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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 610

Gaddswell | Posted 10/25/2008 10:06:05 PM | message detail
Shaped like a boot...!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

~*aprosenf's poll script*~
http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:06:30 PM | message detail
At least Crono is kicking ass.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 125/176 Today's Match: Crono > Ryu
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:06:38 PM | message detail
Shaped like a boot to lose to Crono.
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CB7 Score: 128/168
http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:06:55 PM | message detail
Shaped like a boot to prove Crono > Link!
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Character Battle VII --- Score: 126/180 --- T-767 (128 way)
Bracket: Crono > Ryu --- Vote: Crono
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/25/2008 10:07:11 PM | message detail
I gotta say though, Crono is impressing me. He didn't look very good in round 1
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
ffmasterjose | Posted 10/25/2008 10:07:23 PM | message detail
unfunny joke is unfunny
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131/176 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII
NP: Crono > Ryu SF | http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=0
idyvino | Posted 10/25/2008 10:07:55 PM | message detail
I think it will be Crono>L Block..

It needs a lot of miracle for L Block>Crono..
And more surprising for Ryu to get second based on the early 1 hour vote and for Ryu to dethrone L Block..


The boot gonna walk out in the next round I guess??
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:07:56 PM | message detail
Shaped like a boot to time travel!
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It has War, ExTha, and Crasty insulting each other as hedgehogs while being vaguely about your boobs. What did you expect. - Shadow The ExTha
transience | Posted 10/25/2008 10:08:11 PM | message detail
save_us.cro

actually, Ryu/Amaterasu is going to be tougher than whoever the hell shows up next round, so even when Crono dies in the day and L comes back, Crono's got a chance for first next round. really nice show from him.
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xyzzy
la la la you're dead la la la la we killed you la la la
paraboxx | Posted 10/25/2008 10:08:30 PM | message detail
I approve of this tagline.

Let's Go L-Block
Let's Go
*clap clap*
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/25/2008 10:10:00 PM | message detail
We're more then likely having Crono/Block/Pikachu/Arthas next round. What happens there?
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
Gaddswell | Posted 10/25/2008 10:10:36 PM | message detail
RYU CUT
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/25/2008 10:10:46 PM | message detail
woot ryu cut block
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
__hiei__ | Posted 10/25/2008 10:10:46 PM | message detail
Crono takes a distant first and hopefully Blizzard rally takes out the joke.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:10:52 PM | message detail
Crono > Block, easily.
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Character Battle VII --- Score: 126/180 --- T-767 (128 way)
Bracket: Crono > Ryu --- Vote: Crono
Xcarvenger | Posted 10/25/2008 10:10:53 PM | message detail
hey a cut
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Kweh! Kweh!!! --> http://backloggery.com/main.php?user=xcarvenger
For all your board 8 needs: www.board8.wikia.com
Lopen | Posted 10/25/2008 10:11:03 PM | message detail
RYU CUT

BONUS STAGE ACTIVATED. BLOCK BREAKIN TIME.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe
Draco1214 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:11:24 PM | message detail
Pikachu isn't advancing. Remember the last time two characters who only had Brawl connection were in the same match (hint: Marth didn't advance).
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"Men that are trapped by chains of 'maybe' can never reach their dreams!"
Explicit Content > me in the Guru
Mumei | Posted 10/25/2008 10:11:42 PM | message detail
Isn't that more of a stall than a real cut? <_<

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
ffmasterjose | Posted 10/25/2008 10:11:47 PM | message detail
If that is indeed the next round, it's still going to be Crono > L-Block
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131/176 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII
NP: Crono > Ryu SF | http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=0
charmander6000 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:11:47 PM | message detail
Finally a cut, let's get this party started.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 125/176 Today's Match: Crono > Ryu
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/25/2008 10:11:55 PM | message detail

