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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 632

KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:07:02 PM | message detail
Anyway, if Vincent's rate for the last hour stays constant, he's not going to have the lead until 8:00. If he can't build anything substantial between 8 and 10, Crono has a shot.
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CB7 Score: 312/416
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RockMFR 5 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:07:06 PM | message detail
Vincent's not going to be winning if he gets 4th place updates during the ASV!
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
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BDawg | Posted 11/14/2008 1:07:09 PM | message detail
As always the fate of the contest lies in the hands of Pikachu. Yeah I don't know but it looks like he's gonna be in second on some of these after school updates.
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Should I start running now?
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:07:38 PM | message detail
I'm glad I wasn't here the past 4 hours; I would have been in despair watching Crono barely tread water with the DSV. But now Crono has done worse than last year with the early night vote, better with the deep night, much better with the morning, slightly better with the DSV, and so far much better with the ASV. That's a sign that Crono's day vote really has recovered somewhat this year.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
A1X_Jet | Posted 11/14/2008 1:08:23 PM | message detail
From: A1X_Jet | #446
I said this in another topic and I'll say it here: Crono is MUTE, and therefore should not be leading Vincent OR Pikachu, and therefore, Vincent should be IN the lead. Also, Samus is HOW OLD? Vincent and Pikachu should be winning, mainly because Crono should be replaced by Surge and Samus died back in '96.



lol



:::

Thanks for laughing.... Crono Supporter. (Dramatic chipmunk music)
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I Death Proof MY CARS, not just one!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 1:09:02 PM | message detail

From: A1X_Jet | #455
From: A1X_Jet | #446
I said this in another topic and I'll say it here: Crono is MUTE, and therefore should not be leading Vincent OR Pikachu, and therefore, Vincent should be IN the lead. Also, Samus is HOW OLD? Vincent and Pikachu should be winning, mainly because Crono should be replaced by Surge and Samus died back in '96.



lol



:::

Thanks for laughing.... Crono Supporter. (Dramatic chipmunk music)



We've seen how Serge does. He loses to Golden Sun characters. Yet Crono is noble niner.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/14/2008 1:10:38 PM | message detail
Team Nintendo is starting to roll. Depending on how close the Square guys (and thus, how badly they get rallied and artificially inflated) near the end, I think the Nintendo duo still has a good shot at 50%+.
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:12:09 PM | message detail
Yeah, it'll be interesting to see if Team Nintendo can win this one. They've only got another 4 hours to catch up though, because Crono and Vincent should gain with the second night vote over Samus and Pikachu even if it isn't close. And if we do get massive rallying at the end, Team Square has it.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2008 1:12:18 PM | message detail
Something to note: Pikachu is only doing 5% worse against Crono than last round despite Samus being in the poll.

Not sure what it means in the grand scheme of things,but it's something to note!

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
A1X_Jet | Posted 11/14/2008 1:12:53 PM | message detail
I played Golden Sun... Which onex exactly?

WAIT! Before you answer...

Golden Sun wasn't crap, but .... I don't remember the character names.
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I Death Proof MY CARS, not just one!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/14/2008 1:13:30 PM | message detail
Crono's improvement last year from 7-10(which isn't even the night vote) just seems like a nonsensical anomaly. I wouldn't count on the same thing to happen this year
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:13:37 PM | message detail
How dare you insult silent protagonists. Even in the off chance that Crono doesn't hold on here, Link shall win a 6th contest out of 7 for silent characters!
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 1:15:10 PM | message detail
Crono's improvement last year from 7-10(which isn't even the night vote) just seems like a nonsensical anomaly. I wouldn't count on the same thing to happen this year

Crono did just as well from 10-11 as 7-10. There was a bit of dropoff from 11-12, but it was still a full percentage point better than 3-7.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 1:15:17 PM | message detail
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Pikachu_vs_Tidus_vs_Isaac_vs_Serge_2007

Heres to the serge guy
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/14/2008 1:16:40 PM | message detail
So red sox's numbers are wrong?
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 1:18:20 PM | message detail
Hmm... I guess so. I'll recheck, but this is what I have.

