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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 645

Fayt_Esteed | Posted 12/3/2008 5:20:02 PM | message detail
And why are you so high on Warcraft? There's a difference between SC and WoW, you know. Warcraft is hated on GameFAQs, while Starcraft is loved. When you're as hated as Warcraft is, it doesn't take a very strong opponent to put you down.
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
FastFalcon sure showed us his moves in the Guru Contest!
ZFS | Posted 12/3/2008 5:21:11 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2995

Take away all the Nintendo there and Twilight Princess takes an easy first. Hard to argue with that - and that was a year after its release.

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http://i36.tinypic.com/2hehbis.gif
RPGuy96 | Posted 12/3/2008 5:26:33 PM | message detail
In terms of half divisions, you have:

Ocarina
midcarder mess

TP/Galaxy/MGS
FFX/Mario 3

CT/LttP
Brawl/Mario 64/FFVI

midcarder mess 2
FFVII/Melee

What I would suggest is putting Melee in with FFX and Mario 3. I have no idea what the Pokemon consensus is but it's probably a good match for the Yoshi's Island/Half-Life 2 winner. Melee is probably a good fit for FFX and Mario 3; I imagine Mario 3 would be the favourite between the two and Mario 3/Melee was the original debated match. TP/Galaxy/MGS vs FFX/Mario 3/Melee is not obvious to me, and while that's a lot of Nintendo going against Ocarina next round it hardly matters because Ocarina is going to crush whatever it faces anyway. Playing with the seeding a bit:

6 - Final Fantasy X
11 - Earthbound

3 - Super Smash Bros. Melee
14 - Fable 2

7 - Tales of Symphonia
10 - Okami

2 - Super Mario Bros. 3
15 - Kingdom Hearts 2

~~

6 - Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island
11 - Half-Life 2

3 - Pokemon Red
14 - Guitar Hero 2

7 - LittleBigPlanet
10 - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney

2 - Final Fantasy VII
15 - Left 4 Dead

I think the seeding is mostly justified (Yoshi's Island and RBY have pretty big board rallies), though FFX is probably too low.
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Mustache...and FastFalcon...
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 5:29:18 PM | message detail
I like this idea -- the only thing I'd like to see is a stronger 6 seed for Red since it's got a range. hmm.
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 5:33:46 PM | message detail
another option would be to move Galaxy out of there completely so as to line up some seeds. maybe put it into Ocarina's division alongside RE4, give Melee the 1 seed and drop FFX to the 3? we'd have to move a few more things but Galaxy/RE4/MGS3/KH could be good.

we could throw World of Warcraft into the TP division too -- I always felt that Starcraft got stronger as the contest went on, and if it keeps rolling we could see a real powerhouse by rounds 3 or 4. giving it Ocarina is just too much though.
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 12/3/2008 5:35:35 PM | message detail
But couldn't it be that people were pissed that Starcraft ended up as a 16 seed?
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
FastFalcon sure showed us his moves in the Guru Contest!
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 5:42:01 PM | message detail
how's this? I really like this at a glance, except for two Metroid games back to back. meh, they're far apart.

~1~

1 - Zelda: Ocarina of Time
16 - Persona 3

8 - Portal
9 - Donkey Kong Country 2

5 - Mega Man 2
12 - Starfox 64

4 - Grand Theft Auto 4
13 - Final Fantasy IX

6 - LittleBigPlanet
11 - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney

3 - Super Mario Galaxy
14 - Devil May Cry

7 - Kingdom Hearts
10 - Metal Gear Solid 3

2 - Resident Evil 4
15 - Disgaea: Hour of Darkness

~2~

1 - Zelda: Twilight Princess
16 - Fire Emblem (GBA)

