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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 611

KamikazePotato | Posted 10/26/2008 9:11:21 PM | message detail
Pika?

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

~*aprosenf's poll script*~
http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/26/2008 9:13:47 PM | message detail
CASTLEVANIA: SOTN ~ I am the Wind lyrics
Version 1.0
Created by ZhouTaiRoks

-----------------------------

Just like the wind,
I've always been
Drifting high up in the sky that never ends
Through thick and thin,
I always win
'Cause I would fight both life and death to save a friend

I face my destiny every day I live
And the best in me is all I have to give

Just like the sun (Just like the sun)
When my day's done
Sometimes I don't like the person I've become
Is the enemy within a thousand men?
Should I walk the path if my world's so dead ahead?

Is someone testing me every day I live?
Well, the best in me is all I have to give

I can pretend (I can pretend)
I am the wind (I am the wind)
And I don't know if I will pass this way again
All things must end
Goodbye, my friend
Think of me when you see the sun or feel the wind

I am the wind,
I am the sun
And one day we'll all be one

I am the wind,
I am the sun
And one day we'll all be one

I am the wind,
I am the sun
And one day we'll all be one

I am the wind,
I am the sun
One day we'll all be one...


---
Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:18:28 PM | message detail
How the hell did skirtlesswonder get 7 points?

>_>

He/she went from 144 to 151


She had 143 points.

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 129/184 Today's Match: Pikachu > Alucard
Majin Lou | Posted 10/26/2008 9:18:51 PM | message detail
Alucard, use your planning to give Pikachu the sprite he got against Dante/Leon for his round 3 match next round.
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But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you.
Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/26/2008 9:19:07 PM | message detail
So, um, what the hell Arthas. Why couldn't he have been this weak last round.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 10/26/2008 9:19:42 PM | message detail
What the hell, Arthas.
---
Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/26/2008 9:19:47 PM | message detail
How the hell did skirtlesswonder get 7 points?

8 points. 143 -> 151
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What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
FFDragon | Posted 10/26/2008 9:19:50 PM | message detail
http://img.imgcake.com//pikax4.jpg

Zombichu wants brains.
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
http://img.imgcake.com//wesker.gif
Majin Lou | Posted 10/26/2008 9:20:00 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2008 12:19:07 AM (#005)
So, um, what the hell Arthas. Why couldn't he have been this weak last round.

Yeah, the ****er cost me two points.
---
But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you.
Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/26/2008 9:20:37 PM | message detail
Alucard wants the lead!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:21:02 PM | message detail
Speaking of the next round...

Someone needs to submit pictures for Mewtwo and Pikachu with R/B/Y sprites.

Those will bring in the votes.
---
For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/26/2008 9:21:13 PM | message detail
Alucard is spanking the Power Hour.
---
Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
satai_delenn | Posted 10/26/2008 9:21:19 PM | message detail
SOUL STEAL
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Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!
charmander6000 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:21:22 PM | message detail
This is not good Pikachu. At this rate you'll be too far down to catch up with the morning/after school vote.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 129/184 Today's Match: Pikachu > Alucard
red sox 777 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:21:29 PM | message detail
Arthas will probably finish above Falcon. Alucard/Pikachu might be close: Alucard will dominate the night once the power hour is over, and Pikachu will have to try to come back with the ASV.
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Crono's quest to kick L-Block out of this contest:
Round 2: Crono > L-Block > Ryu > Amaterasu
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/26/2008 9:21:38 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=37ER1zpg_F4
---
Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/26/2008 9:22:22 PM | message detail

KamikazePotato (#005)
So, um, what the hell Arthas. Why couldn't he have been this weak last round.



I'm thinking it was the Wotlk boxart pic
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:24:27 PM | message detail
Arthas is getting undead SFFed
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve!
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/26/2008 9:24:32 PM | message detail
Someone answer me.

How did shirtlesswonder go from 144 points to 151?
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# of Days until things start looking up for me: 8
All started when: I broke my arm. November 3rd, 2007
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 10/26/2008 9:25:07 PM | message detail
It's 143 to 151.
---
Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/26/2008 9:25:17 PM | message detail
None of this really makes sense. How is Arthas doing so bad here? WC3 face shot should be his best picture. Not only that, but Alucard went from struggling with SFF'd Falcon to looking the favourite to beat SFF'd Pikachu.

My head hurts...


---
I want adventure in the great wide somewhere... I want it more than I can tell! - Belle
http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/3949/beautyandthebeast21024uh9.jpg
Master Moltar | Posted 10/26/2008 9:25:51 PM | message detail
this is...quite stable thus far


yeahhhhh power hour
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Moltar Status: augh
Alucard/Falcon/Pikachu/Arthas - Bracket: Pikachu > Alucard - Vote: Falcon (129/184)
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/26/2008 9:26:01 PM | message detail

Fayt_Esteed (#020)
It's 143 to 151.


>.>

But...

Oh what the hell, my eyes must be playing tricks on me again.
---
# of Days until things start looking up for me: 8
All started when: I broke my arm. November 3rd, 2007
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/26/2008 9:26:10 PM | message detail

BlAcK TuRtLe (#021)
None of this really makes sense. How is Arthas doing so bad here? WC3 face shot should be his best picture. Not only that, but Alucard went from struggling with SFF'd Falcon to looking the favourite to beat SFF'd Pikachu.