__hiei__ (#014)
Crono takes a distant first and hopefully Blizzard rally takes out the joke.



This is what I'm hoping for... its round 3, and thats about the time that Blizzard rallying really comes full force if Starcraft beating Wind Waker and nearly beating Smash Bros Melee are to be believed.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
transience | Posted 10/25/2008 10:12:10 PM | message detail
hrm, maybe Crono *can* win this - 200 votes in 20 minutes with the night vote coming. he'll have a bigger lead than Magus had on Sandbag, and L-Block doesn't have a day vote like Sandbag does.

that said, NO ONE here has a good day vote.
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xyzzy
la la la you're dead la la la la we killed you la la la
Gaddswell | Posted 10/25/2008 10:12:16 PM | message detail
Isn't that more of a stall than a real cut? <_<

We'll take what we can get!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/25/2008 10:12:48 PM | message detail

transience (#023)
hrm, maybe Crono *can* win this - 200 votes in 20 minutes with the night vote coming. he'll have a bigger lead than Magus had on Sandbag, and L-Block doesn't have a day vote like Sandbag does.

that said, NO ONE here has a good day vote.



Crono doesn't collapse like Magus does at day either
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 10/25/2008 10:13:17 PM | message detail
Go Ryu! Cut that block down to size!
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
red sox 777 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:14:51 PM | message detail
Keep in mind the day vote is much weaker on the weekend.
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Character Battle VII --- Score: 126/180 --- T-767 (128 way)
Bracket: Crono > Ryu --- Vote: Crono
charmander6000 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:14:53 PM | message detail
Pikachu isn't advancing. Remember the last time two characters who only had Brawl connection were in the same match (hint: Marth didn't advance).

Pikachu had Ike and had no trouble beating Arthas.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 125/176 Today's Match: Crono > Ryu
Lopen | Posted 10/25/2008 10:15:23 PM | message detail
Yeah, no chance L-Block overcomes Crono here. L-Block's comeback against Ryu was a very modest one. He wasn't ever down more than 500 or 600 or so. And Ryu's day vote is terrible.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/25/2008 10:15:32 PM | message detail

charmander6000 (#028)
Pikachu isn't advancing. Remember the last time two characters who only had Brawl connection were in the same match (hint: Marth didn't advance).

Pikachu had Ike and had no trouble beating Arthas.



Arthas is a different beast this round though, I'm expecting an Orange box type of boost that Gordon had between rounds last round.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
charmander6000 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:15:43 PM | message detail
Comeback deactivated.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 125/176 Today's Match: Crono > Ryu
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/25/2008 10:16:41 PM | message detail
>.>

I still think Ryu has a chance. It may be miniscule, but still a chance.
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# of Days until things start looking up for me: 9
All started when: I broke my arm. November 3rd, 2007
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/25/2008 10:17:34 PM | message detail
Cuz last round, Arthas wasn't yet in WoW, and it was just hype of Wotlk. But the day before Hoggers match, the Wotlk patch hit and Arthas is now in the game and on the title screen, and he started his invasion of Azeroth a couple days ago.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
charmander6000 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:17:59 PM | message detail
I can see Ryu coming back throughout the European Day Vote and tie L-Block only to lose it throughout the day.

Remember how SFII lost.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 125/176 Today's Match: Crono > Ryu
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:19:17 PM | message detail
Yeah, Ryu's done here, people thinking otherwise are just being delusional. Crono looks like he should be good for this, though. Nice show there.
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CB7 Score: 128/168
http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:20:39 PM | message detail
Cuz last round, Arthas wasn't yet in WoW, and it was just hype of Wotlk. But the day before Hoggers match, the Wotlk patch hit and Arthas is now in the game and on the title screen, and he started his invasion of Azeroth a couple days ago.

I've been playing a lot since the patch and I've yet to see Arthas anywhere... I don't even see him on the title screen....
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/25/2008 10:20:45 PM | message detail
uhh Crono

why you letting block cut ya dude
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
charmander6000 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:21:45 PM | message detail
At least Ryu has cut a full percent against L-Block.

