GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 613
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2008 9:22:33 PM | message detail |
|
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_k3n5me4Rns ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/28/2008 9:25:44 PM | message detail |
|
salute --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/28/2008 9:26:14 PM | message detail |
|
--- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| Iamthekuzalol | Posted 10/28/2008 9:48:01 PM | message detail |
|
Snake > Cloud > Sephiroth BELIEVE!!!!!!!! --- Favourite wrestlers so far- Taker, Punk, Daniels, Joe. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2008 11:09:45 PM | message detail |
|
he makes his own --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/28/2008 11:43:18 PM | message detail |
|
top tier stats topic open --- Moltar Status: augh Ryu/Zero/Snake/Vivi - Bracket: Snake > Zero - Vote: Snake (141/200) |
| vash_131 | Posted 10/28/2008 11:44:07 PM | message detail |
|
I have a feeling WCC's gonna beat out MM in the next round ._. --- Character Battle V (2006): 37th place |
| transience | Posted 10/29/2008 12:39:54 AM | message detail |
|
well, Riku/Ryu finally makes sense at least --- xyzzy la la la you're dead la la la la we killed you la la la |
| CP724 | Posted 10/29/2008 2:01:24 AM | message detail |
| Vivi trying to mount a comeback? |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/29/2008 2:04:22 AM | message detail |
|
Yeah, Hayabusa should have gone on to fight Kratos last year...and
Hayabusa/Kratos would have been good. Seeing Hayabusa abused by Solid
again brings up some fun though. Solid doesn't need help impressing
when he's got 43.5% of the vote, but it's worth noting Solid currently
gets 23.9% on Hayabusa... as opposed to 28.38% last year pre-NG2 and
with Nightmare (if that mattered). That's a 4.48% difference even
though Hayabusa got a new game and got away from a character who may
have taken his fighting fans. This is a big testament of how Solid is
doing this year, even if Hayabusa regains a lot of ground with the ASV. It doesn't hurt he's currently beating Vivi worse than the last round, too. --- NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2 Remember these games! |
| voltch | Posted 10/29/2008 2:05:52 AM | message detail |
|
So Vivi is roughly zero's level,pretty impressive. --- Del Boy:He who dares, wins! |
| -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/29/2008 2:13:33 AM | message detail |
|
Vivi trying to mount a comeback? A very slow comeback, but I have hope in Zero to hold him off. Vivi should rot away during the morning vote and the ASV. --- Participate in my Presidential Election Prediction Challenge: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=46163188 |
| Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/29/2008 2:31:35 AM | message detail |
|
BT closes his account if Zero loses here (and Snake wins next round
over Mega Man) right? So why aren't you guys rallying for Vivi? --- Can't think of a good sig. |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/29/2008 2:32:15 AM | message detail |
|
Less than 500 votes until Vivi takes the lead. Snake doesn't look like he'll be hitting 44% before the morning. --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8 |
| nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/29/2008 2:41:12 AM | message detail |
|
O_O I have an account on the leaderboard. I profess myself shocked and awesome. Iwannaalt is the universal name, isn't it awesome and clearly not intended for anything but to be a space account? --- lulz. |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/29/2008 2:44:43 AM | message detail |
|
BT is acctually supposed to close that account of his if Snake broke 43. his own words <_< --- Warning, there is a bear right behind you. Ride Him. |
| Zenithian Legend | Posted 10/29/2008 2:46:40 AM | message detail |
|
I have an account on the leaderboard Congrats! I managed to get my (only) account on the leaderboard as well... finally. --- Detroit Red Wings 2008 Stanley Cup Champions! |
| nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/29/2008 2:48:35 AM | message detail |
|
By the end of the match Shoe, and he's now chickened out of it because
he said he meant if Snake got 43% AND Zero finished 3rd. So yeah, BT is
epic fail. --- Surprise! |
| Chaotic Mind | Posted 10/29/2008 3:18:49 AM | message detail |
|
Zero's lead is down to 434. That's the lowest i've seen it in several
hours, though i haven't been checking every update. Really close battle
we got goin on here. --- Proud member of the A1 Steak Sauce Guild |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 3:20:14 AM | message detail |
|
Vivi's got this, no way Zero wins the day vote. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/29/2008 3:24:52 AM | message detail |
|
I'm really impressed with Snake here. This 4-pack is arguably stronger
than Samus Aran's and he's way above 40% and no signs of dropping off
significantly. Snake is finally over the hump. --- [Multiple Scorgasms] Score: 134/200 Today's Pick: Solid Snake > Zero |
| Chaotic Mind | Posted 10/29/2008 3:25:09 AM | message detail |
|
Do you have evidence of Vivi having a stronger day vote than Zero, or
