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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 635

ZFS | Posted 11/14/2008 9:20:41 PM | message detail
aww yeah Snake still stalling Cloud

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"You don't have to worry about me."
charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:21:05 PM | message detail
While Pikachu was able to look really good yesterday Mewtwo is getting demolished early on. I know these are stronger opponents, but still.

Snake is looking really good for next round.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 311/448 Today's Match: Cloud > Solid Snake
Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 9:21:06 PM | message detail
Only an 11 vote gain for Cloud that time!
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http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2008 9:21:15 PM | message detail
SNAAAAAAAKE

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/14/2008 9:21:25 PM | message detail
Damned Cube don't you people see it is futile.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/14/2008 9:21:28 PM | message detail
go snake go

go snake go

the night vote awaits pay no attention to clod's trends
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paraboxx | Posted 11/14/2008 9:21:46 PM | message detail
Anyways, was anything of note said in the last 4 topics, because I have a feeling it is all either "Bawww, a character I don't like is stuffing so I shall whine" or "Crono spike n_n"?

Not sure about the rest of the day, but the last hour was more like "Wheee, a character I like is stuffing so I don't care! n_n"
wavedash101 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:22:27 PM | message detail
So does Zack beat Aeris?
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:22:54 PM | message detail
Snake stalling Cloud now? Hmm.....maybe Crono/Vincent really did help Cloud. Also, it's good to see WCC getting eliminated here. Don't have to worry about it pulling a miracle run like L-Block anymore.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:23:05 PM | message detail
I don't care if Cloud explodes during the day.

This is fantastic.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Gr8CyberMonkey | Posted 11/14/2008 9:23:12 PM | message detail
It was more "lol look at all that"
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 9:23:25 PM | message detail

From: wavedash101 | #158
So does Zack beat Aeris?



he's the original man who put his sword into aeris
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/14/2008 9:24:05 PM | message detail
As someone who had Zack in the semifinals, let me give this opinion - Zack is a midcarder. A midcarder with exceptionally lucky bracket placement and a surprisingly resilient one, but a midcarder nonetheless. Crono should prove this next round.
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Shaggysaurus | Posted 11/14/2008 9:24:16 PM | message detail
goddammit why didn't anyone take that account bet with me last night
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a sandwich would be nice - gotspork
Dilated Chemist | Posted 11/14/2008 9:24:32 PM | message detail
I wanna see Sephiroth beat Cloud and advance in the Semi's. It's probably really farfetched but goddamnit I wanna see it.

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 330/450 Today's Pick: Cloud Strife > Solid Snake
ZFS | Posted 11/14/2008 9:26:31 PM | message detail
Crono should prove this next round.

mario gets most of x's votes, samus doesn't hold up as well as x did and is in the low-teens so mario takes more of the vote, and link hurts crono with sword sff letting mario win by 100 votes it shall be so

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"You don't have to worry about me."
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/14/2008 9:26:39 PM | message detail
That's okay, Snake, once the Power Hour ends you can begin your glorious comeback as long as you keep him in striking distance.

It will happen

Cloud has Mega Man trends believe
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Master Moltar | Posted 11/14/2008 9:28:38 PM | message detail
mario gets most of x's votes, samus doesn't hold up as well as x did and is in the low-teens so mario takes more of the vote, and link hurts crono with sword sff letting mario win by 100 votes it shall be so

if you haven't already subscribed to hm's newsletter...

well what are you waiting for?
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/14/2008 9:31:08 PM | message detail
Didn't expect Cube to get near last round's percent. Finally, a joke character pulls off what he's supposed to
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/14/2008 9:33:02 PM | message detail
Link gets most of X's votes. Crono beats the piss out of Mario and Samus. Crono won't hold Cloud back at all, and we'll see Link > Cloud by a very comfortable margin in the finals.

wonder if Crono hurts Cloud to any significant degree. he probably hurts him more than Vincent since Vincent would just get crushed by Cloud - Crono can steal some votes away from him.

