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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 603

Fayt_Esteed | Posted 10/19/2008 12:23:56 AM | message detail
transience (#243)
last match of round 1 is always freaking weird.


Yeah. First, the MC/Sub-Zero debacle, then Sub-Zero overperforming on Sonic, now this...
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Gaddswell | Posted 10/19/2008 12:26:23 AM | message detail
Well, they seemed fine before 2k5.

Then Kuja / Hand happened. Then Ocelot / Pac. Then MC / Subz. Then Sonic / Subz. Finally, Jill / Ocelot.

Kuja's coming back next year
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transience | Posted 10/19/2008 12:29:33 AM | message detail
the more night-ish this vote gets, the better Jill does. she's going to be up by a good amount come morning.

on the other hand, this means Ocelot will do comparatively better in the daytime. I think it'll be more like a stall and slight gains than a big comeback though.
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xyzzy
la la la you're dead la la la la we killed you la la la
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/19/2008 12:33:50 AM | message detail
Man, it's so hard to imagine the almost photo-realistic old man beating the cute animated chick with the day vote, but we've seen weirder. Either way, this is just a joy to watch for RE fans.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/19/2008 12:35:17 AM | message detail
What the hell. Why couldn't you have won last year Jill. What's your problem
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/19/2008 12:39:00 AM | message detail
What the hell. Why couldn't you have won last year Jill. What's your problem

Cloud.

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 92/124 Today's Pick: Kratos (God or War) > Revolver Ocelot
ffmasterjose | Posted 10/19/2008 12:39:01 AM | message detail
Last match of Round 1 = ALWAYS AN UPSET

Pac-Man/Ocelot and Sub-Zero/Master Chief were the last R1 matches in their respective contests....uh..right?


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97/124 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII
NP: Kratos > Revolver Ocelot | http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=0
ffmasterjose | Posted 10/19/2008 12:40:46 AM | message detail
*looks a few posts up*

Looks like I was a little late to the party on that one.

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97/124 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII
NP: Kratos > Revolver Ocelot | http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=0
voltch | Posted 10/19/2008 12:41:14 AM | message detail
i claim pic factor working against ocelot,somehow.
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transience | Posted 10/19/2008 12:41:59 AM | message detail
voltch'd
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xyzzy
la la la you're dead la la la la we killed you la la la
Calintares | Posted 10/19/2008 12:44:41 AM | message detail
I was wondering; what is the strongest field ever in a contest?

would it make sense to take the average X-stat for all the characters involved in order to find out?
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transience | Posted 10/19/2008 12:45:34 AM | message detail
uhh, probably 2k5 or 2k3. not 2k2 or 2k6-8.
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xyzzy
la la la you're dead la la la la we killed you la la la
Gaddswell | Posted 10/19/2008 12:47:50 AM | message detail
Jill sure picked up the pace in the last 30 minutes.
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Gaddswell | Posted 10/19/2008 12:52:15 AM | message detail
And Jill and Ocelot both cut Kratos!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
Calintares | Posted 10/19/2008 12:56:06 AM | message detail
I just did the average X-stats for 2002 and the villain contest (still not sure if this is the best way to do it)

for 2002 the average X-stat was 20,76 for the villain contest it was 19,56
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Ours is not to reason why, ours is but to do and die.
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/19/2008 12:57:32 AM | message detail
man jill is nuts
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/19/2008 1:06:27 AM | message detail
Oh cmon, I get modded for THAT?
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/19/2008 1:11:29 AM | message detail
Man Jill sure always scews me over.

In 2006: Come on Jill has to beat Peach, I mean who votes for Peach, and Jill's lead is good.

In 2007: Jill will easily beat Ocelot. Peach is stronger than Pac-Man.

in 2008: We saw Ocelot > Jill last year and now Ocelot got MGS4 while Jill got nothing, of course he wins.

Oh well a Resident Evil character winning over a MGS character is always good in my book.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
Smurf FAQs | Posted 10/19/2008 1:24:27 AM | message detail
Despite the criticism of her pic here I'll say that it certainly does stand out compared to the others and it looks quite cute. In contrast to last year which was just a damn bad pic for her.

