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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 608

Smurf FAQs | Posted 10/23/2008 7:00:22 AM | message detail
Probably because you don't know anything about the character battle

I'm the number one Guru at the moment, curt. In your place boy. ^_~

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Asuir | Posted 10/23/2008 7:00:25 AM | message detail
Erm....

What's the "Noble Nine strength"?

And go Mario ! Or X !!
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Ftw!
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2008 7:01:35 AM | message detail
I don't think I've ever been more apathetic towards a match, strangely. Couldn't give a toss about any of this lot.
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JUSTICE FOR FORECEFUL DRAGON
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 7:27:16 AM | message detail
I'm surprised about the lack of people talking about the lead change here >_>
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EternalxCourage | Posted 10/23/2008 7:28:58 AM | message detail
What does that say about the people who are in the guru contest.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 7:30:04 AM | message detail
Anyway, this is over for X. I'm shocked he gave up the lead so quick
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Smurf Alt | Posted 10/23/2008 7:35:06 AM | message detail
What does that say about the people who are in the guru contest.

That I'm better than them so far. And everyone else who submitted a bracket given that my score is higher than the entire leaderboard. ^_^
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 7:39:34 AM | message detail
Looking at the updates, this isn't so much as X folding as the day goes on as much as Mario finally doing what he should be doing. Mario is pulling 35-38% updates now while X stays at about 30%
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EternalxCourage | Posted 10/23/2008 7:48:11 AM | message detail
How is your bracket doing?
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Smurf Alt | Posted 10/23/2008 7:49:13 AM | message detail
That's because mudkip is dying tragically so X's fall off is being cushioned by his share of kip blood.
transience | Posted 10/23/2008 7:50:12 AM | message detail
Mario characters are always best in the morning. Mario won't be as dominant come 4pm.
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RamsesII | Posted 10/23/2008 7:53:34 AM | message detail
It's so unfair that the brackets were decided in a way to prevent pokemons advancing further by sff like this.. UNFAIR
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 7:54:06 AM | message detail

RamsesII (#062)
It's so unfair that the brackets were decided in a way to prevent pokemons advancing further by sff like this.. UNFAIR



...mudkipz shouldnt of even made it out of round 1 if it was up to me
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/23/2008 8:03:50 AM | message detail
Yes, go Zelda! Stomp that little tadpole thing!
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WarThaHedgehog | Posted 10/23/2008 8:05:12 AM | message detail
Heh, Kipz is coming back on Zelda. Soon he'll be closer to Zelda than X is to Mario.


...DAMNIT ZELDA LEECH MORE!
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It has War, ExTha, and Crasty insulting each other as hedgehogs while being vaguely about your boobs. What did you expect. - Shadow The ExTha
Master Moltar | Posted 10/23/2008 8:07:34 AM | message detail
yeahhhhhh mario

I wasn't surprised to see Mario in the lead when I woke up, but I was surprised to see how fast that comeback was. Good ol' predictable MM dying once the sun starts to rise.

Even Zelda is beating the Kip. Really great stuff for her today. I have to learn to stop underestimating her.

so guys let's start up that mario doom and gloom talk again
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Moltar Status: augh
Mario/Zelda/MMX/Mudkip - Bracket: Mario > MMX - Vote: Zelda (105/152)
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 10/23/2008 8:08:07 AM | message detail
RamsesII (#062)
It's so unfair that the brackets were decided in a way to prevent pokemons advancing further by sff like this..
UNFAIR


What do you mean?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 8:08:45 AM | message detail
I wasn't surprised to see Mario in the lead when I woke up, but I was surprised to see how fast that comeback was. Good ol' predictable MM dying once the sun starts to rise.

Actually, MM stayed steady. It was Mario who went from 28% updates to 35-38%.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/23/2008 8:10:38 AM | message detail
Zelda really lucked out with her bracket placement this year. For all we know, she would have really disappointed us if placed elsewhere (say, against Squall), but she was blessed with non-Link Nintendo characters, against whom it now seems she'll always look good.
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AmazingKirby | Posted 10/23/2008 8:11:44 AM | message detail
Why is Mudkipz suddenly getting twice as many votes per update out of nowhere?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 8:12:13 AM | message detail

AmazingKirby (#070)
Why is Mudkipz suddenly getting twice as many votes per update out of nowhere?



