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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 627

Lopen | Posted 11/10/2008 6:51:26 PM | message detail
Kratos Aurion is a Tales character. Further, it is not clear at all to me that 36% on Scorpion is better than 25% on Crono.

How about 43% on Diablo, who did much better than 25% on Sonic? Kratos Aurion should've easily beaten Captain Falcon in 2006 and probably even 2007, but I have no idea what the hell happened this year.

And not to open this bag up again, but Duke Nukem was a bad pick because for as pathetic as Kefka's achievements were up till this year, Duke's were that much moreso. I still think Kefka would've won with Lettuce, though I think I'm alone on this.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 3 - Dante/Leon/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Robot LFF/SFF from Raiden? I THINK SO. Believe
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/10/2008 6:51:55 PM | message detail
From: KleenexTissue50
No more pokemon.

Yes more.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/10/2008 6:54:35 PM | message detail
Captain Falcon (2006c) VS Kratos Aurion (2005c)

Captain Falcon has a strength of 19.70.
Kratos Aurion has a strength of 20.94.

Kratos Aurion wins with 52.96% of the vote!
A win of 5,854 with 98,858 total votes cast.
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2008 6:57:24 PM | message detail
Yes, and 2005 is a long time ago. My thinking on that much was very simple: It's SSBM vs. Tales of Symphonia.
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Crono's quest to beat Mario:
5 days until: Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/10/2008 6:59:13 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/10/2008 6:59:37 PM | message detail
http://img.imgcake.com/Zen/cbviii_mock_1_v2.png
http://img.imgcake.com/Zen/cbviii_mock_1_v3.png

awww yeah
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
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ZFS | Posted 11/10/2008 7:00:43 PM | message detail
Faith winz

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http://i34.tinypic.com/15wdsu0.gif
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2008 7:01:26 PM | message detail
go lightning
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CB7 Score: 252/336
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
TestIcicles | Posted 11/10/2008 7:02:56 PM | message detail
go green glowing light
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mmm test icicles
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/10/2008 7:03:53 PM | message detail
If I had won the Guru Starkiller would've been my pick (after Charizard), just so we could see how a guy with a LIGHTSABER would perform on pic factor alone.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/10/2008 7:04:28 PM | message detail
I'm also looking for a pic of Seifer that would be good for his potential match pic. One that isn't from Kingdom Hearts.
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/10/2008 7:06:08 PM | message detail
http://img352.imageshack.us/img352/6691/promoseifer6yl.jpg
http://www.finalfantasytr.com/ff8/seifer-4.jpg

Probably as good as it gets.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/10/2008 7:08:11 PM | message detail
lol seifer
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/10/2008 7:08:24 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #204
Yes, and 2005 is a long time ago. My thinking on that much was very simple: It's SSBM vs. Tales of Symphonia.



Kratos was in a game this year.
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
TestIcicles | Posted 11/10/2008 7:08:50 PM | message detail
http://bkg.atspace.com/Multimedia/WALLPAPER/FF/SEIFER.JPG

work with that?

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mmm test icicles
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/10/2008 7:08:59 PM | message detail
2 games actually, forgot Tales of Symphonia 2. Kratos is also in Tales of Vesperia
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Lopen | Posted 11/10/2008 7:08:59 PM | message detail
Who the hell is Starkiller
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 3 - Dante/Leon/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Robot LFF/SFF from Raiden? I THINK SO. Believe
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/10/2008 7:09:32 PM | message detail

From: Lopen | #217
Who the hell is Starkiller



Soul Calibur 4 fighter and main character of Star Wars: Force Unleashed
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/10/2008 7:10:02 PM | message detail
He's that guy from The Force Unleashed

basically COOL DESIGN LIGHTSABER

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Lopen | Posted 11/10/2008 7:11:25 PM | message detail
Oh. I always thought his name was just "The Apprentice" haha
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 3 - Dante/Leon/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Robot LFF/SFF from Raiden? I THINK SO. Believe
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/10/2008 7:13:55 PM | message detail
He's called that too

By god what do we rally him under

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/10/2008 7:32:33 PM | message detail
And he has a real name! "Marek," I think.

I hate it when a good character never gets in because people can't decide what name to rally him in under.

