GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 613
| RPGuy96 | Posted 10/29/2008 8:38:20 AM | message detail |
|
Time | Hayabusa | Zero . | Snake . | Vivi 01:00 | 13.29% | 23.61% | 42.84% | 20.26% 02:00 | 13.64% | 22.01% | 44.10% | 20.25% 03:00 | 14.46% | 21.81% | 43.09% | 20.64% 04:00 | 13.60% | 21.19% | 44.96% | 20.25% 05:00 | 13.88% | 19.44% | 44.68% | 22.00% 06:00 | 13.45% | 19.72% | 44.54% | 22.30% 07:00 | 12.77% | 19.82% | 46.26% | 21.14% 08:00 | 13.38% | 19.94% | 44.74% | 21.94% 09:00 | 13.62% | 20.51% | 43.74% | 22.13% 10:00 | 14.11% | 19.62% | 43.25% | 23.02% 11:00 | 14.16% | 20.81% | 42.54% | 22.49% Zero was immune from the 3 hour dropoff that plagued Mega Man and CT characters last year, but it looks like he fell into that trap this year while CT escaped it. Vivi held up very well in the morning, which augers well for him during the ASV. --- Mustache...and green... |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/29/2008 8:38:53 AM | message detail |
|
For those of us who actually use the ignore feature around annoying users, why is BT supposed to close his account? --- TurnTurnTurn your brain in. ~*ST*~ Now Playing: Mother 3, Spore, Castlevania: OoE, MGS3 |
| The_Ocelot2 | Posted 10/29/2008 8:39:31 AM | message detail |
|
He said he would close his account if Snake got 43-45%. --- Go Ducks Go! http://img.imgcake.com/fallout_3.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/29/2008 8:42:06 AM | message detail |
|
07:00 | 12.77% | 19.82% | 46.26% | 21.14% 08:00 | 13.38% | 19.94% | 44.74% | 21.94% ...YESSSSSSSSSSSSS --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/29/2008 8:42:09 AM | message detail |
|
__Smurf__ (#097) Despite the fact that none of that actually means anything in the face of the statisical fact that Zero went up in % as much as Link did with the ASV vote, I also submit that Zero IMPROVED against Ryu going from the During School Vote to the After School Vote last round. If you think Ryu is going to win the day vote, then if round 1 trends hold over, Zero will improve even more in relation --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
| hailEC | Posted 10/29/2008 8:45:43 AM | message detail |
|
Except it's far easier to increase your % when you're only pulling in
10% compared to 50%. I don't know the actual numbers, but the point
stands. His ASV is not better than or on par with Link's, and if you
think it is, you should be committed. --- all hail ec your lord and savior |
| The Mana Sword | Posted 10/29/2008 8:45:57 AM | message detail |
|
Well then. I did not expect this after I went to sleep last night. --- Kleenex - Not on his computer. |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 8:46:24 AM | message detail |
|
Zero got killed with the morning vote, why is the winner of the ASV still being debated? --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/29/2008 8:47:38 AM | message detail |
|
what's up Lloyd --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| hailEC | Posted 10/29/2008 8:48:18 AM | message detail |
|
Because MM characters have notoriously awful morning votes. It's not
like Zero was getting absolutely crushed. The match is still plenty
debatable, though I'll side with Vivi for now. Wouldn't be surprised in
the least if Zero won though. The lead is going to be small enough that
the ASV slightly favoring Zero could be enough to put him on top. --- all hail ec your lord and savior |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/29/2008 8:48:42 AM | message detail |
|
well at least brawl did one good thing solid snake with a day vote confirmed he's unstoppable --- Moltar Status: augh Ryu/Zero/Snake/Vivi - Bracket: Snake > Zero - Vote: Snake (141/200) |
| hailEC | Posted 10/29/2008 8:49:15 AM | message detail |
|
no that's eli --- all hail ec your lord and savior |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 8:50:18 AM | message detail |
|
MM has notoriously awful ASV's as well, luckily enough. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| hailEC | Posted 10/29/2008 8:51:26 AM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| hailEC | Posted 10/29/2008 8:52:24 AM | message detail |
|
not half as bad as their mornings. It's not like Zero was getting
crushed in the morning. All he needs to do is be a fraction better with
the ASV than he is with the morning vote, and he can win. You're dumb. --- all hail ec your lord and savior |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/29/2008 8:52:51 AM | message detail |
|
Zero's meh ASV won't matter since he and Mega Man are second only to Chrono Trigger characters in terms of evening votes. --- Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1 |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/29/2008 8:54:21 AM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/29/2008 8:55:03 AM | message detail |
|
And for the record, with the Snake getting 43% comment, I was implying
that if he did that well, I might as well close my account now. --- Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1 |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/29/2008 9:01:41 AM | message detail |
|
To everyone: What lead do you think Vivi needs by the time the ASV starts to win? --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/29/2008 9:03:11 AM | message detail |
|
By 6pm, Vivi needs at least 600. Zero can probably swing that much just
from 6-midnight. I still think he wins the ASV over Vivi. --- Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1 |
| hailEC | Posted 10/29/2008 9:03:38 AM | message detail |
|
He doesn't even "need" a lead. He can arguably win the ASV straight-up.
