GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 603
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2008 9:28:14 PM | message detail |
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You're pretty good, Jill. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| vash_131 | Posted 10/18/2008 9:28:47 PM | message detail |
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Thinking there would be a "MGS4 boost" was a logical follicle. The
only people who played MGS4 were people who would already be voting for
these jokers come contest time. this actually makes sense lol --- Character Battle V (2006): 37th place |
| transience | Posted 10/18/2008 9:28:49 PM | message detail |
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you're pretty bad, Ocelot. --- xyzzy la la la you're dead la la la la we killed you la la la |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/18/2008 9:28:53 PM | message detail |
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"Ocelot will have this in the bag come the day vote. This is nothing to get excited over." You do realize that last year, Ocelot and Jill were about even during day vote, right? Whoever wins at night has it --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2008 9:29:25 PM | message detail |
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Thinking there would be a "MGS4 boost" was a logical follicle. The
only people who played MGS4 were people who would already be voting for
these jokers come contest time. This actually makes no sense. Based on this logic, no one should ever boost based on a new game. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/18/2008 9:29:53 PM | message detail |
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save_us.MDV (mgs4 day vote believe) --- Moltar Status: augh Heavy/Jill/Kratos/Ocelot - Bracket: Kratos > Ocelot - Vote: Ocelot (97/124) |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/18/2008 9:30:01 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, chalk this up to TJF! >_> Seriously though, where did all the females go this year? And yeah, Riku looks like he's got a chance again to able to take 1st next round if the Dante / Leon split is big enough and Dante takes away that Leon boost. --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/18/2008 9:30:07 PM | message detail |
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REFAQs --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/18/2008 9:30:18 PM | message detail |
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LeonhartFour (#005) It does kinda make sense. Most people who have MGS4 bought a PS3 for it, so they were more hardcore MGS fans to begin with. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2008 9:30:34 PM | message detail |
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Come on, Ocelot! Keep shooting! --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| ZFS | Posted 10/18/2008 9:30:35 PM | message detail |
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time to take the lead next update let's do this Ocelot --- six bullets. more than enough to kill anything that moves. |
| Majin Lou | Posted 10/18/2008 9:30:37 PM | message detail |
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You have to cut more than that, Ocelot! --- But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you. Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/18/2008 9:30:47 PM | message detail |
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This is going to be a long night. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 95/124 Today's Match: Kratos > Ocelot |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/18/2008 9:31:25 PM | message detail |
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I bought the PS3 with MGS4 because I thought it was going to be the
last time 80gb's were going to be avaliable. 4 was more of an added
bonus(or turd after it) --- Warning, there is a bear right behind you. Ride Him. |
| vcharon | Posted 10/18/2008 9:31:25 PM | message detail |
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So there's no MGS4 boost? Sure. We all know Raiden was Mr. Popularity
and could easily do this well with just MGS2 to fall back on. --- :> |
| hochimnih157 | Posted 10/18/2008 9:31:30 PM | message detail |
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This actually makes no sense. Based on this logic, no one should ever boost based on a new game. Many people who played RE4 had never played a RE game before. Many people who played FFVII had never played a FF game before. Many people who played OoT had never played a Zelda game before. You cannot apply this to MGS4 and it's niche fanbase --- Pika Pika Pikachu. Pika me. Pika you. Pika is just so Kawaaiiii~ ^_^ Cloud > Link in the finals. CLOUD FUEL. Believe. |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/18/2008 9:31:40 PM | message detail |
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charmander6000 (#013) At least its a Saturday Night, no need to go to bed early for this :P --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/18/2008 9:31:45 PM | message detail |
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Ocelot's coming back! That sure makes Jill's 60 vote gain look strange! --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| CP724 | Posted 10/18/2008 9:32:04 PM | message detail |
| I think people are just rallying Ocelot to save their brackets in desperation. I bet Jill starts owning him after an hour. |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/18/2008 9:32:05 PM | message detail |
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Raiden clearly got a boost. I dont understand why Ocelot didnt though. --- Warning, there is a bear right behind you. Ride Him. |
| paraboxx | Posted 10/18/2008 9:32:32 PM | message detail |
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All this talk about the Logical Follicle quote, and nobody's pointed out that the word is fallacy? disappointed in you stats topic |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/18/2008 9:32:57 PM | message detail |
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Shoenin_Kakashi (#020) A friend told me he wasn't even called Ocelot in game, only Liquid. Maybe thats why? --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| vcharon | Posted 10/18/2008 9:33:45 PM | message detail |
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Liquid... Ocelot --- :> |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2008 9:34:28 PM | message detail |
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Yesterday's chart: Time | Nana | Ratchet | Sephiroth | Tifa EBV | 13.71% | 14.50% | 40.34% | 31.44% | (0:00-0:05) PHV | 12.71% | 13.63% | 42.70% | 30.96% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 10.15% | 12.32% | 45.80% | 31.74% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 10.23% | 14.18% | 47.60% | 28.00% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 10.37% | 15.27% | 47.54% | 26.81% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 9.94% | 13.89% | 48.81% | 27.36% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 9.45% | 12.89% | 49.34% | 28.32% | (22:00-24:00) It's amazing how two characters from the same game can have such different trends. Sephiroth does badly with the board vote and the first hour, but it was all up from there. Tifa was strong at night, but she dropped off pretty big during the day. Ratchet's still more of a day character, and Nana sucks even worse after the first hour. Yesterday's stats: Sephiroth – 50.00% Tifa Lockhart – 37.63% Ratchet – 22.78% Nana – 17.98% --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/18/2008 9:34:46 PM | message detail |
