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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 598

HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 7:51:25 PM | message detail
I'd imagine that Magus needs to have a lead as early as possible to build up a big night lead, because I'd imagine that Sandbag would have similiar trends to other Nintendo characters, so should have good day vote
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/15/2008 7:53:56 PM | message detail
Dante will easily take first and if no huge rallying takes place so will Ramza, though if there is rallying I can see Ramza holding his own with his newly released PSP remake. If the match was today the results could have been much different.

charmander6000’s Prediction: Dante – 47.35%, Ramza – 23.64%, Hogger – 16.63%, Laharl – 12.38%


I think I had too much faith in the PSP remake. >_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 83/108 Today's Match: Dante > Ramza
The Real Truth | Posted 10/15/2008 7:54:27 PM | message detail
Had this been a 3 way poll without Dante, Ramza would've won.

Lets do this Sandbag.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/15/2008 7:55:00 PM | message detail
Magus would normally rock the early vote and get a sizeable lead...but is he really gonna win the early vote against Sandbag? Not only is it power hour time, but Sandbag's board vote should be rocking.

L-Block held his lead over Ryu for over 5 hours, during a time period where Ryu is a beast. Sandbag should also look to possibly do something similar here. Sandbag should have a decent ASV, possibly even better than Magus due to being Nintendo.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/15/2008 7:56:33 PM | message detail
I assumed the WoW fanbase wouldn't care about a stupid monster. I was wrong.

Just goes to show how rabid they can be. Makes me wonder how Thrall lost to Vergil last year.
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 7:57:24 PM | message detail

BlAcK TuRtLe (#255)
I assumed the WoW fanbase wouldn't care about a stupid monster. I was wrong.

Just goes to show how rabid they can be. Makes me wonder how Thrall lost to Vergil last year.



Easy. For one, I didn't bother rallying Thrall, cuz what WoW player cares about Thrall? All he does is stand around in orgimmar 24/7 and does jack ****. So I'd assume most other WoW players didn't really care about him either
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Albion Hero
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/15/2008 7:57:53 PM | message detail
Don't look now, but Ramza has cut 5 updates in a row, 26 votes in the most recent one.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 70/88 --- T-258 (129 way)
Bracket: Cloud > Midna --- Vote: Cloud
hailEC | Posted 10/15/2008 7:58:26 PM | message detail
You're saying Thrall does nothing... yet you rally for Hogger.

what is this i dont even

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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/15/2008 7:59:18 PM | message detail
This is another case of too little too late. If Hogger wasn't stalling Ramza the past two hours we'd have a match on our hands. As it is, Ramza's gonna fall just short.
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CB7 Score: 86/108
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg || http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 7:59:20 PM | message detail

hailEC (#258)
You're saying Thrall does nothing... yet you rally for Hogger.

what is this i dont even



Hogger is a WoW fad. Me and many other Wow players couldnt give a damn about thrall
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Albion Hero
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hailEC | Posted 10/15/2008 8:00:13 PM | message detail
Ramza's not coming back.. he needs 35 votes an update to come back, and even if by some miracle he got on pace for that, Hogger rallying would smash him in his tracks.

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all hail ec your lord and savior
charmander6000 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:00:22 PM | message detail
Possibly better? Crash was cutting Magus despite being over 10% behind the guy and he doesn't have that strong of an ASV.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 83/108 Today's Match: Dante > Ramza
shadow8021 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:01:17 PM | message detail
423...this might not be over yet...
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:02:23 PM | message detail
Let's go Frog...er...Ramza power hour!
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 70/88 --- T-258 (129 way)
Bracket: Cloud > Midna --- Vote: Cloud
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 8:02:26 PM | message detail
Hogger you can't do anything without rallies can you

-goes back to rallying-
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Albion Hero
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/15/2008 8:02:57 PM | message detail
WoW players not liking Thrall? I suppose that's proof positive that they lack any semblance of taste.
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I want adventure in the great wide somewhere... I want it more than I can tell! - Belle
http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/3949/beautyandthebeast21024uh9.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 8:04:19 PM | message detail

BlAcK TuRtLe (#266)
WoW players not liking Thrall? I suppose that's proof positive that they lack any semblance of taste.



