GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 633
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/14/2008 3:53:39 PM | message detail |
Woooo Crono! --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/14/2008 3:53:41 PM | message detail |
Heh, Rat cut Vincent. >_> --- ~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~ |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 3:53:51 PM | message detail |
that was all vincent sucking before anyone says anything --- Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII! He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 3:54:26 PM | message detail |
So how close does Crono need to keep it before the second night vote to win this thing --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
ffmasterjose | Posted 11/14/2008 3:54:28 PM | message detail |
Embrace your destiny and quit struggling Crono. --- 319/416 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII NP: Samus > Vincent | http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=0 |
Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 3:54:42 PM | message detail |
Vincent only took the lead 25 min ago. Whoa. And Crono brings it back under 100! He may not even need that Frog Hour if he holds well enough! --- http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png |
Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 3:54:43 PM | message detail |
Whoa, Vincent's only leading by a 100? He seemed well on pace for a
much bigger lead than that when I left since he surpassed his gains in
last year's 5-6 hour. Crono did better from 5-6 than 3-4 or 4-5 this year. Vincent actually did a lot better 5-6 last year. --- DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts) Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716 |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 3:55:42 PM | message detail |
Uh, I think vincent is looking to be the favorite in the SNV.. his lead just grew pretty much non stop during that time as well. --- Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII! He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 3:56:14 PM | message detail |
From: Sonic_Factor | #408 Thats because there was no need for Crono fans to "Rally" because it was out of reach. Don't forget Axel vs. Frog last year... --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/14/2008 3:58:16 PM | message detail |
So how close does Crono need to keep it before the second night vote to win this thing really really close. Like if Vincent's lead gets bigger than 150 votes, it's over. BOLD PREDICTION:No matter who wins, vote stuffers will decide this match, and SBAllen won't even care to make a topic about it. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 3:58:57 PM | message detail |
From: Zylo the wolf | #410 I don't think he even made a topic about AXel vs. Frog last year, which is some of the most blatent stuffing ever. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:07:11 PM | message detail |
Things don't look so crazy when you look at them from the perspective of hourly updates. . . . . . . . . 2007 | 2008 | Difference 1:00 | 56.58% | 55.10% | -1.47% 2:00 | 54.83% | 53.26% | -1.57% 3:00 | 52.08% | 52.67% | 0.59% 4:00 | 51.40% | 50.05% | -1.35% 5:00 | 43.78% | 46.02% | 2.24% 6:00 | 41.43% | 41.08% | -0.35% 7:00 | 43.06% | 45.70% | 2.64% 8:00 | 44.04% | 49.34% | 5.29% 9:00 | 47.66% | 49.67% | 2.00% 10:00 | 47.54% | 49.78% | 2.24% 11:00 | 49.90% | 51.18% | 1.28% 12:00 | 50.15% | 50.07% | -0.08% 13:00 | 49.07% | 49.39% | 0.32% 14:00 | 49.06% | 50.00% | 0.94% 15:00 | 49.34% | 49.90% | 0.56% 16:00 | 45.50% | 48.64% | 3.14% 17:00 | 46.14% | 47.24% | 1.10% 18:00 | 45.59% | 48.90% | 3.31% 19:00 | 45.65% | 48.57% | 2.92% Projections Based on an average of the past 4 hours: 20:00 | 47.75% | 50.37% | 2.62% 21:00 | 47.02% | 49.64% | 2.62% 22:00 | 48.52% | 51.14% | 2.62% 23:00 | 47.75% | 50.37% | 2.62% 24:00 | 46.77% | 49.35% | 2.62% --- Crono's quest to beat Link: This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 4:08:03 PM | message detail |
. . . . . . . . . 2007 | 2008 | Difference 16:00 | 45.50% | 48.64% | 3.13% 17:00 | 46.14% | 47.24% | 1.10% 18:00 | 45.59% | 48.90% | 3.31% 19:00 | 45.65% | 48.57% | 2.92% Overall another decent hour for Crono. I'm tempted to call him the favorite now. --- DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts) Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716 |
KommunistKoala | Posted 11/14/2008 4:08:38 PM | message detail |
not bold, quite the opposite in fact prediction actually its a fact: Allen could care less about vote stuffing, if it wasnt made obvious from Magus vs Sandbag --- sometimes when i play tetris and nobody is home i make male genitals out of the blocks and pleasure myself~Alex Shelley |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 4:08:40 PM | message detail |
20:00 | 47.75% | 50.37% | 2.62% 21:00 | 47.02% | 49.64% | 2.62% 22:00 | 48.52% | 51.14% | 2.62% 23:00 | 47.75% | 50.37% | 2.62% 24:00 | 46.77% | 49.35% | 2.62% Who wins with these projections? --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/14/2008 4:08:41 PM | message detail |
Aw yeah Crono! --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:09:06 PM | message detail |
Aw yeah Night Vote has arrived! --- Crono's quest to beat Link: This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2008 4:09:11 PM | message detail |
I'm starting to like Crono to win this. I won't argue it but it just
feels like this lead will peak at 2-300 and from there, who knows. --- xyzzy http://isobamapresident.com/ |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 4:10:12 PM | message detail |
From: trannyscience | #418 In that range, the stuffers can really have a field day. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:10:36 PM | message detail |
Who wins with these projections? I haven't done any calculations (you'd have to consider how many votes would come in each hour) but my guess is that those project Vincent to win with like 50ish votes. --- Crono's quest to beat Link: This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 4:11:50 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #420 Then its within range, because in a close match with a CT character, they will NEVER lose the final hour. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/14/2008 4:11:54 PM | message detail |
Crono lost the second night vote last year, but not as badly as he lost
the ASV. If that trend holds, he'll be winning the SNV outright this
time around. And we're right back to where we were before Vincent's 100 vote surge, it seems. Time's running out on the residual ASV as well. I'm almost tempted to call Crono the favorite here, but he's got to establish a trend of gaining. At any rate, if Vincent wins it looks like the bracket switchovers really will have made the difference this time. --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/14/2008 4:11:56 PM | message detail |
No way the fourth biggest cheater in this contest losses with 50ish votes. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 4:11:59 PM | message detail |
