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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 626

ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/9/2008 4:08:28 PM | message detail
It looks like WCC is going to be...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2JcOb9yVZnU


~Kilgamayan


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

~*aprosenf's poll script*~
http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 4:57:34 PM | message detail
Ah, here it is.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/9/2008 4:57:55 PM | message detail
well then

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
zodac_spear | Posted 11/9/2008 5:00:10 PM | message detail
BIMP
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~~ Solid Snake final pick ~~ 59 percentile *bracket below*
http://img517.imageshack.us/img517/4323/gfaqcbviijs4.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/9/2008 5:01:31 PM | message detail
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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:10:47 PM | message detail
looks like we're gonna have another down to the wire match here...!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/9/2008 5:16:38 PM | message detail
hooray
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:17:16 PM | message detail
YES WE CAN!

YES WE CAN!
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:17:50 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=caRKvQAyU7M

Anyone have a better link? >_<
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 5:18:17 PM | message detail
This is gonna be a fun one till the end.
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 5:19:50 PM | message detail
Aight, WCC back to doing big gains

all is good now =D
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
charmander6000 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:19:54 PM | message detail
So let's talk about the next match.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 227/320 Today's Match: Solid Snake > Mega Man
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:20:09 PM | message detail
hey two updates and we're back 40 minutes

this isn't happening guys
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CB7 Score: 244/320
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:20:36 PM | message detail
No idea who takes second tomorrow, but whoever does takes it decisively.
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CB7 Score: 244/320
http://i195.photobucket.com/albums/z114/Javer8000/FanimeCon2008/Sandbag.jpg
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:20:44 PM | message detail
Well, not if he gets out of rally range though. Then the MM ralliers will just give up, and we'll have a boring finish. :(

Yeah, nothing to see here!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 5:21:25 PM | message detail
I think Mewtwo will look great with board vote but Sora will take the lead over Mewtwo sometime during power hour and never let it go
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:22:05 PM | message detail
Albion had better not be saying what I think he's saying.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
earth angel | Posted 11/9/2008 5:23:13 PM | message detail
Well, if WCC holds it's lead, which it look like it is going to do, my stay on the leaderboard looks like it is going to be short lived.
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Game and DVD lists ---^ Brawl FC: 4768-7140-5656
charmander6000 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:23:24 PM | message detail
Albion had better not be saying what I think he's saying.

He totally did.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 227/320 Today's Match: Solid Snake > Mega Man
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 11/9/2008 5:23:24 PM | message detail
Albion had better not be saying what I think he's saying.

Which is...?
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:23:48 PM | message detail
So, you've basically confirmed this was never about making the match interesting, Albion.

I reiterate: Your a sniveling coward and a troll, and it makes me sick knowing I can't do anything to stop you aside from block you out.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:24:10 PM | message detail
*You're
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 5:24:45 PM | message detail
How did I basically confirm anything if you can't even read what I say? lol
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:25:12 PM | message detail
because you did!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Iubaris | Posted 11/9/2008 5:25:38 PM | message detail
From: Biolizard28 | #021
So, you've basically confirmed this was never about making the match interesting, Albion.

I reiterate: Your a sniveling coward and a troll, and it makes me sick knowing I can't do anything to stop you aside from block you out.


oh man
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It's iubaris, not Lubaris.
Bracket: 247 points || Oracle: 30th || Guru: 16th
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/9/2008 5:26:11 PM | message detail
Albion and Bio will likely be co-winners of the "User of the Contest" award.

2005 - fedor
2006 - ?
2007 - hochi
2008 - Albion and Bio

Did any user make the 2K6 contest(s) a lot more fun than they would have otherwise been?
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
RPGGamer0 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:26:31 PM | message detail
Hakuna matata.

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|PM|
http://img.imgcake.com/lastcalvin&hobbes.jpg
Majin Lou | Posted 11/9/2008 5:26:45 PM | message detail
Calm down now, Biolizard.
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But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you.
Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:27:05 PM | message detail
Did any user make the 2K6 contest(s) a lot more fun than they would have otherwise been?

zwong1
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CB7 Score: 244/320
http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/9/2008 5:27:21 PM | message detail
hail
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
HaRRicH | Posted 11/9/2008 5:27:39 PM | message detail
I think Yesmar gets Honorable Mention for the Britishmen.
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:28:08 PM | message detail
From: Majin Lou
Calm down now, Biolizard.