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| vash_131 | Posted 10/18/2008 9:35:11 PM | message detail |
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How can you be so sure Raiden boosted? He only got 3% higher than ... lol Kain --- Character Battle V (2006): 37th place |
| Majin Lou | Posted 10/18/2008 9:35:22 PM | message detail |
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dot dot dot --- But the scars of memory never fade away. I can't stop loving you. Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories. |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/18/2008 9:35:41 PM | message detail |
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nice jill. do that a couple more times and this is over --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/18/2008 9:35:42 PM | message detail |
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wrong way ocelot --- Moltar Status: augh Heavy/Jill/Kratos/Ocelot - Bracket: Kratos > Ocelot - Vote: Ocelot (97/124) |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2008 9:35:48 PM | message detail |
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*blinks* What --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/18/2008 9:35:56 PM | message detail |
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And there goes the match. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/18/2008 9:35:58 PM | message detail |
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Nice Jill now why couldn't you have done this last year? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 95/124 Today's Match: Kratos > Ocelot |
| FFDragon | Posted 10/18/2008 9:36:01 PM | message detail |
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Jill spike n_n --- If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE] http://img.imgcake.com//wesker.gif |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/18/2008 9:36:01 PM | message detail |
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WHAT IS UP WITH THESE RANDOM 60 VOTE JILL GAINS --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/18/2008 9:36:05 PM | message detail |
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Jill Samus The Boss The holy trinity. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| vcharon | Posted 10/18/2008 9:36:14 PM | message detail |
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Every good Jill update is very, very fishy. --- :> |
| hochimnih157 | Posted 10/18/2008 9:36:18 PM | message detail |
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Raiden did not boost. That will all Master Flop. Kain is not anything
strong, sorry. The only MG character who looked was Liquid and that was
because Brawl made Luigi weaker by 5%. --- Pika Pika Pikachu. Pika me. Pika you. Pika is just so Kawaaiiii~ ^_^ Cloud > Link in the finals. CLOUD FUEL. Believe. |
| ZFS | Posted 10/18/2008 9:36:23 PM | message detail |
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badtastefaqs --- six bullets. more than enough to kill anything that moves. |
| paraboxx | Posted 10/18/2008 9:36:31 PM | message detail |
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Maybe fewer people have actually finished MGS4 than we thought? Raiden's cool before the ending, right? |
| transience | Posted 10/18/2008 9:36:33 PM | message detail |
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woo defying logical explanation --- xyzzy la la la you're dead la la la la we killed you la la la |
| The_Ocelot2 | Posted 10/18/2008 9:36:47 PM | message detail |
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Ocelot you failed me, unbelievable --- Go Ducks Go! http://img.imgcake.com/fallout_3.jpg |
| Keno316 | Posted 10/18/2008 9:36:49 PM | message detail |
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Go Jill, Go! I don't even care about you as a character. I just love upsets! --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims Kiddy Grade's Eclair & C.C.* |
| vcharon | Posted 10/18/2008 9:37:14 PM | message detail |
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Raiden did not boost. That will all Master Flop. Kain is not
anything strong, sorry. The only MG character who looked was Liquid and
that was because Brawl made Luigi weaker by 5%. What an epic load of garbage, I don't even know where to begin with this. --- :> |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/18/2008 9:37:21 PM | message detail |
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vcharon (#036) Look at the updates... its just Ocelot falling off the planet. He got 21% that last update, and jill got 28% --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/rydia.gif http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/18/2008 9:37:39 PM | message detail |
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EBV | 13.71% | 14.50% | 40.34% | 31.44% | (0:00-0:05) That's something new I have never seen in past trend charts. What does "EBV" stand for? --- Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/18/2008 9:37:45 PM | message detail |
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So who wants to discuss Zack and Zidane! What? Who cares about this match? Tomorrow is a clash of the titans! --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 10/18/2008 9:37:53 PM | message detail |
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Ocelot lost to Pac-Man, that was enough for me to take Jill over him. --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2008 9:38:01 PM | message detail |
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Ocelot was obviously caught reloading there. He'll rebound! and if you werent tone deaf or plain out deaf, you could kind of tell it was Ocelot all along anyways, since he....sounded like Ocelot instead of Liquid. Honestly, I think the Liquid voice in MGS2 was more for the benefit of the gamer so he knows which one is supposedly speaking. If you notice in MGS2 when Liquid "takes over" the first time, Snake doesn't realize what's going on at first, even though you can clearly hear that voice. That's not really solid logic. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| FFDragon | Posted 10/18/2008 9:38:02 PM | message detail |
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Early Board Vote --- If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE] http://img.imgcake.com//wesker.gif |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/18/2008 9:38:13 PM | message detail |
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I want to make a Heavy reference to make fun of HM..... So I will CRY SOME MOAR --- Warning, there is a bear right behind you. Ride Him. |
