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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 597

XxSoulxX | Posted 10/14/2008 9:45:24 PM | message detail
The pre-Magus >Sandbag celebration!

Help Archive Contest Results! Please visit this link and go nuts: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=45766338

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

~*aprosenf's poll script*~
http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.

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Good Times,
Great Memories
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 9:45:42 PM | message detail
And laharl cuts

this is gonna be fun
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Albion Hero
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/14/2008 9:45:54 PM | message detail
Damnit Laharl, decide if you want to be alive or dead.
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"Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry
The Real Truth | Posted 10/14/2008 9:46:04 PM | message detail
Nice, Sandbag finally gets take second in his match.
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
Gaddswell | Posted 10/14/2008 9:46:38 PM | message detail
Whee! Another cut by Laharl!

So, how does the night and day go between these guys?
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/14/2008 9:46:46 PM | message detail
Help Archive Contest Results! Please visit this link and go nuts: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=45766338

Topic doesn't exist anymore. Must have purged.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/14/2008 9:46:53 PM | message detail
Here's hoping Hogger and Laharl fight to the death, and Ramza just walks to the finish line.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/14/2008 9:47:19 PM | message detail
Pssh.

THIS IS SPARDAAAAAAAAAAAAA!

Also after tweaking the graph a little:

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3271&type=1&seconds=600&max=0

This match is awesome and should have ended around about half past, causing a 3 way tie and the universe to implode.
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With awesome.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 9:47:51 PM | message detail
So at the very least, Hoggy seems to have come with fighting spirit, something many of you didn't expect to happen! >:O
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Albion Hero
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
Ngamer64 | Posted 10/14/2008 9:47:52 PM | message detail
Honestly, all Hogger would need to do is to keep these two in range through the overnight. I can hardly imagine two characters who ought to have worse Day Votes, and then if its in contention at all in the final couple hours, Hogger obviously would not be beaten.

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Check out the '08 Guru Site! http://thengamer.com/guru/
Other Hot Content: thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
Tarrot | Posted 10/14/2008 9:48:29 PM | message detail
BOLD PREDICTION: Hogger takes the lead at somepoint tonight, loses it in the morning, and rallies for Victory.

BOLDER PREDICTION: Sandbag completely bombs tomorrow because of Brawl DeBoost.
Lopen | Posted 10/14/2008 9:48:40 PM | message detail
Kane: IS HE ALIVE OR IS HE DEAD!?
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/14/2008 9:49:04 PM | message detail
That was totally the wrong graph.
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LULZ.
transience | Posted 10/14/2008 9:49:23 PM | message detail
man, they're fighting the battle of who could care less

god bless you 4-ways -- where Hogger vs. Laharl vs. Ramza happens
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
__hiei__ | Posted 10/14/2008 9:50:00 PM | message detail
BOLDEST PREDICTION

Dante doesn't lose the lead at any point in the match.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/14/2008 9:50:39 PM | message detail
Looks like Laharl isn't completely out of this yet.
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2008 9:50:40 PM | message detail
dante continues to go up

who cares what happens anywhere else

all is good
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Moltar Status: augh
Dante/Hogger/Laharl/Ramza - Bracket: Dante > Ramza - Vote: Dante (85/108)
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 9:53:06 PM | message detail
So um, I'd imagine Power hour would benefit jrpg characters more then a WoW character, right? Even though neither are Nintendo
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Albion Hero
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/14/2008 9:55:16 PM | message detail
Probably right Albion, but just enjoy the match.
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Feel happy to throw yor points for the sake of an awesome threeway match.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 9:56:04 PM | message detail
Damn you ramza.. this is likely over.
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Albion Hero
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
Lopen | Posted 10/14/2008 9:56:17 PM | message detail
Now that's the Ramza I expected coming in.

At the expense of Dante. Dammit, Ramza.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
Gaddswell | Posted 10/14/2008 9:56:34 PM | message detail
Well, Ramza's pulling away.

