GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 640
| ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/18/2008 3:36:48 PM | message detail |
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it's the fiiiinal countdown ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- (|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08) . /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg |
| Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 11/18/2008 3:37:49 PM | message detail |
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Final = Link>Cloud>Snake>Crono --- Playing: Gears of War 2 | Dead Space | Castlevania:OoE| Fallout 3 |
| Xiivi | Posted 11/18/2008 3:51:55 PM | message detail |
| I'm just hoping the Final isn't over in the first 5 minutes. Sadly I have the feeling that's going to be the case though. |
| Gaddswell | Posted 11/18/2008 3:56:40 PM | message detail |
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It probably is, unless Snake / Crono decides to be interesting. --- http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 3:57:12 PM | message detail |
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You mean Crono/Cloud. --- CB7 Score: 456/576 http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif |
| Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 11/18/2008 3:58:28 PM | message detail |
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Nah. There will be no close battles. Snake>Crono is a lock. Look how strong snake is today, --- Playing: Gears of War 2 | Dead Space | Castlevania:OoE| Fallout 3 |
| The_Ocelot2 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:00:07 PM | message detail |
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40 vote cut watchout --- Go Ducks Go! http://www.mafia2game.com/community/wallpaper/wall_2_1024x640.jpg |
| Mr3790 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:02:46 PM | message detail |
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Wow, snake Totally disregarded what I said earlier today... ...Not that that's a bad thing, of course! --- AC:WW Code: Name:Mr.378 Town:Darkcity FC: 4210-5769-8462 GENO WHIRL! |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:03:25 PM | message detail |
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you guys know the other topic's not closed yet --- CB7 Score: 456/576 http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 11/18/2008 4:30:06 PM | message detail |
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ACTIVATE RALLYING --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| Fayt_Esteed | Posted 11/18/2008 4:30:47 PM | message detail |
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I think Crono's getting last tomorrow. --- Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM |
| Gaddswell | Posted 11/18/2008 4:31:55 PM | message detail |
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Snake's lead now is finally less that his lead at the end of the power hour. --- http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:32:46 PM | message detail |
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600 Barrier Broken! 1:00 | 56.93% | 54.18% | -2.65% 2:00 | 54.83% | 50.12% | -4.71% 3:00 | 50.18% | 49.98% | -0.20% 4:00 | 52.21% | 48.63% | -3.58% 5:00 | 50.20% | 48.22% | -1.98% 6:00 | 49.78% | 49.30% | -0.48% 7:00 | 50.16% | 49.62% | -0.54% 8:00 | 52.32% | 50.83% | -1.49% 9:00 | 50.19% | 49.78% | -0.41% 10:00 | 50.03% | 49.87% | -0.16% 11:00 | 50.05% | 51.26% | 1.21% 12:00 | 51.03% | 49.71% | -1.32% 13:00 | 49.97% | 51.04% | 1.07% 14:00 | 50.52% | 52.55% | 2.03% 15:00 | 50.14% | 50.76% | 0.62% 16:00 | 48.96% | 50.04% | 1.08% 17:00 | 47.86% | 51.01% | 3.15% 18:00 | 47.50% | 49.09% | 1.59% 19:00 | 47.23% | 48.74% | 1.51% 20:00 | 47.58% 21:00 | 47.87% 22:00 | 45.71% 23:00 | 48.75% 24:00 | 51.26% --- Crono's quest to beat Link: Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake |
| Master Moltar | Posted 11/18/2008 4:33:25 PM | message detail |
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So I came home and all of a sudden Snake loses 100+ votes oh geez here it comes --- Moltar Status: augh Link/Zack/Duke/Altair - Bracket: Link > Shadow - Vote: Link (181/256) |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/18/2008 4:33:44 PM | message detail |
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Okay guys I'm back! Whew that was close --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:34:28 PM | message detail |
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Come on Snake.....hold on for 4 hours and 26 minutes. That's all we ask of you. --- ~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~ |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:34:43 PM | message detail |
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well dang --- CB7 Score: 456/576 http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/18/2008 4:35:08 PM | message detail |
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And of course for this recent collapse I again blame Moltar HOLD SNAKE HOLD --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/18/2008 4:37:30 PM | message detail |
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why are people getting worried? cloud has about an hour and a half to
get a 200 vote lead because Snakes time will be after that. Not
happening --- http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png http://videogames.techfresh.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/wow-wrath-of-the-lich-king.jpg |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:39:17 PM | message detail |
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oh look KH comes back and snake stalls coincidence? i think not --- CB7 Score: 456/576 http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:39:52 PM | message detail |
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Cloud has until 11 probably. Snake should still be the favorite, yes. --- Crono's quest to beat Link: Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/18/2008 4:41:20 PM | message detail |
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only the favorite? more like snake should still be a lock imo --- http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png http://videogames.techfresh.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/wow-wrath-of-the-lich-king.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/18/2008 4:41:25 PM | message detail |
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I'm not trusting anything out of this match. For all I know Cloud could
have the most epic last hour ever WHICH MEANS IT'S TIME TO BUILD UP THE
LEAD AGAIN <_< --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:41:49 PM | message detail |
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*plays Frog's theme* --- ~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~ |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:42:12 PM | message detail |
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hey kh if you rally for cloud to win i'll pick whatever game you want to nominate for the guru --- CB7 Score: 456/576 http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:44:23 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, Cloud would win the last hour over Snake without rallying, so
Cloud could potentially have until the end of the match to complete his
comeback, if the Snake rally doesn't materialize, or if FFVII fans
decide to counterrally Cloud. --- Crono's quest to beat Link: Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:44:50 PM | message detail |