8 - Starcraft
9 - Final Fantasy Tactics

5 - Metal Gear Solid
12 - Sonic the Hedgehog 2

4 - Final Fantasy X
13 - Earthbound

6 - Call of Duty 4
11 - World of Warcraft

3 - Super Smash Bros. Melee
14 - Fable 2

7 - Tales of Symphonia
10 - Okami

2 - Super Mario Bros. 3
15 - Kingdom Hearts 2

~3~

1 - Chrono Trigger
16 - Soul Calibur

8 - Fallout 3
9 - Mario Kart 64

5 - Zelda: Link to the Past
12 - The World Ends With You

4 - Gears of War
13 - Street Fighter II

6 - Bioshock
11 - Kirby Super Star

3 - Super Smash Bros. Brawl
14 - Chrono Cross

7 - Final Fantasy VI
10 - Animal Crossing

2 - Mario 64
15 - Diablo 2

~4~

1 - Metal Gear Solid 4
16 - Super Mario RPG

8 - Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas
9 - God of War 2

5 - Halo
12 - Zelda: Majora's Mask

4 - Metroid Prime
13 - Pokemon Diamond

6 - Super Metroid
11 - Castlevania: Symphony of the Night

3 - Pokemon Red
14 - Guitar Hero 2

7 - Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island
10 - Half-Life 2

2 - Final Fantasy VII
15 - Left 4 Dead

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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
red sox 777 | Posted 12/3/2008 5:48:45 PM | message detail
I like it. I'd actually be a little more ambitious for Pokemon RBY- I'd switch its 2-pack with Metroid Prime's. That gives RBY an opportunity to take down Majora's Mask and MGS4/SMRPG. It does give us Super Metroid vs. Metroid Prime, but that's an SFF match that would be interesting- it's not at all clear which game wins.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
Lopen | Posted 12/3/2008 6:01:16 PM | message detail
Devil May Cry being Galaxy food is not cool tran! Also Diablo 2.. especially Diablo 2. Give that thing the right pack and it could outdo Starcraft! Actually, I'm vaguely considering the D2 > Mario 64 upset anyway.

Division 2 is by far my favorite. Several possible division winners... not a single undebatable match of the bunch. Even friggin ToS is in a debatable match!

Division 4... I think the lack of the paired Pokemon games hamstrings their support. Change it to Blue/Red/Yellow and I take it over Castlevania.

~1~

1 - Zelda: Ocarina of Time
8 - Portal
5 - Mega Man 2
4 - Grand Theft Auto 4

11 - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney
3 - Super Mario Galaxy
10 - Metal Gear Solid 3
2 - Resident Evil 4

~2~

1 - Zelda: Twilight Princess
8 - Starcraft
5 - Metal Gear Solid
4 - Final Fantasy X

6 - Call of Duty 4
3 - Super Smash Bros. Melee
7 - Tales of Symphonia
2 - Super Mario Bros. 3

~3~

1 - Chrono Trigger
9 - Mario Kart 64
5 - Zelda: Link to the Past
13 - Street Fighter II

11 - Kirby Super Star
3 - Super Smash Bros. Brawl
7 - Final Fantasy VI
2 - Mario 64

~4~

16 - Super Mario RPG
9 - God of War 2
5 - Halo
13 - Pokemon Diamond

11 - Castlevania: Symphony of the Night
3 - Pokemon Red
7 - Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island
2 - Final Fantasy VII

Only glaring error: Where's Goldeneye 007?

Oh, for the final 4:

FFVII > Mario 3.
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FastFalcon's quest to defeat Lopen: Round - blagh I am dead.
Target: 467+. Target obtained and shattered damn you FastFalcon.
Lopen | Posted 12/3/2008 6:02:31 PM | message detail
Oh and how you like that 16 > 1 SMRPG upset aw yeah let it happen. (Oh and where's FF1 dammit! The NES needs all the worthy entrants it can get)
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FastFalcon's quest to defeat Lopen: Round - blagh I am dead.
Target: 467+. Target obtained and shattered damn you FastFalcon.
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 6:02:57 PM | message detail
...did I delete 007 at some point?

argh! time to fix this.
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 6:05:08 PM | message detail
hmm, how's 007 look as the 6 in division 1? (Galaxy in round 2, RE4 in round 3)

gotta move things all the hell around in order to make this happen.
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 6:17:23 PM | message detail
well, I killed a couple of debatable weak round 1 matches, but now RE4's eightpack is loaded. g'bye, Chrono Cross!

I have half a mind to push Majora's Mask into division 1 and put Goldeneye/Halo.

~1~

1 - Zelda: Ocarina of Time
16 - Persona 3

8 - Portal
9 - Donkey Kong Country 2

5 - Mega Man 2
12 - Starfox 64

4 - Grand Theft Auto 4
13 - Final Fantasy IX

6 - Goldeneye 007
11 - LittleBigPlanet

3 - Super Mario Galaxy
14 - Devil May Cry

7 - Kingdom Hearts
10 - Metal Gear Solid 3

2 - Resident Evil 4
15 - Disgaea: Hour of Darkness

~2~

1 - Zelda: Twilight Princess
16 - Fire Emblem (GBA)

8 - Starcraft
9 - Final Fantasy Tactics

5 - Metal Gear Solid
12 - Sonic the Hedgehog 2

4 - Final Fantasy X
13 - Earthbound

6 - Call of Duty 4
11 - World of Warcraft

3 - Super Smash Bros. Melee
14 - Fable 2

7 - Tales of Symphonia
10 - Okami

2 - Super Mario Bros. 3
15 - Kingdom Hearts 2

~3~

1 - Chrono Trigger
16 - Soul Calibur

8 - Fallout 3
9 - Mario Kart 64

5 - Zelda: Link to the Past
12 - The World Ends With You

4 - Gears of War
13 - Street Fighter II

6 - Bioshock
11 - Kirby Super Star

3 - Super Smash Bros. Brawl
14 - Animal Crossing

7 - Final Fantasy VI
10 - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney

2 - Mario 64
15 - Diablo 2

~4~

1 - Metal Gear Solid 4
16 - Super Mario RPG

8 - Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas
9 - God of War 2

5 - Halo
12 - Zelda: Majora's Mask

4 - Metroid Prime
13 - Pokemon Diamond

6 - Super Metroid
11 - Castlevania: Symphony of the Night

3 - Pokemon Red
14 - Guitar Hero 2

7 - Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island
10 - Half-Life 2

2 - Final Fantasy VII
15 - Left 4 Dead

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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 12/3/2008 6:17:54 PM | message detail
worst bracket ever
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FastFalcon is in my sig. How can this be.
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
XxSoulxX | Posted 12/3/2008 6:26:58 PM | message detail
Switch Diablo 2 with Pokemon Diamond to get a really interesting fourpack with Halo/Majora's Mask and Metroid Prime/Diablo 2.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 6:43:41 PM | message detail
that works. I don't like wasting Diamond any more than I like wasting D2 though.
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/3/2008 6:44:10 PM | message detail
3 - Pokemon Red

Bacon actually mentioned in a feedback ticket to KP that Red/Blue/Yellow will all be counted in the same nom, and listed together in the bracket like GSC was.
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Falcon your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS: Portable Ops
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/3/2008 6:47:58 PM | message detail
I think he knows that and just didn't put R/B/Y. I posted an accompanying picture in the stats topic yesterday.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 6:49:48 PM | message detail
'twas Gold in 2004, so I just follow the precedent. I don't think it really matters that much, but I'll switch it if you like.
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 12/3/2008 6:50:04 PM | message detail
Will the same apply to Diamond and Pearl?
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
FastFalcon sure showed us his moves in the Guru Contest!
XxSoulxX | Posted 12/3/2008 6:54:01 PM | message detail
Switch Diamond with Kingdom Hearts (so Diamond/MGS3 happens and SM64/KH happens, KH won't get a lot of support with KH2 out anyways).
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Good Times,
Great Memories
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 6:55:49 PM | message detail
no, that's no good. KH looks good next to MGS3 and I've already wasted KH2. there's just only so many spots in the bracket that I can make competitive.
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 12/3/2008 7:09:30 PM | message detail
Again, if R/B/Y were combined, wouldn't the same be done for Diamond and Pearl?
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
FastFalcon sure showed us his moves in the Guru Contest!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 12/3/2008 7:12:03 PM | message detail
It doesn't really matter. They'd have roughly the same strength indirectly anyway.
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FastFalcon is in my sig. How can this be.
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
XxSoulxX | Posted 12/3/2008 7:13:05 PM | message detail
Oh, and there's no possible way that FF7 does not get the overall first seed. The only way it's not listed first is if Bacon moves it down to a lower division.

This game is still far and away the number 1 game on here despite what the PotD says.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 7:14:09 PM | message detail
I can flip the division if you like. *shrug*
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/3/2008 7:14:47 PM | message detail

From: XxSoulxX | #425
Oh, and there's no possible way that FF7 does not get the overall first seed. The only way it's not listed first is if Bacon moves it down to a lower division.

This game is still far and away the number 1 game on here despite what the PotD says.



Reviews play 2/3 into seeding, and FF7 doesn't have as good of reviews as many other games vying for number 1 seeds
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/3/2008 7:20:15 PM | message detail
To further my point..

In Ngamers topic about the rankings of games based on different things, this is what we come up with for FF7 based on reviews

Reader Reviews: 36th
MyGames: 20th
Professional Reviews: 52nd


With these reviwes making up 2/3rd of the seeding, there is no possible way FF7 gets a number 1 seed. 4-5 is more likely
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
XxSoulxX | Posted 12/3/2008 7:23:04 PM | message detail
Hmm... I forgot about that.

Still, I don't think it's going to slip by. It probably won't get the first overall seed, but I'm pretty sure it will get a 1 seed just because of all the nominations it will get.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
MarioSuperstar | Posted 12/3/2008 7:23:55 PM | message detail
Once again, aside from the poll that took place shortly after it released, why are people so high up on Twilight Princess