All he does is ask players to go kill some level 12 mob when thrall is level 73. Do it yourself thrall, stop being lazy
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Albion Hero
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/15/2008 8:05:56 PM | message detail
So I guess absolutely no WoW players played any of the actual Warcraft games, or don't know anything about Warcraft lore.
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I want adventure in the great wide somewhere... I want it more than I can tell! - Belle
http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/3949/beautyandthebeast21024uh9.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:07:36 PM | message detail
damnit Ramza will you stop this nonsense it's over
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CB7 Score: 86/108
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg || http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
wavedash101 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:07:37 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 8:08:21 PM | message detail
...No Hogger, 9% updates won't cut it.
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Albion Hero
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:08:47 PM | message detail
And the lead is below 400!

Average votes per update needed: 36.09
Last 3 updates: 26, 24, 26

Yeah Ramza isn't coming back.....
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 70/88 --- T-258 (129 way)
Bracket: Cloud > Midna --- Vote: Cloud
wavedash101 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:09:55 PM | message detail
Need to get some ****ing Anub'arack in this **** instead of Hogger
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hailEC | Posted 10/15/2008 8:10:23 PM | message detail
Thanks we knew 10 hours ago.

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all hail ec your lord and savior
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 8:11:02 PM | message detail
This Ramza rallying is impressive. 21% updates out of no where.
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TheArkOfTurus | Posted 10/15/2008 8:11:08 PM | message detail
If Ramza had started this an hour ago, this would have been a very interesting finish. Shame.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:12:08 PM | message detail
Match XXIX: Commander Shepard vs. Magus vs. Sandbag vs. Sonic the Hedgehog

Information:

Name: Commander Shepard
Game/Series From: Mass Effect
2007 Results: Did not enter

As much as I’m hyping this match I always seem to forget the fourth character in this poll. Apparently Shepard is a customizable character from Mass Effect so while fans may like the game they could have a totally different looking Shepard than the default.

Name: Magus
Game/Series From: Chrono Trigger
2007 Results: 1st in round 1, 3rd in round 2

Magus had a terrible performance last year only barely breaking 30% in a match where many thought he would win handily. So far this round both Frog and Crono have performed better than they did last year, will the same be true for Magus?

Name: Sandbag
Game/Series From: Super Smash Bros. series
2007 Results: Did not enter

While not a part of the 28 smash characters count Sandbag is truly one of the few things besides the glove that gets all of its strength from the smash series. While not a known joke character Sandbag has a lot of qualities that L-Block had when it first started with the exception of being in a tough group.

Name: Sonic the Hedgehog
Game/Series From: Sonic series
2007 Results: 1st in round 1, 1st in round 2, 1st in round 3, 3rd in round 4

Sonic was another character that was cut short by L-Block’s run and this year he could start off with the beginning of another joke character run. We haven’t even finished the first round and Sonic is the last Sonic character standing. There’s a lot of doubt on how well they can perform in this format and Sonic could be looking at an early exit.

Analysis:

With the beginning of the last division this is the last match of this round that I am looking forward to. Three characters have the possibility of placing, but only two will be walking out alive. It also helps that I am a fan of the three characters in question.

Whether an epic battle happens or not Commander Shepard’s role will to come in last. Mass Effect was taken well by the gaming population though with Shepard being a customizable character people tend to forget him and make the character based more on the player’s look and personality. I don’t see him being total fodder, but I don’t see him doing much else.

Sonic is the favourite to take first in this match. The Sonic characters haven’t looked too hot in this contest or the previous contest, but the only thing that I can see stopping Sonic is if Sandbag turns to be another L-Block without needing any momentum to jump start its run. I don’t see Magus doing anything even if Chrono Trigger characters are doing better his match against Phoenix/Bomberman/Crash was pathetic.

As I’ve said Magus will be behind Sonic though that won’t guarantee that he will get second. Magus still has Sandbag to compete with and if he doesn’t shape up this could be another year where he fails to meet our expectations.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:12:14 PM | message detail
Hogger goes from 30 to 48 that update, limiting Ramza's gains to 21.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 70/88 --- T-258 (129 way)
Bracket: Cloud > Midna --- Vote: Cloud
charmander6000 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:12:22 PM | message detail
What makes this match so interesting is Sandbag. Unlike WCC or Mudkip Sandbag never had an internet fad in which he could rely on though neither did L-Block. Also like L-Block Sandbag is probably next in line in the universally known joke characters in this contest. Had Sandbag been in L-Block’s place last year I wouldn’t have been surprised if he took the whole contest. Sandbag could end up being as strong as Master Hand if the joke doesn’t really take off and the only thing that I know about Sandbag’s range is that his bottom will probably be Master Hand.

