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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 632

Lopen | Posted 11/14/2008 2:17:51 AM | message detail
No, holding up a bit better is all Crono needs to do. Assuming trends hold up him holding up better in one hour snowballs into him holding up better in other hours which translates to him winning some hours rather than losing them. Crono only has to hold up fractionally better in every hour and the 1% deficit suddenly becomes a 1% victory.

Not to say I'm calling this for Crono or anything yet, but people need to get over themselves just because they put together that this match is following roughly the same trends as last year's. The roughly could make all the difference.
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Kirby's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 4 - Seph/Sonic/Dante.
Target: 48% GAME FUEL, Nekkid Cartwheels, Snake Proxy, all powers belong to Kirby.
Gaddswell | Posted 11/14/2008 2:18:01 AM | message detail
In another part of this match, it's starting to look like Pika might just be able to hang on to 18% here!

That would mean he pulls a higher percentage than Gordon did last round, despite Samus / Crono / Vincent being stronger than Samus / Vincent / SFFed Ganon, and while being SFFed by Samus!
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transience | Posted 11/14/2008 2:18:24 AM | message detail
resistance is futile, etc
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
Lopen | Posted 11/14/2008 2:19:16 AM | message detail
Pikachu will finish well over 18%, rest assured. I'd bet he can make 20% right now.
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Kirby's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 4 - Seph/Sonic/Dante.
Target: 48% GAME FUEL, Nekkid Cartwheels, Snake Proxy, all powers belong to Kirby.
Shaggy_Heru | Posted 11/14/2008 2:19:52 AM | message detail
not asleep yet!!

and still rooting for Chrono!

but now, really, I am going to bed.
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~Believe~
lol I am cracking up at your sig - Shaggy
WiiRage | Posted 11/14/2008 2:28:02 AM | message detail
Vincent dip yay
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I'm DS, with more functionality than ever ...
... RAAAAAAAAAAAAGE
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 2:34:14 AM | message detail
He slapped crono hard that update.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
WiiRage | Posted 11/14/2008 2:39:21 AM | message detail
And that one.
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I'm DS, with more functionality than ever ...
... RAAAAAAAAAAAAGE
Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 2:40:17 AM | message detail
Right now, Crono needs to average about 1.77% more of the Vincent/Crono votes (from 5:30 to 24:00) than he received last time, to tie. I would call that more than a bit better really. He did do over 2% better in the 4-5 hour, which is why I'm not completely ruling it out, but that's the only hour Crono has done better than last year.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
linkhatesganon | Posted 11/14/2008 2:49:27 AM | message detail
What did you say about the trends Lopen? ^__^
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Please, don't insult me - Vlado about British blood
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Ngamer64 | Posted 11/14/2008 2:51:51 AM | message detail
Crono stops the bleeding!


...is what I'll get to say next update. Hopefully.

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Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 2:53:00 AM | message detail
This is looking to be by far Crono's worst hour of this match, same as last year, and about as bad too.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 2:57:27 AM | message detail
holy hell @ that update for vincent.. he slapped off 49
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
Kefka_of_Light | Posted 11/14/2008 2:57:39 AM | message detail
*waves Vincent flag*

Go Vincen-*is shot*
LordLockeRA | Posted 11/14/2008 3:02:08 AM | message detail
Man, so far all Pikachu's been doing is lying there taking a beating so Crono has the percentage to stay in this match.

This has to be the most boring Pikachu's been ever.

So... anybody wanna wake up the kiddies at Serebii.net?
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Meeh. Whatever.
Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 3:07:51 AM | message detail
41.08% of Vincent/Crono votes for Crono from 5-6.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
WiiRage | Posted 11/14/2008 3:12:13 AM | message detail
What was it last year?
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I'm DS, with more functionality than ever ...
... RAAAAAAAAAAAAGE
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2008 3:17:17 AM | message detail
Crono's done.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 4:09:54 AM | message detail
Crono's %
. . . . . . . . 2007 | 2008
1:00 | 56.57% | 55.11%
2:00 | 54.83% | 53.26%
3:00 | 52.08% | 52.67%
4:00 | 51.40% | 50.05%
5:00 | 43.78% | 46.02%
6:00 | 41.43% | 41.08%
7:00 | 43.06% | 45.70%

Hmm, much better again in the last hour. Still, hard to imagine Vincent losing when he's only 336 votes behind now.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
paulg235 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:11:44 AM | message detail
Vincent will take 2nd in 40 minutes time.
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The Gamer In Me
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 4:14:32 AM | message detail
It will take more then 40 minutes.. He's about to slow down, and Crono will boost a bit.. he already started to. Still, I don't think it'll be enough to save Crono.. especially with the afternoon vote.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 4:29:31 AM | message detail
nice crono gain there.. vincent sucked that update
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:30:13 AM | message detail
Crono can't do it?Awww and I really liked him...Well not bad,he has appeared only in one game and still manages to have so much power...
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 4:37:45 AM | message detail
dayam.. 3 wins in row for crono, the last one was pretty big
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
paulg235 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:37:56 AM | message detail
Vincent is bleeding percentage with that update. Crono's back in the saddle.
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The Gamer In Me
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/14/2008 4:43:00 AM | message detail
*wakes up*

haha.. oh man, this is Crono/Vincent from last year all over again
Crono with the lead during the night, Vincent almost catches up during the morning vote, they go wire to wire during the day, Vincent takes the lead with the ASV. The end.
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Today's prediction: Samus 31.50% - Vincent 25.67% - Crono 25.27% - Pikachu 17.56%
Status:
charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2008 4:43:01 AM | message detail
Crono won't go without a fight.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 295/416 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/14/2008 4:46:22 AM | message detail
We were all saying the same thing last year. And then... 'whoops'
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=2914&type=0&seconds=60&max=0

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Today's prediction: Samus 31.50% - Vincent 25.67% - Crono 25.27% - Pikachu 17.56%
Status:
Xcarvenger | Posted 11/14/2008 4:50:52 AM | message detail
Hey, Crono's lead is higher now than it was last year at this point in time. Hope still remains!
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/14/2008 5:01:04 AM | message detail
But last year Vince won by 1700 votes
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Today's prediction: Samus 31.50% - Vincent 25.67% - Crono 25.27% - Pikachu 17.56%
Status:
charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2008 5:06:31 AM | message detail
It's called momentum, if Vincent is slowing down now then Crono will probably make some better gains during the DSV.

Not that I think Crono should be considered the favourite.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 295/416 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent
Seginustemple | Posted 11/14/2008 5:09:11 AM | message detail
We were all saying the same thing last year. And then... 'whoops'
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=2914&type=0&seconds=60&max=0


Samus aint the day vote god like Link is

Though I have NO faith in Crono right now either way
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I'm gonna kill bill gates and then force feed him to him - Shaggy
Brawl FC: 2750-4289-2133
jonthomson | Posted 11/14/2008 5:09:33 AM | message detail
so, can we page wolf blitzer to project for vincent, or is it still too close to call?
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Jon Thomson - 1:10 pure 1:43 100% - HKP: 179
space reserved for guru winner
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 5:21:16 AM | message detail
This is over imo, doesn't look like Crono can get enough of a lead before the ASV.. that's when vincent took off. Pikachu and Samus will both boost too, so that won't help crono's %.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 11/14/2008 5:33:17 AM | message detail
EPIX STALL!

Never mind.
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It won't help.
Villanous Bill Gates | Posted 11/14/2008 5:53:59 AM | message detail
Stall Crono stall!

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Buy him out, boys!
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 5:56:40 AM | message detail
Stalling won't do him any good =/ he needs gainage
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/14/2008 5:58:35 AM | message detail
Crono will probably stall from this point on 'til the ASV, and Vincent will get him...again. And Samus is dead meat next round if she's only leading by 5% when she's the beneficiary of SFF. I know she's SFF resistant or whatever, but Link will still do enough to her to let Vincent (or Crono, if you want to give him a chance).

Also, LOL Link/Crono LFF. Seriously, can we stop saying a match has SFF or LFF so much? Especially this "console LFF" nonsense. Most of Crono's fanbase didn't play CT on the SNES anyway!
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:02:16 AM | message detail
Crono still has a 300 vote lead?

More importantly, Crono is GOING EVEN WITH VINCENT DURING THE MORNING VOTE?

Yes, yes, YES!
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
vash_131 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:02:22 AM | message detail
o am drunk. i think crono gaining on ivincent. he win right? lo 3am
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Character Battle V (2006): 37th place
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 6:04:16 AM | message detail
what are you talking about going even with vincent in the morning? He went even last year during the dv.. they won about 50/50.. it's about the same right now.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:05:57 AM | message detail
. . . . . . . . 2007 | 2008
1:00 | 56.57% | 55.11%
2:00 | 54.83% | 53.26%
3:00 | 52.08% | 52.67%
4:00 | 51.40% | 50.05%
5:00 | 43.78% | 46.02%
6:00 | 41.43% | 41.08%
7:00 | 43.06% | 45.70%
8:00 | 44.04% | 49.24%
9:00 | 47.66% | 49.67%

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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:08:49 AM | message detail
The difference the past 2 hours is very significant. The thing is last year, he didn't do any worse at the ASV than in those 2 hours, so if those are indicative of trends today.....Crono will start padding his lead again soon, and will lose ground during the ASV very slowly.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/14/2008 6:09:15 AM | message detail
More importantly, Crono is GOING EVEN WITH VINCENT DURING THE MORNING VOTE?

Magus went pretty even with Sandbag during the morning, too. Same with Crono/Sonic. It's the ASV that's killer for them.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 6:13:53 AM | message detail
vincent shot crono in the face on that one >_> nice
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/14/2008 6:14:16 AM | message detail
Nice, Vincent even cut Samus there.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:15:19 AM | message detail
Crono did better during the FFVII total domination zone too, it seems. Looking at the total period from 4 AM to now, Crono got 47.00% of the votes this year, compared to 44.32% last year. Vincent only won with 51.42% last year. Or in other words, last year, at 4 AM, Crono had a 1133 vote lead. At 9 AM it had dropped to a 123 vote lead. This year, at 4 AM, Crono had an 894 vote lead, and at 9 AM he had a 285 vote lead.

Uh, Crono, don't start letting Vincent cut you now!
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 6:16:17 AM | message detail
whos the favorite right now?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/14/2008 6:17:08 AM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | Link | ZackFAQS | Mario | Mega Man X
EBV | 35.89% | 17.91% | 24.34% | 21.85% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 38.24% | 20.07% | 22.11% | 19.58% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 37.58% | 22.46% | 20.85% | 19.12% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 38.92% | 21.56% | 23.38% | 16.15% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 40.90% | 20.87% | 21.43% | 16.80% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 41.80% | 20.01% | 21.94% | 16.26% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 41.90% | 20.63% | 19.65% | 17.81% | (22:00-24:00)

Whoo, look at Link just go and go and go. Zack has a horrible Board Vote and Power Hour, but makes up for it with that night vote. Mario's best time was the before school vote, as usual, and X really died off come sunrise big time.

Yesterday's stats:

Link – 50.00%
Mario – 34.98%
Zack Fair – 34.08%
Mega Man X – 29.95%
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Temporarily Sidetracked
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 6:18:01 AM | message detail
Magus went pretty even with Sandbag during the morning, too. Same with Crono/Sonic. It's the ASV that's killer for them.

Sandbag's ASV >>> Sandbag's Morning

Last year showed the same is not true for Vincent. I consider this match to be about even right now.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
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