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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 622

Pikachu Fanboy | Posted 11/6/2008 11:36:12 PM | message detail
Pika Pika Pikachu! Pika Pika Pikachu!
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Pika. Pika Pika!
__hiei__ | Posted 11/6/2008 11:37:13 PM | message detail
how is it terrible taste?

as sucky as Pikachu might be it's still thousands of times better than a block.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/6/2008 11:39:50 PM | message detail
as sucky as Pikachu might be it's still thousands of times better than a block.

What if you hate Pikachu and don't care about a block. Most people don't feel one way or another about blocks I think
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
__hiei__ | Posted 11/6/2008 11:44:28 PM | message detail
i don't hate block,but i hate the fact that it is an illegal entry in the contest and thus shouldn't be there in the first place

it's like having Goku or George W Bush in there.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/6/2008 11:46:01 PM | message detail
If we're going to continue with this crazy format, we may as well just open it up to anything. I'd have an awful lot of fun trying to rally Ariel into a bracket.
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/6/2008 11:50:46 PM | message detail
finally a cut for vincent
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
__hiei__ | Posted 11/6/2008 11:52:26 PM | message detail
quite the big cut too
Gaddswell | Posted 11/6/2008 11:54:41 PM | message detail
aww yeah pikachu stats and discussion
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Gaddswell | Posted 11/6/2008 11:56:26 PM | message detail
Nice cuts for Vinny and Ganny that time too!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/7/2008 12:02:32 AM | message detail
3 cuts is a trend

lets do this thing vincent
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
__hiei__ | Posted 11/7/2008 12:02:37 AM | message detail
well,Vincent is recovering well now
creativename | Posted 11/7/2008 12:29:56 AM | message detail
I've modified a spreadsheet that King Morgoth gave me a very long time ago, so that people can use it to generate x-stats for multi-way matches using his theory. The theory is linked to from the gamefaqscontests.com home page's introduction entry.

Here's the spreadsheet:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/excel/Morgoth's%20X-Stats.xls

The x-stats are based on the strongest character in the match (whose value should always go in the top cell, cell D13) having a strength of 50%.

For instance, for Link's last match, Morgoth's formula gives the following x-stat values:

Link - 50.00%
Zack - 28.35%
Duke - 19.76%
Altair - 16.66%
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
creativename | Posted 11/7/2008 12:30:48 AM | message detail
Note that you'll need the Excel Solver add-in.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 11/7/2008 12:45:50 AM | message detail
that 1 pic with TJF Samus,
Oh cmon, its a photoshop for christ sakes.

Not to mention the Justin Bailey one was better <_<
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Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
CP724 | Posted 11/7/2008 1:30:15 AM | message detail
Was that an 80 votish gain for Vincent O_o?
vash_131 | Posted 11/7/2008 1:32:45 AM | message detail
^ 44 votes
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Character Battle V (2006): 37th place
__hiei__ | Posted 11/7/2008 2:06:36 AM | message detail
hey Samus

Are you trying to pull a Crono here?

>_>
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2008 2:09:21 AM | message detail
Samus is safe. Vincent has just now managed to cut 100 votes off her biggest lead, and he's only got about an hour of the night vote left.
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
CP724 | Posted 11/7/2008 3:13:06 AM | message detail
Shouldn't Samus be getting into gear about now?
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 11/7/2008 4:01:30 AM | message detail
A sudden Samus 40% update and Vincent 24% update, wtf.
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Favourite wrestlers so far- Taker, Punk, Daniels, Joe.
Janus5000 | Posted 11/7/2008 4:53:19 AM | message detail
Hmmm. Gordon's probably doomed to last place after the day, but if he holds on, Ganondorf will have, despite his strengths, proven himself to be 'weaker' than three of the biggest jokes in contest history.