Sandbag could have been so much more in this contest if he got a better placement though WCC was able to win his match and I wouldn’t expect Magus to be that much stronger than Tidus, but WCC had a huge joke rally something I don’t think Sandbag will have this round.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Sonic > Magus

charmander6000’s Prediction: Sonic – 33.45%, Magus – 26.32%, Sandbag – 24.22%, Shepard – 15.01%
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 83/108 Today's Match: Dante > Ramza
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 8:13:12 PM | message detail
Hmm 15% for Shepard, would love to see that
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:13:41 PM | message detail
Ramza won't win, but it'll be interesting on how close it will get.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 83/108 Today's Match: Dante > Ramza
__hiei__ | Posted 10/15/2008 8:14:26 PM | message detail
Sonic – 33.45%, Magus – 26.32%, Sandbag – 24.22%, Shepard – 15.01%

whoa...this would be a serious case of Sonic sucking.
transients | Posted 10/15/2008 8:16:34 PM | message detail
time for alts
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zfs: man i'm reading an argument about whether or not midna is fat
zfs: come on mgs4
charmander6000 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:17:57 PM | message detail
whoa...this would be a serious case of Sonic sucking.

Sonic characters haven't been impressing and Sonic only got 39% against Sub-Zero/Prince of Persia/Viewtiful Joe last year and since Brawl isn't doing anything...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 83/108 Today's Match: Dante > Ramza
transients | Posted 10/15/2008 8:21:12 PM | message detail
aww yeah I need some help
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zfs: man i'm reading an argument about whether or not midna is fat
zfs: come on mgs4
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 8:21:34 PM | message detail
My forum I rallied on hasn't had a post in the last 7 minutes (normally has at least 10 posts a minute). Bah stupid dead forum atm
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paraboxx | Posted 10/15/2008 8:22:48 PM | message detail
Wow, I've missed a real rollercoaster, haven't I?

When this whole rallying thing happened with Arthas, I said I respected it, even though it hurt my bracket. I just can't get behind that this time. Oh, don't get me wrong - seeing one guy have this kind of impact on the poll is downright inspirational. But that one guy's avalanche of posts in this topic make it seem less like real devotion to a cause and more like a petty vengeance ploy.

That's not inspirational. That's...that's just sad.

Still a damn good show, though.
Here's hoping tonight's match is half as good after the first five minutes.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/15/2008 8:23:23 PM | message detail
aww yeah I need some help

let's do this
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
__hiei__ | Posted 10/15/2008 8:23:46 PM | message detail
let's all rally for ramza somewhere

even if you get just like 2 votes it already helps at this point
Admiral Nobody88 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:25:11 PM | message detail
^And Where would we do that exactly. I haven't a clue.
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http://www.imeem.com/people/iJ5nnJ
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 8:25:57 PM | message detail
ok there we go, stall for hogger
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Albion Hero
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__hiei__ | Posted 10/15/2008 8:26:05 PM | message detail
uh...i don't know

search for FFTactics on google and start topics on every related forum that comes up.go to youtube FFT videos and post comments,etc
shadow8021 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:26:33 PM | message detail
Never mind. gg Ramza. Go Sonic!!!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/15/2008 8:26:52 PM | message detail
7 updates. 335 votes.

Let's do this.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 8:27:01 PM | message detail
How many votes does Ramza need an update right now to win?
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Xuxon | Posted 10/15/2008 8:27:43 PM | message detail
I still think this is a different Laharl than the one that lost to Vyse. Ramza though seems to be at the same level he was at in 2003.

Are you seeing the same percentage for Dante I am? The three of them are very clearly fodder, and there's no way any of them are near Ramza '03.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:28:53 PM | message detail
Over 48 now- that stall there really increased Ramza's quota.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 70/88 --- T-258 (129 way)
Bracket: Cloud > Midna --- Vote: Cloud
charmander6000 | Posted 10/15/2008 8:29:04 PM | message detail
How many votes does Ramza need an update right now to win?

Pretty close to 50 now, you don't need to rally for Hogger anymore he has this.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 83/108 Today's Match: Dante > Ramza
Zenithian Legend | Posted 10/15/2008 8:29:24 PM | message detail
Any Final Fantasy site might help, I'd look for ones related to 7, or maybe even 11, as they'd likely have the most people readily available.

Have to go quick though :-)
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/15/2008 8:29:54 PM | message detail

charmander6000 (#298)
How many votes does Ramza need an update right now to win?

Pretty close to 50 now, you don't need to rally for Hogger anymore he has this.



might as well as to kill what little hope ramza ralliers have
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Albion Hero
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