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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 631

Xuxon | Posted 11/13/2008 11:34:39 PM | message detail
So...I may have missed conversation on this, but I just had a thought. Kirby/Dante/Sephiroth/Sonic...Kirby probably hurts Sonic a bit, and with everyone fighting over the votes left in Sephiroth's wake, a lot of things could happen...

Sephy > Dante. I want this outcome. Let's do this.


Sephiroth probably hurts Dante just as much. So Sonic gets his undeserved spot in the elite eight.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
satai_delenn | Posted 11/13/2008 11:36:19 PM | message detail
But "probably" isn't "definitely"...! My new pet upset: confirm'd.
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Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!
edwardsdv | Posted 11/13/2008 11:37:27 PM | message detail
MY pet upset is that kirby will shock the world and beat sonic and Dante.

THAT would be an upset.
Gaddswell | Posted 11/13/2008 11:37:33 PM | message detail
If Cloud > Sonic and Link > Mario happen next round, we'll finally have our Mario vs Sonic match!
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http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 11:38:52 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 11:39:31 PM | message detail
Wow, Crono is up 871 votes in a 4-way poll in 2 and half hours and I feel like he's fighting desperately against fate here.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/13/2008 11:39:54 PM | message detail
Only with Crono does something like that happen.

Or Magus.
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 11:40:34 PM | message detail
Crono knows the finals rest on this victory. He won't let it slip away.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2008 11:41:38 PM | message detail
So by dying, you get a 3 minute time limit instead of 3. Holy crap does this game suck.
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 11:42:09 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #459
So by dying, you get a 3 minute time limit instead of 3. Holy crap does this game suck.



wah?
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
MichaelWClark | Posted 11/13/2008 11:42:17 PM | message detail

MyWorldIsCrono (#458)
Crono knows the finals rest on this victory. He won't let it slip away.




Seriously, has there EVER been a more anticlimatic Semi Final match in anything in the history of Earth than Link, Mario, Samus, Crono/Vincent?
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2008 11:46:31 PM | message detail
The original MGS has aged about as well as a corpse.
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS
ZFS | Posted 11/13/2008 11:46:58 PM | message detail
Sounds like someone's sucking at it.

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"You don't have to worry about me."
transience | Posted 11/13/2008 11:46:59 PM | message detail
the person dying here isn't Crono...it's Samus. it makes me feel like Crono's going to have a real night vote.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/13/2008 11:47:17 PM | message detail
ulti sucks at mgs stats and discussion - part 631
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2008 11:50:35 PM | message detail
Yes, following a pattern but having Liquid go into invincibility stun at random times during a combo isn't at all bad game design.
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/13/2008 11:51:24 PM | message detail
part 632
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg
LordLockeRA | Posted 11/13/2008 11:52:13 PM | message detail
Come on Pikachu.

Time to wake up and start your wacky antics.
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Meeh. Whatever.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 11:52:27 PM | message detail
over 900
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/13/2008 11:53:55 PM | message detail
Only with Crono. He's up with 900 votes and I'm still worried that he will lose it all. Last year his lead was by now 1078 votes, so Vincent is actually looking better than last year.

Come on Crono, it's time for your revenge first on Vincent for last year and then have your revenge on your old nemesis, Mario!
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 11:54:11 PM | message detail
Crono's holding up much better this hour than he did last year....he's doing about as well as last hour, actually.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
vash_131 | Posted 11/13/2008 11:55:40 PM | message detail
Only with Crono. He's up with 900 votes and I'm still worried that he will lose it all. Last year his lead was by now 1078 votes, so Vincent is actually looking better than last year.

this match is has about 2000 less votes than the one last year at this update though.
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Character Battle V (2006): 37th place
MichaelWClark | Posted 11/13/2008 11:55:53 PM | message detail
Red, one thing is for sure now though, the dream is dead, Crono has no chance at Link. It is a sad moment, but it simply is not going to happen. If only CT DS released a bit sooner.
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
WalrusJump | Posted 11/13/2008 11:57:03 PM | message detail
Vincent Stallentine

augh
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Some mistakes are good. You were not. - Alec
http://img126.imageshack.us/img126/8787/1174485118442ge3.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 11:57:11 PM | message detail
and this match is over, rip crono

-heads to bed-
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/13/2008 11:57:28 PM | message detail
Vincent cut. Vincent cut with this update last year as well.
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What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/13/2008 11:59:27 PM | message detail
Augh Crono.

