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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 593

KamikazePotato | Posted 10/11/2008 9:04:44 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rNVCD1dsnJI

Help Archive Contest Results! Please visit this link and go nuts: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=45766338

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

~*aprosenf's poll script*~
http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/11/2008 9:05:09 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QjlcEe2VGkg

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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/11/2008 9:05:12 PM | message detail
whoops

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/11/2008 9:05:24 PM | message detail
so guys, with lucas this weak... he isn't sffing kirby at all, so boss is likely to advance next round
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Master Chief > Sonic ...... Believe
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
Malakuko | Posted 10/11/2008 9:05:35 PM | message detail
86 votes at the freeze

is that a record low for this year?

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http://img.imgcake.com//christ2.gif http://img.imgcake.com//dannynoriegaanimated.gif
Mer NOICE!
transience | Posted 10/11/2008 9:05:39 PM | message detail
thank god for Raiden
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
Gaddswell | Posted 10/11/2008 9:05:46 PM | message detail
Well, this one has "Part" in the topic title.

We use this one, right?
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sig
ZFS | Posted 10/11/2008 9:05:54 PM | message detail
Big Boss to the quarterfinals

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Kept you waiting, huh?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/11/2008 9:06:02 PM | message detail

Malakuko (#005)
86 votes at the freeze

is that a record low for this year?



I think Nathan Drake was.. lemme check
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Master Chief > Sonic ...... Believe
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/11/2008 9:06:09 PM | message detail
ugh Raiden you party pooper
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Master Moltar | Posted 10/11/2008 9:06:11 PM | message detail
insane final minute for BB

"whoa"
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Moltar Status: augh
Big Boss/Jinjo/Kirby/Lucas - Bracket: Kirby > Big Boss - Vote: Kirby (75/96)
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/11/2008 9:06:14 PM | message detail
I...guess...

BB vs. Kirby next round, who ya got?

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
The_Ocelot2 | Posted 10/11/2008 9:06:17 PM | message detail
I thought Kirby was a lock for 1st. I'm really stinking it up this contest.
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Go Ducks Go!
http://img.imgcake.com/fallout_3.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/11/2008 9:06:25 PM | message detail
Actually Drake had 30 more lol
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Master Chief > Sonic ...... Believe
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
ZFS | Posted 10/11/2008 9:06:39 PM | message detail
Big Boss SFFs Raiden harder than Snake book it

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Kept you waiting, huh?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/11/2008 9:07:07 PM | message detail
Ack forgot Raiden is in next round. Might SFF enough to let Kirby advance...
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Master Chief > Sonic ...... Believe
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
Malakuko | Posted 10/11/2008 9:07:08 PM | message detail
I have M Chief > Kirby round 2
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http://img.imgcake.com//christ2.gif http://img.imgcake.com//dannynoriegaanimated.gif
Mer NOICE!
transience | Posted 10/11/2008 9:07:11 PM | message detail
Kirby has a wild early vote from what I remember. check out that Prince of Persia match.

this won't be close by the end.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/11/2008 9:07:19 PM | message detail
So, as I said in the other topic, Kirby = biggest flop in all contests. He's also one of the best proofs for rSFF existing in his match against Bowser.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/11/2008 9:07:45 PM | message detail
And guys, Wouldn't this be one of Lucas' best times, actually..?
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Master Chief > Sonic ...... Believe
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
Cecil XIX | Posted 10/11/2008 9:08:24 PM | message detail
This match reminds me why I should never go against a personal favorite in a match that's at all close... I feel bad no matter who wins. Ah well.

Here's some Big Boss music for the match.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdU_0my-fA0 - Calling to the Night
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QjlcEe2VGkg - Snake Eater
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YobeaCCwfDk -Taking on the Shagohod
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Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1
FFDragon | Posted 10/11/2008 9:08:57 PM | message detail
I take Travis to advance with Mewtwo last match, but take BB > Kirby today. augh I make stupid mistakes.
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
http://img.imgcake.com//wesker.gif
TheArkOfTurus | Posted 10/11/2008 9:09:16 PM | message detail
I'd have thought you could pick any random assist trophy from Brawl, and he/she would have at least broken 6%. This is incredible. I know Kirby is in the match, but jeez.
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Our eyes were removed
For our own safety. 3823-8286-6059
TestIcicles | Posted 10/11/2008 9:10:00 PM | message detail
Well I was 100% expecting a Big Boss victory today... but god damn this is pretty shocking anyway. Boss destroying Kirby... Lucas possibly being the most pathetic thing this contest has ever seen (granted probably should have seen this possibility), and Jinjo tripling Lucas. God what the hell... for expecting this result this is a crazy match.