(Magus being the third. >_>)

go gordon go
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Stay a while and breathe me in.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 11/7/2008 4:54:09 AM | message detail
Gordon, Magus, and who?
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
greatone10 | Posted 11/7/2008 4:57:35 AM | message detail
CATS
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 11/7/2008 4:58:51 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
charmander6000 | Posted 11/7/2008 5:35:43 AM | message detail
He means DK, Tidus and Magus, though Shadow should be there IMO.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 203/288 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2008 6:03:14 AM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | Liquid | Luigi | Mario | Mega Man X
EBV | 20.08% | 17.49% | 33.78% | 28.66% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 21.38% | 16.33% | 31.92% | 30.36% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 23.02% | 14.68% | 31.50% | 30.81% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 21.51% | 16.15% | 34.96% | 27.37% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 22.30% | 15.43% | 33.37% | 28.90% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 21.51% | 16.68% | 32.71% | 29.10% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 21.24% | 15.71% | 30.71% | 32.33% | (22:00-24:00)

Nice board vote for the Mario Bros. there. Mario doesn't really fall off that much with the night vote, but Luigi does. Liquid is the only one to really gain with it. Luigi is a morning vote and ASV guy. Mario did his best work in the morning and slowly fell off from there, kinda unusual for him. X was the opposite, hitting his lowest point in the morning and going up the rest of the day. The only segment he took from Mario this time was the second night vote. Liquid managed to stay fairly consistent all throughout.

Yesterday's stats:

Mario – 50.00%
Mega Man X – 47.35%
Liquid Snake – 40.11%
Luigi – 32.71%

Division 2 Stats

Mario – 50.00%
Mega Man X – 47.35%
Bowser – 43.77%
Luigi – 43.74%
Liquid Snake – 40.11%
Princess Zelda – 39.29%
Mudkip – 37.82%
Knuckles the Echidna – 34.05%
Phoenix Wright – 30.32%
Roxas – 28.44%
Fei Fong Wong – 25.78%
Lloyd Irving – 25.71%
Geno – 23.47%
Deckard Cain – 21.25%
Tom Nook – 15.42%
Sho Miniamimoto – 14.84%

Yeah, you're basically going to have to take these stats with a grain of salt with all of the SFF here. The entire upper half is gonna be way too high with how well Liquid did capitalizing on a bunch of SFF. There's just no other way to adjust him, Luigi, or Bowser. I'll take Liquid > Zelda though! Fei > Lloyd is interesting, too. Phoenix Wright at 30% on Mario is another goodie!
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: 1st place, 38857 votes (30.47%)
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2008 6:07:05 AM | message detail
And now everyone's favorite: Raw stats!

Division 1 Raw Stats

Link – 50.00%
Zack Fair – 30.01%
Zidane Tribal – 22.56%
Duke Nukem – 21.91%
Shadow the Hedgehog – 20.30%
Altair – 18.82%
Marth – 18.71%
Wario – 16.58%
Niko Bellic – 16.25%
Cecil Harvey – 16.09%
Kefka – 15.78%
Lucario – 14.44%
Isaac – 13.87%
Luke fon Fabre – 9.16%
Guybrush Threepwood – 9.11%
Jade Curtiss – 7.03%

Zidane for 3rd best in the division? I can dig it! Cecil > Kefka? I can dig that, too! LFF'd Marth only ends up slightly worse than round 3 Altair. If Altair had faced someone who could've taken away his casual support in round 2, Marth might have advanced in spite of Lucario.

Division 2 Raw Stats

Mario – 50.00%
Mega Man X – 47.35%
Liquid Snake – 40.11%
Princess Zelda – 39.29%
Mudkip – 37.82%
Knuckles the Echidna – 34.05%
Luigi – 32.71%
Bowser – 29.21%
Phoenix Wright – 26.14%
Fei Fong Wong – 25.78%
Lloyd Irving – 25.71%
Roxas – 21.27%
Geno – 15.66%
Tom Nook – 15.42%
Deckard Cain – 14.18%
Sho Minamimoto – 11.10%

Liquid for 3rd best in the division? I can dig that! Knuckles > Bowser? I can dig that, too! Double-SFF'd Bowser makes Geno and Deckard look really bad.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: 1st place, 38857 votes (30.47%)
charmander6000 | Posted 11/7/2008 6:08:09 AM | message detail
X has a crazy second night vote, if Mario isn't leading by a few hundred votes X could steal the lead at the end.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 203/288 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2008 6:52:31 AM | message detail
Good night vote from Vincent there. As long as he stays steady he should be in good shape to beat Crono next round. Not seeing how he upends the block, but it could happen.
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
Master Moltar | Posted 11/7/2008 7:40:03 AM | message detail
See guys, I told you yesterday. No need t doubt my Samus here. She's kicking ass and taking names.

