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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 636

ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/15/2008 9:19:10 PM | message detail
SHAPED LIKE A DUM PINK BALL TO KICK SONIC'S ASS!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5KKW3MT-8PU

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

~*aprosenf's poll script*~
http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/15/2008 9:19:28 PM | message detail
tag

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 11/15/2008 9:19:54 PM | message detail
tag
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
paulg235 | Posted 11/15/2008 9:20:22 PM | message detail
I blame Ertyu.
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The Gamer In Me
The_Ocelot2 | Posted 11/15/2008 9:21:09 PM | message detail
ertyu is lovin' this
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Go Ducks Go!
http://www.mafia2game.com/community/wallpaper/wall_2_1024x640.jpg
Gaddswell | Posted 11/15/2008 9:22:16 PM | message detail
Darn. I was totally ready to make the next one with some Kirby themed things! >_<

Kirby's 1st time against the Noble NIne, and he's actually beating one of them! Whoo!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Zenithian Legend | Posted 11/15/2008 9:23:04 PM | message detail
Man this is making Dante look weak.

Also... still not getting how the hell Kirby lost in the first round, naked Snake or not.
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Detroit Red Wings 2008 Stanley Cup Champions!
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 11/15/2008 9:24:45 PM | message detail
Pic factor + triple Nintendo LFF.
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/15/2008 9:28:25 PM | message detail
hooray
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
chaosarcher07 | Posted 11/15/2008 9:28:32 PM | message detail
Kirby is actually holding back SEPHIROTH.

did he inhale some GAME FUEL after the previous round?
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http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=29
save me crono
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/15/2008 9:28:58 PM | message detail
Kirby's first match with a Noble Niner.

SUCCESS?


Heh, I just realized. Amazing that he's gone so damn long and is just now seeing his first Noble Niners.
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/15/2008 9:29:01 PM | message detail
Sure, Kirby's got a good board vote but not a "take a 200 vote lead on Sonic and show no signs of going down" board vote. Oh and stall Sephiroth while he's at it.

Oh by the way Luigi beat this guy Luigi for upper tier NN confirmed
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Mustache...and green...
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/15/2008 9:29:10 PM | message detail
It's not like Sonic is better than Kirby in any trends, either. Kirby has a good day vote too, both suck with the night...Kirby will have a better early vote, but when would Sonic start cutting?
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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 11/15/2008 9:30:14 PM | message detail
Hah, didn't even realize I got the 500th post.....

and I rooted for Kirby.....
Dammit he's going to lose :(
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Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/15/2008 9:30:22 PM | message detail
best match yet

i forgive gamefaqs for the yoshi betrayalton because Kirby's heading to the semis!
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This is not my GameFOX sig...
Therefore, it doesn't exist!
Majin Lou | Posted 11/15/2008 9:30:31 PM | message detail
Eww only an 8 vote gain.
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But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you.
Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/15/2008 9:30:36 PM | message detail
I literally have no explanation for this. Literally, NONE.
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ExThaNemesis is the man.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/15/2008 9:30:38 PM | message detail
How much of a lead will Kirby need to hold off Sonic's morning vote and last long enough for the ASV to start?
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Gaddswell | Posted 11/15/2008 9:31:09 PM | message detail
Aww... only an 8 vote gain there....
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
transience | Posted 11/15/2008 9:31:12 PM | message detail
yeah and Sonic crushed Luigi Sonic to beat Link confirmed
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
red sox 777 | Posted 11/15/2008 9:31:33 PM | message detail
Sonic will win the dead zone, and probably the DSV. Kirby has an excellent ASV too, so Sonic realistically must lead before then.....hard to see how Sonic wins this.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Link vs. Crono vs. Mario vs. Samus
ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/15/2008 9:31:49 PM | message detail
Onilink12 (12:31:13 AM): my god
Onilink12 (12:31:21 AM): every day of the weekend
Onilink12 (12:31:25 AM): someone references the ASV
Onilink12 (12:31:30 AM): THERE IS NO ASV ON THE WEEKEND
Thunderous Zen (12:31:37 AM): I HATE WHEN THEY DO THAT
Thunderous Zen (12:31:42 AM): IT MAKES ME TYPE IN CAPS
Thunderous Zen (12:31:43 AM): GRAAAAAAAAAH
Onilink12 (12:31:46 AM): YEEEEEEEES
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/15/2008 9:31:58 PM | message detail
Clearly Sonic/Luigi was rSFF
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Mustache...and green...
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/15/2008 9:32:02 PM | message detail
This isn't Kirby being a beast that was hidden in earlier rounds or anything though - he nearly got beat by Master Chief in Round 2. Y'know, the same MC that got beaten by a Dante that's getting massacred here right now.