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Smurf , The cream of Knuckles Fanboyism.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/19/2008 1:27:01 AM | message detail
Her pic is also rather recognizable.

What with it being MvC2 and all.
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greatone10 | Posted 10/19/2008 2:35:27 AM | message detail

Zylo the wolf (#268)
Man Jill sure always scews me over.

In 2006: Come on Jill has to beat Peach, I mean who votes for Peach, and Jill's lead is good.

In 2007: Jill will easily beat Ocelot. Peach is stronger than Pac-Man.

in 2008: We saw Ocelot > Jill last year and now Ocelot got MGS4 while Jill got nothing, of course he wins.

Oh well a Resident Evil character winning over a MGS character is always good in my book.



I have participated in every character battle and I have yet to predict Jill Valentine's path correctly. This year is looking like no exception so far.
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Gaddswell | Posted 10/19/2008 3:28:03 AM | message detail
It was during this time period that Liquid overtook Alucard in their match last year, right?
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
Lopen | Posted 10/19/2008 3:40:05 AM | message detail
Call me crazy, but I think Ocelot will be taking the day vote by enough to win this.

Pretty sad performance either way though.
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Guess how many teens | Posted 10/19/2008 3:41:36 AM | message detail
Jill gained nothing in the last hour. Ocelot should start coming back soon :).
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Smurf FAQs | Posted 10/19/2008 3:57:20 AM | message detail
What are people basing an Ocelot comeback on? Jill had a stronger day vote than him last year.
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Smurf , The cream of Knuckles Fanboyism.
transience | Posted 10/19/2008 4:04:49 AM | message detail
Ocelot looks pretty good here. an hour-long stall right before the morning vote.
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xyzzy
la la la you're dead la la la la we killed you la la la
Gaddswell | Posted 10/19/2008 4:05:33 AM | message detail
Up and down updates again!

Jill's lead for the past 25 minutes:
497
487
494
487
496
480
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Smurf FAQs | Posted 10/19/2008 4:07:15 AM | message detail
To be fair Ocelot was doing well last year at this point too, then when the morning vote arised he dropped a full 1% in the next 2 hours. >_>

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Smurf , The cream of Knuckles Fanboyism.
greatone10 | Posted 10/19/2008 4:24:59 AM | message detail
While it surprising that Jill is doing better than Ocelot in this match, it shouldn't be that shocking. While MGS seems to have been on fire this contest, Resident Evil has also been on quite a roll. Perhaps the new trailer with the gravestone is giving her some extra support.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2008 4:27:55 AM | message detail
Ocelot just keeps on stalling.
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/19/2008 4:47:15 AM | message detail

I have participated in every character battle and I have yet to predict Jill Valentine's path correctly. This year is looking like no exception so far.


Yeah she has always been in debatable matches. Jill VS Kirby was tough as hell to guess back in 2002, I thought she would win over Squall in 2003.

In fact the only time I predicted her path correctly was in 2004 when she lost to Hayabusa with 27 votes, and then I had Hayabusa over Sora as well :)

Seriously Jill should be in every contest, since she always seems to give us great matches.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
transience | Posted 10/19/2008 5:04:19 AM | message detail
this reminds me of Alucard/Liquid last year.
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xyzzy
la la la you're dead la la la la we killed you la la la
charmander6000 | Posted 10/19/2008 5:30:31 AM | message detail
I have participated in every character battle and I have yet to predict Jill Valentine's path correctly. This year is looking like no exception so far.

Kirby > Jill
Jill > Squall (if you saw Squall in 2002 you'd understand)
Jill > Hayabusa
Peach > Jill
Jill > Ocelot
Ocelot > Jill

Only one I got was Peach > Jill. Oh and I also had Jill > Sora in round 2 of 2004.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 95/124 Today's Match: Kratos > Ocelot
transience | Posted 10/19/2008 5:43:40 AM | message detail
I had Hayabusa and Peach. no idea what I had in 2003 but it was probably Squall out of ignorance.