How about no?
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 5:28:15 PM | message detail
He should do those Britishmen more often though
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 5:29:09 PM | message detail
I'm seriously cracking up laughing at Bio xD
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
ZFS | Posted 11/9/2008 5:29:24 PM | message detail
I'm guessing Biolizard's been doing what he does...

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http://i33.tinypic.com/2s0xn3o.gif
http://i34.tinypic.com/15wdsu0.gif
nintendogirl1 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:30:13 PM | message detail
Yesmar would have got it if he'd kept on with the Britishmen. They had one glorious mathc and then got a brief mention in a match later on. Since then we've longed for them but haven't received them.
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Sad.
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:30:24 PM | message detail
You'd better believe it.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Yesmar | Posted 11/9/2008 5:30:29 PM | message detail
The one thing that makes me a little worried for Sora is thinking about what Aeris did. That match probably should have been around 55-45% and Aeris did substanially better. Now I know that Sora has held up against Squall several times, but FFVII is a whole different factor, and last time the two faced off, it was not pretty.
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"All you base are belong to us."--CATS
Majin Lou | Posted 11/9/2008 5:31:20 PM | message detail
From: Biolizard28 | Posted: 11/9/2008 8:28:08 PM | #032
From: Majin Lou
Calm down now, Biolizard.

How about no?


How about you start your own Mega Man rally or something then.
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But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you.
Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories.
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:31:59 PM | message detail
Where?
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Majin Lou | Posted 11/9/2008 5:32:40 PM | message detail
I don't know, find a place where Mega Man fans congregate.
---
But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you.
Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories.
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:35:51 PM | message detail
Go to some Capcom forum or something. >_>
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
XxSoulxX | Posted 11/9/2008 5:40:56 PM | message detail
The one thing that makes me a little worried for Sora is thinking about what Aeris did. That match probably should have been around 55-45% and Aeris did substanially better. Now I know that Sora has held up against Squall several times, but FFVII is a whole different factor, and last time the two faced off, it was not pretty.

Last time they faced off (Squall/Sora/Aeris/someone), Sora killed her. Not literally though, because that would be a spoiler.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/9/2008 5:41:01 PM | message detail
Thanks to Raven 2 for moving all the character histories :D

It's now a community effort on the Wiki. Have fun.
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TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~
Now Playing: Mother 3, Spore, Castlevania: OoE, MGS
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 5:43:06 PM | message detail
Is this gonna be the closest a match has ever been the entire time? The lead for neither side ever exceeded 500
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
PegasusLover123 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:45:39 PM | message detail
I think he's done for, almost 500 votes behind with only 3 hours left and people voting zero instead of mega man when they're trying to rally him.

So the cube advances thanks to Albion however i don't think he is capable of getting him through the next round since he would have to make Snake lose to do that.

For tomorrows match Cloud will snag first no doubt, but the real fight here will be Sora and Squall. Mewtwo is pretty much dead since he barely beat Midna. Squall may take 2nd this time as he isn't cursed with such a terrible pic this time. Sora has shown great strength this year and he might sneak past Squall here for 2nd.

Unless Albion can muster some sort of Mewtwo Rush this match wont be as interesting.


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"If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh." -Magus
xp1337 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:46:18 PM | message detail
Is this gonna be the closest a match has ever been the entire time? The lead for neither side ever exceeded 500

CT/LttP, CT never exceeded 524.

So it depends what WCC does.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 5:46:31 PM | message detail
I don't care about Mewtwo, so I won't be helping him.
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/9/2008 5:47:09 PM | message detail
2005 - fedor
2006 - zwong1
2007 - hochi
2008 - Albion and Bio


what a crew
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
HaRRicH | Posted 11/9/2008 5:47:51 PM | message detail
Oh, 2005 needs George Romaro too.
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
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