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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 639

evp | Posted 11/18/2008 4:52:07 AM | message detail
Just checked my bracket and I noticed I'm all the sudden within 99.7226 percentile. Wow, I've been hanging around in 95% ever since Shadow bombed and I generally butchered every match in 1st division (Marth/Kefka... in round 2 anyone?). Now I seem to have Snake > Cloud, which I think isn't the majority pick on the leader board, at least not by much. Could I make an epic come back and get on the board just when it "counts"?!

Go Snake!!
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2008 4:58:42 AM | message detail
Kirby has a threshold confirmed! Seriously, leading Cloud for an hour is awesome! I'm sad I missed it! Glad to see Snake is in front, though I doubt it'll last much longer. Man, going from struggling to beat Seph to struggling to beat Cloud. Great world we live in.

Yesterday's chart:

Time | Link | Mario | Samus Aran | Crono
EBV | 33.57% | 21.74% | 15.66% | 29.03% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 36.62% | 19.68% | 16.50% | 27.20% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 35.72% | 19.11% | 17.40% | 27.77% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 38.03% | 20.64% | 17.00% | 24.33% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 38.17% | 19.28% | 16.50% | 26.05% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 40.21% | 19.86% | 16.51% | 23.44% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 39.97% | 18.02% | 16.65% | 25.36% | (22:00-24:00)

Yesterday's stats:

Link – 50.00%
Crono – 39.67%
Mario – 33.72%
Samus Aran – 30.30%

More stats later.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:00:50 AM | message detail
Hey after all these years me getting killed in this contests,I was in the leaderboard for 4 days,but I forgot to calculate the simpliest thing:RSFF.Yeah that is why I had Link>Mario and Cloud>Sephiroth.Well next time I will remember this...And about today I believe Cloud can do this.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:03:11 AM | message detail
And also what the percentiles mean?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
TheCruelAngel | Posted 11/18/2008 5:04:53 AM | message detail
Link is going to have a blast tomorrow. With Sephiroth taking a share as small this, I would be expecting Cloud to be doing much better.
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~* David Villa: The Best *~
~* Valencia CF: P11 W7 D2 L2 23 Points *~
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/18/2008 5:08:53 AM | message detail
Uh guys, Cloud just took 60 votes in fifteen minutes...
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JUSTICE FOR FD
I use to worry about a McCain presidency but after playing some Fallout 3 I feel I could survive well enough. - ISS
charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:09:19 AM | message detail
And also what the percentiles mean?

It's the number of brackets that you're ahead in percent.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 391/576 Today's Match: Cloud > Solid Snake
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:12:52 AM | message detail
I am at 99.6527.So that means that I beat 99,6% of the brackets?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:16:32 AM | message detail
Yes.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 391/576 Today's Match: Cloud > Solid Snake
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:27:16 AM | message detail
Ah okay nice.Thanks.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
hellfire104 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:41:49 AM | message detail
I hope none of you really expect Snake to hold on.

We are basically restarting the match right now.

REmember Cloud just beat snake by 13,000 votes.
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Point Total/Rank: 445/564, 79%, 38th
My Bracket Says: Cloud > Snake Hope: Cloud > Snake
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/18/2008 5:44:12 AM | message detail
"We"? Are you The Patriots?

And Snake just took another coupla updates with authority, lead back to 500.
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JUSTICE FOR FD
I use to worry about a McCain presidency but after playing some Fallout 3 I feel I could survive well enough. - ISS
hellfire104 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:44:23 AM | message detail
When the ASV starts, bye bye bye
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Point Total/Rank: 445/564, 79%, 38th
My Bracket Says: Cloud > Snake Hope: Cloud > Snake
hellfire104 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:47:50 AM | message detail
Yea, it'll be like that, just remember that snake already had his best time of the day and lost some of his lead. Don't expect cloud to just sit around all afternoon. He's going to eat that snake.
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Point Total/Rank: 445/564, 79%, 38th
My Bracket Says: Cloud > Snake Hope: Cloud > Snake
hellfire104 | Posted 11/18/2008 5:48:49 AM | message detail
Guess maybe you'll enjoy that 46 vote cut "Mr. Patriot."
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Point Total/Rank: 445/564, 79%, 38th
My Bracket Says: Cloud > Snake Hope: Cloud > Snake
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/18/2008 6:15:42 AM | message detail
To all the people saying Kirby voters are dumb for not voting Snake: we don't give a **** about Snake.

