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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 634

KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2008 5:48:52 PM | message detail
I'm going to make a bold prediction and say that there is little to no stuffing involved in this match, and if there is it's going to Crono.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Lopen | Posted 11/14/2008 5:48:54 PM | message detail
Brackets shouldn't be a factor this late into the match.

What, you don't think people are rallying/stuffing for Vincent to "save their bracket" even if they realistically have no chance of winning at this point? I think you give the userbase far too much credit.
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Target: 48% GAME FUEL, Nekkid Cartwheels, Snake Proxy, all powers belong to Kirby.
trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2008 5:48:58 PM | message detail
did you see the same night vote that I did? cause Samus was up 1300 votes by morning.

we're still in the afterschool vote area til 9. that's usually when the stalls happen.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 5:49:47 PM | message detail

From: Lopen | #102
Brackets shouldn't be a factor this late into the match.

What, you don't think people are rallying/stuffing for Vincent to "save their bracket" even if they realistically have no chance of winning at this point? I think you give the userbase far too much credit.



Oh I meant bracket voters, aka peopel who are voting for who wins in their bracket. Those are mainly the early voters.
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 5:50:27 PM | message detail
Oh, Crono and Vincent are certainly being rallied, no argument. But the ASV falls off sharply after 8, Nintendo more than other strong ASV characters, and Crono and Vincent made a lot of cuts through the night, so it really wouldn't be too surprising if they got a couple of cuts in here.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
Lopen | Posted 11/14/2008 5:50:52 PM | message detail
Yeah, that's not what I was talking about.
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Kirby's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 4 - Seph/Sonic/Dante.
Target: 48% GAME FUEL, Nekkid Cartwheels, Snake Proxy, all powers belong to Kirby.
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 5:51:52 PM | message detail
Crono needs to kick Vincent in the taint, like, now.
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ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 5:51:55 PM | message detail
Vinnie slowly pulling away here.

Looks like both of them cutting Samus is gonna become a trend.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 5:52:37 PM | message detail
this match is over... back to WoW!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 5:55:21 PM | message detail
or nm... stupid 45 minute queue -.-
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KommunistKoala | Posted 11/14/2008 5:56:12 PM | message detail
not as bad as that 7 hour one i saw
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 5:56:44 PM | message detail
Uh Crono.....now is not the time to let Vincent make consistent gains on you!
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 5:56:51 PM | message detail
Is it Thanksgiving?

CAUSE I SEE STUFFING EVERYWHERE
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 5:57:27 PM | message detail
Vince has passed the 150 vote mark.. I don't think Crono can win this
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 5:58:06 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3294&type=2&seconds=60&max=0

This is encouraging- notice how close Vincent was to Samus at this point, and that he falls off after 9!
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 5:59:28 PM | message detail
I wouldn't call Vincent extending his lead encouraging here... >_<
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hellfire104 | Posted 11/14/2008 5:59:54 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 5:59:54 PM | message detail
I meant the Samus/Vincent chart from last round.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2008 6:00:14 PM | message detail
I think the sad part about this match is that I would be rooting for Crono if certain people weren't making me feel dirty for doing so.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
hellfire104 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:01:24 PM | message detail
who is making you feel dirty?
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Point Total/Rank: 333/414, 80%, T4th
My Bracket Says: Samus > Crono Prediction: Samus > Cron
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:01:49 PM | message detail
IT BEGINS
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ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 6:02:38 PM | message detail
What's Crono's quota now? >_>
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2008 6:02:41 PM | message detail
Isn't it obvious?

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:03:03 PM | message detail
now that this match is over..

Who do you think will win the board vote tonight, WCC or Mewtwo?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:03:12 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #123
Isn't it obvious?



