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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 632

LeonhartFour | Posted 11/14/2008 6:18:04 AM | message detail
First Quarter Stats

Link – 50.00%
Mario – 34.98%
Zack Fair – 30.94%
Bowser – 30.62%
Luigi – 30.60%
Mega Man X – 29.95%
Liquid Snake – 28.06%
Princess Zelda – 27.49%
Mudkip – 26.46%
Wario – 26.34%
Knuckles the Echidna – 23.82%
Marth – 23.14%
Duke Nukem – 21.91%
Altair – 21.70%
Phoenix Wright – 21.21%
Niko Bellic – 20.17%
Roxas – 19.90%
Kefka – 19.58%
Zidane Tribal – 18.56%
Fei Fong Wong – 18.04%
Shadow the Hedgehog – 16.70%
Cecil Harvey – 16.58%
Geno – 16.42%
Lloyd Irving – 16.26%
Deckard Cain – 14.87%
Lucario – 14.76%
Isaac – 14.18%
Guybrush Threepwood – 10.51%
Sho Minamimoto – 10.38%
Tom Nook – 9.75%
Luke fon Fabre – 9.16%
Jade Curtiss – 7.25%

First Quarter Raw Stats

Link – 50.00%
Mario – 34.98%
Zack Fair – 34.08%
Mega Man X – 29.95%
Liquid Snake – 28.06%
Princess Zelda – 27.49%
Mudkip – 26.46%
Knuckles the Echidna – 23.82%
Luigi – 22.88%
Zidane Tribal – 22.56%
Duke Nukem – 21.91%
Bowser – 20.44%
Shadow the Hedgehog – 20.30%
Altair – 18.82%
Marth – 18.71%
Phoenix Wright – 18.29%
Cecil Harvey – 18.27%
Fei Fong Wong – 18.04%
Wario – 16.58%
Lloyd Irving – 16.26%
Niko Bellic – 16.25%
Kefka – 15.78%
Roxas – 14.88%
Lucario – 14.44%
Isaac – 13.87%
Geno – 10.96%
Deckard Cain – 9.92%
Tom Nook – 9.75%
Luke fon Fabre – 9.16%
Guybrush Threepwood – 9.11%
Jade Curtiss – 7.98%
Sho Minamimoto – 7.77%
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
HaRRicH | Posted 11/14/2008 6:18:08 AM | message detail
I figure Vincent is, but Crono has beaten Vincent before and it should be closer than Vincent's upset last year...it's still anybody's game.
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/14/2008 6:19:52 AM | message detail
I'm not giving Crono much of a chance here. Granted, by this time last year, Vincent was fighting for the lead within 100 votes of it, but Vinny really started pulling away with the ASV. They actually stalled most of the during school vote.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:22:57 AM | message detail
If I were just looking at last year's trends, I'd conclude Crono is a fairly heavy favorite right now. But, yeah, I have my doubts he'll actually follow through with them and do about the same with the ASV as with the morning again, for the same reason I thought he wouldn't fall off quite as badly in the dead zone this time.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:23:53 AM | message detail
Crono wont die on my watch kk
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 6:24:31 AM | message detail
130 spike for crono out of no where.. no one else dropped from average. Crono% will fall hard soon.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:25:47 AM | message detail

From: Sonic_Factor | #206
130 spike for crono out of no where.. no one else dropped from average. Crono% will fall hard soon.