Jill just woke up. think this is over.
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xyzzy
la la la you're dead la la la la we killed you la la la
charmander6000 | Posted 10/19/2008 5:44:30 AM | message detail
Jill with the day vote? What is this madness?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 95/124 Today's Match: Kratos > Ocelot
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/19/2008 5:50:14 AM | message detail
Wow, this is the first I've seen this result and this is hilarious. Really makes Chief look like ****.
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greatone10 | Posted 10/19/2008 5:51:12 AM | message detail
It's not like Ocelot is exactly a day vote god either.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/19/2008 5:51:12 AM | message detail
Alright, I just got back from CNN's Spin Zone. Their analysis of the situation makes perfect sense.

MGS4 is a PS3 exclusive. PS3 is Sony, which Kratos just so happens to be the face of. If you're buying a PS3, odds are you're a fan of Kratos. So really, the Metal Gear Solid 4 boost *did* happen. Ocelot is just being SFFed, and Snake is going to beat Link in the finals.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/19/2008 7:13:34 AM | message detail
This is the 4th time I've gotten a Jill match wrong, 2 of them by 27 votes: I took her against Hayabusa in 2004, Peach in 2006, and Ocelot last year. Now I take Ocelot, and Jill manages to win! That 27-vote loss to Hayabusa in 2004 cost me at least a Guru victory!
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 88/112 --- T-300 (103 way)
Bracket: Sonic > Magus --- Vote: Magus
charmander6000 | Posted 10/19/2008 7:19:24 AM | message detail
Looks like Kratos has finally woke up.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 95/124 Today's Match: Kratos > Ocelot
voltch | Posted 10/19/2008 7:23:05 AM | message detail
Both Ocelot and Jill keep screwing me over,first i predict their matches wrong,there was ocelot pac-man too and i keep over/underestimating both at the wrong times,sometimes the power i had them at get's reflected in a match 2-3 years later.
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Del Boy:He who dares, wins!
charmander6000 | Posted 10/19/2008 7:29:16 AM | message detail
Both Ocelot and Jill keep screwing me over,first i predict their matches wrong,there was ocelot pac-man too and i keep over/underestimating both at the wrong times,sometimes the power i had them at get's reflected in a match 2-3 years later.

Your prediction skills are too strong.

The only time I got Ocelot right was in the villains contest.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 95/124 Today's Match: Kratos > Ocelot
Tenguman1 | Posted 10/19/2008 7:37:32 AM | message detail
bah kratos has this round hands down
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now I am playing hitman 2 silent assasin. Syringe anyone?? >.>
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/19/2008 7:44:37 AM | message detail
Yeah, I don't think Ocelot is doing anything with this day vote.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Master Moltar | Posted 10/19/2008 8:24:23 AM | message detail
Jill, the character I had never got burned on before, finally burns me.

Ocelot what happened where's the ALMIGHTY MGS4 BOOST TO THE HEAVENS and Jill why are you even doing well and

i can't bear this
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Moltar Status: augh
Heavy/Jill/Kratos/Ocelot - Bracket: Kratos > Ocelot - Vote: Ocelot (97/124)
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/19/2008 8:26:49 AM | message detail
Yeah, Jill has this.

And as much as I love Ocelot, I can't help but like this result. Jill supporters have had vindication coming for a loooong time.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/19/2008 8:56:11 AM | message detail
Go jilly!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/19/2008 9:09:58 AM | message detail
My God, Kratos just put up a near 44% update. Going at this pace, he may still hit 38%...
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/19/2008 9:24:14 AM | message detail
This isn't actually that bad for Ocelot - he's doing much better on Kratos right now than he would have been expected to do on his pre-GOW2 incarnation. But I can't figure out how she-who-was-upended-by-jokefodder is doing even better.
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wavedash101 | Posted 10/19/2008 9:28:30 AM | message detail
TOMBSTONE BOOST!
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