I just noticed Pikachu's outdoing his percentage from last year's round 4! --- http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:13:49 PM | message detail |
Then its within range, because in a close match with a CT character, they will NEVER lose the final hour. Mario in both 2002 and 2003. >_> --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 295/416 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent |
trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2008 4:14:02 PM | message detail |
I still think it's dangerous to use trends from last year because there
was no after-school that day. I agree though, if Crono is losing the
ASV by this little then the night vote will favour him just because
he'll do less bad. --- xyzzy http://isobamapresident.com/ |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 4:14:13 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #425 Well, without a Mario fanboy running the site, that is. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/14/2008 4:14:19 PM | message detail |
I just noticed Pikachu's outdoing his percentage from last year's round 4! That's not exactly *good*. Last year's Master Chief would've wasted either Crono or Vincent. --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 4:14:57 PM | message detail |
crono vs mario.. twice --- Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII! He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII. |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:15:02 PM | message detail |
Clearly this means Sephiroth > Dante is a damn lock. --- ~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~ |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:15:24 PM | message detail |
We're forgetting that Crono has had 4 close matches and never, ever,
won one. He lost the last hour to Mario by like 600 votes (ok, obvious
stuffing for Mario, but still, it doesn't exactly give me confidence in
Crono). Crono isn't Frog. That said, Crono has a better chance of winning this than ever. 91 votes, and if last year's trends hold, it'll be lower than that before we even get to 11 PM. I could even call him the favorite, actually... --- Crono's quest to beat Link: This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 4:16:04 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #431 oh no you didn't --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:16:14 PM | message detail |
I still think it's dangerous to use trends from last year because
there was no after-school that day. I agree though, if Crono is losing
the ASV by this little then the night vote will favour him just because
he'll do less bad. Last year's match was on a Wednesday. --- Crono's quest to beat Link: This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 4:16:16 PM | message detail |
Crono vs Sonic was close but Crono vs Mega Man wasn't? --- DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts) Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716 |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:18:01 PM | message detail |
That's not exactly *good*. Last year's Master Chief would've wasted either Crono or Vincent. He wouldn't waste, but he'd easily win. Still I don't think that outweighs the fact that Dante and Luigi are much weaker than anyone in today's trio. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 295/416 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent |
paraboxx | Posted 11/14/2008 4:18:07 PM | message detail |
Holy damn, what a match. Hope this one isn't over right when I get here to watch it! Biolizard28 Posted 11/14/2008 5:31:14 PM save_us.ALBION God I hope Cube somehow makes it through tomorrow. |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:18:41 PM | message detail |
Crono lost to Sonic by 1900 and beat Megaman by 3500. However, he led
Sonic for 16 hours, while Megaman never really showed any fight,
outside of stalling Crono for a couple of hours in the morning. Crono
vs. Sonic was in doubt for more than half the day....Crono/Megaman was
not. --- Crono's quest to beat Link: This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2008 4:18:44 PM | message detail |
hm, you're right. thought it was a weekend. it was a Thursday though! some Cronologist you are --- xyzzy http://isobamapresident.com/ |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 4:18:54 PM | message detail |
Seeing the past couple updates, now thats it over 100 again, expect another 20 vote cut from Crono --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/14/2008 4:19:31 PM | message detail |
Vincent is back on a +100 lead. Will Crono cut it all away again? --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/14/2008 4:19:59 PM | message detail |
No, October 24th 2007 was a Wednesday. Check your PC calendar --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:21:00 PM | message detail |
Samus > Master Chief Crono > Dante Vincent > Luigi Pikachu's performance here is very impressive. --- Crono's quest to beat Link: This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 4:21:21 PM | message detail |
It was still in doubt until 9am or so. And the final margin was 2800, less than 1000 over the Crono/Sonic margin. --- DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts) Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716 |
trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2008 4:21:53 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2914&num=4 10-25! --- xyzzy http://isobamapresident.com/ |
trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2008 4:22:16 PM | message detail |
....oh never...mind --- xyzzy http://isobamapresident.com/ |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 4:22:34 PM | message detail |
From: trannyscience | #444 That was the final update after midnight... --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
KommunistKoala | Posted 11/14/2008 4:23:39 PM | message detail |
no cut, only gainage --- sometimes when i play tetris and nobody is home i make male genitals out of the blocks and pleasure myself~Alex Shelley |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 4:24:39 PM | message detail |
think Vincent just got his biggest lead of the day --- Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII! He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 4:24:51 PM | message detail |
From about 7:30 onward last match, Vincent really started to slow down, and Crono even had a couple cuts. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:25:03 PM | message detail |
Oh, thought it was higher than that for some reason. Either way,
Megaman really didn't show any signs of life, and from what I remember,
no one in this topic really gave him much of a chance to win. This was
back before Crono's day vote became bottom-of-the-barrel, so people
weren't expecting a huge collapse- and didn't get one. I could agree
with you saying Crono/Sonic and Crono/Vincent weren't really close
though- they were certainly well beyond rallying range. I just have a
hard time calling any match where the winner was 2200 votes down not
close. --- Crono's quest to beat Link: This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |