GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 587
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2008 6:44:20 AM | message detail |
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BrawlFEAR more like ZeldaFEAR 2.0 ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2008 7:10:59 AM | message detail |
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slow day is slow --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| paulg235 | Posted 10/5/2008 7:12:45 AM | message detail |
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Who really gave a **** about Olimar, anyway? --- The Gamer In Me |
| ffmasterjose | Posted 10/5/2008 7:46:36 AM | message detail |
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I'm so glad I didn't let BRAWLFEAR make me take Olimar for second. It was close though o_0 --- 51/68 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII NP: Mega Man > Nero |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2008 7:49:31 AM | message detail |
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I never got why people thought Olimar had a chance here, although I never thought he'd do so poorly as to lose to Banjo. --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/5/2008 7:53:23 AM | message detail |
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What he said^ --- Spot on. |
| ffmasterjose | Posted 10/5/2008 7:56:01 AM | message detail |
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Also, reasons why I think Sandbag won't be having a "Cinderella run" ala' L-Block: 1. Ridiculously stiff competition. Just in his first match alone he's got Magus. Normally I wouldn't have said that...but Chrono Trigger is 2/2 this year so far. Both Crono and Frog looked great this year. I'm a little anxious to say it's all because of Chrono Trigger DS on the horizon, but that must be helping them at least a little. Oh, silly me. I forgot to mention Sonic the Hedgehog. Now even though Sonic characters are 0/3 this year so far, I'm counting on the chill-dog loving Hedgehog to kick ass and take names, even though he doesn't fair too well in this format. He's still a Noble Niner. And had L-Block been up against this kind of competition last year, he wouldn't have made it anywhere near this Division. Just assuming he gets past Magus with Sonic, he's also got Auron in the next round. And Sephiroth in the same Division. Two NNers is one hell of a mountain to scale, and I just don't think the Bag can pull it off. Bad placement unfortunately. At least it's gonna tear up Commander Shepard :P Hmm....guess I don't have any more reasons aside from that --- 51/68 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII NP: Mega Man > Nero |
| croy3 | Posted 10/5/2008 8:36:07 AM | message detail |
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I'm assuming everyone had megaman getting 50%+? --- Board 8 rox ur sox |
| smitelf | Posted 10/5/2008 8:37:57 AM | message detail |
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Against this competition I'm actually disappointed that he's not doing better, but maybe I underestimated Nero's popularity. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Biden/Obama...er, I mean Obama/Biden '08! |
| croy3 | Posted 10/5/2008 8:41:35 AM | message detail |
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Yeah he's better than i thought too --- Board 8 rox ur sox |
| GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/5/2008 8:43:36 AM | message detail |
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more like Nero's Dante-look-alike factor --- Today's prediction: Super Fighting Robot 52.04% - Necro 21.56% - Olimar 15.30% - Banjo 11.10% Status: meh |
| hailEC | Posted 10/5/2008 9:54:02 AM | message detail |
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Nero being essentially equal to Olimar and Banjo combined brings me endless joy. man olimar is pathetic --- all hail ec your lord and savior |
| ZenOfThunder | Posted 10/5/2008 9:58:43 AM | message detail |
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I just went to the Nuts & Bolts board to see how they're reacting. Seems they're anti-voting Banjo based on the pic. --- (|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08) . /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/5/2008 10:10:07 AM | message detail |
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Heh, cool guys. --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 10/5/2008 10:11:17 AM | message detail |
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It's sad knowing that Banjo is this weak. His two N64 games were top notch. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| Lopen | Posted 10/5/2008 10:22:19 AM | message detail |
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It's fantastic knowing Banjo is this weak. His two N64 games were generic collectathon crap. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| _Hogger_ | Posted 10/5/2008 10:23:24 AM | message detail |
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Lopen (#016) Sad to know that the collection character is likely to do better then Banjo himself. --- Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest! http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| Lopen | Posted 10/5/2008 10:25:13 AM | message detail |
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Kinda doubt it, really. Jinjo is a joke character most of the Internet won't get. Then again I guess most of the Internet not getting you is enough to top this terrible performance. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| TestIcicles | Posted 10/5/2008 10:26:22 AM | message detail |