This is more along the lines of a nearly inexplicable Samus/Tifa result or something along those lines (I'd bet $100 Tifa couldn't repeat that performance even against ZSS, and I doubt too many would take that bet).
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
Gaddswell | Posted 11/15/2008 9:32:22 PM | message detail
Oh by the way Luigi beat this guy Luigi for upper tier NN confirmed

Just more evidence that that scoundrel Mario rSFFed and rallied his way over the superior brother!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
transience | Posted 11/15/2008 9:32:34 PM | message detail
yeah this is just really weird. that's why I'm not taking it as being legit yet.
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xyzzy
"I hope you are this idiot only in the internet ^__^" -linkhatesganon
WalrusJump | Posted 11/15/2008 9:32:52 PM | message detail
Kirby's dead

and there is no ASV seeing as it's a Sunday
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Some mistakes are good. You were not. - Alec
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/15/2008 9:32:58 PM | message detail
Oh right it's a weekend.....forgot that somehow. Either way, doesn't look good for Sonic.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Link vs. Crono vs. Mario vs. Samus
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/15/2008 9:33:31 PM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 11/16/2008 12:30:38 AM | #018
How much of a lead will Kirby need to hold off Sonic's morning vote and last long enough for the ASV to start?



What kind of a ****ing loser goes to school on a Sunday?
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS2
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/15/2008 9:33:37 PM | message detail
Sonic's not coming out of this looking good no matter how you slice it, but this is hardly over yet.
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CB7 Score: 376/480
http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/15/2008 9:33:38 PM | message detail
I don't even like Kirby, but I have a motivation to just go out and rally just cuz this upset is so effing funny
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Lopen | Posted 11/15/2008 9:33:56 PM | message detail
Kirby has a somewhat static fanbase, that's all I'm getting out of this. Not L-Block level, but just look at his performances.

R2 - R3 he had MUCH tougher competition, hardly dropped at all
Same thing this round

The guy's never gone below 25% in a match... and never below 45% or something 1v1. He might've done this last year had L-Block not got in the way.
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Kirby's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 4 - Seph/Sonic/Dante.
Target: 48% GAME FUEL, Nekkid Cartwheels, Snake Proxy, all powers belong to Kirby.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/15/2008 9:33:57 PM | message detail
Even if you take this as one of those random weird results...this should never have been close. There's *nothing* preventing Sonic from steamrolling Kirby and Dante easily.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/15/2008 9:34:39 PM | message detail
And man... just when Sonic thought he looked out of the woods, too. Is there any near-elite we WON'T have half the board taking over Sonic next contest?
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 11/15/2008 9:35:19 PM | message detail
He might've done this last year had L-Block not got in the way.

Damn you to hell, DK!!!
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
Majin Lou | Posted 11/15/2008 9:35:22 PM | message detail
That's better, Kirby.
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But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you.
Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories.
Gaddswell | Posted 11/15/2008 9:35:28 PM | message detail
I thought Kirby wasn't even considered near-elite! >_<
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/15/2008 9:36:11 PM | message detail

From: Gaddswell | #037
I thought Kirby wasn't even considered near-elite! >_<



He was like a mid carder... I thought? Kratos beat him last year...
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/15/2008 9:36:46 PM | message detail
Kratos beat him last year because of that damn dirty ape!
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~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~
RegentQuintus | Posted 11/15/2008 9:36:47 PM | message detail
This is mind-boggling.

Hilarious. But mind-boggling.
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But...
he's just a dum pink ball?
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/15/2008 9:37:30 PM | message detail
God damn, this thing is looking almost wrapped up. If it is, it joins the ranks of Mario/Shadow, Samus/Tifa, and uhh... god damn there has to be something else this weird.
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
dethfdddddh | Posted 11/15/2008 9:37:41 PM | message detail
Ryu could finally overturn his 2k4 loss now~
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Explicit Content left me uncontent in the guru contest.
FFDragon | Posted 11/15/2008 9:38:05 PM | message detail
Seriously. How did we not see this coming?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=961

It all makes sense now!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/15/2008 9:38:09 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #041
God damn, this thing is looking almost wrapped up. If it is, it joins the ranks of Mario/Shadow, Samus/Tifa, and uhh... god damn there has to be something else this weird.



Chiefs whole 2007 run?
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Gaddswell | Posted 11/15/2008 9:38:13 PM | message detail

PartOfYourWorld (#041)
God damn, this thing is looking almost wrapped up. If it is, it joins the ranks of Mario/Shadow, Samus/Tifa, and uhh... god damn there has to be something else this weird.



Link / Magus? >_>
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/15/2008 9:38:28 PM | message detail
Kirby's had stints of being considered near-elite. Bowser/Kirby was a big time period, back when we thought Snake/Bowser was somewhat legit. After his disappointing loss to Luigi, it was kinda up in the air (Luigi looked like a near-elite himself in 2k5/2k6). His loss in 2k7 to not only L, but Kratos kinda put a lid on that though.
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
__hiei__ | Posted 11/15/2008 9:39:13 PM | message detail
I think Sonic may not be noble nine strength anymore
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/15/2008 9:39:25 PM | message detail
What kind of a ****ing loser goes to school on a Sunday?

Didn't realize it was a weekend. So that will make the ASV start earlier, which would be good for Kirby here.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
jonthomson | Posted 11/15/2008 9:39:35 PM | message detail
if kirby holds this it'd be the best day ever
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Jon Thomson - 1:10 pure 1:43 100% - HKP: 179
space reserved for guru winner
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/15/2008 9:39:39 PM | message detail

From: Gaddswell | #045

PartOfYourWorld (#041)
God damn, this thing is looking almost wrapped up. If it is, it joins the ranks of Mario/Shadow, Samus/Tifa, and uhh... god damn there has to be something else this weird.



Link / Magus? >_>



People were all high on Magus then and thought he had a shot to defeat Link. Crazy, I know
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
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