*coughYOSHIMITSUcough*
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2008 7:38:29 PM | message detail
What else would people rally Yoshimitsu under?
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CB7 Score: 252/336
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/10/2008 7:43:28 PM | message detail
Tekken or SC.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/10/2008 7:52:56 PM | message detail
Yeah, half his noms go to SC and the other half go to Tekken. My attempts to rally him under Soulcalibur failed miserably, as he ended up on the nom sheet as both variants. Split again... Sigh.
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2008 7:53:40 PM | message detail
must be why gilgamesh never gets in !
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CB7 Score: 252/336
http://i195.photobucket.com/albums/z114/Javer8000/FanimeCon2008/Sandbag.jpg
_Hogger_ | Posted 11/10/2008 8:12:00 PM | message detail
its why the king of hyrule never gets in

people don't know what to nom him as
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
PegasusLover123 | Posted 11/10/2008 8:16:41 PM | message detail
Well it seems Mewtwo had a decent showing here, even though its triple sff, Mewtwo managed to prevent Cloud from doubling him although its very close to that.

As for tomorrow's match do we have a somewhat similar situation. Kirby seems to be the only Nintendo character but wouldn't Leon count as well since RE4 appeared both on GameCube and Wii?

Kirby seems to be the pick for 1st but one the question is will Master chief get a boost to take 2nd or will it be snatched by Leon or Dante?
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"If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh." -Magus
charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2008 8:16:47 PM | message detail
Match LV: Kirby vs. Master Chief vs. Dante vs. Leon Kennedy

Last Round:

Kirby – 31.47%
Master Chief – 30.32%
Big Boss – 26.17%
Raiden – 12.04%

This is a fine example of how fanbase overlap can kill off both characters. Even without Naked Snake and Raiden being SFF, if Raiden was not in the poll Big Boss would be in this poll today. Kirby took advantage of being the odd man in this poll, though with Master Chief’s performance in round 1 it didn’t come to that much of a surprise.

Dante – 33.90%
Leon Kennedy – 30.80%
Riku – 22.23%
Hogger – 13.07%

Looks like Dante and Leon don’t affect each other though Riku was able to improve his 39% on Leon to 42%. I guess Pokemon just over perform in round 3 and under perform in round 2. Leon was also able to perform much better this year relative to Dante proving the Resident Evil boost yet again.

Analysis:

Round 3 is usually considered to be the most boring round because we have the noble nine and other high characters crushing the high mid-carders, however with Master Chief always being over seeded there are none and judging from the strengths of the characters this could be one of those matches where all four characters stay between the 30% and 20% range.

The character with the least amount of chance at advancing is Leon. The guy put very impressive numbers against Dante, but unless Dante takes first by a large margin I don’t see Leon placing. Leon would have to hope for a voter change when replacing Riku/Hogger with Kirby/MC and since I don’t see any reason why those two characters would cause Leon to be favoured more than Dante his chances at advancing are minimal. Still Leon should put up a decent performance.

Master Chief is two for two in underwhelming performances. Last year Master Chief did great with Halo 3 being released mid-contest, but now it looks like that boost didn’t last the year. Losing to Kirby is nothing to feel bad about, but when you were pulling noble nine like numbers on your competition it is a step back. Last year he was able to defeat Dante rather easily, but this match he is going to have some trouble.

Even though Master Chief decreased compare to last year another thing that helped Kirby out was that he was the odd character of the match and for the second time he is again. Of course Kirby doesn’t stick out as badly as he did last round, but every bit counts. The major attraction to this match is Kirby vs. Dante. They may have nothing in common, but ever since the early days there have been a rivalry between the two on board 8 mostly started by a user named ertyu. When the rivalry started the stats showed a Dante win, then years later it switched to a Kirby win, but now it is time to see which one of the two is stronger.

Too bad Dante is at a disadvantage in this match. While Kirby is sticking out Dante is among bad asses in this match. Still Dante looked amazing last round and even last year he was able to put up respectable numbers against strong characters. Dante was able to defeat Luigi who defeated Kirby before, however Pikachu was also in that poll. Either way I’m getting a great feeling about this match.

