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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 641

WhatTheDarn | Posted 11/18/2008 10:55:29 PM | message detail
I am the anti-Link! AND I'M THE ONE MAN WHO CAN BREAK YOU!
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"War is no reason to end a friendship." - Solid Snake
Seginustemple | Posted 11/18/2008 10:55:33 PM | message detail
Yay! If anything, this is Snake's year to win it. However, I'll admit I do take pleasure in seeing Link win year after year. I don't appreciate chaos in the stats!
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I'm gonna kill bill gates and then force feed him to him - Shaggy
Brawl FC: 2750-4289-2133
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/18/2008 10:56:42 PM | message detail
agh dum link ball just die any way
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/18/2008 10:57:12 PM | message detail
Huh? There are people thinking Snake will beat Link?

Oh...

No... sorry that's not going to happen
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
WhatTheDarn | Posted 11/18/2008 10:57:53 PM | message detail
This is Raiden! We've managed to avoid losing!
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"War is no reason to end a friendship." - Solid Snake
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/18/2008 10:58:07 PM | message detail
Why are you people crushing my dreams

am I even awake right now

am I even real

am



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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/18/2008 10:58:11 PM | message detail
I mean it'll be fun cheering him on and all but no come on.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
HaRRicH | Posted 11/18/2008 10:58:36 PM | message detail
For kicks, this would be the third year in a row Link lost to somebody if Solid wins it all. He lost to L-Block last year and -- you guessed it -- Jay Solano in 2005.
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/18/2008 10:58:57 PM | message detail

From: The n00b Avenger | #304
Huh? There are people thinking Snake will beat Link?

Oh...

No... sorry that's not going to happen



People said same thing before L beat Link last year.
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http://videogames.techfresh.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/wow-wrath-of-the-lich-king.jpg
leon_trunks | Posted 11/18/2008 10:59:05 PM | message detail
Huh? There are people thinking Snake will beat Link?

There are people on this board who said Link will kill Snake with over 30% on him, and that Snake will come 3rd.
Everybody who said Snake wouldn't win said that^

And nobody predicted L-Block winning last year either, so its okay.
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U.S. Agent and former Raccoon City Police Department rookie, Leon S. Kennedy.Trapped in a village of crazed savages...
red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 10:59:40 PM | message detail
Snake has toyed with my mind enough over the past 24 hours, taunting with every cut he let Cloud get on him, with every update he doesn't act like L-Block and freefall in percentage, that I no longer have complete faith even in Link.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake
Xuxon | Posted 11/18/2008 11:00:07 PM | message detail
People predicted L-Block winning after seeing its semi-final match though. Snake just came out of NOWHERE.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
wavedash101 | Posted 11/18/2008 11:00:22 PM | message detail
Somebody check the batteries on KH.
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash!
Lucid Faia | Posted 11/18/2008 11:00:34 PM | message detail
And Snake officially leads after 2 hours. Nice good.

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The Ohio State Buckeyes
National Rank: 10. Record: 9-2. Next Game: LOL Michigan
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/18/2008 11:01:06 PM | message detail
You Link fanboys can't let it go, huh.
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Gaddswell | Posted 11/18/2008 11:01:06 PM | message detail
Well, time to pack up! Link's coming back to town!
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/18/2008 11:01:12 PM | message detail
Also:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2925


Crono beat L-Block this year, too...twice.
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 11:01:54 PM | message detail
Link gets a nice 2 updates there to salvage a gain of 7 votes for that hour. Looks like he won't be able to do much until morning however.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 11/18/2008 11:02:15 PM | message detail
C-Man didnt like people dissing him.
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Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/18/2008 11:02:31 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #309
People said same thing before L beat Link last year.





What? No. The average advantage for Link people gave before the match even started was less than 2% over L-Block in the oracle. L-Block's victory was something that was thought of as plausible before the match even started(this is actually a much more surprising result) And L-Block started with like a 15-20% advantage of Link. They're not even comparable.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 11:02:43 PM | message detail
Crono > Snake next year CTDS Massive Boost Believe
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake
red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 11:03:37 PM | message detail
Yeah, L-Block had a 4700 vote lead on Link at this point.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake
ZFS | Posted 11/18/2008 11:04:14 PM | message detail
Huh? There are people thinking Snake will beat Link?