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mmm test icicles
transience | Posted 10/11/2008 9:10:14 PM | message detail
next
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/11/2008 9:10:14 PM | message detail
I guess this is what you get when you have NO fanbase to draw on.

(ignores Sackboy)

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Master Moltar | Posted 10/11/2008 9:10:28 PM | message detail
yeah this is done

christ bb
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Moltar Status: augh
Big Boss/Jinjo/Kirby/Lucas - Bracket: Kirby > Big Boss - Vote: Kirby (75/96)
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/11/2008 9:10:32 PM | message detail
Oh my god, awesome Boss gain.

This is the Power Hour, folks. Nintendo is dead.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
ZFS | Posted 10/11/2008 9:10:42 PM | message detail
Boss dominated that update.

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Kept you waiting, huh?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/11/2008 9:10:47 PM | message detail
And this match is over.
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Master Chief > Sonic ...... Believe
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
Master Moltar | Posted 10/11/2008 9:10:57 PM | message detail
actually more like christ kirby augh i have you going so far

WHY HATH THOU FORSAKEN MEEE
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Moltar Status: augh
Big Boss/Jinjo/Kirby/Lucas - Bracket: Kirby > Big Boss - Vote: Kirby (75/96)
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/11/2008 9:11:02 PM | message detail
This is making Magus look a LOT better >_>
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"Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry
Gaddswell | Posted 10/11/2008 9:11:03 PM | message detail
Match over
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sig
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/11/2008 9:11:31 PM | message detail
This is making Magus look a LOT better >_>

No way man no way.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/11/2008 9:11:33 PM | message detail
I never thought a NINTENDO character would be this weak.
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Master Chief > Sonic ...... Believe
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
TestIcicles | Posted 10/11/2008 9:11:40 PM | message detail
so how many Brawl votes does Big Boss get from ignorant Nintendo fans who love Snake but nothing else about him?

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mmm test icicles
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/11/2008 9:11:47 PM | message detail
I guess this is what you get when you have NO fanbase to draw on.

(ignores Sackboy)


You mean Sandbag.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/11/2008 9:11:57 PM | message detail
yeah, i was actually tempted to go Big Boss > Kirby.

oh well. i doubt Big Boss loses to Kirby even with Raiden and/or MC in the game.
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*is Dranze*
Dedede/Pit/Ryu/Zero - Bracket: Zero > RyuH - Vote: Zero (53/64)
TheArkOfTurus | Posted 10/11/2008 9:12:20 PM | message detail
"so how many Brawl votes does Big Boss get from ignorant Nintendo fans who love Snake but nothing else about him?"

I'm going to guess 6.
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Our eyes were removed
For our own safety. 3823-8286-6059
TestIcicles | Posted 10/11/2008 9:12:27 PM | message detail
*but know nothing else about him.

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mmm test icicles
The Real Truth | Posted 10/11/2008 9:12:37 PM | message detail
Stupid Solid Snake.

I didn't even want to win the contest.

I just wanted to make the leaderboard.
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/11/2008 9:12:55 PM | message detail
Heh, I never even thought of that. How wild would it be if Big ****ing Boss was drawing as much Brawl support as Lucas.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/16hnm05.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/11/2008 9:12:59 PM | message detail
Also....don't look now, but Pac-Man was the bracket favorite to win yesterday.
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"Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/11/2008 9:12:59 PM | message detail
This also makes Snake's match all the more confusing. Unless...

Vivi: surprise powerhouse of 2008!

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
transience | Posted 10/11/2008 9:13:07 PM | message detail
well, either pic factor confirmed or huge mgs4 boost confirmed.

let's see Raiden tomorrow, and let's see old Big Boss in round 2.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
dethfdddddh | Posted 10/11/2008 9:13:27 PM | message detail
oh ho big boss or zero
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Explicit Content left me uncontent in the guru contest.
The_Ocelot2 | Posted 10/11/2008 9:13:27 PM | message detail
I need to stop putting so much damn faith in Nintendo, they're screwing me over this contest. At least the characters they are losing to are characters I like.
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Go Ducks Go!
http://img.imgcake.com/fallout_3.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/11/2008 9:13:41 PM | message detail
Pic factor was confirmed a loooong time ago.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/11/2008 9:13:44 PM | message detail

WarThaNemesis2 (#043)
Also....don't look now, but Pac-Man was the bracket favorite to win yesterday.



Thats surprising?
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Master Chief > Sonic ...... Believe
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/11/2008 9:14:06 PM | message detail
Albion, I'm talking first place, not second.
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"Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry
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