so it's fine to ignore the poll and just go with what a couple of people say?
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/3/2008 7:25:00 PM | message detail
I remember after people actually played TP, alot of people thought the 8.8 was deserving. It seemed like a real let down overall from hearing what people said. I can't imagine it any stronger then 2k4 Wind Waker
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
RPGuy96 | Posted 12/3/2008 7:26:57 PM | message detail
I understand why FFVIII was snubbed in that bracket, but once noms are opened to the public it's a shoo-in. I think it's safe to say that any series cap will definitely affect Tactics or IX before VIII.
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Mustache...and FastFalcon...
red sox 777 | Posted 12/3/2008 7:27:04 PM | message detail
Yeah, OOT should get the overall #1 seed thanks to the reviews/ratings. Now that I think of it, I'd like to switch division 2 and 3. I'd rather see CT face OOT than FFVII, and I'd rather see SSBM/SMB3/Starcraft face FFVII than OOT. On the off chance that Starcraft can pull another miracle run and make it to the final four this time, after seeing just how powerful bandwagons are the past 2 years, I want it to get its match against FFVII- the one we were all dreading and trying to reassure ourselves SC could not possibly win for a couple of hours during SC/SSBM.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
MarioSuperstar | Posted 12/3/2008 7:27:16 PM | message detail
actually being = to WW is all it needs to beat WoW.
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*is Dranze*
Through fire, justice is served because FastFalcon05 owned my bracket.
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 7:28:18 PM | message detail
as if CT is a lock to leave that division!
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
red sox 777 | Posted 12/3/2008 7:30:10 PM | message detail
No, it's not, but honestly I'd rather see LTTP face OOT than FFVII also, for some reason. And I'd really prefer SSBM/SMB3 to go out against FFVII than get SFF'd by OOT.
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
RPGuy96 | Posted 12/3/2008 7:30:18 PM | message detail
The game of the century poll in which Twilight Princess destroyed Wind Waker was taken a year after the former's release.
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Mustache...and FastFalcon...
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 7:32:33 PM | message detail
re: FF8/FF9, I see them as being not *that* far apart and had to pick one, so I went with the board fave. I did the same with Mario 64/World thanks to Yoshi's Island.
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
RPGuy96 | Posted 12/3/2008 7:36:38 PM | message detail
Strongly disagree there. Barring heavy franchise voting (not impossible given FF and LoZ last contest), I should think FFVIII would be significantly stronger than FFIX.
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Mustache...and FastFalcon...
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/3/2008 7:37:39 PM | message detail
FFVIII fans have so far not given me faith in their dedication to the game. FFIX has had Zidane, Vivi, and Kuja getting in. FFVIII has Squall. There's reasons as to that, but still.

BTW, I think FFT slips past the series cap before either of them, even though it would be weaker in a matchup. It managed to get into the Games Contest despite FF7 hogging up PS1 nominations.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/3/2008 7:38:30 PM | message detail
Note that I'm talking about the nomination system here. In a direct matchup, FFVIII easily beats FFIX (although not by that much).

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 7:38:34 PM | message detail
*points to Mario 3 / FF1*

I think you'd need a real "name" to take down something with Final Fantasy in it. FF8 is stronger than FF9 but I don't think it's too significant; basically, I don't think FF8 is worth a whole ton at this point.
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
red sox 777 | Posted 12/3/2008 7:38:48 PM | message detail
Alright, would anyone consider taking FFX over FFVI now straight up?
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Congratulations to Crono for making his first true finals match, your 5 time contest champion, Link, and the Guru Champion FastFalcon
RPGuy96 | Posted 12/3/2008 7:39:28 PM | message detail
If you read the fine print, FFT (and TA) were considered a separate series, and only one game per series per generation was allowed. That explains the two of them over, say, FFVIII/IX or Majora's Mask.
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Mustache...and FastFalcon...
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/3/2008 7:39:39 PM | message detail
I'm going to go into this contest with a very New>Old mindset, so yes, I would take FFX over FFVI. It's definitely an upset, though.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/3/2008 7:40:38 PM | message detail
Ah. Well then I think all 5 if the main FF games get in. 4 seems much too harsh a cap.

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 7:40:40 PM | message detail
FF10 beats FF6. I'm still surprised people are arguing that it belongs in the Mario 3 / CT / LTTP class - it's a tier below that, and I think FF10 is just more liked at this point.
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/3/2008 7:44:14 PM | message detail

From: trannyscience | Posted: 12/3/2008 10:40:40 PM | #444
FF10 beats FF6. I'm still surprised people are arguing that it belongs in the Mario 3 / CT / LTTP class - it's a tier below that, and I think FF10 is just more liked at this point.



...what?
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Falcon your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS: Portable Ops
trannyscience | Posted 12/3/2008 7:45:28 PM | message detail
what's the problem?
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xyzzy
blah blah blah Fastfalcon blah blah blah Solid Snake blah blah blah Guru Contest blah
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 12/3/2008 7:46:04 PM | message detail
I think FFX beats any FF other then 7 tbh
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http://card.mygamercard.net/nxe/Albion+Hero.png
FastFalcon05 sure knows how to fill out a Guru Contest bracket better than I!
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