I think most are hoping he does, instead of expecting.

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http://i33.tinypic.com/2s0xn3o.gif
Demon HunterX | Posted 11/18/2008 11:04:24 PM | message detail
snake has a fanbase beyond jokers though.
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Currently playing: HoMM3, FFII
Next up: AJ ; Awaiting: SC2
MetricTrout | Posted 11/18/2008 11:04:54 PM | message detail
Hey, anyone who thinks Snake can beat Link:

Snake was ahead around 600 votes last round against Cloud at this time. He is ahead by less than 50 on Link. And Cloud's day vote (or any part of his vote, for that matter) is not as strong as Link's. Yet Cloud still manage to cut into the 600 vote lead. Not to mention that there is there is no FF7 anti-vote here.

It is not going to happen.
Demon HunterX | Posted 11/18/2008 11:06:13 PM | message detail
Snake was ahead around 600 votes last round against Cloud at this time. He is ahead by less than 50 on Link. And Cloud's day vote (or any part of his vote, for that matter) is not as strong as Link's. Yet Cloud still manage to cut into the 600 vote lead. Not to mention that there is there is no FF7 anti-vote here.

It is not going to happen.


you underestimate the will of a hero.
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Currently playing: HoMM3, FFII
Next up: AJ ; Awaiting: SC2
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/18/2008 11:07:47 PM | message detail
Yeah with competition like this Link is going to make the ASV his *****. Snake's going to need to build one hell of a lead over night to do that, and these stalls aren't a great indicator. In another hour he should be able to make some progress but I can hardly think it would be enough
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/18/2008 11:08:07 PM | message detail
The rally potential to dethrone Link can really screw with trends, you know.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
http://videogames.techfresh.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/wow-wrath-of-the-lich-king.jpg
HaRRicH | Posted 11/18/2008 11:09:51 PM | message detail
It's also worth noting nobody is hindering Link's trends here like Seph did Cloud yesterday, either.

That said, **** it. Something this unexplainable means all we can do is wait it out and see what goes down. Solid already jumped from barely beating LFF'd-Cloud to barely leading Link by himself in a day's time period. Who knows what else this means for the rest of the match?
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 11/18/2008 11:09:58 PM | message detail
Demon HunterX | Posted 11/18/2008 11:04:24 PM | message detail
snake has a fanbase beyond jokers though.


Uhh, everyone has a fanbase beyond jokers except Jokes.

and most of the MGS fanbase are Jokers.
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Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/18/2008 11:11:13 PM | message detail
With how crazy this contest has been, why even try to debate it? I'd say Snake has a legit chance here after seeing all we've seen.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
http://videogames.techfresh.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/wow-wrath-of-the-lich-king.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 11:11:19 PM | message detail
Alright, who's ready for some awesome.

So let's look at how Snake did on Kirby, vs. how Big Boss did on Kirby.

Solid Snake - 57.57%
Kirby - 42.43%

Big Boss - 56.66%
Kirby - 43.34%

Which means sans SFF, Snake would beat Big Boss with about 50.46%. Now look at how Snake's doing against Cloud.

Solid Snake - 60.29%
Cloud Strife - 39.71%

Pretty good. This means that Big Boss/Cloud goes about 60/40. So where am I going with this? That's right...

Big Boss - 68.49%
Raiden - 31.51%

Heavily SFF'd Raiden gets within 8.5% of Cloud?

Sounds like we've got a new Noble Nine breaker on our hands.
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CB7 Score: 488/640
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 11:12:40 PM | message detail
It looks like Link's not going to make any real gains until morning. He and Snake will drop off in percentage overnight while Crono and especially Cloud gain. Cloud will get his first cut on Link and Snake within another 2 hours or so I think.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake
ZFS | Posted 11/18/2008 11:13:13 PM | message detail
spin of the year

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Iamthekuzalol | Posted 11/18/2008 11:15:00 PM | message detail
Screw the voting trend, the true hero of our time (Snake) will defy all odds and win the ASV against Link.

