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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 644

Biolizard28 | Posted 11/26/2008 4:27:28 PM | message detail
From: LeonhartFour
Two words explain what happened to Ryu Hayabusa: Solid Snake.

But that's exactly my point. In the face of characters with a "cooler" design and more appeal, Ryu H. falters.

Hell, look at Duke Nukem in 2007. He took round 1 based entirely on his design, but when he hit Sub-Zero, from THE "mature game for mature gamers such as myself", he did horribly.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 4:36:39 PM | message detail

Hell, look at Duke Nukem in 2007. He took round 1 based entirely on his design, but when he hit Sub-Zero, from THE "mature game for mature gamers such as myself", he did horribly.


Gordon Freeman boosted between rounds. Nothing at all to do with Sub-Zero.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 11/26/2008 4:36:52 PM | message detail
Please don't act like what Duke Nukem did had ANYTHING to do with Sub-Zero. Scorpion hit the exact same roadblock in his Round 2 match - it's called "Gordon Freeman is ****ing nonlinear"

And again, Solid Snake isn't just another badass. If Ryu just folded whenever he ran into a badass, he would've been decimated by Zero. Instead, he beat him outright. Snake, Sephiroth, these are characters that defy and break the rules - it's a result of them being so popular to begin with.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 4:39:13 PM | message detail
it's called "Gordon Freeman is ****ing nonlinear"

No, he is. Look at his matches this year. The only odd result is his first round match, and that can be attributed to Big Daddy.
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Yesmar | Posted 11/26/2008 4:45:40 PM | message detail
*points to Zelda > Tetris*

Tetris probably suffers from whatever Pac-Man the character (and possibly game as well) suffers from. It might just completely collapse against anything with name recognition.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 4:49:44 PM | message detail

Tetris probably suffers from whatever Pac-Man the character (and possibly game as well) suffers from. It might just completely collapse against anything with name recognition.


It could, but I need more proof before backing this. There is no real reason to like the character Pac-Man other then it being an old school character (or it's character design). So, although it has some initial strength, when facing any character from the old school cast, he loses most of his support.

Tetris on the other hand, is a game that everyone has played and the vast majority enjoy. I think it has legit strength. I could see it folding under Nintendo SFF, just because it is known as a Nintendo game.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 11/26/2008 4:50:11 PM | message detail
No, he is. Look at his matches this year. The only odd result is his first round match, and that can be attributed to Big Daddy.

Gordon went from getting beaten by 2000 votes to KILLING Scorpion by over 7000. Big Daddy didn't cause that change, unless Gordon is the easiest character to LFF in the world.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 4:51:52 PM | message detail
Maybe there's some Vincent/Scorpion badass factor going on with a combination of SFF from Gordon/Big Daddy?
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/26/2008 4:52:53 PM | message detail
Are we all forgetting Scorpion's terrible R2 pic?

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FastFalcon believed in Snake. I didn't.
KommunistKoala | Posted 11/26/2008 4:53:45 PM | message detail

From: Karma Hunter | #103
And again, Solid Snake isn't just another badass. If Ryu just folded whenever he ran into a badass, he would've been decimated by Zero. Instead, he beat him outright. Snake, Sephiroth, these are characters that defy and break the rules - it's a result of them being so popular to begin with.



I believe Bio meant more so looks like a badass.

Ryu is a Ninja. Solid Snake not only sounds cooler, but looks more badass than a ninja.

Zero just didn't look like a badass I guess.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 11/26/2008 4:58:45 PM | message detail
I believe Bio meant more so looks like a badass.

Ryu is a Ninja. Solid Snake not only sounds cooler, but looks more badass than a ninja.

Zero just didn't look like a badass I guess.


http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Image:Cb7-42.jpg

Maybe you don't remember that Round 2 picture. <_<
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/26/2008 5:08:17 PM | message detail
oh manz Faith would totally be guaranteed a spot next year if she looked like she did on the right:

http://cache.gawker.com/assets/images/kotaku/2008/11/two_faiths.jpg
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 5:32:50 PM | message detail
Gordon boosting massively in between rounds last year makes...

*calculates*

...zero sense. That's assuming a really large portion of GameFAQs played the game between rounds.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 5:37:00 PM | message detail
Gordon boosting massively in between rounds last year makes...

*calculates*

...zero sense. That's assuming a really large portion of GameFAQs played the game between rounds.


So, I guess you also don't believe in SMS boosting Mario past Cloud in 2002.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 5:39:17 PM | message detail
I believe in Planet GameCube boosting Mario past Cloud in 2002 and Cloud not being as strong back then. After all, Sephy went 50/50 with Mega Man that year, and 60/40'd him a year later.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 11/26/2008 5:40:05 PM | message detail
You realize that Mario/Cloud was on the DAY that SMS was released, right? A few matches later, Mario had dropped down to Crono's level. That's probably the biggest argument against Gordon boosting between rounds right there.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 5:43:00 PM | message detail
What the hell.