Ah well, the 2 way race between Laharl and Hogger could still be fun to watch.
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
MasaHikoTron | Posted 10/14/2008 9:56:47 PM | message detail
****ing Hogger
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/14/2008 9:56:58 PM | message detail
Thank you Ramza. Leaderboard, here I come!
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Good Times,
Great Memories
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2008 9:57:38 PM | message detail
oh hey ramza finally decided to show up
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Moltar Status: augh
Dante/Hogger/Laharl/Ramza - Bracket: Dante > Ramza - Vote: Dante (85/108)
transience | Posted 10/14/2008 9:57:48 PM | message detail
Laharl power hour ovah
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/14/2008 10:04:48 PM | message detail
laharl cutting hogger nice!
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Good Times,
Great Memories
Gaddswell | Posted 10/14/2008 10:05:33 PM | message detail
What on earth happened there?
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 10:05:50 PM | message detail
Yay hogger
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Albion Hero
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/14/2008 10:06:31 PM | message detail
Uh oh.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 10:06:32 PM | message detail

Gaddswell (#028)
What on earth happened there?



As I said earlier but people ignored. Arthas dominated night vote like no other. Expect same from Hogger.
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Albion Hero
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/14/2008 10:07:18 PM | message detail
dante will not take this lightly
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CB7 Score: 86/108
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg || http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
Lopen | Posted 10/14/2008 10:07:23 PM | message detail
This isn't even the night vote, though. Night vote doesn't really start till 2am ET.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/14/2008 10:07:56 PM | message detail
As I said earlier but people ignored. Arthas dominated night vote like no other. Expect same from Hogger.

Hogger =/= Arthas
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Good Times,
Great Memories
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/14/2008 10:08:37 PM | message detail
What did Ramza just do? Even Laharl beat him that update.
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o_O
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 10:09:06 PM | message detail

XxSoulxX (#034)
As I said earlier but people ignored. Arthas dominated night vote like no other. Expect same from Hogger.

Hogger =/= Arthas



Wow players don't sleep, making rallying useful at any time, so they should do better at night then other characters due to this.
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Albion Hero
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/14/2008 10:11:00 PM | message detail
told you

48% "take that"
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CB7 Score: 86/108
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg || http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/14/2008 10:11:26 PM | message detail
So um, I'd imagine Power hour would benefit jrpg characters more then a WoW character, right? Even though neither are Nintendo

Also Albion, ^that =/= you telling us Hogger would dominate the night vote. Jeez, stop trying to make yourself the guy that called everything.
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Enough already.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/14/2008 10:11:36 PM | message detail
So if Hogger dominates the night, he'll get an even bigger lead when night comes? Yeah that's comforting.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Yesmar | Posted 10/14/2008 10:13:19 PM | message detail
"I must say, Mr. Freeman, this match is reminding me of our last match."
"Yes, old chap. They're being as sloppy as the floor after I spilled the latest lemon peel tea last week."
"Ah yes, what a perfect little mess."
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""Duh...It's the company's fault for making you want it so much.""--Donkey Kong
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 10:15:27 PM | message detail
yay british guys are back
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Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
Vote for Arthas Menethil in Character Battle VII!!
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/14/2008 10:16:01 PM | message detail
AWESOME!

Love Yesmar's close match commentary.
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Possibly best part of the contest so far sans Cube.
__hiei__ | Posted 10/14/2008 10:16:18 PM | message detail
Laharl trying to fight back
Gaddswell | Posted 10/14/2008 10:16:22 PM | message detail
Terrible update for Hogger there.

Laharl needs more updates like that if he wants to be back in this.
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/14/2008 10:17:13 PM | message detail
Yes more updates like that plz
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/14/2008 10:18:36 PM | message detail

Yesmar (#040)
"I must say, Mr. Freeman, this match is reminding me of our last match."
"Yes, old chap. They're being as sloppy as the floor after I spilled the latest lemon peel tea last week."
"Ah yes, what a perfect little mess."



This reminds me that we still need Balthier, Big Daddy, Gordon, and Scorpion all sitting around with tea and monocles.
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"Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/14/2008 10:19:32 PM | message detail
I'm rooting for Ramza, obviously.
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"A joke format for a joke contest deserves joke winners." -Moltar
Now Playing: Final Fantasy 4 DS, Spore ~*ST*~
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/14/2008 10:20:17 PM | message detail
Psh, Ramza's a sis-con
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/14/2008 10:20:50 PM | message detail
Two for Laharl there!
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http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
Lopen | Posted 10/14/2008 10:21:22 PM | message detail
This party's gettin crazy!
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
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