That makes no sense. Cloud/Crono SFF is minimal, like every other case of Old/New Square SFF. Cloud will win today by at least 5%, more than enough to put Snake away in the finals. Vincent would actually be hurting him more since the small chunk he's taking, he's taking directly from Cloud.
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paraboxx | Posted 11/14/2008 9:33:10 PM | message detail
Finally, a joke character pulls off what he's supposed to

Pfft. If Cube was a real joke character, it would've gained momentum by now.

You know, like L-Block!

...

Shut up!
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 11/14/2008 9:33:32 PM | message detail
HELL YEAH YOU GO CRONO

come on Snake keep fightin
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KingBartz | Posted 11/14/2008 9:35:39 PM | message detail
Looks like the deal's sealed. I imagine the rest of the contest will be cookie-cutter.
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Back to California
PegasusLover123 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:35:41 PM | message detail
Sorry if i was late (was enjoying my new Tales of Symphonia: Dawn of the New World). Man i'm happy that Crono finally got him.

Well im certain he'll fall big time next round at least he got farther than last time.
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"If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh." -Magus
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:36:11 PM | message detail
Mewtwo is doing worse than I expected. I guess Cloud and Snake are just too strong, even if he is the only Nintendo character here.

Final Chart for Crono vs. Vincent:

1:00 | 55.10%
2:00 | 53.26%
3:00 | 52.67%
4:00 | 50.05%
5:00 | 46.02%
6:00 | 41.08%
7:00 | 45.70%
8:00 | 49.34%
9:00 | 49.67%
10:00 | 49.78%
11:00 | 51.18%
12:00 | 50.07%
13:00 | 49.39%
14:00 | 50.00%
15:00 | 49.90%
16:00 | 48.64%
17:00 | 47.24%
18:00 | 48.90%
19:00 | 48.57%
20:00 | 50.16%
21:00 | 48.59%
22:00 | 48.79%
23:00 | 50.45%
24:00 | 56.18%

Crono's day vote is back to being a little below average instead of bottom-of-the-barrel.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Link vs. Crono vs. Mario vs. Samus
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/14/2008 9:37:33 PM | message detail
I guess Cloud and Snake are just too strong, even if he is the only Nintendo character here.

the insult !!
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Mumei | Posted 11/14/2008 9:41:33 PM | message detail
Karma, come over.

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Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 9:43:45 PM | message detail
24:00 | 56.18%

What would this be without that 62 vote Crono cut / gain in the last 10 minutes?
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:45:02 PM | message detail
Without the final 10 minutes? 55.30%
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Link vs. Crono vs. Mario vs. Samus
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/14/2008 9:45:17 PM | message detail
I can't wait until CT:DS comes out and Crono no longer has an ass-tastic morning vote.

Damn you Europe, or as I like to call it, the continent of poor taste.
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 11/14/2008 9:46:03 PM | message detail
Listening to a Remix of We're the Robots.

Still kinda Sad Megaman is the only NN who didnt make it this far :(
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paulg235 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:49:51 PM | message detail
It's going to be sadder if all the other Noble Niners reach the semi finals, which is likely to happen, unless Sonic ****s up big time.

Yeah, CTDS needs to come to Europe.
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The Gamer In Me
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:49:58 PM | message detail
Cloud's at 52.7% on Snake right now, so he'll end with.....56-7%? That should be stronger than Samus, and strong enough to give Cloud a challenge next round, although I have a feeling Cloud will do something like double Sephiroth to rescue himself.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Link vs. Crono vs. Mario vs. Samus
The_Ocelot2 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:52:37 PM | message detail
Is Crono a sure bet to get to the finals like Vincent was had he advanced?
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 11/14/2008 9:53:47 PM | message detail
Neither were sure bets.

