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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 618

WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/1/2008 10:38:13 PM | message detail
MISTAAAAAAAAAAAH KENNEDY!


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

~*aprosenf's poll script*~
http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.

KENNEDY!
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~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/1/2008 10:39:07 PM | message detail
THE DANTE SPARDA?!
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CB7 Score: 168/232
http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/1/2008 10:39:30 PM | message detail
Wtf is up with this RE boost, seriously
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Gaddswell | Posted 11/1/2008 10:40:52 PM | message detail
Dante's filling Riku's DARKNESS With LIIIIIIGHT!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/1/2008 11:07:44 PM | message detail
oh wait updater still works, it just went back in time xD
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Gaddswell | Posted 11/1/2008 11:08:15 PM | message detail
Not this problem again....
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
red sox 777 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:08:46 PM | message detail
Didn't it go back to 1969 last year?
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Crono's quest to kick L-Block out of this contest:
Round 3: Crono vs. L-Block vs. Pikachu vs. Alucard
Gaddswell | Posted 11/1/2008 11:11:07 PM | message detail
Leon Kennedy 32.2% 6698
Riku 21.6% 4494
Dante 32.2% 6699
Hogger 13.99% 2911
TOTAL VOTES 20802

Leon Kennedy 32.23% 6887
Riku 21.53% 4600
Dante 32.24% 6888
Hogger 14% 2992
TOTAL VOTES 21367

Still 1 vote apart!
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:11:30 PM | message detail
Ok what the hell you two.
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~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~
red sox 777 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:12:00 PM | message detail
The updater is still fine, just sort by total votes.
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Crono's quest to kick L-Block out of this contest:
Round 3: Crono vs. L-Block vs. Pikachu vs. Alucard
swirIdude | Posted 11/1/2008 11:12:33 PM | message detail
A close match gaining extra time during the poll? Hmm...where have I heard that before?
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SSBB FC: 4425-1156-3590
Looking for a new sig.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:13:46 PM | message detail
Obviously CJayC is back with his rabid Mario fanboyism.....what do you mean Mario isn't in this poll?
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Crono's quest to kick L-Block out of this contest:
Round 3: Crono vs. L-Block vs. Pikachu vs. Alucard
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/1/2008 11:14:16 PM | message detail
Watch one of these guys be leading at 11 o'clock, then the other guy will win at 12

then all hell will break loose
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:15:32 PM | message detail
Watch one of these guys leading at 11, then it be TIED at 12.
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~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/1/2008 11:17:10 PM | message detail
what would happen in the case of a tie? Would bacon vote?
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:17:45 PM | message detail
I don't know, but I personally would love to find out.
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~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~
Gaddswell | Posted 11/1/2008 11:17:47 PM | message detail
Watch this poll get decided by 1 vote at the end!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/1/2008 11:21:02 PM | message detail
bye bye mistah kennedy
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:23:16 PM | message detail
Looks like Dante's done messing around.
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CB7 Score: 168/232
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:24:49 PM | message detail
LEON! HELP!
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~War~ The Cream of Transexual Ex Girlfriend Fanboyism ~War~
PegasusLover123 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:38:35 PM | message detail
Oh this is interesting indeed, Dante and Leon have been exchanging leads throughout this match.

If this keeps up we may have one of our closest matches yet, and indeed what would SBAllen do if an actual tie occurs which is damn near impossible to pull off in these contest.
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BC: 0774-7368-9787 name: EDS "Casual player" so dont count me in for no item matches.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:39:07 PM | message detail
Pretty sure if there's a tie the poll gets extended 5 minutes.
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CB7 Score: 168/232
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif
PegasusLover123 | Posted 11/1/2008 11:43:06 PM | message detail
Oh by the way guys, has the clocks rolled back yet or its not quite the time yet?
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BC: 0774-7368-9787 name: EDS "Casual player" so dont count me in for no item matches.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/1/2008 11:43:51 PM | message detail

From: KleenexTissue50 | #022
Pretty sure if there's a tie the poll gets extended 5 minutes.



poll is automated now
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Gaddswell | Posted 11/2/2008 12:11:40 AM | message detail
Aww, this one over? Dante's lead is over 100 now.
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Shast One | Posted 11/2/2008 12:19:12 AM | message detail
why does he look like a girl
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/2/2008 12:19:45 AM | message detail
cuz of coffee ninja
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/2/2008 12:21:43 AM | message detail
14 people fell off the Top 50 today. X_and_Zero, WindShuriken, NoStrawberry, Buzzup, jjoseph2, mrblanc, Chickenshack, SoldierTwo, TheLBlock, iwannaalt, Nameless2000, KadenceInc, ChronicYouth and the Ulti user did not have Kirby > Master Chief as yesterday's winners.

28 people scored half points and survived. skirtlesswonder, M_e_g_a_6_4, abflamex, Airan_Jo, GreatOne367rm, TalkAboutCesc, Cloudxsquall, PartOfYourWorld, ZenithianLegend, Silent_Alarm, PunkGag, BesaidGuy, chaosarcher07, deadeyedllv, KrazyHokage, Demon_HunterX, DivinePhoenixz, Lukejalil, InfernoBane, Kouga14, BMDeluxe, Tua_Mater, miniver, DivineKrystal, Haste_2, KingMorgoth, dexter28 and Mac_Arrowny also did not have Kirby > Master Chief as yesterday's winners.

