GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 631
| trannyscience | Posted 11/13/2008 8:43:31 PM | message detail |
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contest spoilers -- Vincent takes the lead on post #337 ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. |
| paulg235 | Posted 11/13/2008 8:43:54 PM | message detail |
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Lies. --- The Gamer In Me |
| Gaddswell | Posted 11/13/2008 8:44:31 PM | message detail |
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Never! --- http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/13/2008 8:45:00 PM | message detail |
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Post 337 won't be made until October 11th, 2009. --- CB7 Score: 280/384 http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg |
| SephirothG | Posted 11/13/2008 8:45:09 PM | message detail |
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Jets in first place anything can happen --- EC:Me :: solarshadow:Tai My boyfriend is uncut and I laugh at him and ask him if I can put pennies in there. He doesn't appreciate it much.~ Ryoko |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 11/13/2008 8:45:24 PM | message detail |
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XxSoulxX Guarantee: Crono beats Vincent in this match. I'm 4/4 right
now with my guarantees, so this will be my 5 star performance topper. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 8:45:52 PM | message detail |
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Now! This is it! Now is the time to choose! Die and be free of pain, or
live and fight your sorrow! Now is the time to shape your stories! Your
fate is in your hands! --- Crono's quest to beat Link: 3 days until: Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
| Fayt_Esteed | Posted 11/13/2008 8:46:07 PM | message detail |
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I'll laugh if Crono loses AGAIN. --- Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:04:02 PM | message detail |
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Crono! Why are you doing so poorly? --- Crono's quest to beat Link: 3 days until: Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
| Gaddswell | Posted 11/13/2008 9:04:03 PM | message detail |
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At least Pika's somewhat close....! --- http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/13/2008 9:04:20 PM | message detail |
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I wouldn't say Crono's already out of it - he and Vincent's bracket
favoritisms are reversed this year. Still, I'm expecting pretty much
the same thing, Vincent > Crono with a slim chance of either beating
Samus (she should have the good sense to rise soon though. --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| RockMFR 5 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:04:25 PM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| RockMFR 5 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:04:28 PM | message detail |
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Vincent is closer to Pikachu than Crono. --- Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0 The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n. |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 9:04:39 PM | message detail |
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From: red sox 777 | #009 being 2% less then samus is doing poorly? --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
| dethfdddddh | Posted 11/13/2008 9:04:54 PM | message detail |
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So do we take credit away from Vincent this year by claiming Samus/Crono LFF? --- Explicit Content left me uncontent in the guru contest. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2008 9:05:10 PM | message detail |
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Crono led Vincent by 150 votes five minutes into the match last year.
He's doing much worse this year, with no Link to hold him back (stupid
logic, I might add) and with him supposedly looking better than ever
this time around. --- TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~ Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:05:14 PM | message detail |
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Did you see how far ahead of Vincent he was at this time last year? --- Crono's quest to beat Link: 3 days until: Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
| Chaotic Mind | Posted 11/13/2008 9:05:20 PM | message detail |
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Samus Aran 29.85% 403 Vincent Valentine 22.74% 307 Crono 26.74% 361 Pikachu 20.67% 279 5 minutes in and Crono's only up 54. Not lookin good for Red-haired Link! --- Vote for change in '08. Vote for Samus Aran. Yes we can! |
| charmander6000 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:05:32 PM | message detail |
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Crono's lead was 149 5 minutes in last year. Don't forget that Crono was the heavy favourite last year. Still this is terrible I thought Pikachu would lead Vincent at the beginning. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 295/416 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent |
| LEMONed_iScream | Posted 11/13/2008 9:05:36 PM | message detail |
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Crono is so screwed... --- Oh, what a sweet monster people It's a lemon, lemon, lemoned I scream, yeah! |
| Master Moltar | Posted 11/13/2008 9:05:36 PM | message detail |
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only 52 votes ahead at the freeze? this is even better than I hoped! vincent's got this --- hmm well then |
| edwardsdv | Posted 11/13/2008 9:05:46 PM | message detail |
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Hold the trend. GO CRONO!! |
| ZFS | Posted 11/13/2008 9:05:53 PM | message detail |
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Vincent did really well considering what he's up against during the
board vote. Thinkin' he'll have the lead in the next couple of updates. --- "You don't have to worry about me." |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2008 9:05:57 PM | message detail |
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52 at the freeze. LULZ. --- TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~ Now Playing: Mother 3, Castlevania: OoE, MGS |
| TestIcicles | Posted 11/13/2008 9:06:19 PM | message detail |
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someone fetch me when Samus is winning by 5% --- mmm test icicles |
| Biolizard28 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:06:23 PM | message detail |
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From: UltimaterializerX Crono led Vincent by 150 votes five minutes into the match last year. He's doing much worse this year, with no Link to hold him back (stupid logic, I might add) and with him supposedly looking better than ever this time around. Keep in mind last year that Crono was, IIRC, heavily favored in the brackets. This year, Vincent has much more support. I think this is natural. --- Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism. ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST! |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/13/2008 9:06:23 PM | message detail |
