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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 596

GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/14/2008 12:44:44 PM | message detail
Replace Layton in yesterdays match with Leon. Who wins and what are the percentages?

Something like
Leon 33
Chief 30
Raiden 22
Kain 15

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Today's prediction: Leon 35.61% - Riku 33.30% - German name 18.35% - MacMillan 12.74%
Status: Meh
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 12:47:47 PM | message detail
Here comes the ASV
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Albion Hero
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/14/2008 12:50:34 PM | message detail
Remember last night when we said the ASV would help Riku to at least make it respectable?

.... He'll be lucky to end up within 10% of Leon. Woops.
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Today's prediction: Leon 35.61% - Riku 33.30% - German name 18.35% - MacMillan 12.74%
Status: Meh
satai_delenn | Posted 10/14/2008 12:51:17 PM | message detail
Also, fun fact: Soma Cruz is the only member of the 2005 male bracket to not have appeared in a contest since.

That was in 2006. Poor Soma. I'd nominate him again, he didn't deserve to go up against Snake in his one and only match ever.

So uh...about that day vote, Riku... >_>
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Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 12:51:35 PM | message detail
The ASV might give Riku 28% and Leon at 42%.
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Albion Hero
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 1:28:39 PM | message detail
Seems MacMillans best time is ASV, and Siegfreds worst time is ASV. No surprise there.
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Albion Hero
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2008 1:47:40 PM | message detail
We need to see Ken and Proto Man next year. Ken should have no trouble with SF4 coming out, so that means we need to rally behind Proto Man.

Also, most of the other noteworthy characters on that list all have a big release coming up (Prince of Persia, Chun-Li, Lara Croft)
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I want adventure in the great wide somewhere... I want it more than I can tell! - Belle
http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/3949/beautyandthebeast21024uh9.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/14/2008 1:50:39 PM | message detail

BlAcK TuRtLe (#157)
We need to see Ken and Proto Man next year. Ken should have no trouble with SF4 coming out, so that means we need to rally behind Proto Man.

Also, most of the other noteworthy characters on that list all have a big release coming up (Prince of Persia, Chun-Li, Lara Croft)



Ken may still struggle getting in because like with all essemble casts, people have a tough time deciding who to rally around
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Albion Hero
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/14/2008 1:51:30 PM | message detail
I've been nominating Proto Man for 3 years ;_;
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Today's prediction: Leon 35.61% - Riku 33.30% - German name 18.35% - MacMillan 12.74%
Status: Meh
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2008 1:59:11 PM | message detail
If Ryu, Chunners and Ken don't make it in next year without Board 8 support, I'll be surprised.

I wouldn't be surprised to see AKUBA or Bison back either.

I hope that Cammy gets in, but I won't get my hopes up.
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I want adventure in the great wide somewhere... I want it more than I can tell! - Belle
http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/3949/beautyandthebeast21024uh9.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/14/2008 2:00:11 PM | message detail
If Ken gets into a winnable match (aka not noble 9 round one in 1v1), I think he could be a mid carder. He and Ryu are the face of the series, so I don't see that big of a drop off.
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Albion Hero
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/14/2008 2:04:05 PM | message detail
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Samus_vs_Ken_Masters_2002

Ken has some serious power. 35% against Samus? Thats no joke to be getting 35% against a noble 9er
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Albion Hero
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MasaHikoTron | Posted 10/14/2008 2:42:53 PM | message detail
Ken has some serious power. 35% against Samus? Thats no joke to be getting 35% against a noble 9er

That was also six years ago

Just sayin
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
vcharon | Posted 10/14/2008 3:15:59 PM | message detail
Perhaps the servers will still be down when Hogger has his match, if things continue at this rate.
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:>
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 3:20:05 PM | message detail
I finally got in!
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Albion Hero
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/14/2008 3:41:28 PM | message detail
Yeah, Riku is pretty much done for next round. This isn't the same Leon as last year, and Pikachu has much more reason to overperform than Riku.

This result still makes no sense, though, especially after Sora curbstombed Fox.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 3:43:27 PM | message detail
Well I've never played KH, but does Riku really have the same appeal as the main character? So maybe fans are just less loyal to him or something
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Albion Hero
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MasaHikoTron | Posted 10/14/2008 3:44:40 PM | message detail
Riku is actual a fan favorite within the KH fanbase for the most part, but it doesn't translate as well on GameFAQs for whatever reason.
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/14/2008 3:44:43 PM | message detail
Riku has a completely different appeal from Sora.

Which to im confused as to what appeal Sora has aside lolz sword powers.
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Ride Him.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/14/2008 3:45:29 PM | message detail
He's pretty important, and compared with Sora? I would say he has more appeal. Not that Sora is bad, but I kind of get a Cecil : Kain vibe from the two.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Draco1214 | Posted 10/14/2008 3:46:05 PM | message detail
Judging from this match, this is still fine for a Riku > Dante result next round if there is indeed a lot of overlap between Leon/Dante. Riku is looking about as strong as Pikachu (or Vivi, looking at round 1 last year) assuming a static Leon.
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"Men that are trapped by chains of 'maybe' can never reach their dreams!"
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ZFS | Posted 10/14/2008 3:46:23 PM | message detail
This result still makes no sense, though, especially after Sora curbstombed Fox.

I'm starting to wonder how strong people thought Fox would actually be

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kept you waiting, huh
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/14/2008 3:46:46 PM | message detail
This isn't the same Leon as last year

RE5 hype? There's really no other reason he'd be stronger. Maybe this is just a weaker Riku, or maybe Leon is being benefited by a cooler picture, but I still think Riku has a shot next round, albeit a tiny one.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITS
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/14/2008 3:47:35 PM | message detail
Resident Evil 4 Wii Edition has had time to sell a lot more and sink in.

It sold as much as the GC version. It had to have some impact.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
ZFS | Posted 10/14/2008 3:48:29 PM | message detail
Riku > Dante ain't happening. The best Riku could do there is to sneak by Leon -- but I wouldn't even be confident that with this showing.

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kept you waiting, huh
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/14/2008 3:49:30 PM | message detail
When discussing the Dante/Leon fiasco, people forget this:

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/albums/cb6/cb6-54.jpg

Dante, Ammy, and Leon are all characters that depend on appeal. They all look terrible in that pic. Pikachu got his sprite from R/B/Y, the one iteration no one can hate him from.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/14/2008 3:50:06 PM | message detail
I'm starting to wonder how strong people thought Fox would actually be

Yeah. I mean, if you use that match as an indication of 1v1 strength, Sora only put up 56% on Fox, which would put Fox at... what, Alucard's level at least? For a guy who hadn't had a normal match in six years, Fox did well enough.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITS
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Draco1214 | Posted 10/14/2008 3:50:43 PM | message detail
Do you guys really believe Pikachu made up a 29% difference because of a picture? Come on now...
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"Men that are trapped by chains of 'maybe' can never reach their dreams!"
Explicit Content > me in the Guru
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/14/2008 3:51:27 PM | message detail
If you don't think it made a good amount of difference, you haven't been paying close enough attention to these things.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
ZFS | Posted 10/14/2008 3:51:42 PM | message detail
Holy Dante

damn you sprite round

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kept you waiting, huh
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/14/2008 3:51:45 PM | message detail
I can!

Little ****er took me 50 minutes of searching through that forest to finally find one, and I accidentally make it faint.

So many dead Caterpie, and So very very many Dead Weedle.
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Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
Biolizard28 | Posted 10/14/2008 3:52:40 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb7/cb7-28.jpg

LOL HOGGER
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Draco1214 | Posted 10/14/2008 3:53:03 PM | message detail
Whoops, should be 19%
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"Men that are trapped by chains of 'maybe' can never reach their dreams!"
Explicit Content > me in the Guru
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/14/2008 3:53:04 PM | message detail
Wow, I must have put up a concrete mental wall around that horrid picture.

Speaking of which, the Round 2 close-up picture of Dante, Leon, and Riku is going to look like a calling card for some boy-love modeling agency. Ugh. I might actually have to cheer for Hogger now.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITS
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/14/2008 3:53:19 PM | message detail
Laharl and Ramza look fine, Dante looks great as usual, Hogger...lol

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
trannyscience | Posted 10/14/2008 3:53:43 PM | message detail
stop looking at Fox - look at Chris Redfield. he's a more known quantity, somehow. and he massively overperformed.

I'd sooner say Riku / KH is sucking than Leon is impressing. this is... expected, I'd say.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2886&num=4

it's really not too different from last year.
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xyzzy
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/14/2008 3:53:45 PM | message detail
Yeah, nevermind.

lol hogger
---
Yoblazer: NO LIMITS
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/14/2008 3:55:59 PM | message detail
Damnit Hogger.

More Reason Murloc's are the best neutral race in the Warcraft Universe.
---
Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
satai_delenn | Posted 10/14/2008 4:11:31 PM | message detail
I'd sooner say Riku / KH is sucking than Leon is impressing.

Yeah...as lame as it is, Riku is just...dying, for no real reason. I guess people are just tired of waiting for a real new KH game to happen, and Riku's role in KH2 wasn't exactly up to the standards of the previous games. KH3 needs to get announced or something. And Riku needs to be playable in it. >_>

I still get the feeling he can repeat his round 2 revenge thing though, if only thanks to Dante.
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Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/14/2008 4:12:10 PM | message detail
Resident Evil 4 Wii Edition has had time to sell a lot more and sink in.

It sold as much as the GC version. It had to have some impact.


You know, this is a good point. While RE4 almost certainly boosted Leon more last year, I think it's very reasonable to assume it could still be feeding him. The game was released for $30 and can now (as of several months ago, actually) be picked up for $10-20 easy. Couple that with the drought in Wii software, and I think it could definitely be giving Leon a sustained boost. Heck, there were several Board 8ers who decided to replay the game in unison a few months ago because there wasn't anything else on the Wii. Microcosm of something larger (yes oh god yes why not you say yes)?
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITS
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2008 4:16:32 PM | message detail
Dante > Leon looks so good now. awesome to the max

*watches dante utterly disappoint tomorrow*
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Moltar Status: augh
MacMillan/Leon/Riku/Siegfried - Bracket: Leon > Riku - Vote: Leon (81/104)
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 4:18:17 PM | message detail
thats best pic hogger could get, since its his only pic..
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Albion Hero
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vcharon | Posted 10/14/2008 4:19:20 PM | message detail
I don't even see how that is possible, honestly. He may not hit 50%... but yeah, he's also not a noble 9 member and shouldn't be expected to.

There's just no way. This has got to be the weakest group in the entire contest, collectively.
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:>
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 4:19:59 PM | message detail

vcharon (#193)
I don't even see how that is possible, honestly. He may not hit 50%... but yeah, he's also not a noble 9 member and shouldn't be expected to.

There's just no way. This has got to be the weakest group in the entire contest, collectively.



Which is only reason I thought hogger stood a chance
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Albion Hero
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Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2008 4:20:40 PM | message detail
dante had the weakest group of the contest last year (weaker than this) and didn't break 50%

even with dmc4, no way he does it tomorrow
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Moltar Status: augh
MacMillan/Leon/Riku/Siegfried - Bracket: Leon > Riku - Vote: Leon (81/104)
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/14/2008 4:23:41 PM | message detail
I'm really happy Hogger got that pic. If they got some lame artwork of him instead, no WoW players will know him. Any WoW player instantly will recognize him there.
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Albion Hero
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Biolizard28 | Posted 10/14/2008 4:24:29 PM | message detail
Master Moltar (#195)
dante had the weakest group of the contest last year

Agent J/Bidoof/Edgeworth?
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2008 4:30:59 PM | message detail
Bidoof > Ammy
Edgey > Mac

j vs. matt who cares there
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Moltar Status: augh
MacMillan/Leon/Riku/Siegfried - Bracket: Leon > Riku - Vote: Leon (81/104)
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/14/2008 4:33:33 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQlCKeOEOHg

Aww yeah Mega Man 9 Arranged
---
Warning, there is a bear right behind you.
Ride Him.
Biolizard28 | Posted 10/14/2008 4:34:07 PM | message detail
Master Moltar (#198)
Bidoof > Ammy

No.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
ALLEN LIED! PEOPLE LOST THEIR ABILITY TO CONTEST!
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