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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 625

Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 4:32:35 AM | message detail
I don't care if it's a day late!

http://www.saynotocrack.com/wp-content/uploads/2007/10/pikachu.jpg
http://i164.photobucket.com/albums/u31/ballerr101/pikachu.png
http://animediet.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/03/pikachu.jpg

PIKA!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

~*aprosenf's poll script*~
http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.

I made the change to the links that Ulti wanted!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Xcarvenger | Posted 11/9/2008 4:34:29 AM | message detail
Pika has served his purpose dutifully; now he can die in a fire >_>
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Kweh! Kweh!!! --> http://backloggery.com/main.php?user=xcarvenger
For all your board 8 needs: www.board8.wikia.com
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 11/9/2008 4:34:45 AM | message detail
Snake now has more votes than MM/Zero combined.

What a beast.
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Steroid Snake's quest : To advance to the final for the third consecutive time. Please support him, thks.
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:24:19 AM | message detail
Aww, Mega stopped that 21 vote cutting thing he had going.

2 17 vote cuts so far though!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
greatone10 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:25:51 AM | message detail

From: Gaddswell | #500
Taken down by that rat with the plan...!



The rat was not the one with the plan.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:26:25 AM | message detail
*along with

>_>
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:27:32 AM | message detail
Mega Man to tear the Cube a new one at the end of the hour.

Book it.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
Meg and Fiona are the scum of the field.
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:27:50 AM | message detail
'course, the rat could be scheming something himself!

His round 3 matches are both definitely not normal.

Mega Man should have the lead next update!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:32:28 AM | message detail
6 votes to go!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:34:51 AM | message detail
So a joke character will advance?Man..I hope that Megaman wins even by one vote!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
greatone10 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:37:56 AM | message detail
EPIC 2 VOTE CUT!
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:38:18 AM | message detail
And the stuffing begins.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
Meg and Fiona are the scum of the field.
Xcarvenger | Posted 11/9/2008 5:42:10 AM | message detail
look who's taking the lead
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Kweh! Kweh!!! --> http://backloggery.com/main.php?user=xcarvenger
For all your board 8 needs: www.board8.wikia.com
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:42:23 AM | message detail
MEGA MAN LEADS
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
falcofan88 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:47:34 AM | message detail
gotta run gotta run now
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http://www.castle-vidcons.com/comics/2008/10/cv0069.jpg
http://img.imgcake.com/GloryoftheSnow/staredog.jpg
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:52:53 AM | message detail
Well, at least he's extending his lead!

How many would Mega need here to be considered safe?
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 5:55:01 AM | message detail
I'd say as long as he can go above Cube's largest lead on him, he'll be all set.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:55:43 AM | message detail
That would be well within rally range though! >_<
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 5:57:39 AM | message detail
ob boy a cube cut
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Gaddswell | Posted 11/9/2008 6:04:12 AM | message detail
...and Mega counters with another 21 vote gain >_<
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
red sox 777 | Posted 11/9/2008 6:07:19 AM | message detail
Wonderful, Megaman took back the lead! On another note, Snake is now beating MM and Zero combined....not sure if that will hold up.
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Crono's quest to beat Mario:
5 days until: Crono vs. Samus vs. Vincent vs. Pikachu
charmander6000 | Posted 11/9/2008 6:10:06 AM | message detail
So how much of a lead does Mega Man need to get? Knowing WCC's trends a few hundred will be enough, but with the fear of a massive rally I probably won't relax until Mega Man has broken the 2000 vote barrier. lol paranoia.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 227/320 Today's Match: Solid Snake > Mega Man
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/9/2008 6:22:38 AM | message detail
Hmm, looks like MM was able to come back after all! Oh, and Snake went absolutely berserk while I was away... well then
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/9/2008 6:33:11 AM | message detail
And though I'm hesitant to call Cube "done" here... honestly, we've got a lot of day vote left.
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
MasterMoltar | Posted 11/9/2008 7:32:21 AM | message detail
oh hay look at that

i wake up to see mega man in the lead how obvious

now the question is if he can keep it

actually who cares about that LOOK AT SNAKE YEAHHHHHHHHH this newfound snake with a day vote = sex
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master
moltar
MasterMoltar | Posted 11/9/2008 7:40:19 AM | message detail
actually looking at it, he's been going up since night. Snake working on getting FF7 trends in order to take down Cloud confirmed!

Even beating MM and Zero combined man GameFAQs you are on a roll
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master
moltar
ffmasterjose | Posted 11/9/2008 7:46:21 AM | message detail
Xcarvenger | Posted 11/9/2008 7:34:29 AM | message detail
Pika has served his purpose dutifully; now he can die in a fire >_>


This. Good job Pikachu....now nicely bow down next round....

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247/320 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII
NP: Solid Snake > Mega Man | http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=0
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/9/2008 7:47:25 AM | message detail
Mega Man loses the dead zone completely, and makes gains with the morning vote?