I’m always a fan of a three-way fight and this match looks like it may deliver on that. What is also great about this match is that I’m a fan of all four characters so no matter what happens I’ll be happy. Of course I’ll be happier if the results go the way of my bracket, but I kind of doubt that it will happen.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Master Chief > Kirby

charmander6000’s Prediction: Kirby – 26.73%, Dante – 26.24%, Master Chief – 25.65%, Leon – 21.38%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 235/336 Today's Match: Cloud > Yoshi
_Hogger_ | Posted 11/10/2008 8:18:40 PM | message detail
This match is gonna be fun.
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/10/2008 8:20:34 PM | message detail
Hard to see anything but Kirby>Chief tomorrow. LFFd Dante is close to Chief, and then there's Albion.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
PegasusLover123 | Posted 11/10/2008 8:21:34 PM | message detail
True, which char does he want to kill off? The pink puffball, or one of the others?
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"If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh." -Magus
_Hogger_ | Posted 11/10/2008 8:22:05 PM | message detail
Rallying I do can easily make up 1-2% for Chief, and that SHOULD be enough to beat a LFF'd Dante
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/10/2008 8:24:40 PM | message detail
Woot finally got my REAL account out of purgatory

Just in time for the biggest match of Round 3!
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
ZFS | Posted 11/10/2008 8:25:57 PM | message detail
Haha ALBIONFEAR

what is going on

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http://i34.tinypic.com/15wdsu0.gif
Majin Lou | Posted 11/10/2008 8:26:10 PM | message detail
Congratulations, Albion.
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But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you.
Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories.
charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2008 8:27:03 PM | message detail
I think people are too worked up on Dante/Leon LFF, if there was any Riku would have won, or at least made it interesting. Sure he did better in round 2, but random things could cause that. Also MC hasn't been looking so hot lately.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 235/336 Today's Match: Cloud > Yoshi
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/10/2008 8:27:08 PM | message detail
Haha ALBIONFEAR

what is going on


He's rallied two characters to victory so far. What more do you need?

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/10/2008 8:27:35 PM | message detail
Ugh, another one to ignore.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/10/2008 8:28:11 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #237
I think people are too worked up on Dante/Leon LFF, if there was any Riku would have won, or at least made it interesting. Sure he did better in round 2, but random things could cause that. Also MC hasn't been looking so hot lately.



I was a little bit weary of the LFF, but I just can't shake the fact that Pikachu did a 19% swing over Leon from one round to the other. Thats not just a pic, thats alot of LFF.
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
TestIcicles | Posted 11/10/2008 8:30:13 PM | message detail
completely expecting Kirby > Dante (or vice versa), and completely praying for MC > Kirby

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mmm test icicles
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2008 8:31:13 PM | message detail
chief chief chief
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CB7 Score: 252/336
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/10/2008 8:31:52 PM | message detail
I honestly wouldn't be shocked if its MC > Dante or the other way around. I can't help but feel that 2 MGS guys in the poll last time hurt MC (since MGS is alot more similiar to Halo then Kirby), and Leon may hurt Kirby due to RE4 being mainly a nintendo game. Sounds crazy, but this match could really go any way.
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/10/2008 8:32:19 PM | message detail
Less than 30 minutes left until GAME FUEL is up again.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
ZFS | Posted 11/10/2008 8:34:55 PM | message detail
Time for Kirby to shine here

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http://i34.tinypic.com/15wdsu0.gif
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/10/2008 8:35:37 PM | message detail
So Sora cut around the same amount of votes he did last time. At least he's consistent in that regard!

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 11/10/2008 8:37:02 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #246
So Sora cut around the same amount of votes he did last time. At least he's consistent in that regard!



Its more impressive this time due to lower percentages of both characters, too.
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/10/2008 8:41:23 PM | message detail
Go ahead and rally, Albion, you're only helping my bracket.

And if Dante ends up trumping MC, then I can only laugh at your failure. Win-win.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2008 8:41:32 PM | message detail
I was a little bit weary of the LFF, but I just can't shake the fact that Pikachu did a 19% swing over Leon from one round to the other. Thats not just a pic, thats alot of LFF.

Pikachu obviously over performs in round 3 and under performs in round 2, just look at this year.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 235/336 Today's Match: Cloud > Yoshi
Xcarvenger | Posted 11/10/2008 8:42:08 PM | message detail
Next match we could see a lot of lead changes imho. The first 5 minutes will go Kirby > Leon > MC > Dante and everyone will call this one over. but sometime during the power hour, Dante should be able to overtake MC. during the early night, Leon will fall to third as Dante overtakes him, and around dawn, Dante should be able to take on Kirby. later on during the school time, MC should be able to steal the third place from Leon.

and then the Chief will storm to the top during the ASV, while Dante drops to second place, but his FFVII-like trend prevents him from dropping further. Kirby may overtake Dante here, but even if that happens, the second night should be enough to put Dante on top by the slimmest margin.

well, this is assuming they are all very close, which is not happening tbqh <_<

(Gogo MC > Dante!)
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