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nobody expects jinjo > black haired cloud --- mmm test icicles |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 10/5/2008 10:27:29 AM | message detail |
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It's fantastic knowing Banjo is this weak. His two N64 games were generic collectathon crap. Collectathons are amazing. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/5/2008 10:28:28 AM | message detail |
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Did Jinjo ever say that line? I can't remember. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 49/64 Today's Match: Mega Man > Nero |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/5/2008 10:28:59 AM | message detail |
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I gotta ask one more time: isn't Jinjo a very tiny Internet joke? I hardly ever see it even here... --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| hellfire104 | Posted 10/5/2008 10:29:34 AM | message detail |
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When I screwed up that last match I only dropped 200 ranks...I only got
1 point for Tidus > DK BUT with the amount of people that picked
lolimar(about half), I should get all of that back and more after this
one....wow. How do half the people pick somebody who only gets 11%. Only another note, Nero is lookin pretty good for a new character. --- Contest Point Total: 51 Rank: 97%tile, Tied for 753 This Pick: Megaman > Nero |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 10/5/2008 10:38:48 AM | message detail |
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I gotta ask one more time: isn't Jinjo a very tiny Internet joke? I hardly ever see it even here... Compared to WCC/Mudkip/L-Block? Yes. It should perform about as well as Sandbag. A nice third place showing. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| Luis_Sera89 | Posted 10/5/2008 10:44:24 AM | message detail |
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Banjo-Kazooie is pretty much the best platformer on the N64. I enjoyed
it more than SM64 I thought in the end. It's pretty sad to see the
direction the series is going in, unless N&B massively surprises. --- "Eet's game time..." |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 10/5/2008 10:46:35 AM | message detail |
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N&B shouldn't count in the BK series. It's a completely different game. It's like counting the DK Jungle Beat games in the same series as DKC/DK64. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 10/5/2008 11:08:22 AM | message detail |
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Ok, it's time for my next guarantee! Right now I'm 2-0 since I'm not
counting the Arthas > Ike pick (I was ultimately right, but my
reasoning was completely wrong). Sandbag will not place in his first round match. Reason: Brawl characters have sucked big time in these things, and he is a Brawl character. People think because he's a joke, he'll advance. Those people are wrong. L-Block is self explanatory. Cube is a huge internet hit, and had an easy first round. Sandbag is just an item from Brawl, and the only fans of it are people who believe in JokeFEAR (tm), or believe that Brawl is going to kick major ass here, which has already proved to be wrong. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2008 11:10:48 AM | message detail |
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Sandbag was in Melee too. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| TestIcicles | Posted 10/5/2008 11:11:22 AM | message detail |
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Why is Nuts & Bolts so much different from the previous
incarnations of BK? I don't follow gaming news like I used to, but I
was thinking about picking up Nuts and Bolts when it was released just
because of how much I loved it on the 64, not playing an adventure game
in forever, and only having access to a 360. --- mmm test icicles |
| _Hogger_ | Posted 10/5/2008 11:18:29 AM | message detail |
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Nuts and Bolts is a vehicle combat game. --- Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest! http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 10/5/2008 11:19:04 AM | message detail |
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I don't follow gaming news like I used to, but I was thinking about
picking up Nuts and Bolts when it was released just because of how much
I loved it on the 64, not playing an adventure game in forever, and
only having access to a 360. It's not an adventure game. You go through levels and find parts for vehicles. Then you build those vehicles and go to other levels. That's pretty much it. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| TestIcicles | Posted 10/5/2008 11:20:37 AM | message detail |
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who the hell thought that would be a good idea --- mmm test icicles |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 10/5/2008 11:21:53 AM | message detail |
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Rare. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/5/2008 11:36:58 AM | message detail |
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Man, nice night vote from Nero. --- CB7 Score: 52/68 http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg || http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/5/2008 11:38:07 AM | message detail |
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XxSoulxX (#031) This somehow answers "How" and "Why" also. --- "Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/5/2008 11:40:46 AM | message detail |