Ganon is getting hit pretty hard though. I was hoping he could at least avoid a doubling. If he can come back and beat Gordon, that would be just great.
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hmm
well then
charmander6000 | Posted 11/7/2008 8:10:50 AM | message detail
If Ganondorf is going to catch-up he'll have to go 50/50 with Freeman until the ASV.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 203/288 Today's Match: Samus > Vincent
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/7/2008 8:14:44 AM | message detail
Frog goes from looking ok to apparently losing comfortably to Gordon Freeman
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
transience | Posted 11/7/2008 8:17:10 AM | message detail
Frog losing to Freeman seems obvious after R1 with Scorpion as compared to 2007
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
transience | Posted 11/7/2008 8:23:35 AM | message detail
Freeman's dying here now though. weird time to die.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
TestIcicles | Posted 11/7/2008 8:36:00 AM | message detail
oh hey look at all that stuffing by vincent over night what a cheater

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mmm test icicles
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2008 9:00:24 AM | message detail
Ganon and Gordon have been stalled around the 1000 vote lead for a while now.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: 1st place, 38857 votes (30.47%)
transience | Posted 11/7/2008 9:06:43 AM | message detail
well, there's 1100.

I'd put my money on Ganon to beat Gordon here, but uhhh who cares
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/7/2008 9:23:26 AM | message detail

From: transience | #087
well, there's 1100.

I'd put my money on Ganon to beat Gordon here, but uhhh who cares



Well it'll give us more evidence that Zelda > Ganon, yeah?
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2008 9:32:19 AM | message detail
Nah, Ganondorf didn't really do anything with the morning vote. I don't expect him to make a big run at it.

Well, Gordon Freeman's worst time is the ASV, so who knows?
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: 1st place, 38857 votes (30.47%)
transience | Posted 11/7/2008 9:39:16 AM | message detail
I heard this argument re: Ganon/Frog vs. Frog/Nightmare!
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com/samusvsganondorfvsvincentvsgordon.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/7/2008 9:44:03 AM | message detail
Gordon, you have come such a long way. Brings a tear to my eye.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/7/2008 10:51:13 AM | message detail
And here comes Ganon
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2008 10:55:33 AM | message detail
The fact that Zelda did so well against Mario twice despite it now becoming clear that SFF is likely to increase along with the quality of the competition is very, very impressive. In the theoretical Zelda/Ganondorf match, I'd now expect an easy Zelda win (55%+, hell, upwards of 60%) before I'd expect a Ganon win at all.
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
TestIcicles | Posted 11/7/2008 10:56:55 AM | message detail
I've never taken on a side on the Zelda/Ganon 1v1 match-up before, but I don't think anyone could convince me that Zelda > Ganon isn't a lock at this point. Ganon is probably still stronger indirectly, but yeah, Zelda's taking that match.

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mmm test icicles
Chaotic Mind | Posted 11/7/2008 11:03:20 AM | message detail
Gordon's lead just hit 1303. Does he fall off during the ASV like a CT character? Only way i could see Ganon coming back at this point.
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Proud member of the A1 Steak Sauce Guild
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/7/2008 11:05:03 AM | message detail

From: Chaotic Mind | #095
Gordon's lead just hit 1303. Does he fall off during the ASV like a CT character? Only way i could see Ganon coming back at this point.



He doesn't fall that badly. Obviously night is his best time but 1300 SHOULD be enough with the lower votals for 3rd/4th place
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/7/2008 11:07:17 AM | message detail
So how well does Pikachu do tomorrow? I'm not holding my breath for a crazy upset or anything (much to the dismay of yo I'm sure), but so far this year he's been hindered in every match and he's still looked decent.
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CB7 Score: 220/288
http://i195.photobucket.com/albums/z114/Javer8000/FanimeCon2008/Sandbag.jpg
H__RR____H | Posted 11/7/2008 11:12:32 AM | message detail
Tomorrow is one of the few matches I wish would have still been sprites. Crono-sprite, Alucard-sprite, Pikachu-sprite, L-Block-sprite...and if Pika over-performed last year because of the sprite, that would have been our best chance at L-Block being removed.

Alas!
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BT about Round Two: If Snake gets 43-45%, I'll close my account right now.
www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3285
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/7/2008 11:14:27 AM | message detail
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Division4Finals.png

spritez

A decent number of people have been making sprite pics for this match, so there may be more than you think.
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CB7 Score: 220/288
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2008 11:15:52 AM | message detail
I understand the anti-block sentiment in this topic, but removing L-Block with Pikachu is not too unlike removing a wart with a shotgun.
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Yoblazer: http://img248.imageshack.us/img248/3699/thegamefaqsticketxr8.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
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