Percent cut does not equal vote cut.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 125/176 Today's Match: Crono > Ryu
red sox 777 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:21:45 PM | message detail
Bah, why does Crono have to go let L-Block cut him just as I was about to go to sleep? Now I have to wait for a good update.
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Character Battle VII --- Score: 126/180 --- T-767 (128 way)
Bracket: Crono > Ryu --- Vote: Crono
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/25/2008 10:23:34 PM | message detail

MoogleKupo141 (#036)
Cuz last round, Arthas wasn't yet in WoW, and it was just hype of Wotlk. But the day before Hoggers match, the Wotlk patch hit and Arthas is now in the game and on the title screen, and he started his invasion of Azeroth a couple days ago.

I've been playing a lot since the patch and I've yet to see Arthas anywhere... I don't even see him on the title screen....



I coulda sworn he was on the title screen, though I haven't played in nearly 2 weeks cuz I quit over the nerfing of warlocks. But I remember hearing about the zombie invasion being prompted by Arthas.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
charmander6000 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:27:03 PM | message detail
In about 20 min. is when L-Block had its biggest lead on Ryu.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 125/176 Today's Match: Crono > Ryu
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/25/2008 10:27:36 PM | message detail
Ryu needs to get his ass in gear
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/25/2008 10:27:37 PM | message detail
The Block...is failing? :/

Yes, in my opinion, this is a disappointment. I suppose it was only time before this occured.
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The Straight Up G
The WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/25/2008 10:28:06 PM | message detail
At least he's jobbing to someone who really needed a big win though. Yay for Crono.
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The Straight Up G
The WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:28:21 PM | message detail
I coulda sworn he was on the title screen, though I haven't played in nearly 2 weeks cuz I quit over the nerfing of warlocks. But I remember hearing about the zombie invasion being prompted by Arthas.

There's one of those frost dragon things on the title screen... no Arthas.

And there's a Scourge invasion happening, but Arthas is nowhere to be seen.
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve!
Lopen | Posted 10/25/2008 10:29:08 PM | message detail
After last round, no doubt in my mind this is a disappointment. Especially since Block probably finishes around 27ish, which I believe is its lowest percentage ever.

Ryu won't win, but this isn't the disaster I thought it'd be coming in.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 2 - Raiden/Big Boss/Kirby.
Target: 48%. Kain Stronger than Kirby & Big Boss!?!? Believe
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/25/2008 10:29:43 PM | message detail
Theres a scourge invasion, but they don't have Arthas as part of it at all? I assumed a Scourge invasion at the impending release would be all about Arthas.. wtf blizz
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
PegasusLover123 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:30:24 PM | message detail
Well it looks like Crono should maintain 1st and it seems L-block has at least 2nd place locked down.

As for the next match, whoever wins that ultimately will determine how much of a chance Crono has to finally kill off L-Block.

Looking at that match i'm suspecting it will be Arthas>Pikachu. The problem with this result is that Pikachu could weaken Crono enough for L-block to sneak through.

If it goes Arthas>Alucard, it could also be a problem but since i'm not a Castlevania player i wouldn't know if it will hurt Crono or not.

If somehow it goes Arthas>Falcon, then i think L-block will meet his end then as Falcon won't faze Crono as much as Pikachu would.

Which next match win do you guys think will give the best chance at eliminating L-Block?
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BC: 0774-7368-9787 name: EDS "Casual player" so dont count me in for no item matches.
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/25/2008 10:30:51 PM | message detail
Theres a scourge invasion, but they don't have Arthas as part of it at all? I assumed a Scourge invasion at the impending release would be all about Arthas.. wtf blizz

I think there may have been some mention of "The Lich King" in some quest dialogue, but Arthas isn't like hanging out in Kalimdor now or anything.
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve!
Master Moltar | Posted 10/25/2008 10:32:28 PM | message detail
l-block to lose momentum the farther it goes confirmed
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Moltar Status: augh
Crono/Ammy/L/Ryu - Bracket: Crono > Ryu - Vote: Ammy (125/176)
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