Ok, I don't even know why I'm arguing with this. It's as clear as ****ing day that Gordon boosted because of the Orange Box, and thinking otherwise is just flat out idiotic.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 11/26/2008 5:43:26 PM | message detail
"lol Sowl"
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 5:45:13 PM | message detail
I don't see it being clear as day. He proved this year it WASN'T clear as day, and thinking it was because of Big Daddy that he had two completely different performances isn't that smart either. Gordon will look better the stronger the fourpack gets. Against a fourpack where he's close to the strongest character, he won't do as well, for whatever the reason.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 5:45:53 PM | message detail
Ok, so explain me why Solid Snake boosted this year if you don't believe in games boosting characters. Go on, do it and realize how stupid you sound.

Seriously, this is very, very basic contest knowledge. Take one character that's only known as a PC character, and put him in a hyped game across all major consoles and the PC. Do you think people who went and played the game decided it was too early to vote for Gordon or something?
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 5:46:57 PM | message detail
I don't see it being clear as day. He proved this year it WASN'T clear as day, and thinking it was because of Big Daddy that he had two completely different performances isn't that smart either. Gordon will look better the stronger the fourpack gets. Against a fourpack where he's close to the strongest character, he won't do as well, for whatever the reason.

Keep believing in Gordon being a mysterious character that boosts and weakens randomly. I'll consider him a normal character that boosts when a brand new game comes out.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 5:47:06 PM | message detail
I don't believe in it happening THAT fast. I never said I didn't believe in it not happening.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 5:47:31 PM | message detail
And I just said it wasn't random. It depends on his competition.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 5:51:58 PM | message detail
It depends on his competition.

Why does it depend on his competition? For every reason, there has to be some sort of explanation. You can't say Gordon is a character that doesn't show up when he's fighting weaker characters. It makes no sense whatsoever.

You're really over-thinking him. Believe me, I would much rather have Gordon be this unique contest character that makes him a beast when he gains momentum, but he's not. He's a solid midcarder that boosted because of The Orange Box.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 5:53:14 PM | message detail
When Gordon does the exact same thing two years in a row (turn a narrow loss into a 5% victory the next round), that's not overthinking it. That's a trend.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 5:55:50 PM | message detail
He had reason to do it in year 1.

In year 2, he also had reason to boost, and Scorpion had reason to weaken.
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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 11/26/2008 5:56:53 PM | message detail
tag
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The Straight Up G
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Karma Hunter | Posted 11/26/2008 5:59:11 PM | message detail
It's not like this idea of Gordon being less linear than other characters is anything new, either. We're talking about a character that got nearly as much on post-KH2 Sora as Ryu Hayabusa did on pre-KH2 Sora. Does this mean Freeman would have even the faintest glimmer of a chance against Ryu H in a typical match? No - but throw a Noble Niner into the mix, and suddenly that loyal Half-Life fanbase is worth a lot more.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 6:05:34 PM | message detail
I don't see anything wrong with the Sora/Gordon match, to tell you the truth. It cements the fact that Gordon is a midcarder.

And why wouldn't Gordon have a chance against Ryu Hayabusa exactly?
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Karma Hunter | Posted 11/26/2008 6:06:51 PM | message detail
And why wouldn't Gordon have a chance against Ryu Hayabusa exactly?

Okay joke argument everyone move along now
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 6:07:24 PM | message detail
Remember this is the guy who thinks Gordon can legitimately hang with Ganondorf.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 6:09:52 PM | message detail
Remember this is the guy who thinks Gordon can legitimately hang with Ganondorf.

I also really thought GlaDOS could beat Vincent, and Knuckles would win the entire contest.

If you want to try to disprove my credibility, at least quote something I didn't make jokingly.
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trannyscience | Posted 11/26/2008 6:10:33 PM | message detail
I would think that making joke arguments means that we can't take you seriously!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 6:10:56 PM | message detail
Okay, Alyx Vance > Lara Croft

Seriously, Half-Life fanboyism!

Not that I haven't made my fair share of ridiculous upset picks in my day!
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Karma Hunter | Posted 11/26/2008 6:11:52 PM | message detail
No I'm pretty sure anything after Gordon > Hayabusa is just icing on the cake

Gordon wouldn't beat Riku (although he did significantly better than Riku against Leon Kennedy, hmm this seems like a trend).
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Karma Hunter | Posted 11/26/2008 6:15:26 PM | message detail
Thank goodness all my crazy fanboy upset picks have panned out.

I couldn't imagine what it'd be like in the same boat as Soul and Leon!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 6:16:16 PM | message detail
Hey, I got, uhhh...

...

...

...

...

...Squall > Magus if it had happened! darn you knuckles
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 6:16:47 PM | message detail
Okay, Alyx Vance > Lara Croft

Seriously, Half-Life fanboyism!

Not that I haven't made my fair share of ridiculous upset picks in my day!


Exactly. We all make mistakes.

I would think that making joke arguments means that we can't take you seriously!

Lopen (MC > Link), Heroic Mario and EC (Ganondorf > Male Bracket)...

