apparantly better at contesty stuff than me.
Yesmar | Posted 12/7/2008 3:14:01 PM | message detail
Putting Majora's Mask, Wind Waker, FFVIII and Galaxy in the Top 20 is just assumption, an assumption you could make for plenty of non Big 3 games as well.

Just off the top of my head:
Diablo II, Soul Calibur 1/2, Metroid Prime, Goldeneye, Halo 1/2/3, San Andreas, GTA III, Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Kingdom Hearts 2, Half-Life 2 are all games that could beat stuff like Majora's Mask or Super Mario Galaxy.

Caps have never worked out in the past, and I see no reason why they would work now. My point with characters was not that they were spread out in regards to popularity, but that it is possible and easy to spread these entrants throughout a bracket in such a way that they don't SFF each other. It's not like these are all games that have the same monolithic popularity. Hell, for Final Fantasy they could just as well be different games. Some of the best contests we've ever had have been the ones with the least "variety" like 2003 and 2005, and the "variety" in both 2002 and Sp2004 was the worst part of both of them.
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
transience | Posted 12/7/2008 3:18:18 PM | message detail
you're stretching if you think Soul Calibur, GTA3, Metroid, Half-Life or Pokemon can beat a popular Zelda or Mario title. when the bracket comes out I hope a matchup like that is available, because there's no way anyone sane takes it.

I did forget Goldeneye, though -- good call. I have a tendency to do that.
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
red sox 777 | Posted 12/7/2008 3:27:24 PM | message detail
I agree with Yesmar there. We don't need to artificially inject variety into the bracket; it will appear on its own. We will also be surprised, probably many times during the contest- no one has gotten a perfect bracket yet, after all.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
ZFS | Posted 12/7/2008 3:42:34 PM | message detail
It isn't a matter of artificially injecting variety into the bracket. We'd be arguing about limiting the big three to only three entries if that were the case. A cap of four is a nice medium between both of the extremes.

Diablo II, Soul Calibur 1/2, Metroid Prime, Goldeneye, Halo 1/2/3, San Andreas, GTA III, Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Kingdom Hearts 2, Half-Life 2 are all games that could beat stuff like Majora's Mask or Super Mario Galaxy.

This is a huge stretch. No one would take these games - Goldeneye excluded - over the Mario Galaxy or Majora's Mask.

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MegatokyoEd | Posted 12/7/2008 3:51:42 PM | message detail
There is no way in hell any of those games beat Galaxy.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/7/2008 3:51:58 PM | message detail
I agree with Yesmar there. We don't need to artificially inject variety into the bracket; it will appear on its own.

No it won't. Because without caps, stuff like every single zelda/Mario/ff game would beat good games of other series just because of name alone, and it would essentially be a Zelda/Mario/FF Best Game Contest.
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FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/7/2008 4:47:55 PM | message detail
If you cap it at 5, you get the Mario/Zelda/FF games that are worth anything, and you prevent weaker entrants like Wind Waker or FF9 that would job to many many other games.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
FastFalcon is apparantly better at contesty stuff than me.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/7/2008 4:49:07 PM | message detail
5 is too many. 4 I think is the right number. Wasn't the last content capped at 4 games also?
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FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/7/2008 4:49:14 PM | message detail
*contest
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FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
red sox 777 | Posted 12/7/2008 4:54:31 PM | message detail
I'd take Goldeneye and RBY over Galaxy and Majora's Mask.

The Big 3 combined for 11 in the 2004 contest, 14 if you count FFT/A and SMRPG. For this contest:

FFVII
FFVI
FFX
FFVIII
FFT

OOT
LTTP
TP
MM
Zelda 1

SMB3
SMW
SM64
SMG
SMRPG

That looks fine to me.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/7/2008 4:56:36 PM | message detail
I'd take Goldeneye and RBY over Galaxy and Majora's Mask.