;)
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Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 6:03:43 PM | message detail
Bio?<_<
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EvilVulcan2 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:04:47 PM | message detail
He needs to cut 4.19 votes per update to come back from this.
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:05:12 PM | message detail
. . . . . . . . 2007 | 2008 | Difference
1:00 | 56.58% | 55.10% | -1.47%
2:00 | 54.83% | 53.26% | -1.57%
3:00 | 52.08% | 52.67% | 0.59%
4:00 | 51.40% | 50.05% | -1.35%
5:00 | 43.78% | 46.02% | 2.24%
6:00 | 41.43% | 41.08% | -0.35%
7:00 | 43.06% | 45.70% | 2.64%
8:00 | 44.04% | 49.34% | 5.29%
9:00 | 47.66% | 49.67% | 2.00%
10:00 | 47.54% | 49.78% | 2.24%
11:00 | 49.90% | 51.18% | 1.28%
12:00 | 50.15% | 50.07% | -0.08%
13:00 | 49.07% | 49.39% | 0.32%
14:00 | 49.06% | 50.00% | 0.94%
15:00 | 49.34% | 49.90% | 0.56%
16:00 | 45.50% | 48.64% | 3.14%
17:00 | 46.14% | 47.24% | 1.10%
18:00 | 45.59% | 48.90% | 3.31%
19:00 | 45.65% | 48.57% | 2.92%
20:00 | 47.75% | 50.16% | 2.41%
21:00 | 47.02% | 48.59% | 1.57%


Projections based on an average of the past 6 hours:

22:00 | 48.52% | 50.93% | 2.41%
23:00 | 47.75% | 50.16% | 2.41%
24:00 | 46.77% | 49.14% | 2.41%

That was a subpar hour for Crono- he needs to do better than that.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2008 6:05:57 PM | message detail
Welllllll...

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:06:42 PM | message detail
Here...
we...
GO!
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Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 6:06:47 PM | message detail
That's 2...!
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:08:01 PM | message detail
Crono exceeding quota to open the new hour!
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
hellfire104 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:08:28 PM | message detail
Come on Crono, send that emo vampire thing back to his coffin!

*Gives garlic, stakes, silver, the sun and a crucifix to crono.*
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Point Total/Rank: 333/414, 80%, T4th
My Bracket Says: Samus > Crono Prediction: Samus > Cron
KommunistKoala | Posted 11/14/2008 6:09:17 PM | message detail

From: hellfire104 | #653
Come on Crono, send that emo vampire thing back to his coffin!

*Gives garlic, stakes, silver, the sun and a crucifix to crono.*



what a clever post, you are quite hilarious
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:09:27 PM | message detail
You know what would be a perfect counter to a vampire?

LUMINAIRE.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
hellfire104 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:10:01 PM | message detail
Nice!
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Point Total/Rank: 333/414, 80%, T4th
My Bracket Says: Samus > Crono Prediction: Samus > Cron
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:11:21 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:11:52 PM | message detail
Why is it every two cuts Crono makes, Vincent has a sudden jump?

Seriously, be less obvious, stuffers.
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ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:12:01 PM | message detail
Uh....that is cheating, and people have been axed for it right?
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:12:28 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #139
Uh....that is cheating, and people have been axed for it right?



>_>
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:15:22 PM | message detail
Uh....that is cheating, and people have been axed for it right?

Technically he could be banned for just saying that.

>_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 295/416 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:16:03 PM | message detail
http://www.mmo-champion.com/index.php?topic=26577.msg442323;topicseen#new

Who posted that? Cuz ... mmo-champion is like the worst place to rally for a cult jrpg character. You'd get alot more vincent voters from that
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Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 6:16:59 PM | message detail
Didn't you say it's a ban now if someone rallies there? >_>
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:17:56 PM | message detail

From: Gaddswell | #143
Didn't you say it's a ban now if someone rallies there? >_>



Yep, but mods aren't present 24-7 anyway, and you can just make new accounts.

But still, its stupid to rally for Crono somewhere like that.
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__hiei__ | Posted 11/14/2008 6:18:38 PM | message detail
i don't think that topic will get many vincent votes

its a rally,but its cleverly named "chrono trigger fans something"

its unlikely many people uninterested in CT will click the topic
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:22:58 PM | message detail
I wonder when the stuffers will show up

I'm starting to get worried
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:27:22 PM | message detail
Hopefully that's a start. Crono doesn't need large cuts, he just can't let Vincent get too many more gains.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:31:41 PM | message detail
Crono has looked better at the SNV this year in addition to looking better at the day vote. I don't know what happened last year, but historically there has always been a shift from ASV-influenced night vote into true night vote around 11 PM. Let's hope Crono can catch that shift tonight, massive rally or not.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
RPGGamer0 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:37:14 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #148
Crono has looked better at the SNV this year in addition to looking better at the day vote. I don't know what happened last year, but historically there has always been a shift from ASV-influenced night vote into true night vote around 11 PM. Let's hope Crono can catch that shift tonight, massive rally or not.



more like massive stuffing.

do it crono, stuff away!

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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:41:48 PM | message detail
17 vote cut! Here we go.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
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