There's no magical number that he needs to attain for victory, though
if he got a 1,000 vote lead (which is never gonna happen), would of
course make him a lock. --- all hail ec your lord and savior |
| TRE Public Account | Posted 10/29/2008 9:05:52 AM | message detail |
|
And for the record, with the Snake getting 43% comment, I was
implying that if he did that well, I might as well close my account now. "If Snake gets 43-45%, I'll close my account right now." That doesn't look implict to me. <_< --- To right the countless wrongs of our day, we shine this light of true redemption, that this place may become as paradise. What a wonderful world such would be |
| hailEC | Posted 10/29/2008 9:06:30 AM | message detail |
|
By "right now" he obviously meant after the Snake/MM match. Obviously. --- all hail ec your lord and savior |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/29/2008 9:07:33 AM | message detail |
|
Your FACE doesn't look implicit to me --- Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1 |
| ddr_dancer | Posted 10/29/2008 9:13:52 AM | message detail |
|
Jesus tapdancing Christ is Snake impressing here. I'm rapidly losing faith in Mega > Snake... Snake > Mega Man was pretty much a lock even before the contest, I'll bet my account on it --- Allow myself to introduce... myself - Austin Powers Faith is the acknowledgment that you have absolutely no justification for the silly **** you believe. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/29/2008 9:14:31 AM | message detail |
|
I think it's safe to say that we'll ALL bet our accounts on Snake > MM --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| edwardsdv | Posted 10/29/2008 9:19:03 AM | message detail |
|
Jesus H Christ, if not for screwing up Mudkip and Sho so badly I might actually have stood a chance the way this is going. And yes what Frog did to Axel is called cheating but it was hilarious. As for this matchup, im thinking ( as I predicted) That Vivi will pull it out and shock the world.( And show bad horse for that matter) Snake FTW!!! |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/29/2008 9:22:25 AM | message detail |
|
man this match is gonna be beautiful Snake above 43% AND Vivi wins. bye bye bt --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 9:25:40 AM | message detail |
|
Why Mega Man will lose to Companion Cube next round without needing Zero to SFF him Constant joke character values is a relatively proven theory that we've seen from the verious item characters. Generally all falling in there and around the high 20%'s. There's some degree of variation but 26-33 is about as wild as it's got thus far with L-Block, Cube and Sandbag combined. This is why L-Block prospered when faced in matches with more than 1 noble niner. The notion of L-Block getting stronger as the contest went in on is false, he stayed where he was and moved up the ranks as the competition got stronger and were able to muster lower and lower %'s. Even look yesterday, Cube turning a 500 vote lead to 8000+ over Tidus for no good reason. If you didn't notice it already, the items stay the same while everyone else drops in the face of tougher competition. My theory which I've based my whole bracket on is that the joke characters will churn in a consistent rate, I say 28%. It's a fair value as like I've said block, Cube and Sandbag have all got between that 26-33 range regardless of opposition. It's the protest voter block or whatever you want to call it. That assumed there's 72% for the other 3 characters to share, regardless of who they are. This is fine for MM when Nero and Tidus are the other two. When Snake and Vivi are the other two he's left with a lot less %, not nearly enough in fact. Taking the values from last year which if anything are very optimistic for MM shows the following result. Snake 30.88% Cube 28.49% Mega Man 25.85% Vivi 15.56% I reckon Snake will soar higher which if anything gives MM even less of a chance. Zero getting in would have provided a nice excuse for his blunder but with Vivi there's no such cover up. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/29/2008 9:27:10 AM | message detail |
|
I still think MM advances if Vivi is there. Vivi shouldn't get more
then 10%, which should serve as a nice cushin for MM and Snake to beat
WCC --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| The Mana Sword | Posted 10/29/2008 9:27:59 AM | message detail |
|
thanks smurf --- Kleenex - Not on his computer. |
| Shast One | Posted 10/29/2008 9:28:20 AM | message detail |
| you don't need relativities and theories to know Vivi shall advance |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 9:32:26 AM | message detail |
|
uh ok kleenex. if you don't want to discuss things don't come here. >_> I still think MM advances if Vivi is there. Vivi shouldn't get more then 10%, which should serve as a nice cushin for MM and Snake to beat WCC As the only Square character there I doubt it. Snake might not even double Vivi today, there's no reason for that head to head value to change dramatically, so if Snake gets 30% I doubt Vivi would be far from 15%. No logical reason why Snake would go from nearly doubling to more than tripling him which would be required should Vivi drop to 10%. If anything Vivi has always proved to have a solid voter base, like when he pulled 30% while being SFF'd by Sephiroth. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/29/2008 9:33:48 AM | message detail |
|
No logical reason why Snake would go from nearly doubling to more
than tripling him which would be required should Vivi drop to 10% Because adding in another noble niner can have more SFF and make Vivi look worse --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| The Mana Sword | Posted 10/29/2008 9:35:43 AM | message detail |
|