-whistles-
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
HaRRicH | Posted 11/14/2008 6:26:06 AM | message detail
How effective is your rallying again, Albion?
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:27:23 AM | message detail
Not as effective for Crono as the PC characters but should get some votes he wouldn't of previously gotten.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:29:00 AM | message detail
Thats the problem with rallying at places without constant hits

Its like 1 update spike and thats it =\
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:29:33 AM | message detail
. . . . . . . . 2007 | 2008 | Difference
1:00 | 56.57% | 55.11% | -1.46%
2:00 | 54.83% | 53.26% | -1.57%
3:00 | 52.08% | 52.67% | +0.59%
4:00 | 51.40% | 50.05% | -1.35%
5:00 | 43.78% | 46.02% | +2.24%
6:00 | 41.43% | 41.08% | -0.35%
7:00 | 43.06% | 45.70% | +2.64%
8:00 | 44.04% | 49.24% | +5.20%
9:00 | 47.66% | 49.67% | +2.01%

10:00 | 47.54%
11:00 | 49.90%
12:00 | 50.15%
13:00 | 49.07%
14:00 | 49.06%
15:00 | 49.34%

If Crono can pull in hours 2-3% better than last year as he's been doing, these narrow losses/stalls become narrow gains.

16:00 | 45.50%
17:00 | 46.14%
18:00 | 45.59%
19:00 | 45.65%
20:00 | 47.75%
21:00 | 47.02%
22:00 | 48.52%
23:00 | 45.49%
24:00 | 46.77%

That same 2% would result in Vincent's ASV power being cut in half.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
Seginustemple | Posted 11/14/2008 6:32:17 AM | message detail
Red Sox, those stats give me hope, but I don't want it to build up because I really am not feeling a Crono win here. I have to be numb to the eventual loss :(

God damn emo weeaboo kids

Albion, be a hero
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I'm gonna kill bill gates and then force feed him to him - Shaggy
Brawl FC: 2750-4289-2133
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/14/2008 6:35:53 AM | message detail
If it's close when I get home at ten, I'm gonna start rallying the old fashioned way. I have favors to collect from about 90% of my buddy list. >.>
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ExThaNemesis is the man.
http://img.imgcake.com/ omghawttt13141.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:36:12 AM | message detail
The thing that gives me hope is that Crono doesn't seem like he'll lose the lead by 10 AM today like he did last year, and he's PADDING IT during late morning vote.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/14/2008 6:37:28 AM | message detail
Well he had better start to pad it faster right now. Because once about 3 o clock hits he's going to start getting bent over.
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ExThaNemesis is the man.
http://img.imgcake.com/ omghawttt13141.jpg
Seginustemple | Posted 11/14/2008 6:38:51 AM | message detail
Pad it like you mean it, *****
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I'm gonna kill bill gates and then force feed him to him - Shaggy
Brawl FC: 2750-4289-2133
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:39:32 AM | message detail
At this time last years match, Vincent was cutting about 15 votes an update on Crono.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Seginustemple | Posted 11/14/2008 6:41:52 AM | message detail
It's definitely gonna be more of a nailbiter this time, and I *think* I don't have to do anything today so I'll be here for all of it *checks popcorn bags*

Alright, six left.
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I'm gonna kill bill gates and then force feed him to him - Shaggy
Brawl FC: 2750-4289-2133
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/14/2008 6:41:53 AM | message detail
Yeah, so he's definitely not going to be losing the lead, at least not until the after school vote begins... he may yet have a chance, but I'd like to see him up by 500 or so when 3:00 rolls around. That'd be glorious. He's got about 5 hours to do so, too.
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ExThaNemesis is the man.
http://img.imgcake.com/ omghawttt13141.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:50:12 AM | message detail
This is gonna be closer then last years, but I'm not feeling good about it for Crono here.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
snoocete | Posted 11/14/2008 6:55:12 AM | message detail
Hey guys I just voted for Pika-- OH GOD CRONO PLEASE STAY AHEAD
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Hentai? I didn't ask for hentai. I asked for anime, you moron.
*clicks and downloads* - Hayato118
charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:55:42 AM | message detail
Albion during what hour were you not rallying for Cube?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 295/416 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:57:12 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #222
Albion during what hour were you not rallying for Cube?