I'm really intrigued how well Pokemno will do in this contest, cuz if it is 1v1, we'll see just how less anti voted Pokemon is t hese days. Obviously, Pokemon games aren't gonna be beating Mario Galaxy or Majoras Mask due to anti votes, but I don't think it'll be to the level of nati votes as earlier years when Pikachu struggled to beat Parappa the Rapper, and Pokemon Gold lost to Xenogears, a totally obscure jrpg.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 12/7/2008 5:03:06 PM | message detail
if someone takes soul calibur over galaxy or majora's mask they literally are the worst bracketmaker ever
and this is coming from a guy who had diddy going past round 2
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The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/7/2008 5:04:24 PM | message detail

From: Masato_Tanaka | #443
if someone takes soul calibur over galaxy or majora's mask they literally are the worst bracketmaker ever
and this is coming from a guy who had diddy going past round 2



i think your second line showed that you don't know what you're talking about with soul calibur IMO
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FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
red sox 777 | Posted 12/7/2008 5:04:38 PM | message detail
I think Pokemon RBY will fare much better in avoiding anti-votes than Pikachu did in 1v1s, both because there is more hate toward Pikachu than the game, and because Pikachu wouldn't get antivoted nearly as badly now. RBY should also be much stronger than GSC, and combining the versions, RBY is the highest selling game ever I believe, SMB1 and its packaging with the NES notwithstanding.

But GSC lost to Xenogears easily so RBY can't be that strong, right? No. How strong is Xenogears really? It got 20% on FFVII: a Square Playstation RPG against Final Fantasy VII. There's lots of potential for SFF there. We don't know. Keep in mind that FFT was even with MGS in 2004 also....I think Xenogears was likely a midcarder. And GSC has boosted since then, while Xenogears has dropped, so GSC would very likely win a rematch, andit probably wouldn't even be close. RBY is then a great deal stronger on top of that.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/7/2008 5:06:59 PM | message detail
I really don't buy Xenogears being anything special in strength, since if it was, Fei would of gotten in before this year (where he got a 4th place finish, though granted in a strong 4pack). To me I see Xenogears as more of a Talestype of game sicne its a more obscure rpg.. regardless, I can't see Pokemon losing to it in any way unless you count massive anti votes.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
red sox 777 | Posted 12/7/2008 5:07:10 PM | message detail
Worst pick ever? Well Hochi said that was taking Zack for anything but first in his round 1 match....

I've taken Crono > Sephiroth twice, and managed a net gain of 8 points because of it, somehow. So....a crazy fanboy upset pick that worked, at least points-wise?
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 12/7/2008 5:07:25 PM | message detail
i think your second line showed that you don't know what you're talking about with soul calibur IMO

No, it just shows that it's a terrible decision. Soul Calbur couldn't beat Kingdom ****ing Hearts. I love both games to death(so don't go saying "HEY HIKO DOESN'T KNOW JACK BOUT SOUL CALIBUR LOL"), but neither one of them could TOUCH a Zelda title, unless it was the CD-I game or something.
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The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/7/2008 5:10:29 PM | message detail
nightmare could beat tingle 1v1
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FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
Lopen | Posted 12/7/2008 5:34:45 PM | message detail
after all, FF1 got 40% on Mario 3 and FF4/9/12 are probably stronger

Disagree on that. Especially FF12. FF1 being one of the pillars of the NES makes it stronger than any of the FF snubs I think... excepting maybe FF8. Maybe.

And I think you guys are overestimating the strength of Majora's Mask here. And possibly Galaxy as well. Yes, Galaxy did well in the GotY polls... but look at what it was against. Wii ahd a terrible year for releases that year, and in the final it was in a SFF situation between Call of Duty and Halo 3. Galaxy's probably a step below all the Mario games we've seen.
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FastFalcon's quest to defeat Lopen: Round - blagh I am dead.
Target: 467+. Target obtained and shattered damn you FastFalcon.
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