Main reason this contest is awesome. It said **** you to "sure bets"
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/14/2008 9:56:46 PM | message detail
Yeah, but this is a sure bet. People who think Mario has a chance are too caught up in nostalgia.
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greatone10 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:56:54 PM | message detail
I would think Vincent would have had a better chance at beating Mario. He has less overlap with Link than Crono would, and thus could get a higher percentage in the match.
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:56:59 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 9:57:43 PM | message detail
And to give you all an idea of what real stuffing looks like, here are the total votes per hour of the last 3 hours of Mario/Crono 2:

21:00-22:00: 4551
22:00-23:00: 4730
23:00-24:00: 5629

Normally votals decline as we go deeper into the night, so we're looking at 2-3000 extra votes there. That is vote stuffing. This 200 vote stuff probably is not.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Link vs. Crono vs. Mario vs. Samus
paraboxx | Posted 11/14/2008 10:11:27 PM | message detail
We still on that topic?

I'm not going to weigh in again on whether Crono was stuffed, because I promised elsewhere I wouldn't. But I will say that, in the face of some fairly suspect results, some of you guys were celebrating just a wee bit too much. Contest Fanboys and Discussion ahoy!

...and with that, I am probably done with this contest. Vinnie/Crono is ovah, the last joke character's on its way out, the Noble Nine's looking good for a semifinals sweep, and pretty much anything of interest is gone. So...yeah.



tl;dr: See you tomorrow!
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/14/2008 10:21:48 PM | message detail
So why are Cloud and Snake so close? Did Cloud get weaker or something?

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2008 10:24:26 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | Posted: 11/15/2008 12:57:43 AM | #186
And to give you all an idea of what real stuffing looks like, here are the total votes per hour of the last 3 hours of Mario/Crono 2:

21:00-22:00: 4551
22:00-23:00: 4730
23:00-24:00: 5629

Normally votals decline as we go deeper into the night, so we're looking at 2-3000 extra votes there. That is vote stuffing. This 200 vote stuff probably is not.



Hence why I'm not too upset. I remember what a stomach punch 2003 was, and I'm not going to say Crono didn't deserve one just because most of us went the other way.
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Janus5000 | Posted 11/14/2008 10:29:59 PM | message detail
...Crono won?
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greatone10 | Posted 11/14/2008 10:30:26 PM | message detail
Snake > Cloud next round? Believe!
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 10:32:14 PM | message detail
Yes, and that Match of the Contest delivered. Maybe we'll see another good match next round with Cloud and Snake, but even if not, yesterday is enough reason for me to rank this contest above last year's.....and above Summer 2006 and 2004.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
Link vs. Crono vs. Mario vs. Samus
transience | Posted 11/14/2008 10:38:50 PM | message detail
yesterday's match was really good, probably better than anything in '07, but '07 still ranks much higher for me as a contest.
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Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 10:42:05 PM | message detail

From: transience | #196
yesterday's match was really good, probably better than anything in '07, but '07 still ranks much higher for me as a contest.



I dunno. Bomberman / Phoenix was pretty suspenseful during that ASV too!
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Master Moltar | Posted 11/14/2008 10:42:18 PM | message detail
Cloud's at 52.7% on Snake right now, so he'll end with.....56-7%? That should be stronger than Samus

psssssssssssh stronger than samus
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hellfire104 | Posted 11/14/2008 10:46:56 PM | message detail
Who is the favorite next round? Cloud or Snake?

in 2006, in the poll with link v cloud v sephiroth v snake, cloud beat snake by 10,000 votes even with sephy in there.
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Point Total/Rank: 365/446, 82%, 1st and 10th
My Bracket Says: Cloud > Snake Prediction: Same
tee316 | Posted 11/14/2008 10:51:29 PM | message detail
Yesterday's Crono>Vincent was great and besides Pikachu>L-Block will be the highlight of this year's contest.
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"Mewtwo is a major joke."- Vlado
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