13:30 to 14:30
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:59:57 AM | message detail
Also I stopped rallying from 22:00 to 24:00 just to see how close MM could make it
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
voltch | Posted 11/14/2008 7:05:10 AM | message detail
Vincent winning would all but ensure a link victory,but would he be able to take enough momentum to beat link in the semis with all the SFF that will be circulating.
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Del Boy:He who dares, wins!
Crimson Dragoon | Posted 11/14/2008 7:05:58 AM | message detail
Vincent winning would all but ensure a link victory,but would he be able to take enough momentum to beat link in the semis with all the SFF that will be circulating.

No.
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~FFDragon. (at Work !!) The Cream of Resident Evil Fanboyism.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 7:06:01 AM | message detail
. . . . . . . . 2007 | 2008 | Difference
1:00 | 56.57% | 55.11% | -1.46%
2:00 | 54.83% | 53.26% | -1.57%
3:00 | 52.08% | 52.67% | +0.59%
4:00 | 51.40% | 50.05% | -1.35%
5:00 | 43.78% | 46.02% | +2.24%
6:00 | 41.43% | 41.08% | -0.35%
7:00 | 43.06% | 45.70% | +2.64%
8:00 | 44.04% | 49.24% | +5.20%
9:00 | 47.66% | 49.67% | +2.01%
10:00 | 47.54% | 49.69% | +2.15%

If Crono's going to keep beating last year by 2%, he's going to outright win the next hour.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 7:08:29 AM | message detail
aww yea crono cut samus
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 7:10:07 AM | message detail
Heh, it looks like the morning vote didn't help Pikachu at all.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 7:11:21 AM | message detail
I find it shocking that the morning vote helped an 11 year old RPG character more then the FACE OF FREAKING POKEMON
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Kefka_of_Light | Posted 11/14/2008 7:14:58 AM | message detail
Shut up Albion.

Crono's done for.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 7:15:59 AM | message detail
Oh, Crono still went down in percentage, and Pikachu did manage to stop bleeding percentage, so he still fared better with it. But Crono looks like the morning vote is really saving him after the FFVII Total Domination Zone.....is FFVII really popular in Europe or something?
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 7:19:31 AM | message detail
Hmm....I think Crono can hit a 700 vote lead by 3. That's a little under 100 votes/hour.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 7:21:55 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #233
Hmm....I think Crono can hit a 700 vote lead by 3. That's a little under 100 votes/hour.



If he can do that (which I still feel is unlikely), he's got this wrapped up. Because if the match is close after ASV, the Chrono Trigger "Rallying" teams will be out in full force.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
WoW_Skills | Posted 11/14/2008 7:23:15 AM | message detail
just say vote stuffers, cause no ones stupid and we know what u mean.. how bout jooz let a fair match?
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 7:24:09 AM | message detail
Crono can win this one without stuffing and even without rallying....or at least without getting more rallying than Vincent.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
Master Moltar | Posted 11/14/2008 7:25:37 AM | message detail
Nice, Crono holding up much better in the morning than last year. Samus back to where she was last night, and Pikachu looking to fall below 18% before the ASV, awesome

I'll be gone until the afternoon. Vincent knows what to do then.
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This is not my GameFOX sig...
Therefore, it doesn't exist!
whatev | Posted 11/14/2008 7:33:10 AM | message detail
I think that the FF7 Total Domination Zone is the equivalent to the ASV in Japan. I don't see how it being the equivalent of a morning vote in Europe is that significant, considering how we don't see quite the same trends with a European ASV.

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The world is toroidal.
Exposed armpits are sexy.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 7:34:06 AM | message detail
Well Crono is dead. I'm gonna go play Wow, c'ya
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Justin_Crossing | Posted 11/14/2008 7:35:17 AM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #239
Well Crono is dead. I'm gonna go play Wow, c'ya


On that note, what realm are you on?
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Gaaah my GameFOX sig reset and I'm too lazy to change it back.
voltch | Posted 11/14/2008 7:36:04 AM | message detail
i thought crono could do it but looks like he's done for.
FFVII is growing into a monster after years of playing second fiddle to nintendo.
It's like racing championships,Nintendo gets the driver's champion with link but FF gets the constructor's championship with the rest.
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Del Boy:He who dares, wins!
charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2008 7:42:32 AM | message detail
Okay let's see if rallying does anything.