Are we done trying to kill my contest credibility yet? Despite some of my upset picks not working out, a lot of them actually do work (Sora > Ryu Hayabusa, Sonic > Crono, Duke's path). The same with every other user that posts in these topics.

Back on subject here, I still haven't received any logical explanation on why Freeman magically boosts against stronger characters.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 6:18:11 PM | message detail
Should have added Ulti (Magus > Squall) and Leon (anything involving Sonic) to the list.
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ZFS | Posted 11/26/2008 6:22:39 PM | message detail
damn you vincent

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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 6:23:41 PM | message detail
I gave you logical explanation! Not my fault if you don't accept it! Gordon is one of those characters whose devoted fanbase is relatively small but dedicated. That's part of the reason he kept breaking 40% no matter who he faced until Sora, and even then, he did better than he should have, really. Now that dedicated fanbase is noticeably larger, so he does better.

I had Sonic > Crono, too!

I'm gonna list the major upset picks I've ever gotten right, now that KH is calling me out!

Auron > Sonic this year!

Ryu getting out of division 2 last year!

Luigi > Ganondorf last year! (Fanboyism fueled, but nevertheless!)

Sub-Zero > Master Chief in 2006!

I'll refrain from posting my upset busts because it would break the character limit.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 11/26/2008 6:24:18 PM | message detail
It's that Freeman has pretty much ZERO overlap. We're talking about pretty much one of the only characters who simply CANNOT be SFFed by virtually any character, and even when he can it's practically negligible. His base is extremely loyal. This is the polar opposite of characters like Falco, who despite having no disproportionate overlap crumble when placed against credible opposition.

You want my honest opinion? Freeman would likely lose to Falco 1v1, because there's just enough SSB fanbase out there that hasn't even heard of Gordon Freeman to beat that loyal HL base straight up. We're still talking about a character whose sole 1v1 win in these contests is Phoenix Wright.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 6:26:49 PM | message detail
Should have added Ulti (Magus > Squall)

Don't even act like Magus > Squall was Ulti alone. Only a handful of people had Squall > Magus on this board. I even had several posts detailing why I thought Magus was overrated, but even then, few people listened!
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 6:27:15 PM | message detail
I gave you logical explanation! Not my fault if you don't accept it! Gordon is one of those characters whose devoted fanbase is relatively small but dedicated. That's part of the reason he kept breaking 40% no matter who he faced until Sora, and even then, he did better than he should have, really. Now that dedicated fanbase is noticeably larger, so he does better.

So he has fans. How does that make him unique?

Going by that logic, why does his fanbase only show up against stronger characters? If his fans are dedicated, they would vote for him no matter what, no? That would make him overperform on weaker characters too.
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Yesmar | Posted 11/26/2008 6:27:27 PM | message detail
I think that Gordon is around 23-22 on BL, not the 25, that the stats say. Keep in mind, that number is based off of a Vincent that is way too high in my opinion. This is someone who did poorly against Falco R1 (I doubt buy any of that "obvious winners underperform" logic. [Where was it last year?]) , and who went even with a Crono who did worse against Ammy than Dante did* (I don't agree that some middling port that didn't even sell that well did anything substantial for Ammy's popularity). The "problem" with Gordon this year lies in people overrating Vincent, IMO.


*TWICE, mind you, even when Ammy was in 4th place and should have been logically underperforming.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 11/26/2008 6:28:00 PM | message detail
Man you people have had some crazy upsets over the years.

The only blemish on my record is Mega Man > Samus and I got off that train well before it ever happened! I still maintain it would've happened if Mega weren't weaker than Auron these days argh
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 6:28:57 PM | message detail

Don't even act like Magus > Squall was Ulti alone. Only a handful of people had Squall > Magus on this board. I even had several posts detailing why I thought Magus was overrated, but even then, few people listened!


There's picks that people make that fail, then there's picks that people make and then argue until your face turns blue on how that pick is the only possible pick, and fail.
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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 11/26/2008 6:29:10 PM | message detail
The only huge upset that I've had that's bitten me in the ass in recent memory was like...Diddy Kong going past round 2

<_<
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The Straight Up G
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/26/2008 6:29:25 PM | message detail
Going by that logic, why does his fanbase only show up against stronger characters?

Looking at it from the wrong angle. The fact of the matter is that Gordon will hang in there better when a larger percentage of the poll is being taken up by a character much stronger than he is. Going from Scorpion/Big Daddy/Balthier (three characters that are his level or worse) to Samus/Ganon/Vincent (three characters who are much stronger than he is), Gordon lost 10%.

Pretty good.
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FastFalcon is without a doubt the best Guru I've ever heard of, savvy?
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/26/2008 6:34:06 PM | message detail

You want my honest opinion? Freeman would likely lose to Falco 1v1, because there's just enough SSB fanbase out there that hasn't even heard of Gordon Freeman to beat that loyal HL base straight up. We're still talking about a character whose sole 1v1 win in these contests is Phoenix Wright.


Would Falco get 36% against Sora?

Using your point, how about Ness?
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