The hell?
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I want adventure in the great wide somewhere... I want it more than I can tell! - Belle
http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/3949/beautyandthebeast21024uh9.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 11/9/2008 7:51:29 AM | message detail
This. Good job Pikachu....now nicely bow down next round....

Pikachu is not done yet, he's the new L-Block.

Pikachu > Crono > Vincent > Samus next round.

Book it.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 227/320 Today's Match: Solid Snake > Mega Man
Starion | Posted 11/9/2008 7:52:18 AM | message detail
Maybe it's his share of the Zero/MM vote differing from before?
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 7:53:21 AM | message detail
Good match so far!
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/9/2008 7:53:37 AM | message detail
I hope Albion can save the Cube with his rallying efforts.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Demon HunterX | Posted 11/9/2008 7:54:10 AM | message detail
albion is sleeping (he isnt responding to me on aim). Wait till he wakes up and starts rallying again. As of right now we just need mega to get a large enough lead (say...500) so that he could hold off a rally.

Also, im starting to believe that snake could get 2nd in a link/cloud/vincent/snake poll, which the finals very well could be.
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Currently playing: HoMM3, FFII
Next up: AJ ; Awaiting: SC2
Demon HunterX | Posted 11/9/2008 7:54:41 AM | message detail
albion, did you just wake up?
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Currently playing: HoMM3, FFII
Next up: AJ ; Awaiting: SC2
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 7:55:44 AM | message detail

From: Demon HunterX | #034
albion, did you just wake up?



yes
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/9/2008 7:58:41 AM | message detail
You've already done your piece. Stop rallying for the Cube.

It's obvious you don't care about making this match "interesting". Your Arthas/Hogger rallies proved it. You just want to force results because you're THAT pathetic.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 7:59:29 AM | message detail

From: Biolizard28 | #036
You've already done your piece. Stop rallying for the Cube.

It's obvious you don't care about making this match "interesting". Your Arthas/Hogger rallies proved it. You just want to force results because you're THAT pathetic.



I love you too.
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 11/9/2008 8:00:27 AM | message detail
Also, im starting to believe that snake could get 2nd in a link/cloud/vincent/snake poll, which the finals very well could be.

Link will leech away Snake brawl boost and Vincent probably won't hurt Cloud much. I doubt Snake can take 2nd in the final.
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2920&num=4.

Let's just hope that Snake can beat Cloud in the semi-final with Sephiroth in that match.
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Steroid Snake's quest : To advance to the final for the third consecutive time. Please support him, thks.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/9/2008 8:00:47 AM | message detail
Albion should rally on the same forum that he rallied for Arthas/Hogger on. That'll probably help out the Cube.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 8:01:23 AM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #039
Albion should rally on the same forum that he rallied for Arthas/Hogger on. That'll probably help out the Cube.



Yep, I am. WoW players are big portal fans in general, too.
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
ffmasterjose | Posted 11/9/2008 8:03:13 AM | message detail
Rallying? For a video game character? In a video game popularity contest?

No thanks, I'd rather watch Planet Earth the BBC documentary special. The entire four-disk set.

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247/320 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII
NP: Solid Snake > Mega Man | http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=0
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 8:03:47 AM | message detail
ok there we go, 32 vote cute for cube
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/9/2008 8:05:22 AM | message detail
The best part is, Albion thinks he's special by "personally swaying the results", while anybody with enough time on their hands could do the same thing. It just happens that he's the only one with THAT much time on his hands. Oh it must be nice to not have a job and not go to school.
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I want adventure in the great wide somewhere... I want it more than I can tell! - Belle
http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/3949/beautyandthebeast21024uh9.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 8:06:03 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 8:06:20 AM | message detail
You're just buttsore because its Mega Man I'm trying to beat.
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Demon HunterX | Posted 11/9/2008 8:06:32 AM | message detail
Link will leech away Snake brawl boost and Vincent probably won't hurt Cloud much. I doubt Snake can take 2nd in the final.
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2920&num=4.

Let's just hope that Snake can beat Cloud in the semi-final with Sephiroth in that match.


link doesnt get brawl support. Plus, brawl hasnt done **** for this contest. MGS4 made snake a beast. I think, if he gets his old snake photo, snake could beat anyone 1v1 outside of clinkeroth. At least this year, since next year he's gonna slowly fade to the bottom of the n9.
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Currently playing: HoMM3, FFII
Next up: AJ ; Awaiting: SC2
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/9/2008 8:06:39 AM | message detail
...XD
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 11/9/2008 8:06:49 AM | message detail
So Albion are you trying to make this interesting or are you rallying for a Cube win?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 227/320 Today's Match: Solid Snake > Mega Man
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 8:07:22 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #048
So Albion are you trying to make this interesting or are you rallying for a Cube win?



Lets see where the tides take us
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/9/2008 8:09:04 AM | message detail
And Mega Man just h ad a huge boost in percentage there to combat Cube

This is gonna be fun!
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http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071030/cube-2_540x618.jpg
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
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