MyworldisCrono, hurry up and post a rally topic on all possible DBZ forums! We must save him!
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:01:09 AM | message detail
People are losing confidence in Crono now? His chances have gone way up in the last hour.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
WalrusJump | Posted 11/14/2008 12:01:28 AM | message detail
Nice two vote update Crono!
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Some mistakes are good. You were not. - Alec
http://img126.imageshack.us/img126/8787/1174485118442ge3.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:01:35 AM | message detail
not really <_<
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:02:24 AM | message detail
Time | 2007 | 2008
1:00 | 56.57% | 55.11%
2:00 | 54.83% | 53.26%
3:00 | 52.08% | 52.67%
4:00 | 51.40% |
5:00 | 43.78% |
6:00 | 41.43% |
7:00 | 43.06% |
8:00 | 44.04% |
9:00 | 47.66% |


Lead Change | 2007 | 2008
1:00 | 663 | 533
2:00 | 322 | 226
3:00 | 99 | 133

Crono beats his pace from last year for the first time.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/14/2008 12:03:05 AM | message detail
People are losing confidence in Crono now? His chances have gone way up in the last hour.

As I said before his lead was about 200 votes bigger last year, and this is his best time. Everytime he losses an update to Vincent he looks like he's about to fall down.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
transience | Posted 11/14/2008 12:05:05 AM | message detail
red sox is right, Crono's not dying like he did last year. this is good news, smaller lead or not.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/14/2008 12:05:14 AM | message detail
He may do a little better but there's no reason to believe the overall trends will be much different. Crono has to pretty much weather a non-stop Vincent attack from 4 AM to the end of the match that being the case. Unless he pulls a day vote out of his ass
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:05:36 AM | message detail
That was just as true earlier. This is the first hour he's actually beaten his pace from last year, and most importantly he fell off 0.59% from the previous hour this year compared to 2.75% last year. Vincent's still the favorite, but Crono's chances look better than at any point since the start of the match.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
transience | Posted 11/14/2008 12:05:55 AM | message detail
Crono's got the during-school vote - he could theoretically run up some votes there.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:06:34 AM | message detail
back up above 900
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/14/2008 12:06:37 AM | message detail
That's more like it Crono, the lead is above 900 again ^_^
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
WalrusJump | Posted 11/14/2008 12:07:32 AM | message detail
Crono isn't dying.
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Some mistakes are good. You were not. - Alec
http://img126.imageshack.us/img126/8787/1174485118442ge3.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:09:21 AM | message detail
Hmm....Crono got 49.19% during the DSV last year, about half a percent higher than his final percentage on Vincent.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:10:21 AM | message detail
Crono didn't really start dying until around 3:30 last year, so we'll see.
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
vash_131 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:12:00 AM | message detail
pika cut lol
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Character Battle V (2006): 37th place
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/14/2008 12:12:26 AM | message detail
a small hope is that Crono has been looking much better this year than last year.

Then again so has Vincent >_>
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2008 12:17:13 AM | message detail
Someone missed Crono's competition this year. Anyway didn't he increase until 4am last time?
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:18:10 AM | message detail
He started getting stalled at around 2, threw on another 150 votes between 2 and 4, and then died.
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://i195.photobucket.com/albums/z114/Javer8000/FanimeCon2008/Sandbag.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:21:58 AM | message detail
Let's see here:

4:00 | 51.40%
5:00 | 43.78%
6:00 | 41.43%
7:00 | 43.06%
8:00 | 44.04%

Crono has one more good hour, followed by his 4 hours of pain, his worst of the whole day last year. The dropoff from 3-4 to 4-5 last year was just astounding.

9:00 | 47.66%
10:00 | 47.54%
11:00 | 49.90%
12:00 | 50.15%
13:00 | 49.07%
14:00 | 49.06%
15:00 | 49.34%

Crono recovers at 8 AM, ahead of when the DSV usually starts (indeed he went up as the deep night transitioned into morning last year). He can potentially make small gains here with the DSV.

16:00 | 45.50%
17:00 | 46.14%
18:00 | 45.59%
19:00 | 45.65%
20:00 | 47.75%
21:00 | 47.02%
22:00 | 48.52%
23:00 | 45.49%
24:00 | 46.77%

Vincent doesn't really let up as the ASV transitions in the second night vote. But Vincent didn't do as well here as with the deep night or morning.
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Crono's quest to beat Link:
This it it! Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
tee316 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:22:10 AM | message detail
Crono still has a chance.
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"Mewtwo is a major joke."- Vlado
transience | Posted 11/14/2008 12:26:16 AM | message detail
'kay, this looks really bad for Crono.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2008 12:27:02 AM | message detail
Looks just like last year !

Thought Crono's still not dying, Vincent's just doing better.
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CB7 Score: 312/416
http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg
MichaelWClark | Posted 11/14/2008 12:27:17 AM | message detail
could be worse
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
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