5 peopled scored only 2 points and survived. goduskgo, Bradbergticus, SSpectre, StealThisSheen and C3M2R7S3Z6 had something vaguely similar to Kirby > Master Chief as yesterday's winners.

Congrats to the only 3 people on the Top 50 to score full points. cloya, andylt and Celtic7Guardian correctly predicted Kirby > Master Chief as yesterday's winners.
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What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/2/2008 12:51:50 AM | message detail
YES! Hogger finally cut Riku by 10 votes!
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
Lopen | Posted 11/2/2008 12:52:59 AM | message detail
Dammit. And here I'd predicted that he wouldn't so much as cut third place.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe
Lopen | Posted 11/2/2008 12:54:11 AM | message detail
14 people fell off the Top 50 today. X_and_Zero,

LOL what, my "gut" bracket is outdoing my guru bracket. That's so wrong.

What rank was I I didn't even notice.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/2/2008 12:56:53 AM | message detail
You were 36th before you fell off. That bracket got onto the Top 50 after the Squall > Sora match.
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What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
Lopen | Posted 11/2/2008 1:01:05 AM | message detail
Dammit. The whole point was to have another person with Raiden winning it all to be on the leaderboard, and I missed it!

And today it has Riku > Dante (aw yeah initial overestimation of SFF) it's gonna fall even further. Blast. Maybe X > Mario later will get it back on the leaderboard.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe
Lopen | Posted 11/2/2008 1:07:27 AM | message detail
Wow, and looking at the leaderboard, it was the only one that would've had someone other than Link, L-Block, Cloud, or Snake on the leaderboard right now. Aw yeah Raiden represent.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe
greatone10 | Posted 11/2/2008 1:55:11 AM | message detail
Leon: Dante, you're small time!
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
satai_delenn | Posted 11/2/2008 1:57:39 AM | message detail
Wagh, what is going on here. Go away, Kennedy. >:-| You were supposed to let Dante walk all over you!
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Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!
Chaotic Mind | Posted 11/2/2008 1:06:19 AM | message detail
Stupid face pics, Riku would win if she had TJF c'mon mirite?

<.<
>.>
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Proud member of the A1 Steak Sauce Guild
greatone10 | Posted 11/2/2008 1:09:49 AM | message detail
28 TheAgeOfORTON 179 Link
29 Save_Us_RKO 179 Link


\_O__/

When did this occur?
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/2/2008 1:51:33 AM | message detail
poll is automated now

Wasn't there a match that started like 15 minutes late or so this year?

*checks*

Yep, Luigi/Liquid/Bowser/Phoenix did.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: 1st place, 38857 votes (30.47%)
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/2/2008 1:52:10 AM | message detail
Oh, and I'm guessing Dante has this.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: 1st place, 38857 votes (30.47%)
RPGGamer0 | Posted 11/2/2008 2:41:38 AM | message detail
Dante does have this. =(

Good thing there will be too much "badass" SFF next round to overcome for Dante, so Leon advances. >_>

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|PM|
http://img.imgcake.com//lastcalvin&hobbes.jpg
Guess how many teens | Posted 11/2/2008 2:57:50 AM | message detail
Leon is also a badass tho
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[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[ -Red |||||||||||||| -Green ]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]] -Blue
satai_delenn | Posted 11/2/2008 2:58:19 AM | message detail
That frowny face is entirely out of place here, sir, I'll have to ask you to refrain from applying frowny faces to Dante's victory in the future.
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Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!
CP724 | Posted 11/2/2008 5:20:45 AM | message detail
Wow, Dante really took off overnight huh.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/2/2008 7:16:14 AM | message detail
Man, Leon just let Dante run away with the match. Good performance from both of them.

riku just...man
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Moltar Status: augh
Leon/Riku/Dante/Hogger - Bracket: Dante > Riku - Vote: Leon (165/232)
charmander6000 | Posted 11/2/2008 7:25:02 AM | message detail
Riku is performing 1.5% better than he did last round and it will probably go up.

Right now Riku is getting 38.94% on Dante and last year in round 4 Pikachu got 40.67% on Dante.

Riku vs. Pikachu
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 163/232 Today's Match: Dante > Riku
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/2/2008 7:26:49 AM | message detail
Wonder why the 7% gap between these two last year closed to about 3% when Leon had no real reason to boost.

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Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism
you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/2/2008 7:35:36 AM | message detail
hogger cant do anything without rallying it seems. I go to bed with him at 14.5%, and he doesn't get a single percentage increase since, and falls to 13% >.<
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/2/2008 7:43:21 AM | message detail
REFAQs

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/2/2008 7:44:40 AM | message detail
I'm getting Hogger back up there in percentage though. He'll still get 14% if I have my way >_>
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http://card.mygamercard.net/aero/Albion+Hero.png
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