There's really nothing to discuss here. WCC certainly has a shot at
upending Mega Man next round, but it's pretty clear that you're just
spouting your regular anti-Mega Man crap and everyone here knows it. --- Kleenex - Not on his computer. |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 9:35:48 AM | message detail |
|
But what has Vivi's fanbase got to do with Mega Man? There's clearly no
fanbase overlap or him and Zero wouldn't have nearly 43% combined in a
poll with Snake there. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/29/2008 9:36:50 AM | message detail |
|
and theres obviously no fanbase overlap with ryu and snake cuz they're
from different systems and diferent genre of action games, yet they SFF --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| Majin Lou | Posted 10/29/2008 9:37:59 AM | message detail |
|
Hey BT: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uqxo1SKB0z8 --- But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you. Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories. |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 9:39:10 AM | message detail |
|
There's really nothing to discuss here. WCC certainly has a shot at
upending Mega Man next round, but it's pretty clear that you're just
spouting your regular anti-Mega Man crap and everyone here knows it. mageman sux = anti-mega man crap. Giving a post with a rationale and stat quotations is hardly "crap". If you think there's something false in it by all means point it out. And everyone doesn't accept that Cube has a real and maybe even likely shot at 2nd next round so it's hardly redundant gloating bringing it up. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/29/2008 9:41:39 AM | message detail |
|
smurf the only Noble niner going out early is gonna be sonic. auron > sandbag --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 9:41:39 AM | message detail |
|
and theres obviously no fanbase overlap with ryu and snake cuz
they're from different systems and diferent genre of action games, yet
they SFF Casual bait. Unless you're implying that Vivi is going to be randomly SFFed by MM when a character in the exact same series wouldn't. Do you really believe that? --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 9:43:16 AM | message detail |
|
smurf the only Noble niner going out early is gonna be sonic. auron > sandbag From a guy who bases his predictions on random SFF this prediction doesn't surprise me. I suppose Pac-Man is a shoe in for the final too. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/29/2008 9:44:40 AM | message detail |
|
You said the reason yourself, smurf. static joke percentage. with Subby
there, he shouldn't get less then 15%, then auron should get quite a
bit, and with Sandbag LFFing Sonic, he should beat him out by just a
little bit. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/29/2008 9:45:47 AM | message detail |
|
Ryu H is just unfortunately a tier of badassery lower than Snake I mean they're side by side right there and it's like asking you "hay you wanna vote for the ninja OR THIS OLD GUY" clearly there's no contest --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| The Mana Sword | Posted 10/29/2008 9:48:42 AM | message detail |
|
Your "rationale" completely wrong. Saying that joke character are
guaranteed a static percentage isn't a new theory and it hasn't been
proven. Not to mention that saying L-Block didn't get stronger over the
course of last year is a flat out lie. Stop looking at the percentages
and look at the votes. Round 1 - 40116 Round 2 - 37825 Round 3 - 40774 Round 4 - 44753 Round 5 - 56925 Round 6 - 65462 --- Kleenex - Not on his computer. |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 9:49:58 AM | message detail |
|
For one Sonic's value is higher than Auron's. And for another Sandbag
has showed more "normal" trends than Cube and L-Block which might not
give him as static a value. In other words I expect him to drop to the
low twenties at best, not nearly enough. Though I'd be pleased if
you're right and Sonic was removed from this. There's no credibility
from success in an SB run contest. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 9:55:28 AM | message detail |
|
votals increase in later rounds, or is that news to you? For example
Snake got roughly the same amount of votes with Kratos and Riku as he
did with Sonic and Squall. Do you think that Snake boosted between that
round as well? There was a degree of L-Block improvement, but it was
minor. Even looking at votals his Round 1 performance was almost 40% of
his final performance. Which is at worst Samus strength. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| Ngamer64 | Posted 10/29/2008 9:57:22 AM | message detail |
|
A fine set of stats Smurf, but keep in mind that this matchup will be
taking place in the sprite round, a round where as we saw last year,
Mega Man is able to perform nearly at the Samus' level. And where,
incidentally, Snake is going to look like an awful blob, Vivi will be
pixelated instead of having the full on "cute black mage" factor like
today, and Cube... well, no idea what Cube's going to look like, but I
doubt its as appealing or stands out as well as what it had yesterday. --- Check out the '08 Guru Site! http://thengamer.com/guru/ Other Hot Content: thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/29/2008 9:58:56 AM | message detail |
|
Oh yeah, sprite round. If vivi is there, no question MM advances --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| The Mana Sword | Posted 10/29/2008 9:59:28 AM | message detail |
|
What the hell are you talking about? Getting "roughly the same amount
of votes" between two rounds isn't even close to jumping 10000 votes
from one day to the next. --- Kleenex - Not on his computer. |