See that's what I'm talking about! Glad you admit it though

And wow, Snake hanging around even with the morning? Sephiroth must really be hampering Cloud's trends. Snake still looks like he's defying gravity here, but you've got to figure if he keeps nursing his lead Crono-style he's got a shot here.
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Iamthekuzalol | Posted 11/18/2008 6:33:23 AM | message detail
Wtf, Snake still beating 2 overated FF7 characters at this time, Snake may not win at the end but still a very nice performance from Steroid Snake. Link to utterly kill cloud tomorrow, here we go.
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Steroid Snake's quest : To advance to the final for the third consecutive time. Please support him, thks.
JustForFun1988 | Posted 11/18/2008 6:44:13 AM | message detail
Well i guess they are correct, there is certainly a reason why most said that FF7 fanboys are generally more irritating and annoying than Nintendo fanboys, you can find out why just by looking at this topic.
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Joke character are no longer funny anymore.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 6:50:34 AM | message detail
Yeah, surprised to see Snake still going even with Cloud after Cloud was able to stall him as early as the second hour. Snake's lead is larger than Crono's at this time, and uh....Snake is definitely better than Crono with the ASV, right? Cloud should be better than Vincent too, but if this goes like Crono/Vincent, Snake wins. I'm thinking Cloud is a lot better than Vincent with the ASV though.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Link vs. Crono vs. Mario vs. Samus
hailEC | Posted 11/18/2008 6:52:05 AM | message detail
wow this result is nuts

can't believe kirby is this close, and yes I realize he was actually winning last night. too bad I'm on my deathbed right now and can't even enjoy it.

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all hail ec your lord and savior
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/18/2008 6:58:14 AM | message detail
Heh, Kirby ended up leading for an hour, that's awesome. And looks like Cloud > Snake is a lock. If the ASV doesn't bury Snake, Cloud's evening vote will.
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I want adventure in the great wide somewhere... I want it more than I can tell! - Belle
http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/3949/beautyandthebeast21024uh9.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 7:04:08 AM | message detail
Cloud finally hits 30%.

Snake by the Hour vs. Cloud:

1:00 | 54.18%
2:00 | 50.12%
3:00 | 49.98%
4:00 | 48.63%
5:00 | 48.22%
6:00 | 49.30%
7:00 | 49.62%
8:00 | 50.83%
9:00 | 49.78%
10:00 | 49.87%
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Link vs. Crono vs. Mario vs. Samus
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/18/2008 7:06:20 AM | message detail
1:00 | 54.18%
2:00 | 50.12%
3:00 | 49.98%
4:00 | 48.63%
5:00 | 48.22%
6:00 | 49.30%
7:00 | 49.62%
8:00 | 50.83%
9:00 | 49.78%
10:00 | 49.87%


C'MONNNNNNN RANDOM ASV BOOST OF NONSENSE
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turnturnturn your brain in
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/18/2008 7:10:19 AM | message detail
Nobody seemed to notice this, but Kirby managed to cut Cloud again in the morning at 7:22 AM EST. And Sephiroth sucks badly for getting very few cuts on Kirby at night.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Denzokuken | Posted 11/18/2008 7:15:49 AM | message detail
'Well i guess they are correct, there is certainly a reason why most said that FF7 fanboys are generally more irritating and annoying than Nintendo fanboys, you can find out why just by looking at this topic.'

i think the most irritating are anti-ff7 nerds, especially considering most of them were barely born when the game was released. baw cloud and sephiroth are clichés baw emo baw baw baw <3 mute link ^_^
consolefreak | Posted 11/18/2008 7:20:57 AM | message detail
Well i guess they are correct, there is certainly a reason why most said that FF7 fanboys are generally more irritating and annoying than Nintendo fanboys, you can find out why just by looking at this topic.

What? Is this a joke? What posts are you referring to, exactly?


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Those who speak do not know, those who know do not speak - Soviet adage
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/18/2008 7:23:03 AM | message detail
Back up over 510!

woo Snake
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...I'm still War13104!
"and seriously, white flags, god damnit. v.v" - ExThaNemesis, 11:44 PM EST, 1/28/07
HaRRicH | Posted 11/18/2008 7:32:33 AM | message detail
Haha, Solid's still in this! I just hope he can hang on. Sephiroth is going to have to hinder Cloud's trends some more though, and hopefully Kirby doesn't hinder whatever support Solid has in the ASV either.
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/18/2008 7:33:38 AM | message detail
So, despite his terrible board support, we're putting our hopes in Sephiroth to save the day? >_>
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...I'm still War13104!
"and seriously, white flags, god damnit. v.v" - ExThaNemesis, 11:44 PM EST, 1/28/07
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/18/2008 7:35:29 AM | message detail
Snake beating Cloud would be one of the single best results in contest history, SFF or not.

If only he could place first tomorrow...
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JUSTICE FOR FD
I use to worry about a McCain presidency but after playing some Fallout 3 I feel I could survive well enough. - ISS
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/18/2008 7:40:04 AM | message detail
Ugh, bad update. Snake needs to grit his teeth here and wait for his inexplicably awesome ASV win.
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2008 7:48:42 AM | message detail
Snake still ahead, but he looks like he's not gonna have much more than 700-800 votes to work with at most. However, if Cloud only does as well with the ASV as he did in the morning, that MAY be enough.