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Mega Man 50% Nero 32.40% Banjo 21.41% Olimar 19.00% Nero 50% Banjo 36.24% Olimar 32.86% Banjo 50% Olimar 46.26% Sad thing is that Olimar's performance is better than what he did in 2003. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 49/64 Today's Match: Mega Man > Nero |
| Shaggy_Heru | Posted 10/5/2008 11:52:20 AM | message detail |
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how do we view our brackets and stat pages for past year's contests? --- ~Shaggy~ I want to bash my soul on your brain. |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2008 12:20:45 PM | message detail |
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Yesterday's chart: Time | Donkey Kong | Tails | Tidus | Cube PHV | 20.62% | 14.52% | 28.77% | 36.08% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 20.71% | 14.42% | 31.82% | 33.05% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 21.92% | 15.60% | 33.24% | 29.24% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 22.54% | 15.30% | 31.40% | 30.77% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 20.42% | 14.63% | 32.27% | 32.68% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 20.42% | 13.73% | 32.59% | 33.26% | (22:00-24:00) The Cube has an awesome Power Hour and a good first night vote. Picked it back up in the afternoon and second night after a bad morning and early day vote. Tidus's best time was the early morning, and DK's was the early afternoon. DK and Tails really didn't shift too much, and once the match hit noon, Tidus and Cube basically stalled all day. Yesterday's stats: Weighted Companion Cube – 50.00% Tidus – 49.62% Donkey Kong – 39.74% Miles “Tails” Prower – 31.50% --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2008 12:28:48 PM | message detail |
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Also, I can't decide if Nero is doing really well or Mega Man is doing
really badly. Nero's got a quarter of the votes here, getting doubled
by Mega Man (which isn't too bad, really), and he's got about as much
as Banjo and Olimar combined. At the same time, Mega Man is struggling to get 50% here, and he got 50.49% last year against KOS-MOS, Diablo, and Arthas. I have a hard time believing Nero, Banjo, and Olimar is a tougher trio. Either way, Nero vs. Arthas: Who you got? --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| _Hogger_ | Posted 10/5/2008 12:30:25 PM | message detail |
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LeonhartFour (#039) joke post --- Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest! http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2008 12:34:29 PM | message detail |
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The fact that you won't give a serious reply only belies how nervous such a question makes you! --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| _Hogger_ | Posted 10/5/2008 12:35:36 PM | message detail |
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Arthas would do 65-35 on Nero. His strength last match is the weakest he'll look this contest. Blizzard characters are weakest first round, then get stronger per round due to rallying. Just look at Diablo and Starcraft. We haven't seen anything from Arthas yet. --- Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest! http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2008 12:37:41 PM | message detail |
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Arthas would do 65-35 on Nero. ...Arthas = Mega Man? --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| _Hogger_ | Posted 10/5/2008 12:39:52 PM | message detail |
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Well maybe not that much, but I can seriously not see Arthas getting
under 60% on Nero. Hell, I think that Arthas might be the best bet to
knock L Block out of this contest. Since it'll most likely be Crono/Block/Alucard/Arthas, and thats within days of Wotlk, and Blizzard rallying will be massive then, its just who can rally more. I expect that match to have insane votals, possibly over 200k --- Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest! http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2008 12:40:43 PM | message detail |
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I think that Arthas might be the best bet to knock L Block out of this contest. Speaking of joke post!! --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2008 12:42:41 PM | message detail |
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hoo boy blizzard fanboys gotta love em --- Moltar Status: augh Banjo/Olimar/MM/Nero - Bracket: MM > Nero - Vote: Olimar (51/68) |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2008 12:43:18 PM | message detail |
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I'd rather just disdain them --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| _Hogger_ | Posted 10/5/2008 12:43:39 PM | message detail |
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LeonhartFour (#045) Blizzard rallying nearly knocked out SUPER SMASH BROS MELEE. --- Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest! http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/5/2008 12:44:46 PM | message detail |
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Nero's looking to be not far off from Jill, assuming he doesn't drop a ton during the ASV and Mega Man hasn't fallen too far. Gimme Nero over Arthas. --- "Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2008 12:45:54 PM | message detail |
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Blizzard rallying nearly knocked out SUPER SMASH BROS MELEE. You mean Blizzard stuffing. Big difference. And that was back before Melee was as big as it is now. Speaking of which, anyone still confident in Brawl > Melee in a Games Contest? --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