19:00 | 45.65%
20:00 | 47.75%
21:00 | 47.02%
22:00 | 48.52%
23:00 | 47.75%
24:00 | 46.77%
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:18:34 PM | message detail
uhh

ok game over
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CB7 Score: 312/416
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The_Ocelot2 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:19:16 PM | message detail
see ya Crono
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Go Ducks Go!
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:19:16 PM | message detail
Oh, it turns out I did make a mistake. That's what doing percentages by hand gets you, I guess. Crono actually put up 47.75% last year from 10 to 11.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/14/2008 1:19:30 PM | message detail
Well his 45.49% does look out of place. Guess he forgot to carry the 1... so to speak >_>
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 1:19:54 PM | message detail
bye bye crono
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:21:14 PM | message detail
Well, Crono's really got no chance now. A 50 vote cut like that, even one isn't something he can afford. At least I don't need to worry about missing the finish of this match tonight.
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://i195.photobucket.com/albums/z114/Javer8000/FanimeCon2008/Sandbag.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/14/2008 1:21:32 PM | message detail
Theres the Crono we know and love
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2008 1:22:30 PM | message detail
That was a nice final update to look at before tournament land. I'm fully expecting Vince to win by 700 or so.
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A1X_Jet | Posted 11/14/2008 1:22:51 PM | message detail
Hah. Poor Serge or Surge or whatever. Thats ashame. Still, silent protagonists are hardly comparable to evil spawned do good sidekicks(Vincent). Either way, I know Samus won.
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I Death Proof MY CARS, not just one!
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:22:52 PM | message detail
Just one update, people. That will be balanced out by a lot of stalling, hopefully.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
tee316 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:22:54 PM | message detail
It was fun watching Crono while it lasted.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2008 1:23:14 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | Posted: 11/14/2008 4:19:16 PM | #467
Oh, it turns out I did make a mistake. That's what doing percentages by hand gets you, I guess. Crono actually put up 47.75% last year from 10 to 11.



Point being he constantly lost from ASV until the poll closed.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:23:29 PM | message detail
One update is huge when it's something like that.
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
paulg235 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:24:34 PM | message detail
Crono's stalling again.
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The Gamer In Me
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2008 1:24:50 PM | message detail
That one update *killed* Crono's chances. We still have 3.5 hours of the ASV left.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:25:14 PM | message detail
Point being he constantly lost from ASV until the poll closed.

He's been doing around 3% better than last year so far with the ASV- if that continues to hold, it means that his hours past 7 turn into going even with Vincent or gaining. He just needs to keep up last hour's pace.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:25:22 PM | message detail
Unless he can respond with a 50 vote gain, I'm not giving him a chance anymore. No reason to keep hoping for something that won't happen.
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/14/2008 1:26:05 PM | message detail
If Crono can't beat Vincent one on one (and Sonic as well) then why do we still even have a noble nine?

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2008 1:26:41 PM | message detail
We don't.
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Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 1:27:14 PM | message detail
Crono's stalling again.

11 votes is not a stall when it only takes 14 of them to lose, and there's at least 30 left in Vincent's best time left.
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:27:20 PM | message detail
That one update *killed* Crono's chances. We still have 3.5 hours of the ASV left.

Crono's chances have already been killed by about 20 different updates today. He's still got a shot, and from my point a view, a better one than he had when he was only going 50-50 with Vincent during the DSV.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/14/2008 1:28:19 PM | message detail
Ouch...
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:28:37 PM | message detail
hey look another one

who's still hanging on to hope here i'm not
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:29:01 PM | message detail
Okay, a 33 vote loss on top of that probably is though. Time to have Crono start gaining again now that I've given up on him AGAIN.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2008 1:29:17 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | Posted: 11/14/2008 4:27:20 PM | #483
That one update *killed* Crono's chances. We still have 3.5 hours of the ASV left.

Crono's chances have already been killed by about 20 different updates today. He's still got a shot, and from my point a view, a better one than he had when he was only going 50-50 with Vincent during the DSV.



People defend their own picks to the death, I swear.
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS2
paulg235 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:29:48 PM | message detail
100 votes until Vincent's caught up.
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The Gamer In Me
jonthomson | Posted 11/14/2008 1:30:07 PM | message detail
People defend their own picks to the death, I swear.

l-block can still take second
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/14/2008 1:30:44 PM | message detail
I think this hour will be pretty much the same as it was last year, Crono's chance's go byebye
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Xuxon | Posted 11/14/2008 1:31:12 PM | message detail
People defend their own picks to the death, I swear.

Believing it's not a lock is not thinking you'll still be correct. I don't think Vincent is a lock yet, but I have him in my bracket and I don't particularly care about Crono.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:31:38 PM | message detail
Ulti = Jerkface
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ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Sonic_Factor | Posted 11/14/2008 1:31:46 PM | message detail
If Crono can't beat Vincent one on one (and Sonic as well) then why do we still even have a noble nine?

Lol, are you serious? First off, Vincent hasn't beat Crono 1 on 1 before. Second, Sonic is in the N9, and he's projected to be able to beat Mega Man as well.. Mega Man is the weakest, Crono can still beat him.. hell, he'd give Sonic a nail biter as well most likely.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/14/2008 1:32:51 PM | message detail
under 100
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
paulg235 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:33:13 PM | message detail
500
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The Gamer In Me
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/14/2008 1:33:16 PM | message detail
Blare Crono's theme, everyone.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
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