My head hurts...



Seems he got most of his support from WoW fanbase, who won't know this picture of him as well as his Wotlk pic
---
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
thok | Posted 10/26/2008 9:27:23 PM | message detail
So was the L-block winning the contest last year part of Alucard's plan to make the fourth round this year?
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:27:42 PM | message detail
Arthas barely beat Ike last round... clearly, uh... Falcon is stronger than Ike and uh... Alucard is way stronger than Spy and uh... stuff.
---
For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/26/2008 9:27:53 PM | message detail
I can't even spin this one way or the other for Ike because even though Arthas is bombing Ike still did better than CF is doing who is now beating Arthas *head explodes*

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/26/2008 9:29:36 PM | message detail
Simple answer KP:

SPAH SAPPIN MAH VOTES
---
Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
Yesmar | Posted 10/26/2008 9:29:45 PM | message detail
Is it possible that Pikachu/Ike simply had more leeching than Pikachu/C. Falcon?
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"The right to be God. That right is now mine"--Albert Wesker
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/26/2008 9:30:17 PM | message detail
Hmm... which American FE games has Ike starred in? I bet Falcon beats him with Smash support, so he'll probably have to count on those.
---
Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/26/2008 9:30:19 PM | message detail
So Spy sapped Arthas' votes last round which makes him significantly weaker this round





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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
WalrusJump | Posted 10/26/2008 9:30:28 PM | message detail

Justin_Crossing (#019)
Someone answer me.

How did shirtlesswonder go from 144 points to 151?



smurf's sister should be shirtlesswonder IMO
---
Some mistakes are good. You were not. - Alec
Duke Nukem: Contest Champ 2k8. Believe.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/26/2008 9:30:35 PM | message detail
I think this shows bad for Ike overall
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
charmander6000 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:30:55 PM | message detail
Looks like Arthas realized that his match was today.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 129/184 Today's Match: Pikachu > Alucard
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/26/2008 9:31:01 PM | message detail
Hmm... which American FE games has Ike starred in?

Gamecube + Wii ones.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/26/2008 9:31:10 PM | message detail
Spy Sapped everyones votes.
---
Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/26/2008 9:31:40 PM | message detail
Then explain why Alucard is doing so much better on Falcon? Unless he and Diddy weren't overlapping at all
---
I want adventure in the great wide somewhere... I want it more than I can tell! - Belle
http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/3949/beautyandthebeast21024uh9.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:32:38 PM | message detail
Falcon is being hurt more by Pikachu as he is on the receiving end of the SFF this time.
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Crono's quest to kick L-Block out of this contest:
Round 2: Crono > L-Block > Ryu > Amaterasu
Xcarvenger | Posted 10/26/2008 9:33:57 PM | message detail
Then explain why Alucard is doing so much better on Falcon?

Castlevania: Order of Ecclesia happened (check the top 10 thing on the front page)
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Kweh! Kweh!!! --> http://backloggery.com/main.php?user=xcarvenger
For all your board 8 needs: www.board8.wikia.com
red sox 777 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:34:13 PM | message detail
And yes, I would expect Falcon/Pikachu to overlap a little more than Falcon/Diddy. Most of Falcon's strength probably comes from Melee, which does not feature Diddy, while most of Diddy's strength probably comes from outside of Smash.
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Crono's quest to kick L-Block out of this contest:
Round 2: Crono > L-Block > Ryu > Amaterasu
Gaddswell | Posted 10/26/2008 9:34:14 PM | message detail
So... Ike holds up better against Pika, but Falcon is stronger?

Falcon doesn't make sense this year....
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/26/2008 9:34:26 PM | message detail
This is just weird. So is Falcon a midcarder or something now?
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
paraboxx | Posted 10/26/2008 9:34:32 PM | message detail
Wow, that Arthas sure is gonna make an impact in Round 3, isn't he!?

...I'd be able to take more joy in this if Pikachu weren't beating Alucard right now. :(
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/26/2008 9:35:26 PM | message detail
We're still in the Power Hour. Alucard will build himself a nice lead overnight. Whether or not it holds remains to be seen; this could be a barn burner.
---
Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Gaddswell | Posted 10/26/2008 9:35:56 PM | message detail
ARTHAS CUT

That's more like it Pika!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/26/2008 9:36:01 PM | message detail
Hey, look, Albion woke up.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
charmander6000 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:36:02 PM | message detail
And Arthas begins his long comeback.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 129/184 Today's Match: Pikachu > Alucard
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:36:16 PM | message detail
Woo Pikachu gain little bits of vote woo
---
For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/26/2008 9:36:18 PM | message detail
Stupid rat!
---
Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
red sox 777 | Posted 10/26/2008 9:36:57 PM | message detail
Arthas gets his first cut on Falcon, and Pikachu is trying to pull away with this power hour vote, but Alucard will be gaining soon.
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Crono's quest to kick L-Block out of this contest:
Round 3: Crono vs. L-Block vs. Pikachu vs. Alucard
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