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From: red sox 777 | #017 Crono was bracket favorite then. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/hansen.jpg http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/13/2008 9:06:29 PM | message detail |
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Maybe Crono won't collapse as badly last year and it'll balance out. ..oh who am I kidding --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
| Fayt_Esteed | Posted 11/13/2008 9:06:30 PM | message detail |
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LOL at a 52 vote lead at the freeze. --- Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:06:34 PM | message detail |
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worst match ever --- CB7 Score: 280/384 http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:06:36 PM | message detail |
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uhh....at least try to hold onto the lead until Europe wakes up, Crono. --- ~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~ |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/13/2008 9:06:40 PM | message detail |
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hey this looks familiar let's wait before screaming doom at Crono though, he hasn't been as catastrophic in the day this year. --- xyzzy http://isobamapresident.com/ |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:07:09 PM | message detail |
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Big Crono gain next update. Hope!!!!!!!!! --- Crono's quest to beat Link: 3 days until: Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
| PiGuy96 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:07:12 PM | message detail |
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Man, what an awful start from Crono. At this rate, he doesn't even make it out of the Power Hour... --- Blarg |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 11/13/2008 9:07:34 PM | message detail |
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You guys are living in the past. Get with the today already. Crono's got this. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| paraboxx | Posted 11/13/2008 9:07:41 PM | message detail |
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I predict that Vincent will never take second on the grounds that Zack never took second yesterday. (yes i know link != samus and mario != crono shut up) |
| Biolizard28 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:07:54 PM | message detail |
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Where have I heard this before? --- Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism. ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST! |
| NeoMagic249 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:07:59 PM | message detail |
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I have Samus/Vincent. --- {SMYL}{2xHeroes} Brawl: 2406 4765 1380 |
| charmander6000 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:08:23 PM | message detail |
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Let's go Pikachu you can still lead against Vincent. >_> --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 295/416 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:09:22 PM | message detail |
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Save_Mario.RAT --- ~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~ |
| Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/13/2008 9:09:37 PM | message detail |
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14 people fell off the Top 50 today. Haste_2, Demon_HunterX,
mrlitigator, skirtlesswonder, bgbball31, Iubaris, GreatOne367rm,
DarkEvilShadow, RPGlord95, TheChosenOnes, ChichiriMuyo,
Shadow_Zangoose, AffeldtABoob and tazisthelord did not have Link >
Mario as yesterday's winners. 1 person survived despite scoring half points. Former second place blindhobo13 also did not have Link > Mario as yesterday's winners. --- What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you |
| Xuxon | Posted 11/13/2008 9:09:54 PM | message detail |
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Thinking Vincent will finish closer to Samus than Crono at this rate. Still too early to call for sure though. --- DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts) Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716 |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:10:01 PM | message detail |
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Alright more early calling the match for Vincent please, maybe that will wake Crono up! --- Crono's quest to beat Link: 3 days until: Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
| Majin Lou | Posted 11/13/2008 9:10:22 PM | message detail |
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From: paraboxx | Posted: 11/14/2008 12:07:41 AM | #036 I predict that Vincent will never take second on the grounds that Zack never took second yesterday. (yes i know link != samus and mario != crono shut up) B-b-but Zack did hold second for awhile. *gets smacked* --- But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you. Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories. |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 11/13/2008 9:10:26 PM | message detail |
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BIG GAIN FROM CRONO! --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| Janus5000 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:10:29 PM | message detail |
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What a boring update. At least Pika's still above 20%. --- http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg Stay a while and breathe me in. |
| Biolizard28 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:10:30 PM | message detail |
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Gains are gains, Crono! --- Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism. ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST! |
| RockMFR 5 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:10:33 PM | message detail |
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Ahh, very consistent, Crono! --- Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0 The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n. |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2008 9:10:58 PM | message detail |
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Vincent won the board vote? New trends confirmed! --- Crono's quest to beat Link: 3 days until: Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 11/13/2008 9:11:04 PM | message detail |
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He doubled his lead. Nice. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