4chan woke up, duh
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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/23/2008 8:17:39 AM | message detail
Damnit, I was digging the sound of a MMX > Mario upset
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 8:19:31 AM | message detail

Masato_Tanaka (#072)
Damnit, I was digging the sound of a MMX > Mario upset



Yeah me too, I was only one in the top 100 Gurus to have that upset. Woulda made up some nice ground but now I'm about buried. At least I can now cheer on my favorite characters instead of bracket.
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Larbeight | Posted 10/23/2008 8:19:53 AM | message detail
Mario > Mudkip = confirmed
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Larbeight | Posted 10/23/2008 8:22:17 AM | message detail
A mudkip rally is getting bumped around on /b/ atm. might explain this.
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BDawg | Posted 10/23/2008 8:29:20 AM | message detail
Mudkip isn't doing much of anything except for that totally legit "spike" he had right before 11.

I would say perhaps Celda doesn't hurt as bad as WW Link. Link's problem being adult Link is rather badass and toon Link decidedly less so. In Zelda's case who cares if the damsel in distress looks cutesy. Or maybe people have finally gotten over it like they SHOULD have.
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Should I start running now?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 8:30:13 AM | message detail

BDawg (#076)
Mudkip isn't doing much of anything except for that totally legit "spike" he had right before 11.

I would say perhaps Celda doesn't hurt as bad as WW Link. Link's problem being adult Link is rather badass and toon Link decidedly less so. In Zelda's case who cares if the damsel in distress looks cutesy. Or maybe people have finally gotten over it like they SHOULD have.



zelda loses the vote of her being hot though
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 8:33:27 AM | message detail
3 straight cuts in a row for X

LETS DO THIS
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/23/2008 8:57:49 AM | message detail
Mega Man X VS Ganondorf, who ya got?
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 9:00:02 AM | message detail

HaRRicH (#079)
Mega Man X VS Ganondorf, who ya got?



X easily
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2008 9:02:15 AM | message detail
After seeing this match, definitely X.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 110/156 --- T-420 (108 way)
Bracket: Mario > Megaman X --- Vote: Megaman X
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 9:04:52 AM | message detail
Even tho X will likely lose this, he's proven to be Mega Man strength. And Mega Man does not lose to Ganon
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/23/2008 9:05:04 AM | message detail
I'd take X over any Nintendo character outside the big three. I'd also take him over OG Mega Man and Sonic. I would have definitely taken him over Crono this year, but I'll have to wait to see how CTDS is received.
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/23/2008 9:09:45 AM | message detail
Interesting. With Ganon > Zelda being likely Zelda's fanbase being tugged in two very different ways, I figured X would be more contested by Ganon than that...and since Ganon isn't so far from Vincent who is arguably a Noble Nine breaker and Mega Man was arguably the weakest of the NN when we last saw one-on-one matches in 2k6, seeing MMX and MM compare to one another almost always leads to some kind of controversy...so it was worth a shot.

It's all good though. I can't argue that MMX looks great today, regardless of the circumstances.
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 9:10:35 AM | message detail
I think X's showing here cements him beating Mario in round 4 though.
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/23/2008 9:16:16 AM | message detail
Before cementing X > Mario in R4, it's worth noting that Link has SFF'd Mega Man in 2004 and LoZ has SFF'd MMX in the Series Contest; Zelda couldn't SFF Mega Man in 2003 and she doesn't embody the series like Link generally does. We've also seen that -- while MMX can stand up to Mario -- Mario also stands up to Link. There will also only be two Nintendo characters in the poll instead of three, so waiting until the next round may be wise before cementing anything; MMX has to be able to do what his NES/all-embodying counterpart and his series were unable to do: hold up to the full force of Link/LoZ.
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
HaRRicH | Posted 10/23/2008 9:18:15 AM | message detail
Oh, not to mention ZackFAQs stands out like a sore thumb in R4 as well if It's Link/Mario/MMX that he faces.
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2008 9:30:32 AM | message detail
Whoa, X and Zelda doing really well. Mario and Mudkip doing not so well. Uhhh...X > Liquid next round, anyone?

But let's not jump on the X for Noble Nine bandwagon yet. This is like when people were calling for Zack > Aeris 'cause he got the equivalent of 30% or so on Link. You can't trust SFF matches. They're not reliable. Not trying to take anything away from what X is doing (I voted for the guy and all), but still, don't jump to conclusions quite yet.

