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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 631

UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2008 10:35:23 PM | message detail
Hopefully Pikachu doesn't die off too much, his killing of block was noble.
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Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS
transience | Posted 11/13/2008 10:35:29 PM | message detail
Link was the obvious favourite last year -- you know how that goes. Samus, not so much.

looking at Samus as compared to Vincent, you either say Pikachu's not affecting Samus in the slightest or Vincent/Crono overlap. I'm going with the latter.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 10:35:42 PM | message detail
aww yeah Crono back alive
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Gaddswell | Posted 11/13/2008 10:36:02 PM | message detail
More updates like that Crono!

Pika collapsed there though... -_-
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http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:36:43 PM | message detail
who cares about the rat

the gods demand a sacrifice and it will be him. his purpose was served
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://i195.photobucket.com/albums/z114/Javer8000/FanimeCon2008/Sandbag.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:36:55 PM | message detail
Vincent's lead on Pikachu now larger than Samus's lead on Crono.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
transience | Posted 11/13/2008 10:37:13 PM | message detail
the noblest thing Pikachu could do is to go down quietly.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 10:37:56 PM | message detail
Around 2 AM is when we really have to see how Crono performs. He only gained 100 votes from 2-3 last year, 50 votes from 3-4, then died. If he can continue gaining big during those times, he can win.
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:38:10 PM | message detail
Oh, and Team Square just took the lead from Team Nintendo.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
Gaddswell | Posted 11/13/2008 10:38:48 PM | message detail
Well, as long as Pikachu stays above 17% here, I'm happy

since Ganon finished under 17% in his last match!
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http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png
MichaelWClark | Posted 11/13/2008 10:39:55 PM | message detail

red sox 777 (#359)
Oh, and Team Square just took the lead from Team Nintendo.



It doesn't hurt that Crono is mainly considered Nintendo as well. (after obviously Square of course)
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/13/2008 10:40:52 PM | message detail
On another note, I'm sure this isn't the fastest stats topic ever, but it's got to be up there. This thing is less than two hours old.

Fastest topic I know of was Part 186 at 2 hours, 49min, 10 sec. This topic might beat it.
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What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
TestIcicles | Posted 11/13/2008 10:41:08 PM | message detail
still working hard, no time to compare trends

what's the general feeling on crono's chances?

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mmm test icicles
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 10:41:19 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #362
On another note, I'm sure this isn't the fastest stats topic ever, but it's got to be up there. This thing is less than two hours old.

Fastest topic I know of was Part 186 at 2 hours, 49min, 10 sec. This topic might beat it.



What match was that part of?
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 10:42:00 PM | message detail

From: TestIcicles | #363
still working hard, no time to compare trends

what's the general feeling on crono's chances?



I might be biased, but I'd say he's got about a 60% chance to win here. The general weirdness in last years trends in his match makes me wonder how legit they are.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:42:08 PM | message detail
crono's not looking that great right now

still kind of up in the air, but this is vincent's match to lose
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
MichaelWClark | Posted 11/13/2008 10:42:10 PM | message detail

TestIcicles (#363)
still working hard, no time to compare trends

what's the general feeling on crono's chances?



45% at best now IMO.
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:42:58 PM | message detail
what's the general feeling on crono's chances?

Still low, but better than they were an hour ago.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
transience | Posted 11/13/2008 10:43:15 PM | message detail
186 (I know that number too - Kefka/Vercetti) has nothing on some other ones we've done in close matches.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/13/2008 10:43:17 PM | message detail
What match was that part of?

Kefka vs Vercetti
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What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
Master Moltar | Posted 11/13/2008 10:43:19 PM | message detail
what's the general feeling on crono's chances?

*insert Vince McMahon's entrance lyrics here*

woo the rat is finally dying now. Samus holding up well, but I'd like to see her a bit higher!
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hmm
well then
creativename | Posted 11/13/2008 10:43:29 PM | message detail
Can't see Pikachu ending below 17%. Don't think he'll even fall under than overnight, but if he does, he'll get it back with the day.

Comparison of trends so far to last year's match -

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=2914&type=2&seconds=60&max=25
vs. this year
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3301&type=2&seconds=60&max=25

Encouraging for Crono so far. Although I should note Link being so high makes Crono/Vincent last year look closer in comparison to this year than it should.
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MichaelWClark | Posted 11/13/2008 10:45:40 PM | message detail
Ok, let me be the first to say I don't think I want Pikachu dying. Every vote Pikachu takes from Vincent during the day is a win for Crono in my book.
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:46:05 PM | message detail
Vincent gets his second cut on the same update he got his first cut last year.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 10:46:12 PM | message detail
Crono can't afford cuts at this time...
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:47:55 PM | message detail
Well, Vincent should start stalling Crono pretty hardcore soon if last year holds. We'll see.
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
TestIcicles | Posted 11/13/2008 10:48:54 PM | message detail
By the way I'm totally feeling Crono here. I'm working under the assumption that he's on pace or slightly behind last year's numbers right now, but uh, yeah don't know why.