are you just saying that because of your hatred of everything Mega Man
related? --- Proud member of the A1 Steak Sauce Guild |
| -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/29/2008 3:28:22 AM | message detail |
|
Vivi's got this, no way Zero wins the day vote. Vivi sucks in the day time, so it comes down to who is better in the day. --- Participate in my Presidential Election Prediction Challenge: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=46163188 |
| shadow8021 | Posted 10/29/2008 3:33:43 AM | message detail |
|
Pssh, as bad as both Vivi and Zero are with the day vote, Hayabusa
could mount a huge comeback with it! Seriously, I think Zero will do
better than Vivi though. --- 2008 Hickory Cross Country Becoming One |
| Chaotic Mind | Posted 10/29/2008 3:37:15 AM | message detail |
|
22 vote cut by Vivi... i can't decide who to root for. Normally i'd
want Zero to win, but i don't want Mega Man to lose to the cube next
round... --- Proud member of the A1 Steak Sauce Guild |
| Iamthekuzalol | Posted 10/29/2008 3:48:19 AM | message detail |
|
Snake definitely has a slightly stronger pack than Samus. Ganondorf > Zero Ganondorf is clearly 1 level above that of Zero, no explanation needed. Vivi > Frog Vivi is quite possibly stronger than Riku especially if we talk about their respective performance against Leon and Ryu.H. Frog struggled against freaking Axel (Riku >>>>>> Axel). Need i say more. Ryu.H > Nightmare Ryu.H beat Nightmare comfortably last year. --- Favourite wrestlers so far- Taker, Punk, Daniels, Joe. |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 3:49:20 AM | message detail |
|
In their last matches from this point to the end Zero lost over 1.50% while Vivi lost 0.06%. This is long over, Vivi to win by 1000+ --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 3:50:37 AM | message detail |
|
Vivi sucks in the day time, so it comes down to who is better in the day. He doesn't majorly suck at all during the day, I'd say he's average in the day more than anything. Zero is the one who's awful during the day. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 3:56:06 AM | message detail |
|
I'm really impressed with Snake here. This 4-pack is arguably
stronger than Samus Aran's and he's way above 40% and no signs of
dropping off significantly. I'm not all that much, we're talking about 3 midcarders here and I wouldn't even toy with the idea of calling any of these upper midcarders. Samus had Ganon and Frog who'd both probably clean house in this group. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| consolefreak | Posted 10/29/2008 3:56:18 AM | message detail |
|
Wow Snake, great stuff here. Definitely feeling good about Snake > Cloud with Sephiroth there. BT is acctually supposed to close that account of his if Snake broke 43. his own words <_< By the end of the match Shoe, and he's now chickened out of it because he said he meant if Snake got 43% AND Zero finished 3rd. So yeah, BT is epic fail. Could still happen. --- Those who speak do not know, those who know do not speak - Soviet adage |
| consolefreak | Posted 10/29/2008 3:57:26 AM | message detail |
|
I'm not all that much, we're talking about 3 midcarders here and I
wouldn't even toy with the idea of calling any of these upper
midcarders. Samus had Ganon and Frog who'd both probably clean house in
this group. Frog would clean house in this group? Frog? --- Those who speak do not know, those who know do not speak - Soviet adage |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 3:58:07 AM | message detail |
|
Do you have evidence of Vivi having a stronger day vote than Zero,
or are you just saying that because of your hatred of everything Mega
Man related? MM characters like CT characters follow the typical obsolete character trends in that they have a strong initial vote then steadily die as the day goes on. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 3:59:53 AM | message detail |
|
Frog would clean house in this group? Frog? In a 3 pack where Ryu Hayabusha is legitimately the strongest? Yeah I'd go with that. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| Chaotic Mind | Posted 10/29/2008 4:04:19 AM | message detail |
|
Well Zero's lead was down to 388, but just went up a bit to 392. Vivi's
definitely gaining on him, but will it be enough to pass Zero and hold
him off during the SNV? --- Proud member of the A1 Steak Sauce Guild |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 4:06:21 AM | message detail |
|
Well he chipped a grand total of 5 votes off Hayabusha during the SNV so I'm sure Vivi isn't too worried. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| Zenithian Legend | Posted 10/29/2008 4:08:02 AM | message detail |
|
I hope not... for my bracket's sake at least. Go Zero! Then ruin Mega Man's vote next round so that goofy Cube can take 2nd. --- Detroit Red Wings 2008 Stanley Cup Champions! |
| Chaotic Mind | Posted 10/29/2008 4:09:45 AM | message detail |
|
Yeah, but at the rate Vivi's going he might only have a 5 vote lead by the time the SNV starts. Barely made a 14 cut right now. --- Proud member of the A1 Steak Sauce Guild |
| -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/29/2008 4:10:37 AM | message detail |
|
Well Zero's lead was down to 388, but just went up a bit to 392.