Believe.
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Steroid Snake's quest : To advance to the final for the third consecutive time. Please support him, thks.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/18/2008 11:16:22 PM | message detail
did kleenex just try to spin it so that Raiden....

wow
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ExThaNemesis is the man.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/18/2008 11:17:05 PM | message detail
Cloud will get his first cut on Link and Snake within another 2 hours or so I think.

...You seriously don't think Cloud is making any cuts do you?
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http://videogames.techfresh.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/wow-wrath-of-the-lich-king.jpg
Xuxon | Posted 11/18/2008 11:18:17 PM | message detail
I think Cloud could get a cut or two.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
rusheHidaka | Posted 11/18/2008 11:18:25 PM | message detail
This is Snake's final mission, guys! This is his only real chance to be immortalized in glory, whereas link/cloud are timeless, Snake's story is over!!
red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 11:18:42 PM | message detail
20 minutes ago, Snake only beat Cloud by 27 votes on an update. This last update he only gained 38. Cloud will make cuts later tonight.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 11:18:54 PM | message detail
From: ExThaNemesis | #333
did kleenex just try to spin it so that Raiden....

wow


you wish you were this good
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CB7 Score: 488/640
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
WhatTheDarn | Posted 11/18/2008 11:18:55 PM | message detail
Link, those blue "wings" on your Master Sword offer no tactical advantage, unless you're planning to auction it off as a collector's item.

And you're forgetting one more, very basic thing.

You don't have what it takes to kill Snake.
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"War is no reason to end a friendship." - Solid Snake
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 11/18/2008 11:20:32 PM | message detail
Hey, anyone who thinks Snake can beat Link:

Snake was ahead around 600 votes last round against Cloud at this time. He is ahead by less than 50 on Link. And Cloud's day vote (or any part of his vote, for that matter) is not as strong as Link's. Yet Cloud still manage to cut into the 600 vote lead. Not to mention that there is there is no FF7 anti-vote here.

It is not going to happen.


Like I pointed out before, from this point on in the 2k6 Cloud/Link match Cloud gained 3% on Link from 43% to 46%. Link's day vote is nice, but his early vote is better. A 60 vote lead on Link and a 600 vote lead on Cloud at this point is very comparable.
Lopen | Posted 11/18/2008 11:21:32 PM | message detail
You do us proud, Kleenex.

Next year...!
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Kirby's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 5 - The big cheese himself
Target: 48% Gained Crazy Party and "You're Too Slow!" ability. Spikey goin down!
Link Fanboy | Posted 11/18/2008 11:21:47 PM | message detail
You Link fanboys can't let it go, huh.

Wouldn't be much of a fanboy if I did. >_>
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Deep down inside, everybody is a Link Fanboy.
HulkamaniacFTW | Posted 11/18/2008 11:21:53 PM | message detail
Snake's strength
MGS4 boost
Brawl Boost

most importantly, the boost that comes from people wanting Link to keep the contest fresh.

When people see Snake actually haves a chance, they will rally HARD
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My life is a book you read in reverse, so you understand less as the pages go slowly by. Or a movie so crast and awkwardly cast, that even I could be the star
red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 11:22:07 PM | message detail
The FFVII day vote hasn't been as great as it used to be this year, and the FFVII early vote hasn't been quite as bad. Following 2006 trends, Cloud would have cruised to a 1500+ vote victory over Snake yesterday.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake
wavedash101 | Posted 11/18/2008 11:22:44 PM | message detail
Give that spinmaster a steak
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash!
leon_trunks | Posted 11/18/2008 11:22:46 PM | message detail
*sigh*
I'm tired of rallying now. Snake needs to build a friggin lead here.
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U.S. Agent and former Raccoon City Police Department rookie, Leon S. Kennedy.Trapped in a village of crazed savages...
ZFS | Posted 11/18/2008 11:23:59 PM | message detail
Link's day vote is nice, but his early vote is better. A 60 vote lead on Link and a 600 vote lead on Cloud at this point is very comparable.

There isn't anything comparable about a 60 vote lead to a 600 vote lead, trends be damned. Snake's early vote was absolutely killer this match - far moreso than it was last round. Link's early vote might be better than Cloud's, but he'll do better during the day, too. There won't be a day of trading updates if the most Snake can muster tonight is a couple hundred vote lead. There's a big difference there.

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