12:30-13:30
One hour before rallying stops.

Mega Man - 1893
WCC - 2236
Solid Snake - 2972
Zero - 1162
8263 Votes are cast.

This is the hour that WCC passed MM and built a lead for himself. Mega Man had about a 93 vote lead at the start of this hour and was losing by over 200 by the end.

13:30-14:30
The hour that rallying stops.

Mega Man - 1846
WCC - 1819
Solid Snake - 2888
Zero - 1138
7691 Votes are cast.

As you can see about there are about 600 less votes and it seems like WCC is the one that took the hardest hit look at the percent compare to last hour.

Mega Man - 97.52%
WCC - 81.35%
Solid Snake - 97.17%
Zero - 97.93%

While the other three have similar drops cube drops like a rock.

14:30-15:30
One hour after rallying stops.

Mega Man - 1637
WCC - 1736
Solid Snake - 2734
Zero - 1070
7177 Votes are cast.

Seems like we got a 500 vote drop compare to last hour and that is with rallying. Everyone seemed to drop in votes as well.

Mega Man - 88.69%
WCC - 95.44%
Solid Snake - 94.67%
Zero - 94.02%

We see that Mega Man is the one to take the hardest drop in this hour, but WCC didn't hold up any better than Snake and Zero.

Was there more people rallying for WCC when he was coming back? Take this numbers however you wish.

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 295/416 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent
charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2008 7:45:11 AM | message detail
Pikachu is still doing great last year he got 18.22% against Halo 3 MC/Dante/Luigi.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 295/416 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent
__hiei__ | Posted 11/14/2008 7:54:35 AM | message detail
back to gaining Crono
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 8:00:48 AM | message detail
I think that the FF7 Total Domination Zone is the equivalent to the ASV in Japan. I don't see how it being the equivalent of a morning vote in Europe is that significant, considering how we don't see quite the same trends with a European ASV

It's not necessarily that there are a lot of votes coming in from Europe at that time, it's the fact that most of America is asleep then, so a much higher percentage of votes are coming in from other places, of which Europe is by far the largest demographic on this site. This is confirmed by CT doing so horribly at that time despite its normally excellent night vote- the game was never released in Europe.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
__hiei__ | Posted 11/14/2008 8:01:21 AM | message detail
oh yeah crono won this hour
Shaggysaurus | Posted 11/14/2008 8:04:43 AM | message detail
awww yeah Chrono
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~Believe~
lol I am cracking up at your sig - Shaggy
charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2008 8:05:21 AM | message detail
Vincent had a lead of 150 at 2:30pm last year and won by 1700 votes. Unless Crono dies from here to the ASV Vincent won't win by more than 1000 votes.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 295/416 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 8:05:50 AM | message detail
. . . . . . . . 2007 | 2008 | Difference
1:00 | 56.57% | 55.11% | -1.46%
2:00 | 54.83% | 53.26% | -1.57%
3:00 | 52.08% | 52.67% | +0.59%
4:00 | 51.40% | 50.05% | -1.35%
5:00 | 43.78% | 46.02% | +2.24%
6:00 | 41.43% | 41.08% | -0.35%
7:00 | 43.06% | 45.70% | +2.64%
8:00 | 44.04% | 49.24% | +5.20%
9:00 | 47.66% | 49.67% | +2.01%
10:00 | 47.54% | 49.69% | +2.15%
11:00 | 49.90% | 51.10% | +1.20%

Crono outright wins the hour, but doesn't manage to beat last year by 2%.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
Justin_Crossing | Posted 11/14/2008 8:06:20 AM | message detail
Oh yeah Vincent's gonna make it.

HE HAD BETTER.

GRAAAAAAAH
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Gaaah my GameFOX sig reset and I'm too lazy to change it back.
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