Vivi's definitely gaining on him, but will it be enough to pass Zero
and hold him off during the SNV? Zero actually does pretty good in the SNV. A comparison and Vivi's and Zero's trends for their round 1 matches: Time | Zero | Vivi PHV | 36.36% | 26.08% FNV | 37.56% | 25.92% BSV | 34.09% | 26.98% DSV | 34.82% | 26.64% ASV | 34.68% | 25.35% SNV | 37.22% | 25.16% --- Participate in my Presidential Election Prediction Challenge: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=46163188 |
| Iamthekuzalol | Posted 10/29/2008 4:11:05 AM | message detail |
|
Samus had Ganon and Frog who'd both probably clean house in this group. You mean the same Frog that went almost even with Axel. Axel scored only 30% on MM, oh wait, MM is actually stronger than Link and that is why Axel/Frog can clean house in this group. MM will double Sonic if they actually meet up again. --- Favourite wrestlers so far- Taker, Punk, Daniels, Joe. |
| -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/29/2008 4:12:03 AM | message detail |
|
Yeah, but at the rate Vivi's going he might only have a 5 vote lead by the time the SNV starts. You can't mean SNV (Second Night Vote) here, because that's from 10:00 PM to 12:00 AM EST. You probably mean either DSV or ASV. --- Participate in my Presidential Election Prediction Challenge: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=46163188 |
| Zenithian Legend | Posted 10/29/2008 4:12:11 AM | message detail |
|
Honestly Smurf if you'd use your damn brain you'd want Zero to win so
Zero can put Mega Man (who you hate so much) out of the tournament by
stealing his votes in the next round. I know it's tricky, but try to
focus your disdain for Mega Man instead of just spouting off nonsense. --- Detroit Red Wings 2008 Stanley Cup Champions! |
| Chaotic Mind | Posted 10/29/2008 4:13:24 AM | message detail |
|
Followed by a 19 cut. Eh, i suppose he'll have a bigger lead than 5 by
SNV. Ah well, at least if he beats Zero then MM should beat Cube next
round. --- Proud member of the A1 Steak Sauce Guild |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 4:13:36 AM | message detail |
|
When did I say I wanted Vivi to win? --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/29/2008 4:17:05 AM | message detail |
|
Followed by a 19 cut. Eh, i suppose he'll have a bigger lead than 5 by SNV. Correction: DSV PHV = 12:00 AM to 1:00 AM FNV = 1:00 AM to 6:00 AM BSV = 6:00 AM to 9:00 AM DSV = 9:00 AM to 2:30 PM ASV = 2:30 PM to 10:00 PM SNV = 10:00 PM to 12:00 AM All times are in EST. We are in the BSV right now. About 1 hour, 45 minutes until the DSV starts. --- Participate in my Presidential Election Prediction Challenge: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=46163188 |
| Chaotic Mind | Posted 10/29/2008 4:23:46 AM | message detail |
|
Wow, okay looking at those R1 comparisons Vivi drops with the ASV quite
a bit more than Zero does. Vivi should continue to make small gains
with the DSV but once ASV hits i bet Zero starts gaining again, then
widens the gap even more with the SNV. And yeah i had the times way wrong, thanks for the correction luster. --- Proud member of the A1 Steak Sauce Guild |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 4:41:07 AM | message detail |
|
Relative to their final score Vivi's ASV is quite a bit stronger than
Zero's actually. The notion of Zero winning an ASV would be insane. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/29/2008 4:44:28 AM | message detail |
|
Prediction 8:00 Zero leads by 250 10:00 Level 12:00 Vivi leads by 300 3:00 Vivi leads by 600 6:00 Vivi leads by 1000 8:00 Vivi leads by 1200 10:00 Vivi leads by 1100 12:00 Vivi leads by 900 --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| EternalxCourage | Posted 10/29/2008 4:59:52 AM | message detail |
|
Lol. Smurf has no idea. Zero wins. --- Do you know who the **** I am? ***** I'm the man. The one and only Curt. |
| Chaotic Mind | Posted 10/29/2008 5:01:54 AM | message detail |
|
Hah, it's 8:00 and Zero leads by more than 250. Smurf's prediction = BROKEN. Woohoo Zero wins! --- Proud member of the A1 Steak Sauce Guild |
| CP724 | Posted 10/29/2008 5:05:17 AM | message detail |
| Anyone high on the leaderboard have Snake>Vivi? |