FFVII's second night vote is sick though. But when it comes to rallying, Snake can do it. Ask Sephy!
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
Master Moltar | Posted 11/18/2008 7:48:56 AM | message detail
Did I just wake up seeing Snake trying to build back up his lead?

Hell, did I just wake up seeing Snake STILL in first?

Or is this just some wonderful dream I've having?

(if so don't wake me)
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hmm
well then
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/18/2008 7:49:48 AM | message detail
Moltar, if you were dreaming, then Kirby would be in second.
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...I'm still War13104!
"and seriously, white flags, god damnit. v.v" - ExThaNemesis, 11:44 PM EST, 1/28/07
HaRRicH | Posted 11/18/2008 7:50:01 AM | message detail
So...what's the verdict on Solid/Samus and Solid/Mario now?
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/18/2008 7:52:31 AM | message detail
The verdict right now is who knows? Replace Kirby with Naked Snake, and who knows where Solid is right now.
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...I'm still War13104!
"and seriously, white flags, god damnit. v.v" - ExThaNemesis, 11:44 PM EST, 1/28/07
red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2008 7:54:24 AM | message detail
Cloud wants to clinch it with the ASV. Sephiroth and Vincent tried to finish their comebacks with the SNV, and got beat by rallies.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Link vs. Crono vs. Mario vs. Samus
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/18/2008 7:54:29 AM | message detail
Actually, scratch that. Replace Solid Snake with Naked Snake and who knows where Big Boss is!

...imho.
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...I'm still War13104!
"and seriously, white flags, god damnit. v.v" - ExThaNemesis, 11:44 PM EST, 1/28/07
Master Moltar | Posted 11/18/2008 7:55:11 AM | message detail
Moltar, if you were dreaming, then Kirby would be in second.

this is true

c'mon kirby it's only 4000 votes you can do it!
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hmm
well then
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2008 7:55:47 AM | message detail
For the record, Snake won the morning vote by 17 votes. Last round, Snake slowly went down over the course of the match, and Cloud dipped a bit here during the DSV and went back up in the ASV timeframe. That match was a Saturday though, so the trends aren't necessarily true to what will happen here. Second night vote was Cloud's best and Snake's worst time, by the way.

Snake's current percentage on Kirby: 56.80%
Big Boss's round 1 percentage on Kirby: 56.66%

Might be close!
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
Master Moltar | Posted 11/18/2008 7:56:36 AM | message detail
Solid Snake vs. Naked Snake would probably cause over half the voters minds to explode due to the fact that they are two different entities.
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hmm
well then
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2008 7:56:48 AM | message detail
I figured Snake proved he was stronger than both of them last round. 43% on Cloud is better than Samus has ever done, and based on Mario's performance yesterday, he seems to have lost a step on her as well.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
ZFS | Posted 11/18/2008 8:03:41 AM | message detail
Whoa, Snake still ahead by 500 votes after the night and morning vote? Impressive - he might hold onto this. Cloud's ASV will probably let him mount a comeback, but I'm not too sure how much better it'll be if he wasn't able to do much during the morning. Snake just gotta hold on and he's got this.

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http://i33.tinypic.com/2s0xn3o.gif
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/18/2008 8:04:50 AM | message detail
I dunno if he outright proved it, but that performance on Cloud made me stick him in the Mario/Samus/Snake level (where the only thing certain is a Mario SFF win over Samus). That match seemed pretty legitimate with two weak, neutral entities and all.
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
voltch | Posted 11/18/2008 8:06:54 AM | message detail
come on Snake vs Mario rematch one v one next year,much better than snake vs samus rematch.
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Del Boy:He who dares, wins!
HaRRicH | Posted 11/18/2008 8:30:29 AM | message detail
For what it's worth:

1) Solid Snake got 43.14% on Cloud last round in Solid/WCC/Cloud/Mewtwo.
2a) Mario got 43.35% on Sephiroth last year in Seph/Fox/Mario/BB last year*.
2b) Mario got 41.4% on Sephiroth in Seph/Mario/Link/Vincent last year**.
2c) Mario got 43.92% on Sephiroth one-on-one in 2k5.

*acknowledge that Fox was also in the match, plus it was sprite-round.
**acknowledge that Link and Vincent were each in the match as well.