Man, I wish I hadn't changed from Squall > Sora to Squall > Yoshi. Darn you board 8
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Round 2: Sora, Fox McCloud, Yoshi
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 9:31:19 AM | message detail
But let's not jump on the X for Noble Nine bandwagon yet.

Hes already IN the noble nine. He's Mega Man.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2008 9:35:09 AM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | Luigi | Liquid | Bowser | Phoenix
EBV | 27.69% | 27.01% | 22.27% | 23.02% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 26.56% | 30.22% | 21.79% | 21.43% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 25.80% | 31.12% | 21.11% | 21.97% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 28.28% | 29.50% | 23.05% | 19.17% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 27.51% | 31.69% | 22.79% | 18.02% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 29.40% | 29.81% | 23.46% | 17.34% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 27.33% | 31.79% | 22.84% | 18.04% | (22:00-24:00)

Great all-around performance by Liquid here. Didn't really drop off too much during any one time period, though he obviously did better during night character time periods. Due to the shortened Power Hour, Nintendo characters didn't even drop off that much into the night vote. Phoenix Wright is still a night character through and through.

Yesterday's stats:

Liquid Snake – 50.00%
Luigi – 47.69%
Bowser – 42.59%
Phoenix Wright – 38.12%

Division 2 Top Half

Bowser – 50.00%
Luigi – 49.96%
Liquid Snake – 45.43%
Phoenix Wright – 34.64%
Roxas – 32.48%
Geno – 26.81%
Deckard Cain – 24.27%
Sho Minamimoto – 16.95%

Bowser gets a slight edge over Luigi through comparison of Liquid and Phoenix, who beat out Roxas here. Kinda surprising, I guess. Other than that, nothing out of the ordinary here, other than Liquid being way up there.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: Sora, Fox McCloud, Yoshi
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2008 9:35:52 AM | message detail
Hes already IN the noble nine. He's Mega Man.

I voted for Mega Man X, not Mega Man. If it was Mega Man, I wouldn't have voted for him either round.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: Sora, Fox McCloud, Yoshi
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 9:38:41 AM | message detail

LeonhartFour (#091)
Hes already IN the noble nine. He's Mega Man.

I voted for Mega Man X, not Mega Man. If it was Mega Man, I wouldn't have voted for him either round.



Even though he'll likely lose here, he's already proven his strength as Mega Man, since this is exactly what I'd expect the real Mega Man to do.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2008 9:41:08 AM | message detail
That may be what you'd expect the Blue Bomber to do, but it's still speculation. Nothing's been thoroughly proven yet. If Liquid can do something similar to this next round, you'd have to blame the LFF and Mario sucking more than X being a powerhouse.

Again, not to say I'm not rooting for it to be so. I'm just not rushing to conclusions.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 2: Sora, Fox McCloud, Yoshi
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 9:41:58 AM | message detail
I don't see how you can't think a guy named "Mega Man X" who looks nearly identical would be any weaker.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 9:42:23 AM | message detail
Which is teh whole reason CJayC never allowed him in the first place, he felt it would be unfair having 2 equal strength Mega Mans in the contest.
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Larbeight | Posted 10/23/2008 9:46:54 AM | message detail
And just one of the reasons why Cjay was a much better host.
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RPGGamer0 | Posted 10/23/2008 10:02:43 AM | message detail
Yeah, CJayC >>> SBallin' easily in terms of contest hosting.

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The Mana Sword | Posted 10/23/2008 10:04:12 AM | message detail
Good to see Mario finally took the lead back. He's pretty much screwed next round though, I think.
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DpObliVion | Posted 10/23/2008 10:05:04 AM | message detail
So Mario's got the lead, and the after-school vote hasn't even kicked in, in which MMX should lose out greatly to Mario (and Mudkip). Hopefully Mario should be able to put him away, which shouldn't be too hard if MMX couldn't get the lead up to 4 digits in the morning.

Will the after-school vote push Mudkip to a third place finish over Zelda?

Looking at Mario > MMX > Mudkip > Zelda, I guess, although Zelda's lead is still steadily growing. I'd love to see Zelda hold on to third for credibility's sake.

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/23/2008 10:06:36 AM | message detail
I don't think ASV would give Mudkipz the 1k votes he needs to topple Zelda... Zelda will get good ASV as well.
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