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mmm test icicles
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/13/2008 10:49:24 PM | message detail
Vincent made his first cut on Crono last year during this update.
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What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
transience | Posted 11/13/2008 10:49:32 PM | message detail
http://www.thengamer.com/stats/Pt451-500/Stats%20and%20Discussion%20Pt464/

A NEW RECORD
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:49:48 PM | message detail
Crono's about 300 votes behind last year.
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
transience | Posted 11/13/2008 10:50:47 PM | message detail
feeling good about Vincent here. I think he'll take the lead by morning if last year's trends hold.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/13/2008 10:51:36 PM | message detail
http://www.thengamer.com/stats/Pt451-500/Stats%20and%20Discussion%20Pt464/

A NEW RECORD


Frog was post stuffing in that topic, it shouldn't count. <_<
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What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
transience | Posted 11/13/2008 10:52:00 PM | message detail
aww yeah I out-TRE'd TRE

what do I win!
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:52:51 PM | message detail
Frog has the record for fastest stats topic? Ha, I guess I shouldn't be surprised. Crono's been falling behind his pace from last year in this second hour here....I sort of doubt Vincent's going to be able to replicate what he did with the late night vote last year.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:54:18 PM | message detail
Why wouldn't Vincent be able to do it again? Zack did yesterday.

And even then, it still just changes a 1700 vote loss to a 1500 vote loss or something like that. Crono ain't winning the day.
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
transience | Posted 11/13/2008 10:54:55 PM | message detail
yeah, we flew through them that day. had Ulti not made it 30 minutes early we would have been under an hour.

L-Block seems like he should have the record, but it was never people exploding over updates. Kefka/TV was probably the craziest stats topics in my memory, but the stats topic wasn't as popular then so we couldn't just flat out flood the thing like we can now.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
transience | Posted 11/13/2008 10:55:38 PM | message detail
heh, Samus cut. damn you Crono
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 10:56:11 PM | message detail
Crono lusts on you all giving up on him

Give up on him more
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:56:22 PM | message detail
crono stop this nonsense and just roll over and die already
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
ZFS | Posted 11/13/2008 10:57:07 PM | message detail
The deal with Zack is that he only really started taking off for an hour right before the morning vote. Beyond that, he and Mario just traded updates - but given that Vincent shouldn't let up once that time hits, he's probably looking pretty good here. You just gotta hope that Crono's day vote isn't as dire as it was last year, which it hasn't looked.

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"You don't have to worry about me."
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:57:16 PM | message detail
If Vincent can't pull off the huge percentage swing he pulled last year in the deep night, he may not do as well during the day either. There's probably not much reason to believe Vincent won't do it again, but eh....that's what my intuition tells me. Perhaps it's because I kept waiting for Zack to start cutting Mario last night, and he didn't do much until really late.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
MichaelWClark | Posted 11/13/2008 10:58:11 PM | message detail

MyWorldIsCrono (#388)
Crono lusts on you all giving up on him

Give up on him more




If someone would rally a bit more, we would not have to worry.

Everyone think of Square oriented sites that would like Crono more than Vincent.
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 10:58:47 PM | message detail
I posted on a DBZ board for them to vote for Crono


<____<
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/13/2008 10:59:17 PM | message detail
Maybe Crono's failure of a day vote last year was due to Link being there or something. I mean, C's day vote is usually abhorrent, but maybe it'll be a tad better today... I hope.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 10:59:51 PM | message detail
Theres just something fishy about last years match I never got. I REALLY don't think we'll see it happen again.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 10:59:53 PM | message detail
I know very little about Square-related websites, but I doubt you'll find much in the way of major sites that prefer Crono to Vincent other than Gamefaqs.com.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
__hiei__ | Posted 11/13/2008 10:59:54 PM | message detail
DBZ boards may help

just need to be sure to mention Akira Toriyama.
transience | Posted 11/13/2008 11:00:11 PM | message detail
Crono's day vote has been bad for two years running, just as bad as we saw against Vincent.

Sonic woo
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
MichaelWClark | Posted 11/13/2008 11:00:14 PM | message detail

MyWorldIsCrono (#393)
I posted on a DBZ board for them to vote for Crono


<____<




While they are more likely to vote Crono over Vincent, we more need to target the audience (yes, I know the AT connections, but that does not seem like enough)
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/13/2008 11:00:46 PM | message detail
What the hell did you all bet on Crono or something

let it go his inability to consistently cut that weakling Samus only ensures his demise further
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