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two stalls in a row not suspicious at all --- CB7 Score: 456/576 http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/18/2008 4:45:52 PM | message detail |
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serious comebacks cant happen with as much SFF as Cloud has. Even with
rallies almost half the people would just vote for seph anyway. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png http://videogames.techfresh.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/wow-wrath-of-the-lich-king.jpg |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:48:11 PM | message detail |
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Sephiroth came back from farther down with half the percentage to work with and with Cloud SFFing him last time. It's possible. --- Crono's quest to beat Link: Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:49:23 PM | message detail |
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THREE IN A ROW KARMA HUNTER I WILL END YOU --- CB7 Score: 456/576 http://i195.photobucket.com/albums/z114/Javer8000/FanimeCon2008/Sandbag.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/18/2008 4:53:46 PM | message detail |
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n_n <.< --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 11/18/2008 4:54:39 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, Snake hasn't even been going up. Cloud has just been dropping off. I declare Cloud Time official OVAH --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:57:07 PM | message detail |
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so he's not actually rallying for snake, he's KILLING POTENTIAL CLOUD VOTERS when will the madness won --- CB7 Score: 456/576 http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:57:47 PM | message detail |
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when will my typing become coherent FIND OUT NEXT TIME --- CB7 Score: 456/576 http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 4:59:32 PM | message detail |
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Back on track. Come on FFVII fanbase, you can beat the Snake rally! --- Crono's quest to beat Link: Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 11/18/2008 4:59:50 PM | message detail |
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Cloud Time is still Snake Time needs to start pretty soon though --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/18/2008 5:09:05 PM | message detail |
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Snake killing hopes and dreams 1 update at a time --- http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png http://videogames.techfresh.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/wow-wrath-of-the-lich-king.jpg |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 11/18/2008 5:09:44 PM | message detail |
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Snake Time is fun time! --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| Biolizard28 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:11:24 PM | message detail |
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Dammit, I already made a match pic. I don't want to change it! --- Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism. ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST! |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 11/18/2008 5:14:46 PM | message detail |
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Veeeery fun time. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:15:31 PM | message detail |
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Game over. (Prove me wrong Cloud) --- Crono's quest to beat Link: Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:15:39 PM | message detail |
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aww yeah Snake Time --- ~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~ |
| Gaddswell | Posted 11/18/2008 5:15:57 PM | message detail |
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Well, that was fast. --- http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png |
| Master Moltar | Posted 11/18/2008 5:17:35 PM | message detail |
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yeahhhhh snake --- Moltar Status: augh Cloud/Snake/Seph/Kirby - Bracket: who cares go snake |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:19:00 PM | message detail |
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bacon will make sure things get set straight i believe --- CB7 Score: 456/576 http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:20:52 PM | message detail |
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Cloud did his best relative to Sephiroth's 2006 trends since the start
of the ASV last hour, but this hour has started very badly for him. 1:00 | 56.93% | 54.18% | -2.65% 2:00 | 54.83% | 50.12% | -4.71% 3:00 | 50.18% | 49.98% | -0.20% 4:00 | 52.21% | 48.63% | -3.58% 5:00 | 50.20% | 48.22% | -1.98% 6:00 | 49.78% | 49.30% | -0.48% 7:00 | 50.16% | 49.62% | -0.54% 8:00 | 52.32% | 50.83% | -1.49% 9:00 | 50.19% | 49.78% | -0.41% 10:00 | 50.03% | 49.87% | -0.16% 11:00 | 50.05% | 51.26% | 1.21% 12:00 | 51.03% | 49.71% | -1.32% 13:00 | 49.97% | 51.04% | 1.07% 14:00 | 50.52% | 52.55% | 2.03% 15:00 | 50.14% | 50.76% | 0.62% 16:00 | 48.96% | 50.04% | 1.08% 17:00 | 47.86% | 51.01% | 3.15% 18:00 | 47.50% | 49.09% | 1.59% 19:00 | 47.23% | 48.74% | 1.51% 20:00 | 47.58% | 48.47% | 0.89% 21:00 | 47.87% 22:00 | 45.71% 23:00 | 48.75% 24:00 | 51.26% --- Crono's quest to beat Link: Character Battle VII Final: Link vs. Cloud vs. Crono vs. Snake |
| paraboxx | Posted 11/18/2008 5:25:26 PM | message detail |
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Well, on the downside, epic Kirby collapse is epic. But at least Snake is holding on...for now. You know, for all those of you who've been here since the beginning, who've seen Link > Cloud > Sephiroth >> Everyone year after year after year...Snake taking first here has to be a hell of a milestone. So I won't ruin it by saying it's uninteresting. Because it's not, objectively. It's just uninteresting for me personally. Completely. And so are the finals. (...although the fact that I, apparently, picked this upset in my bracket puts the interest level back up a bit. Think 451 will be good enough to make leaderboard?) |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:29:05 PM | message detail |
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aww yeah Snake Time keeps on rolling. --- ~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~ |
| Lopen | Posted 11/18/2008 5:29:33 PM | message detail |
| Snake winning here shouldn't be considered a huge
upset by any means. Basically if you weren't a subscriber to MGS/FF
SFF, you should've gambled on this or at least felt anxious about
picking Cloud because Snake was less than 6% under Cloud in this
situation before MGS4 and before Brawl. Tomorrow's going to be a terrible finish to the contest. C'mon Snake, do something crazy! --- Kirby's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 5 - The big cheese himself Target: 48% Gained Crazy Party and "You're Too Slow!" ability. Spikey goin down! |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:30:05 PM | message detail |
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come on CRONO --- CB7 Score: 456/576 http://i195.photobucket.com/albums/z114/Javer8000/FanimeCon2008/Sandbag.jpg |