Solid may very well beat Mario. You can't COUNT on it, per say, but I think Solid's doing about as well on Cloud as Mario did on Sephiroth in multiple matches gives him some leeway in case Mario could sap Solid's SSBB-support.
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2008 8:32:00 AM | message detail
Upper Half Stats

Link – 50.00%
Samus Aran – 43.62%
Crono – 39.67%
Vincent Valentine – 39.61%
Mario – 34.98%
L-Block – 34.85%
Ganondorf – 33.13%
Pikachu – 32.71%
Ryu – 32.04%
Zack Fair – 30.94%
Bowser – 30.62%
Luigi – 30.60%
Mega Man X – 29.95%
Frog – 28.91%
Gordon Freeman – 28.69%
Alucard – 28.18%
Liquid Snake – 28.06%
Princess Zelda – 27.49%
Meta Knight – 26.46%
Mudkip – 26.46%
Wario – 26.34%
Ike – 25.61%
Amaterasu – 25.08%
Captain Falcon – 25.03%
KOS-MOS – 25.00%
Nightmare – 23.98%
Knuckles the Echidna – 23.82%
Arthas Menethil – 23.62%
Scorpion – 23.57%
Marth – 23.14%
Duke Nukem – 21.91%
Altair – 21.70%
Crash Bandicoot – 21.33%
Phoenix Wright – 21.21%
Niko Bellic – 20.17%
Balthier Bunansa – 20.13%
Roxas – 19.90%
Diddy Kong – 19.58%
Kefka – 19.58%
The Dog – 19.47%
Zidane Tribal – 18.56%
Kratos Aurion – 18.33%
Big Daddy – 18.22%
Fei Fong Wong – 18.04%
Neku Sakuraba – 17.91%
Frank West – 17.71%
GlaDOS – 17.64%
Shadow the Hedgehog – 16.70%
Cecil Harvey – 16.58%
Spy – 16.53%
Geno – 16.42%
Lloyd Irving – 16.26%
Deckard Cain – 14.87%
Lucario – 14.76%
Isaac – 14.18%
Raz – 11.89%
Guybrush Threepwood – 10.51%
Sho Minamimoto – 10.38%
Kaim Argonar – 10.06%
Tom Nook – 9.75%
Luke fon Fabre – 9.16%
Wander – 8.18%
Jade Curtiss – 7.25%

Divisions 3 and 4 are highly overrated compared to Divisions 1 and 2 due to Crono taking advantage of Triple Nintendo LFF (and I adjusted Samus based off of her non-SFF performance on Crono), so that would explain a lot of the oddities. Whatever Crono does tomorrow should iron out some of the kinks, though some problems are irreparable.

Raw stats comin' up in a bit.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
hailEC | Posted 11/18/2008 8:33:57 AM | message detail
Samus Aran – 43.62%
Crono – 39.67%
Vincent Valentine – 39.61%
Mario – 34.98%


Justice.

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all hail ec your lord and savior
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2008 8:39:22 AM | message detail
Upper Half Raw Stats

Link – 50.00%
Crono – 39.67%
Vincent Valentine – 39.61%
Pikachu – 36.83%
L-Block – 34.85%
Zack Fair – 34.08%
Ryu – 33.82%
Mario – 33.72%
Ike – 32.89%
Captain Falcon – 32.14%
Arthas Menethil – 30.45%
Samus Aran – 30.30%
Mega Man X – 29.95%
Gordon Freeman – 28.69%
Meta Knight – 28.20%
Liquid Snake – 27.05%
Princess Zelda – 26.50%
Mudkip – 25.51%
Diddy Kong – 25.14%
Spy – 23.78%
Scorpion – 23.57%
Kratos Aurion – 23.53%
Knuckles the Echidna – 22.96%
Zidane Tribal – 22.56%
Luigi – 22.06%
Duke Nukem – 21.91%
Falco Lombardi – 21.44%
Shadow the Hedgehog – 20.30%
Balthier Bunansa – 20.13%
Ganondorf – 19.85%
Bowser – 19.69%
The Dog – 19.67%
Altair – 18.82%
Marth – 18.71%
Cecil Harvey – 18.27%
Big Daddy – 18.22%
Frank West – 17.88%
GlaDOS – 17.64%
Phoenix Wright – 17.63%
Fei Fong Wong – 17.39%
Nightmare – 16.66%
Wario – 16.58%
Lloyd Irving – 16.26%
Niko Bellic – 16.25%
Kefka – 15.78%
Crash Bandicoot – 14.82%
Lucario – 14.44%
Roxas – 14.34%
Frog – 14.13%
Isaac – 13.87%
KOS-MOS – 12.22%
Geno – 10.56%
Kaim Argonar – 10.16%
Tom Nook – 9.75%
Deckard Cain – 9.56%
Luke fon Fabre – 9.16%
Guybrush Threepwood – 9.11%
Neku Sakuraba – 8.75%
Raz – 8.26%
Wander – 8.18%
Jade Curtiss – 7.98%
Sho Minamimoto – 7.49%

I doubt EC likes these stats quite as much.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/18/2008 8:40:13 AM | message detail
Arthas Menethil &#8211; 30.45%
Samus Aran &#8211; 30.30%


do you believe
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turnturnturn your brain in
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