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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 633

transience | Posted 11/14/2008 12:35:02 PM | message detail
contest spoilers -- Vincent takes the lead on post #337

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

~*aprosenf's poll script*~
http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:36:20 PM | message detail
well you stop that already
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg
paulg235 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:36:33 PM | message detail
Vincent will take the lead 5 minutes before the match ends? Wow. What an upset that would be.
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The Gamer In Me
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:09:58 PM | message detail
Keep doing that; it's stopped Vincent twice already!
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
tee316 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:10:47 PM | message detail
Haha, if Vincent doesn't have the lead by then Crono will win.
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"Mewtwo is a major joke."- Vlado
KommunistKoala | Posted 11/14/2008 1:34:16 PM | message detail
paulg more like guy who tried to get post 500 and failed owned
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sometimes when i play tetris and nobody is home i make male genitals out of the blocks and pleasure myself~Alex Shelley
Starion | Posted 11/14/2008 1:34:40 PM | message detail
Go Kirby.
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:35:25 PM | message detail
Vincent breaches the triple digits.

Crono needs a rally right now. *hint*
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
paulg235 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:36:06 PM | message detail
By three seconds.

I blame the author of the 500th post who was 4 seconds late.
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The Gamer In Me
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2008 1:36:11 PM | message detail
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Oh, so you're one of the mods that voluntarily stepped down following the FD nonsense.
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS2
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 1:38:23 PM | message detail
I think everyone can agree now that Vince IS stronger then Crono, and it wasn't just Link SFFing Crono last year
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Nyah | Posted 11/14/2008 1:38:59 PM | message detail
no crono is getting sffed by nintendo
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"If truly there is evil in this world it lurks in the hearts of man" -- Edward D. Morrison
paulg235 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:39:09 PM | message detail
0.1% to go.
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The Gamer In Me
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:39:27 PM | message detail
Not AS bad Crono, but you can't let Vincent cut like that!
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 1:39:57 PM | message detail
You have 2 Nintendo characters, so It's really hard tell.. but yea, it seems the gap between them is even less.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
KommunistKoala | Posted 11/14/2008 1:40:13 PM | message detail
CRONO IS GETTING SAPPED BY PIKACHU ALIBON WHAT DONT YOU UNDERSTAND

what an alibon jeez
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sometimes when i play tetris and nobody is home i make male genitals out of the blocks and pleasure myself~Alex Shelley
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2008 1:40:42 PM | message detail
Where are those 4 votes from Albion when Crono needs them most?
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS2
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 11/14/2008 1:41:26 PM | message detail
GOOOO C-MAN
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Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 1:42:17 PM | message detail
crono is toast, next match
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
BDawg | Posted 11/14/2008 1:42:41 PM | message detail
How far do we have to get through another stats topic before the Crono zealots give up?
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Should I start running now?
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2008 1:42:59 PM | message detail

From: BDawg | Posted: 11/14/2008 4:42:41 PM | #018
How far do we have to get through another stats topic before the Crono zealots give up?



337
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS2
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:43:23 PM | message detail
To infinity and beyond.

Crono to cut Samus COMING UP NEXT STAY TUNED
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2008 1:43:53 PM | message detail
well, at least Crono's not COMPLETELY dying here - if he keeps this within striking range maybe he can pull one of those Frog cheat jobs.

it's looking to be a 600 vote lead by 10 though, if not bigger, so it's pretty damn unlikely.
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xyzzy
http://isobamapresident.com/
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2008 1:43:55 PM | message detail
*BEYOND* over, G_G wannabe script kiddies.
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS2
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:44:11 PM | message detail
hey ulti i thought you were leaving
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg
paulg235 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:44:35 PM | message detail
61 votes.
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The Gamer In Me
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2008 1:44:37 PM | message detail
I decided to drive to work instead of walk. but I really do have to run. Oh well.
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS2
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:45:07 PM | message detail
Okay, Crono, you can stop failing now.

Also, Albion needs to get on the ball.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/14/2008 1:45:34 PM | message detail
Hurry we won't make it to 337 in time
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
ZFS | Posted 11/14/2008 1:45:46 PM | message detail
Hey Crono is still leading. Not bad.

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"You don't have to worry about me."
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 11/14/2008 1:46:40 PM | message detail
C-Cannot be close, he never wins the close ones! <_<
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Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:47:04 PM | message detail
Still not completely done. I don't really believe in him getting a miracle rally though- he's never done it before. Crono just needs to stall Vincent for a good while, like he did the second half of the 3-4 hour.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:47:16 PM | message detail
HE WILL DAMMIT

FIGHT
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 1:47:46 PM | message detail

From: Biolizard28 | #028
Okay, Crono, you can stop failing now.

Also, Albion needs to get on the ball.



no u
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ZFS | Posted 11/14/2008 1:47:55 PM | message detail
Also, Albion needs to get on the ball.

Haha.

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"You don't have to worry about me."
trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2008 1:48:03 PM | message detail
given the blatant fanboyism I've been seeing over the past 16 hours (and days leading up to this match) I wouldn't be surprised!
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xyzzy
http://isobamapresident.com/
RockMFR 5 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:48:20 PM | message detail
stall! yes!
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
Ngamer64 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:49:03 PM | message detail
Eh, Crono failed because he was trying to beat Mario. You can't rally against Mario!

Vincent would be much easier to come back on. Just look how awful he does with the board vote.

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Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:49:21 PM | message detail
Crono needs to go Super Saiyan right about now.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 1:49:36 PM | message detail
I'm too busy killing random undead mobs in Northrend to rally for Crono sry
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
paulg235 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:49:55 PM | message detail
The future is refusing to change.
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The Gamer In Me
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:49:58 PM | message detail
That's the thing- Vincent won the board vote last night, as strange as that sounds.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
ZFS | Posted 11/14/2008 1:50:45 PM | message detail
Man, the stats topic has it bad for Crono.

next round won't be pleasant !

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"You don't have to worry about me."
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:50:51 PM | message detail
Maybe I'm being too down on Crono because he couldn't do anything with the second night vote on Sonic or Vincent last year though. He was down by a lot more than he'll be down tonight in both of those, so maybe.....
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/14/2008 1:51:41 PM | message detail
I'm liking Crono here. Vincent will probably build up a lead of a few hundred, but Crono's second night vote is killer. Should be a good finish to watch, if only I didn't have to work =(
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I want adventure in the great wide somewhere... I want it more than I can tell! - Belle
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MichaelWClark | Posted 11/14/2008 1:51:49 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #040
I'm too busy killing random undead mobs in Northrend to rally for Crono sry




Warcraft will always be there, Crono will not be after tonight if you don't do something.
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2008 1:52:54 PM | message detail
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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:53:10 PM | message detail
O night vote, save my bracket so the Gurus can all nominate Charizard for next year.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:53:18 PM | message detail
Crono wants us to all give up before starting his miracle rally. Look at all the miracle final hour rallies that have happened in the past (ok, all 2 of them). What was the common thread? Mario fans and Frog fans both gave up all hope before they started!
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 1:53:36 PM | message detail
Crono why do you do this to us
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