GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 592
| hailEC | Posted 10/10/2008 6:42:08 AM | message detail |
|
Tim > Axel confirmed. Help Archive Contest Results! Please visit this link and go nuts: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=45766338 ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- all hail ec your lord and savior |
| vcharon | Posted 10/10/2008 1:41:39 PM | message detail |
|
Axel would beat Tim into the ground btw. --- :> |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/10/2008 1:43:50 PM | message detail |
|
Yeah, Tim doesnt stand a chance against axel. When it comes to 2 complete fodder, the more well known complete fodder would win. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png http://i108.photobucket.com/albums/n4/tellie1218/Obama_for_President_550.jpg |
| __hiei__ | Posted 10/10/2008 1:45:06 PM | message detail |
| or the complete fodder with a better picture (Axel again) |
| TestIcicles | Posted 10/10/2008 1:45:51 PM | message detail |
|
fanboys --- mmm test icicles |
| SephirothG | Posted 10/10/2008 1:46:08 PM | message detail |
|
Why are we talking like Tim or Axel will ever see a contest ever again? --- EC:Me :: solarshadow:Tai My boyfriend is uncut and I laugh at him and ask him if I can put pennies in there. He doesn't appreciate it much.~ Ryoko |
| SephirothG | Posted 10/10/2008 1:46:22 PM | message detail |
|
ever ever --- EC:Me :: solarshadow:Tai My boyfriend is uncut and I laugh at him and ask him if I can put pennies in there. He doesn't appreciate it much.~ Ryoko |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/10/2008 1:47:39 PM | message detail |
|
Jade Tim Kaim Nathan Drake who ya got --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| vcharon | Posted 10/10/2008 1:48:27 PM | message detail |
|
Drake > Jade --- :> |
| Panthera | Posted 10/10/2008 1:49:15 PM | message detail |
|
Tim/Axel/Nathan Drake/Jade Who ya got? Jade/Tanner/Wander/CATS Can CATS break 50% against the fodderiest fodder ever? --- A season of our stolen youth shall teach old hearts to break ~Primordial-The Coffin Ships |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2008 2:04:43 PM | message detail |
|
Tim would get like 84% of the vote just on the basis of having better hair and a cool tie. --- xyzzy http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2008 2:04:54 PM | message detail |
|
also that poll would get like 18 votes --- xyzzy http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/10/2008 2:07:07 PM | message detail |
|
Hmm. Doesn't look like Cloud's gonna be able to match Link today,
unless he really goes nuts with the second night vote. So far that puts
pretty much every NN guy that's been up so far a bit lower than most
expectations. --- CB7 Score: 70/88 http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg || http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2008 2:09:14 PM | message detail |
|
Phoenix Wright characters seem pretty clearly stronger this year: Mario 46.6% 62062 Big Boss 24.89% 33146 Magus 17.8% 23700 Phoenix Wright 10.71% 14263 TOTAL VOTES 133171 that, along with their trends, tell me they're legit. Phoenix looks legitimately above the fodder line now. --- xyzzy http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/10/2008 2:10:59 PM | message detail |
|
Yeah, wonder why that is. I doubt PW3 and AJ made a ton of difference there. --- CB7 Score: 70/88 http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg || http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/10/2008 2:13:35 PM | message detail |
|
GameStops (at least the ones near me) constantly have Phoenix games in
stock, so maybe after his run last year people decided that, when they
wanted to get a new DS game, to try out that game with the name of the
guy who beat Bomberman. ...Or I dunno, maybe Wrighto is just weird. --- "Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry |
| ZenOfThunder | Posted 10/10/2008 2:13:57 PM | message detail |
|
oh manz if Frank ever gets to round 2 we can use this pic: http://cache.gawker.com/assets/images/kotaku/2008/10/frank.jpg --- (|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08) . /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/10/2008 2:22:16 PM | message detail |
|
Come on, Cloud! You gotta get a move on! The second night vote ain't long enough for you to get that extra .85% you'll need! Man, looks like Link's going to nab the biggest blowout of the contest by around a percent or two. Looks like Cloud's still out of his range, not that I'm surprised. I'll take Zidane, Shadow, and Jade over Axel, Midna, and Edgeworth. At least, I think I would. Jade is an awful lot of suck. Uhhh...Midna/Shadow/Zidane/Amaterasu: Who you got? --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/10/2008 2:24:40 PM | message detail |
|
hey hey hey now he had LUKE not Jade completely different levels of utter tripe imo --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/10/2008 2:24:58 PM | message detail |
|
Zidane > .... Ammy --- Today's prediction: Cloud 62.90% - Midna 15.51% - Axel 12.20% - Miles 9.39% Status: okay, **** this division |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2008 2:25:30 PM | message detail |
|
Midna/Shadow/Zidane are pretty close. Amaterasu could be up there too, I dunno, I want to see another round before gauging him. throw Phoenix into that group too... low midcarder galore. --- xyzzy http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/10/2008 2:26:49 PM | message detail |
|
Zidane>Ammy seems good. (Ammy is a she btw) --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/10/2008 2:33:56 PM | message detail |
|
If Mewtwo doesn't completly dominate tomorrow (like 40%), Midna might actually have a shot next round. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png http://i108.photobucket.com/albums/n4/tellie1218/Obama_for_President_550.jpg |
| __hiei__ | Posted 10/10/2008 2:35:13 PM | message detail |
|
i don't think Shadow is very close to those at all that was mostly Link completely killing Shadow. |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/10/2008 2:35:28 PM | message detail |
|
If Mewtwo gets 40% tomorrow, I'll be surprised. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/10/2008 2:37:32 PM | message detail |
|
Really? Even with me being wary of Mewtwo, I think he has a very good
chance to get 40% tomorrow.. I mean, who exactly is gonna stop him from
dominating the poll? --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png http://i108.photobucket.com/albums/n4/tellie1218/Obama_for_President_550.jpg |
| MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/10/2008 2:37:53 PM | message detail |
|
If Mewtwo doesn't get > 40% tomorrow, I'll be surprised. what now --- For your health. http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve! |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/10/2008 2:39:07 PM | message detail |
|
I don't doubt he's going to win, but Ness and Pac-Man aren't weaklings, and Mewtwo isn't a powerhouse. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/10/2008 2:40:01 PM | message detail |
|
Mewtwo - 42.00% Ness - 21.00% Pac-Man - 23.00% Travis Touchdown - 14.00% is what I have --- For your health. http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve! |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/10/2008 2:42:50 PM | message detail |
|
Whoa, Mewtwo doubling Ness and Pac-Man? Can't see that happening! If
you're expecting SFF, then remember in this format, Mewtwo gets hurt,
too. Pac-Man and Ness are good low midcarders. This isn't a fodder
fourpack. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/10/2008 2:45:28 PM | message detail |
|
I've got... Mewtwo - 42% Ness - 24% Pac Man - 26% Travis - 8% --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png http://i108.photobucket.com/albums/n4/tellie1218/Obama_for_President_550.jpg |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/10/2008 2:45:55 PM | message detail |
|
Mewtwo with 40% seems high. Travis isn't doing anything and really it
will only be possible if Ness or Pac-Man get hit by some hard SFF. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 67/88 Today's Match: Cloud > Midna |
| TestIcicles | Posted 10/10/2008 2:46:44 PM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/10/2008 2:46:49 PM | message detail |
|
Mewtwo - 37.45% Ness - 28.27% Pac-Man - 23.86% Travis Touchdown - 10.42% That's my prediction there. Mewtwo will probably get mid-to-high 30s, but I think Ness is a bit too strong to let Mewtwo get 40%. Looking at it now, I feel like I might have undershot Pac-Man a bit. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| TestIcicles | Posted 10/10/2008 2:48:13 PM | message detail |
|
There's no way Mewtwo doubles Ness... without really think about it and putting together numbers that feel ok... let's see Mewtwo: 36% Ness: 30% Pac: 25% Touchdown: 9% --- mmm test icicles |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/10/2008 2:50:09 PM | message detail |
|
Man, Cloud keeps offsetting great updates with some relatively poor
ones. He barely broke 50% on the update before that. Come on, mosey
along, spikey! --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/10/2008 2:52:06 PM | message detail |
|
So guys, given Squalls showing yesterday... what do you think he'd put up against this joke 4pack? --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png http://i108.photobucket.com/albums/n4/tellie1218/Obama_for_President_550.jpg |
| ZenOfThunder | Posted 10/10/2008 2:54:46 PM | message detail |
|
Ho-ho-holy ****. I wish this screen came out before Frank's match... http://img524.imageshack.us/img524/7017/medium2929330521fdf449bgp4.jpg --- (|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08) . /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/10/2008 2:56:08 PM | message detail |
|
53% --- Feel my truth. |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/10/2008 3:28:50 PM | message detail |
|
Squall? Yoshi is obviously the strongest by far of any of these. Midna's a good bit better than CATS, and Axel's about equal with Drake, I'd say. Squall might be able to break 50% here, but not much more. 50% is hard to do. Even the Noble Nine are having a hard time managing that this year. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/10/2008 3:33:36 PM | message detail |
|
http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb7/cb7-24.jpg --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png http://i108.photobucket.com/albums/n4/tellie1218/Obama_for_President_550.jpg |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/10/2008 3:34:36 PM | message detail |
|
http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb7/cb7-25.jpg http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb7/cb7-26.jpg --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png http://i108.photobucket.com/albums/n4/tellie1218/Obama_for_President_550.jpg |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/10/2008 3:36:59 PM | message detail |
|
Heh, Naked Snake again. No upside down Jinjo though. Whoo, Layton! So, is Cloud gonna hit 60% or not? --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/10/2008 3:37:01 PM | message detail |
|
ugh MGS4 Raiden Everyone else looks good --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/10/2008 3:38:33 PM | message detail |
|
We didn't get upside-down Jinjo because Coffee Ninja decided to be a moron and submit a real one at the last second. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/10/2008 3:38:53 PM | message detail |
|
No naked Raiden time to boycott this contest. --- CB7 Score: 70/88 http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg || http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/10/2008 3:39:27 PM | message detail |
|
And seriously dude, stop attacking people for submitting pictures, it's ridiculously petty. --- CB7 Score: 70/88 http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg || http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/10/2008 3:40:02 PM | message detail |
|
Whoa, nice pic for Mewtwo. Travis's is really good, too. Everyone there
looks good, but Ness is obviously doomed now that he has his Brawl pic.
Pac-Man upset train, all aboard! Naked Snake pic, time to die, Kirby! The pink puffball's pic is really good though. Another good all-around pic. The last pic though is pretty ugh. Don't really like the colors on Kain's, MC's looks really ugly to me, for some reason, and Bacon still likes Robo-Raiden, I see. Layton's the only one I'd say looks decent there. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: 1st place, 57296 votes, 45.06% |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2008 3:41:06 PM | message detail |
|
Pac-Man upset train, all aboard! called it! Naked Snake vs. Kirby with Lucas in the match let's do this --- xyzzy http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif |
| ZenOfThunder | Posted 10/10/2008 3:41:48 PM | message detail |
|
My Travis... but my Jinjo got skipped because of Coffee Ninja's idiotic last-minute submission. Good job there, buddy. --- (|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08) . /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg |
